欢迎关注微信公众号 | 板块 | 品种 | 主力合约 | 点评 | 操作建议 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | IF2509 | | 宏观形势好转带动风险偏好上行,指数已经突破短 | | | 股指 | 60955HII | 科技热度持续,中小盘指数再冲高 | 期震荡区间上沿,中枢上移过程中,谨慎追高风 | | | | IC2507 | | 险,但可轻仓卖出8-9月5900执行价MO期权收取 | | | | IM2509 | | 权利金。 | | | | 12509 TF2509 | 6月PMI环比略升,但内需仍需加力。跨月后资金利率或季节性 | 单边策略上,期债可适当逢调整配置多单。期现策 | | | 国质 | 6095ZS1 | 下行,7月上旬资金如果明显转松可能利好债市 | 略上,可以适当关注TS2509合约正套策略。适当 | | 金融 | | 6095711 | | 关注做陡曲线。 | | | | AU2508 | | 关注美国经济数据对美联储货币政策预期影响,金 | | | 贵金属 | AG2508 | 美元指数持续下行 贵金属止跌回升 | 价站稳60日均 ...

Group 1 - The JOLTS report, a key labor market indicator for the Federal Reserve, is expected to show a decrease in job vacancies from 7.192 million in March to 7.1 million in April, which may exert pressure on the US dollar and support gold prices [1] - President Trump announced an increase in steel import tariffs from 25% to 50% due to a major Asian country not fulfilling preliminary tariff agreements, indicating a strong stance on trade policy [1] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations are providing additional support for gold prices [1] Group 2 - The market is currently maintaining a high-level oscillation pattern, with short-term pressure for a pullback after a rise, suggesting a strategy of selling on rallies [3] - Specific trading recommendations include establishing short positions when gold rebounds to the 3370-3375 and 3400-3405 ranges, with support levels identified at 3330-3310 [3]

Market Overview - The market experienced a mixed performance with a notable number of stocks hitting both upper and lower limits, indicating divergent trends among individual stocks [3][4] - Despite a significant number of stocks facing selling pressure, the overall market managed to maintain a trading volume above 1 trillion [4] Investor Sentiment - Investors are currently in a wait-and-see mode, particularly ahead of the upcoming May Day holiday, with many contemplating whether to hold positions over the break [5][6] - Three main strategies for holding positions during the holiday are identified: buying volatility, maintaining directional strategies based on market outlook, and selling to capture time value [6][7] External Influences - The market is heavily influenced by external factors, particularly the actions of former President Trump and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations, especially regarding interest rate cuts [8][10] - Trump's fluctuating policies have led to significant declines in the U.S. stock market since his inauguration, with his approval ratings hitting a historical low [9][10] Technical Analysis - Current technical indicators show limited volatility across major indices, suggesting a potential wait for clearer direction post-holiday [16]