Group 1: A-Share Market - The A-share market showed a mixed performance this week, with value sectors being relatively strong. Major indices like the Shanghai 50 and CSI 2000 saw slight increases, while the ChiNext index fell by 2.26%. Value performance was notable across large, mid, and small-cap stocks, with sectors such as retail, consumer services, and non-bank financials leading the gains. The average daily trading volume was 1.76 trillion, down 9.86% week-on-week [6][7]. - The market experienced a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery, indicating structural hotspots. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) chairman emphasized the need to deepen the capital market's 14th Five-Year Plan and expand high-level opening-up to boost market confidence. The Central Financial Office highlighted that expanding domestic demand is a primary task for the coming year, aiming to stimulate consumption through supply and demand-side efforts [6][7]. - Looking ahead, the A-share market is expected to remain structurally active due to ongoing policy support for capital markets and consumption. Despite a decline in trading volume, support from emerging industries like technology and new energy, along with the push for domestic demand, will provide market backing. Investors are advised to focus on sectors benefiting from policy support, such as consumption upgrades, technological innovation, and high-end manufacturing [7]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market faced overall pressure this week, with major indices recording declines. The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.1%, 1.96%, and 2.82%, respectively, with the technology index experiencing the largest drop. Essential consumer and financial sectors rose against the trend, while most sectors, including information technology and non-essential consumer goods, showed weakness [8]. - Despite the overall pressure, the market was supported by expectations of improved liquidity due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In 2025, the Fed has already cut rates three times, with potential for further easing, which may optimize the debt side for Hong Kong stocks. Additionally, a rebound in U.S. tech stocks provided some uplift to the Hong Kong technology sector [8]. - In the future, while the Hong Kong market may experience volatility due to external factors, the expected improvement in liquidity from the Fed's easing cycle will have a positive impact. Strong performance from the mainland economy and ongoing policy support, particularly in high-level opening-up, will provide a solid foundation for the Hong Kong market. Investors are encouraged to focus on sectors benefiting from Fed easing and mainland economic recovery, as well as technology sectors with growth potential amid the AI wave [8].

12月18日，中国资本市场迎来大事件——中国资本市场学会学术委员会正式成立，29位权威专家组 成"超级智囊团"，为资本市场高质量发展提供智力支撑。 证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清亲自出席成立会议并主持召开资本市场"十五五"规划专家座谈 会，释放出加强资本市场理论研究、提升智库支撑能力的强烈信号。 从7月26日中国资本市场学会成立大会暨第一届第一次会员代表大会在上海召开，到12月18日学术委员 会的成立，短短五个月间，资本市场"国家队"智库建设完成关键跃升。 此次会议规格空前，中国证监会副主席、中国资本市场学会执行副会长李超，学术委员会主任委员李 扬，以及境内外学术委员会委员、专业委员会负责人、重点研究基地负责人等悉数出席。 学术委员会致力于加强学术研究、促进学术交流、鼓励学术创新、崇尚学术道德，深入开展学术评议、 咨询、宣传、交流活动，充分发挥学术引领、认知引导、咨政建言作用。随着29位来自政府部门研究机 构、高校、国际投行和市场一线的权威专家集结，资本市场理论研究正从零散化、碎片化走向系统化、 专业化，一场由"最强大脑"引领的资本市场理论创新浪潮已然开启。 29人"最强大脑"，资本市场迎来顶级学术引擎 ...

