凤凰网财经讯 6月3日，三大指数集体低开，沪指低开0.22%，深成指低开0.34%，创业板指低开0.33%， EDA、汽车拆解、无人车辆等板块指数跌幅居前。 | | | | | 户深京重要指数 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 *● | | 最新 涨幅% | | 涨跌 | | 总手 | 现手 | 金额 | | 上证指数 | -0.22 | 3340.07 | -7.42 | 449/1547 | -0.07 | 4687 | 4687 | 54.63 乙 | | 深证成指 | -0.34 | 10006.13 | -34.50 | 488/2124 | -0.13 | 843万 | 843万 | 88.03 乙 | | 北证50 | | 1398.00 -0.76 | -10.69 | 74/170 | -0.44 | 13.6万 | 13.6万 | 2.74 乙 | | 创业板指 | | 1986.54 -0.33 | -6.65 | 254/1026 | -0.16 | 1957 | | 195万 ...

Group 1 - Tianfeng Securities reports that trading indicators in May continue to decline month-on-month, indicating that market trading sentiment remains at a phase low [1] - Asset linkage indicators and market allocation indicators suggest significant potential for upward movement in the market [1] - Investor behavior shows a substantial increase in repurchase scale month-on-month, while the net reduction of industrial capital has widened significantly [1] Group 2 - CICC states that the market may maintain a volatile pattern due to a combination of internal and external factors [2] - Small and medium-sized growth stocks are performing relatively well, benefiting from ample liquidity and technology narratives [2] - Key areas to focus on include mergers and acquisitions, sectors with policy support, and industries less affected by tariffs, such as the AI industry chain and export chains with low exposure to the US [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities indicates that the food and beverage sector's Q1 reports maintain high quality, with overall stability since April [3] - The government aims to boost consumption as a primary driver of economic growth, with a comprehensive plan to guide consumption recovery [3] - Four key segments are highlighted: 1) Baijiu with stable performance from leading companies, 2) Beer with a rebound in sales, 3) Restaurant chains with strong product channel layouts, and 4) High demand for leisure snacks and health-focused products [3]

中金公司（601995）研报称，综合内外部因素，市场或维持震荡格局。风格层面，得益于流动性充裕与 科技叙事催化，中小盘成长股表现相对占优；利率下行背景下高股息资产吸引力相对提升但配置仍偏结 构性。配置层面：1.持续关注并购重组、破净修复等政策支持领域。2.景气回升并且受关税影响不大的 领域，例如AI产业链中的云计算、算力等基础设施环节，再到机器人、智能驾驶等应用环节，我们认 为仍是重要主线。此外，部分对美敞口不高的出口链，如工程机械、电网设备、商用车等也值得关注。 3.现金流优质、与外需关联度不高的红利板块，例如水电、电信运营商、食品饮料、银行等行业的龙头 公司。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market conditions and key events affecting the A-share market during the Dragon Boat Festival period, highlighting uncertainties in both domestic and international contexts that are influencing investor sentiment and market performance [2][6]. Domestic and International Events - The A-share market is experiencing a volatile pattern with reduced trading volume, as investors are shifting between different styles due to high uncertainties and a lack of sustained market hotspots [2]. - The U.S. has increased steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, prompting potential retaliatory measures from the EU, which could further impact global supply chains and economic growth expectations [2][3]. - Recent developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations have introduced new discriminatory measures from the U.S., including restrictions on AI chip exports and visa cancellations for Chinese students, increasing instability in bilateral economic relations [3]. - The "Big and Beautiful Act" has introduced additional tax burdens on foreign investors from countries deemed to have punitive tax policies, potentially discouraging foreign investment in U.S. assets [3]. - Concerns over U.S. debt defaults have risen due to proposed budget plans that could add approximately $3 trillion to federal debt over the next decade, raising questions about fiscal sustainability [4]. - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, with recent drone attacks in Ukraine and preparations by Israel to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, indicating a potential increase in Middle Eastern conflicts [4]. Domestic Tourism and Travel Trends - During the Dragon Boat Festival from May 31 to June 2, 2025, an estimated 657 million people are expected to travel, averaging 219 million daily, which represents a 3.0% year-on-year increase [5]. - Railway passenger volume is projected to reach 47.1 million, with a daily average of 15.7 million, marking a 2.3% increase year-on-year [5]. - Road travel is expected to account for 600 million people, averaging 200 million daily, reflecting a 3.14% increase year-on-year [5]. - Air travel is anticipated to see 5.6 million passengers, with a daily average of 1.87 million, showing a 1.22% increase year-on-year [5]. - The trend indicates a preference for local and nearby travel, with a notable increase in demand for connecting flights for outbound travel, up nearly 20% year-on-year [5][10]. Market Outlook - Post-holiday, the A-share market is likely to remain in a phase of volatility, with medium-term resilience expected due to previous easing of trade tensions and supportive domestic monetary policies [6]. - Investors are anticipated to refocus on domestic policy and economic recovery signals, with macroeconomic data showing strong performance in April but potential weakening in May [6]. - The article suggests that sectors benefiting from policy support, such as mergers and acquisitions, and industries less affected by tariffs, like AI infrastructure and certain export-oriented sectors, should be closely monitored for investment opportunities [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huabei Mining is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 10.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 39% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 690 million yuan, down 56.5% year-on-year and down 3.4% quarter-on-quarter. The report also notes that the company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 3.63 billion, 4.61 billion, and 5.19 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year change of -25.2%, +26.8%, and +12.6% [4][6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's coal production and sales volume decreased by 17.7% and 26.2% year-on-year, respectively. The average selling price of coal was 937.8 yuan per ton, down 20.3% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 519.9 yuan, down 12.3% year-on-year [4][5] - The gross profit per ton of coal was 417.9 yuan, reflecting a decline of 28.4% year-on-year [4] Product Performance - The report indicates that the production and sales of coke and methanol also saw a decline in Q1 2025, with coke sales down 15.2% year-on-year and methanol sales up 31.2% year-on-year [5] - The average price of coke was 1498.9 yuan per ton, down 35.2% year-on-year, while the average price of methanol increased by 3.5% year-on-year [5] Growth Potential - The report emphasizes the growth potential in coal mining and coal chemical sectors, with ongoing projects such as the construction of the 8 million tons/year Tohutu mine and the 3 million tons/year Xinh Lake coal mine [6] - The company is also increasing its limestone resource capacity, with a total of 7 mines expected to produce 16.4 million tons/year [6] Valuation Metrics - As of May 6, 2025, the company's price-to-book (PB) ratio was 0.76, indicating a state of being below net asset value. The report mentions a shareholder return plan with a minimum dividend payout ratio increased from 30% to 35% [6][7]