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磨底失败?碳酸锂跌破6万元/吨关键关口
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 08:04
Core Viewpoint - The price of lithium carbonate has experienced a significant decline, dropping to a recent low of 59,500 yuan/ton, which is a 90% decrease from the peak of 600,000 yuan/ton in 2022, raising concerns about the sustainability of lithium salt enterprises and the entire lithium battery supply chain [1][2]. Price Trends - In 2023, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China fell to 103,000 yuan/ton by the end of the year, an 80.38% decrease from the average of 525,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year [2]. - The price trend for 2024 is expected to show a "rise then fall" pattern, with a 30% increase in early months due to environmental issues and inventory replenishment, followed by a decline due to supply-demand imbalance [2][6]. - As of May 23, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was 63,100 yuan/ton, while industrial-grade was 61,500 yuan/ton, indicating a continued downward trend [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The lithium market is facing oversupply, with global lithium salt production increasing by 23% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the demand for power batteries is showing signs of slowing down [6][7]. - As of May 2025, total social inventory of lithium carbonate reached 131,700 tons, with salt plant inventory increasing by 8.8%, indicating prolonged destocking cycles [6][7]. Cost Structure Changes - The production costs for lithium salt enterprises are decreasing, with salt lake enterprises maintaining costs around 40,000 yuan/ton, while African mines range from 60,000 to 70,000 yuan/ton [8]. - Companies are transitioning to lower-cost production methods, with some salt lake projects expected to achieve production costs as low as 32,000 yuan/ton [8]. Market Outlook - The current market sentiment remains pessimistic due to the downward spiral of salt and mineral prices, with many lithium salt enterprises struggling to maintain profitability [3][5]. - Analysts suggest that the market may only return to balance after the elimination of loss-making capacities, indicating that prices are likely to remain weak in the short term [8].
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报60800元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-28 04:07
Core Viewpoint - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reported at 60,800 yuan/ton [1] Price Summary - The spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 60,800 yuan/ton, down by 300 yuan/ton [1] - The industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 59,800 yuan/ton, also down by 300 yuan/ton [1] - The average price of long-term contracts for battery-grade lithium carbonate is 63,300 yuan/ton, down by 150 yuan/ton [1] - The hydroxide lithium index remains stable at 63,083 yuan/ton [1] - The price of spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is reported at 435 USD/ton, down by 5 USD/ton [1] - The price of spodumene (China CIF 6%) is reported at 630 USD/ton, down by 5 USD/ton [1] - The spodumene index (5% ≤ Li2O < 6%) is reported at 4,950 yuan/ton, down by 50 yuan/ton [1] - The lithium mica index (2% ≤ Li2O < 4%) is reported at 1,636 yuan/ton, down by 23 yuan/ton [1] - The price of phosphor lithium aluminum stone (7% ≤ Li2O < 8%) is reported at 7,225 yuan/ton, down by 50 yuan/ton [1] - The lithium-rich aluminum electrolyte index is reported at 1,709 yuan/ton, down by 22 yuan/ton [1] - The discount coefficient for lithium brine (lithium sulfate) remains stable at 71.5% [1]
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报60900元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-26 03:47
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, indicating a downward trend in lithium prices within the market [1] Price Data Summary - Battery-grade lithium carbonate is reported at 60,900 CNY/ton, down by 1,200 CNY/ton - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 59,900 CNY/ton, down by 1,400 CNY/ton - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in long-term contracts is 63,600 CNY/ton, down by 100 CNY/ton - The lithium hydroxide index is reported at 63,083 CNY/ton, down by 500 CNY/ton - Lithium spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is reported at 335 USD/ton, unchanged - Lithium spodumene (China CIF 6%) is reported at 635 USD/ton, down by 5 USD/ton - The lithium spodumene index (5% ≤ Li2O < 6%) is reported at 5,035 CNY/ton, down by 115 CNY/ton - The lithium mica index (2% ≤ Li2O < 4%) is reported at 1,659 CNY/ton, down by 61 CNY/ton - The phosphor lithium aluminum stone (7% ≤ Li2O < 8%) is reported at 7,275 CNY/ton, down by 100 CNY/ton - The lithium-rich aluminum electrolyte index is reported at 1,731 CNY/ton, down by 29 CNY/ton - The discount coefficient for lithium brine (lithium sulfate) is reported at 72.5%, up by 1 [1]