记者丨崔文静 实习生 张长荣 编辑丨包芳鸣 视频｜曾婷芳 见习编辑陈泽锴 "成立学术委员会是中国资本市场学会提升理论研究水平、发挥智库平台作用的重要安排。"吴清在会上指出，加强资本市场理论研究，对于加 快形成既遵循市场一般规律又契合中国实际的理论体系，推动资本市场高质量发展，积极参与全球金融治理合作具有重要意义。他强调，要牢 牢把握正确的政治方向和学术导向，坚持市场化、法治化、国际化，扎根中国资本市场实践，聚焦资本市场包容性吸引力、定价效率、金融科 技、法治建设等重点问题，不断健全完善理论框架和方法论，为加快建设强大的资本市场提供坚实理论支撑。 12月18日，中国资本市场迎来大事件—— 中国资本市场学会学术委员会正式成立， 29位权威专家组成"超级智囊团"，为资本市场高质量发展 提供智力支撑。 证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清亲自出席成立会议并主持召开资本市场"十五五"规划专家座谈会，释放出加强资本市场理论研究、提 升智库支撑能力的强烈信号。 从月7月26日中国资本市场学会成立大会暨第一届第一次会员代表大会在上海召开，到12月18日学术委员会的成立，短短五个月间，资本市 场"国家队"智库建设完成关键跃升。 ...

12月18日，中国资本市场迎来大事件——中国资本市场学会学术委员会正式成立，29位权威专家组成"超级智囊团"，为资本市场高质量发展提供智力支 撑。 学术委员会致力于加强学术研究、促进学术交流、鼓励学术创新、崇尚学术道德，深入开展学术评议、咨询、宣传、交流活动，充分发挥学术引领、认知 引导、咨政建言作用。随着29位来自政府部门研究机构、高校、国际投行和市场一线的权威专家集结，资本市场理论研究正从零散化、碎片化走向系统 化、专业化，一场由"最强大脑"引领的资本市场理论创新浪潮已然开启。 12月18日，中国资本市场学会学术委员会成立会议暨第一届第一次全体委员会议在北京隆重举行。作为中国资本市场学会的最高学术机构，学术委员会由 29名来自资本市场研究领域的权威专家、学者组成，设主任委员1名、副主任委员4名，每届任期4年。 证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清亲自出席成立会议并主持召开资本市场"十五五"规划专家座谈会，释放出加强资本市场理论研究、提升智库支撑 能力的强烈信号。 29人"最强大脑"横空出世，资本市场迎来顶级学术引擎 从月7月26日中国资本市场学会成立大会暨第一届第一次会员代表大会在上海召开，到12月18日 ...

（原标题：吴清挂帅！资本市场最强大脑集结，29位专家献策高质量发展） 21世纪经济报道记者 崔文静 实习生 张长荣 12月18日，中国资本市场迎来大事件——中国资本市场学会学术委员会正式成立，29位权威专家组 成"超级智囊团"，为资本市场高质量发展提供智力支撑。 证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清亲自出席成立会议并主持召开资本市场"十五五"规划专家座谈 会，释放出加强资本市场理论研究、提升智库支撑能力的强烈信号。 从月7月26日中国资本市场学会成立大会暨第一届第一次会员代表大会在上海召开，到12月18日学术委 员会的成立，短短五个月间，资本市场"国家队"智库建设完成关键跃升。 此次会议规格空前，中国证监会副主席、中国资本市场学会执行副会长李超，学术委员会主任委员李 扬，以及境内外学术委员会委员、专业委员会负责人、重点研究基地负责人等悉数出席。 吴清进一步指出，学会要深入践行理论研究的初心和使命，团结和凝聚各方面资本市场研究力量和专家 队伍，构建开放协同的研究生态，加强成果转化应用，持续提升理论引领价值。 这一指示明确了学术委员会的使命与路径——不仅要产出高质量研究成果，更要将理论与实践紧密结 合，真正服务于 ...

4、商务部新闻发言人何亚东表示，已批准部分稀土出口通用许可申请。 5、外交部长王毅18日分别同柬埔寨副首相兼外交大臣布拉索昆、泰国外长西哈萨通电话，柬泰双方都 向王毅通报柬泰边境冲突最新进展，表达了降温停火的意愿。 来源：股市直击 12月19日消息，三大指数集体高开，可控核聚变板块涨幅居前。截至今日开盘，沪指报3878.23，涨 0.05%；深成指报13116.19点，涨0.48%；创指报3134.80点，涨0.89%。 消息面： 1、证监会主席吴清12月18日出席中国资本市场学会学术委员会成立会议并召开资本市场"十五五"规划 专家座谈会，吴清表示，证监会将扎实推进资本市场"十五五"规划编制和实施，持续深化资本市场投融 资综合改革，稳步扩大制度型高水平对外开放。 2、国办印发《关于全链条打击涉烟违法活动的意见》，全方位加强电子烟监管，严厉查处非法生产、 批发、运输、销售电子烟和电子烟出口回流等违法活动。 3、市场监管总局召开会议要求，要综合整治"内卷式"竞争，推动形成优质优价、良性竞争的市场秩 序。 6、TikTok CEO周受资发出内部信称字节跳动、TikTok已与三家投资者签署协议，并将成立新的TikTo ...

2025年12月18日， 中国证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清出席中国资本市场学会学术委员会成立会议暨第一届第一次全体委员会议， 并主持召开资本市场"十五五"规划专家座谈会。 中国证监会副主席、中国资本市场学会执行副会长李超，中国资本市场学会学术委员会主任 委员李扬参加会议。境内外学术委员会委员、专业委员会负责人、重点研究基地负责人及新闻媒体代表参加会议。 成立学术委员会是中国资本市场学会提升理论研究水平、发挥智库平台作用的重要安排。吴清指出，加强资本市场理论研究，是深入学习贯 彻习近平总书记关于金融工作重要论述、深化对资本市场发展规律认识的迫切需要，对于加快形成既遵循市场一般规律又契合中国实际的理 论体系，推动资本市场高质量发展，积极参与全球金融治理合作具有重要意义。要牢牢把握正确的政治方向和学术导向，坚持市场化、法治 化、国际化。扎根中国资本市场实践，聚焦资本市场包容性吸引力、定价效率、金融科技、法治建设等重点问题，不断健全完善理论框架和 方法论，为加快建设强大的资本市场提供坚实理论支撑。吴清强调，学会要深入践行理论研究的初心和使命，团结和凝聚各方面资本市场研 究力量和专家队伍，构建开放协同的研究生态 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall market shows a complex and diversified trend, with different sectors and varieties having different investment outlooks and risks. For example, in the stock index futures, it is necessary to focus on the sustainability of liquidity repair; in the black sector, steel and ore are expected to be short - term volatile and medium - long - term bearish; in the energy sector, the rise of crude oil driven by geopolitics is limited [15][17][40]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Information - China's Hainan Free Trade Port officially launched the full - island customs closure operation on December 18, 2025, expanding the "zero - tariff" commodity scope to more than 6,600 tariff items. China has re - implemented the export license management for steel products after 16 years and approved some rare earth export general license applications. A large gold mine was discovered in Laizhou, Shandong, with a cumulative proven gold resource reserve of over 3,900 tons, accounting for about 26% of the national total [9]. - The National Development and Reform Commission will take measures to expand effective investment. The State Administration for Market Regulation will promote the construction of a unified national market. Market institutions expect a 0.5 - percentage - point reserve - requirement ratio cut and a 0.1 - percentage - point interest - rate cut in 2026. The CSRC will promote the compilation and implementation of the capital market's "14th Five - Year Plan" [10]. - In 2026, the photovoltaic industry will strengthen capacity control. The next - nominee for the Fed chair may support "substantial" interest - rate cuts. Trump will sign a nearly trillion - dollar annual defense policy bill. The US November core CPI and overall CPI growth rates are lower than expected, but the reliability of the inflation report is questioned. The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week decreased, and the number of continued jobless claims increased [11]. - The European Central Bank maintained the benchmark interest rate unchanged, and the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Japan increased its holdings of US Treasury bonds in October, while China decreased its holdings. The main contracts of palladium and platinum futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange had significant movements, and trading restrictions were imposed [12]. 3.2 Macro Finance 3.2.1 Stock Index Futures - The strategy is to focus on the sustainability of liquidity repair. If it is realized, the index may strengthen. A - share large and small indexes are differentiated. US economic data shows mixed performance, and domestic November macro - economic data shows a decline in most indicators. The stock market and the bond market strengthened simultaneously on Wednesday, and the market was differentiated on Thursday [15]. 