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报61900元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-19 03:47
Core Viewpoint - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reported at 61,900 yuan/ton [1] Price Summary - The spot price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 61,900 yuan/ton, down by 1,450 yuan/ton [1] - The industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 61,100 yuan/ton, down by 1,400 yuan/ton [1] - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in long-term contracts is 64,300 yuan/ton, down by 150 yuan/ton [1] - The lithium hydroxide index is reported at 63,583 yuan/ton, down by 917 yuan/ton [1] - The price of lithium spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is stable at 335 USD/ton [1] - The price of lithium spodumene (China CIF 6%) is 685 USD/ton, down by 5 USD/ton [1] - The lithium spodumene index (5%≤ Li2O <6%) remains stable at 5,272 yuan/ton [1] - The lithium mica index (2%≤ Li2O <4%) is stable at 1,811 yuan/ton [1] - The price of phosphor-lithium aluminum stone (7%≤ Li2O <8%) is stable at 7,475 yuan/ton [1] - The lithium-rich aluminum electrolyte index remains stable at 1,790 yuan/ton [1] - The discount coefficient for lithium brine (lithium sulfate) is reported at 72.5%, up by 1 [1]
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报63350元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-16 03:50
Core Viewpoint - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, indicating a downward trend in lithium prices within the market [1] Price Summary - Battery-grade lithium carbonate is reported at 63,350 CNY/ton, down by 1,300 CNY/ton - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 62,500 CNY/ton, down by 900 CNY/ton - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate for long-term contracts is 64,450 CNY/ton, down by 100 CNY/ton - The lithium hydroxide index is reported at 64,500 CNY/ton, down by 1,000 CNY/ton [1][1][1] Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is reported at 335 USD/ton, down by 10 USD/ton - Lithium spodumene (China CIF 6%) is reported at 690 USD/ton, down by 10 USD/ton - The lithium spodumene index (5% ≤ Li2O < 6%) is reported at 5,272 CNY/ton, down by 98 CNY/ton - The lithium mica index (2% ≤ Li2O < 4%) is reported at 1,811 CNY/ton, down by 44 CNY/ton - The phosphor-lithium aluminum stone (7% ≤ Li2O < 8%) is reported at 7,475 CNY/ton, down by 90 CNY/ton [1][1][1] Other Indices - The rich lithium aluminum electrolyte index remains stable at 1,790 CNY/ton - The discount coefficient for rich brine (lithium sulfate) is reported at 71.5%, up by 1 [1][1][1]
锂价跌破“盈亏线” 供需错配格局短期难改
Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate industry is currently facing significant challenges, with prices falling below the breakeven point for many producers, leading to operational difficulties and potential bankruptcies [3][4][5]. Price Trends - As of May 15, the average price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate was 65,050 yuan per ton, marking a decline of over 10,000 yuan since the beginning of the year [2]. - The price drop has been attributed to insufficient downstream demand and increased supply, with some traders contributing to the downward pressure by offloading inventory [2][5]. Industry Impact - The breakeven price for lithium carbonate processing companies is generally considered to be 70,000 yuan per ton, and many producers are struggling to remain profitable at current price levels [4]. - Some companies have resorted to production cuts and maintenance to reduce costs, while others are attempting to maintain customer relationships despite the challenging market [3][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of lithium carbonate is expected to continue increasing, while downstream demand, particularly from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, is stabilizing without significant growth [5]. - Inventory levels have reached a high of 96,000 tons as of April 30, indicating a loose supply in the market [6]. Future Outlook - Industry experts believe that a recovery in lithium prices is unlikely in the short term due to ongoing supply increases and stable demand [5]. - Companies are focusing on cost reduction and resource self-sufficiency to enhance competitiveness, with some considering strategic shifts from expansion to value creation [8][9]. Technological Innovation - Investment in technological innovation is seen as crucial for improving extraction efficiency and reducing costs, which could help alleviate resource constraints and influence market pricing mechanisms [9].
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报63950元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-08 03:48
Core Viewpoint - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reported at 63,950 yuan per ton, reflecting a decline of 1,400 yuan per ton [1] Price Summary - Battery-grade lithium carbonate is priced at 63,950 yuan per ton, down 1,400 yuan per ton - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 62,700 yuan per ton, also down 1,400 yuan per ton - The average price of long-term contracts for battery-grade lithium carbonate is 65,500 yuan per ton, down 550 yuan per ton - The lithium hydroxide index is at 60,500 yuan per ton, down 500 yuan per ton [1] Lithium Ore and Other Indices - Lithium spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is priced at 405 USD per ton, down 10 USD per ton - Lithium spodumene (China CIF 6%) is reported at 740 USD per ton, down 10 USD per ton - The lithium spodumene index (5% ≤ Li2O < 6%) is at 5,485 yuan per ton, down 35 yuan per ton - The lithium mica index (2% ≤ Li2O < 4%) is at 1,936 yuan per ton, down 37 yuan per ton - Phosphate lithium aluminum stone (7% ≤ Li2O < 8%) is priced at 7,640 yuan per ton, down 50 yuan per ton - The rich lithium aluminum electrolyte index is at 1,836 yuan per ton, down 25 yuan per ton - The discount coefficient for rich brine (lithium sulfate) remains unchanged at 71.5% [1]
碳酸锂价格再创历史新低 6.5万关口告破!谁在恐慌抛货?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-07 09:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant decline in lithium carbonate futures prices, with the main contract falling below 65,000 yuan per ton, reaching a historical low, driven by a combination of factors including weak demand and oversupply in the market [1][2] - The spot prices for lithium carbonate have dropped across the board, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reported at 65,350 yuan per ton, down 600 yuan in a single day, and industrial-grade lithium carbonate at 64,100 yuan per ton, reflecting a broader downward trend in the industry [1] - The cost side is collapsing, as major domestic and international mines have not seen further production cuts, and first-quarter financial reports indicate a decline in costs, allowing for further price reductions in lithium salts [1][2] Group 2 - The supply-demand imbalance is deepening, with expectations of a month-on-month increase in domestic lithium carbonate production in May, while high inventory levels are suppressing price rebound potential [2] - The industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle, with prices below 70,000 yuan impacting the cost lines of many companies, leading to a focus on cash flow management and resource control as key survival strategies [2] - The technical outlook remains bearish, with price movements following a downward channel, and multiple institutions agree that under the pressures of collapsing costs, increased supply, and weak demand, lithium carbonate prices are likely to remain under pressure [2]
富宝资讯:碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌,富宝电池级碳酸锂报65350元/吨
news flash· 2025-05-07 03:36
Price Trends - The spot price of lithium carbonate has decreased compared to the previous trading day, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reported at 65,350 CNY/ton, down by 600 CNY/ton [1] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate (comprehensive) is reported at 64,100 CNY/ton, down by 650 CNY/ton [1] - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in long-term contracts is 66,050 CNY/ton, down by 400 CNY/ton [1] Index and Other Prices - The lithium hydroxide index remains stable at 66,000 CNY/ton [1] - The price of lithium spodumene (Africa SC 5%) is reported at 415 USD/ton, down by 15 USD/ton [1] - The price of lithium spodumene (China CIF 6%) is reported at 750 USD/ton, down by 13 USD/ton [1] Additional Indices - The lithium spodumene index (5% ≤ Li2O < 6%) is reported at 5,520 CNY/ton, down by 30 CNY/ton [1] - The lithium mica index (2% ≤ Li2O < 4%) is reported at 1,973 CNY/ton, down by 29 CNY/ton [1] - The price of phosphor-lithium aluminum stone (7% ≤ Li2O < 8%) is reported at 7,690 CNY/ton, down by 40 CNY/ton [1] - The lithium-rich aluminum electrolyte index is reported at 1,861 CNY/ton, down by 31 CNY/ton [1] - The discount coefficient for lithium brine (sulfuric acid lithium) remains unchanged at 71.5% [1]
年内大跌15%!碳酸锂期货创历史新低,多空博弈加剧,后市怎么走?
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-04-30 06:11
Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate market is experiencing significant price declines due to weak downstream demand and various external factors, including changing tariff policies and increased supply, leading to a bearish sentiment in the industry [2][3][10]. Price Trends - Lithium carbonate futures and spot prices have entered a downward trend, with futures prices dropping to a historical low of 66,000 yuan/ton by April 30, 2023, marking a cumulative decline of 15% since the beginning of the year [2][3]. - The spot price for battery-grade lithium carbonate has decreased from 75,100 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 68,300 yuan/ton, reflecting a drop of 9% [5]. Demand Factors - Downstream demand remains weak, with battery manufacturers reducing orders for cathode materials, indicating that actual demand has not met expectations [3][9]. - The U.S. tariff policies have directly impacted the export market for Chinese lithium batteries, leading to a significant contraction in demand [3][9]. Supply Dynamics - The supply side has seen increased production, particularly from major mines in Jiangxi, which have resumed operations post-Chinese New Year, contributing to a rise in lithium carbonate output [4][7]. - Despite some lithium salt manufacturers implementing production cuts, the overall supply continues to grow, leading to a further decline in prices [4][10]. Inventory and Production Rates - The lithium carbonate production rate reached a historical high of 7.9 million tons per month, with the operating rate at 48.77%, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [8][10]. - Inventory levels are increasing, with total inventory nearing historical highs, indicating a potential oversupply situation [8][10]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is predominantly bearish, with participants concerned about the ongoing price declines and the impact of tariffs on future demand [3][9]. - Analysts suggest that the current low prices may limit further declines, but the overall market remains cautious due to high inventory levels and weak demand [11].