3.2.2 Treasury Bond Futures - The strategy is that medium - and short - term bonds have certain odds and may fluctuate strongly. The capital market is balanced and loose, and the central bank restarts the 14 - day reverse repurchase. The macro - policy expression in the central economic work conference is marginally relaxed, but it is not enough to drive interest - rate cut transactions in the short term. Attention should be paid to the central bank's MLF renewal and bond - buying scale at the end of the month [16]. 3.3 Black Sector 3.3.1 Steel and Ore - From a policy perspective, the implementation of important meeting spirits is in line with market expectations, with no new policies and a relatively gentle policy. From a fundamental perspective, the demand for building materials is weak, and the demand for coils is acceptable. The supply side may see a decline in iron - water production, and the inventory is still at a high level compared with last year. The cost side is expected to continue to decrease. In the short term, steel and ore will fluctuate, and in the medium - long term, a bearish view is maintained [17]. 3.3.2 Coal and Coke - The prices of coking coal and coke may fluctuate and rise in the short term. In the medium term, the domestic mine start - up rate is restricted by policies, and in the short term, coal production is restricted by safety supervision and environmental protection. The potential negative feedback risk of weakening steel demand still restricts the prices of coal and coke. The 05 contract may have a phased rebound, but the space is limited [20]. 3.3.3 Ferroalloys - For ferrosilicon, it is recommended to close out the previous long positions and pay attention to short - selling opportunities in the short term. For manganese silicon, a bearish view is maintained in the medium term. The performance of ferrosilicon and manganese silicon is weak, and the supply of ferrosilicon has decreased in the near two weeks, while the supply of manganese silicon has not significantly shrunk [21]. 3.3.4 Soda Ash and Glass - For soda ash, it is recommended to wait and see. For glass, it is advisable to try to go long after the market sentiment stabilizes. The supply of soda ash has recovered, but the upstream start - up willingness is weak. The market has expectations for the cold - repair of glass production lines, and the follow - up should focus on the implementation of production cuts and other factors [22]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials 3.4.1 Lithium Carbonate - In the short term, the fundamentals show signs of weakening, but in the medium - long term, the demand is still positive. Attention should be paid to the rhythm of demand and the opportunity to buy on dips [24]. 3.4.2 Industrial Silicon - In the short term, it is difficult to see production cuts. At the end of the month, attention should be paid to the supply disturbance caused by environmental protection in Xinjiang and the fluctuation of coking coal prices, which may lead to a partial repair of valuation. In the future, it will gradually shift to the game of polysilicon production - cut expectations [25]. 3.4.3 Polysilicon - The adjustment of the minimum order quantity for polysilicon futures contracts may weaken the trading enthusiasm and increase price fluctuations. The policy - expected pricing is stronger than the supply - demand contradiction pricing, and the spot price is expected to be strong [26]. 3.5 Agricultural Products 3.5.1 Cotton - In the short term, it will fluctuate and sort out. The supply is temporarily loose, but the long - term supply is expected to shrink. The cost and policy expectations support the cotton price, but the USDA report is negative [28]. 3.5.2 Sugar - The domestic sugar supply - demand situation is still bearish. The new - sugar listing pressure weighs on the sugar price. The Zhengzhou sugar futures price is at a low level. It is advisable to wait and see, and short - sellers at low levels should be cautious [30]. 3.5.3 Eggs - Before the Spring Festival, the inventory of laying hens in production is expected to remain high, and the short - term contract is bearish. The long - term contract is supported by the expectation of a decline in inventory, and it is advisable to wait and see [32]. 3.5.4 Apples - The futures price may fluctuate. The出库 of apples is slightly reduced year - on - year, and the sales in the market are slow. The high price restricts consumption, and the substitution of citrus fruits suppresses demand [34]. 3.5.5 Corn - Attention should be paid to the change of spot prices in the production area. It is advisable to short - sell the far - month contracts on rallies or look for reverse - spread opportunities in the far - month contracts. The supply - demand mismatch is gradually alleviated, and the far - month contracts face greater supply pressure [35]. 3.5.6 Red Dates - The current view is that the price will fluctuate. The prices in the production and sales areas are stable, but the increase in the arrival volume in Cangzhou may suppress the spot price. The follow - up should focus on the performance in the consumption peak season [37]. 3.5.7 Pigs - The pattern of strong supply and weak demand remains unchanged. The spot price lacks the driving force for a rebound and is likely to continue to be weak. It is advisable to short - sell the near - month contracts on rallies and control the position [38]. 3.6 Energy and Chemical Industry 3.6.1 Crude Oil - The geopolitical situation in Venezuela drives the oil price to rebound, but the impact is limited. In the medium term, the oil price may continue to decline. Goldman Sachs predicts that the average prices of Brent and WTI crude oil in 2026 will be $56/barrel and $52/barrel respectively [40]. 3.6.2 Fuel Oil - The supply and demand structure of fuel oil is loose, and its price follows the oil price. The geopolitical situation affects the oil price, and the fuel oil inventory is accumulating [41]. 3.6.3 Plastics - Polyolefins have a large supply pressure and weak downstream demand. The price may have a small - scale rebound due to production losses, but there is no strong driving force for a large - scale rebound [42]. 3.6.4 Methanol - The supply - demand situation of methanol has slightly improved, and the inventory is starting to decline, but there is still a possibility of inventory accumulation at the end of the month. It is not recommended to continue to be bearish. The near - month contract may have a small - scale rebound, and the far - month contract can be considered for long - position allocation after smooth inventory reduction [43]. 3.6.5 Caustic Soda - The rise of caustic soda futures price is mainly due to the strong performance of coking coal futures. The decline in the price of the liquid chlorine industry chain supports the far - month contract. It is advisable to stop profiting from the long - position in the near - month contract and hold the long - position in the main contract dynamically [44]. 3.6.6 Asphalt - The price fluctuation of asphalt is expected to increase, and the focus in the future is the price bottom after the winter - storage game [45]. 3.6.7 Polyester Industry Chain - The short - term trend of the polyester industry chain is mainly driven by cost and market sentiment. It is advisable to try to go long on dips and pay attention to market sentiment changes. Consider the positive spread between PX and PTA 5 - 9 contracts on dips [47]. 3.6.8 Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The LPG market shows a pattern of near - strong and far - weak. The decrease in supply supports the price rebound, but the high - level support is insufficient, and the futures price is prone to fall [48]. 3.6.9 Pulp - The old warehouse receipts are compulsorily cancelled, and the fundamentals are gradually improving. It is advisable to wait and see in the short term. If the spot price is stable, a virtual short - call option on the 03 contract can be sold to achieve high - level risk - free hedging [49]. 3.6.10 Logs - The fundamentals are weakly bearish, and the spot price is under pressure. The follow - up is expected to maintain a weak supply - demand balance, and the futures price is still under pressure [49]. 3.6.11 Urea - The high price in the futures market is not sustainable. A bearish view should be maintained under the high - supply pressure [50].

第 779 期 12月18日，深交所上市委公告，将于12月25日审议深圳大普微电子股份有限公司首发事项。这也意味着创业板首家获受理的未盈利企业，将迎来IPO大考。 大普微主要从事数据中心企业级 SSD产品的研发和销售。2022年至2025年上半年累计亏损15.66亿元。 2025-12-19 焦点事件 吴清：持续提高资本市场制度包容性吸引力 12月18日， 证监会主席、中国资本市场学会会长吴清出席中国资本市场学会学术委员会成立会议暨第一届第一次全体委员会议，并主持召开资本市场"十五 五"规划专家座谈会。 会上，大家围绕如何做好资本市场"十五五"规划提出了前瞻性、建设性的意见建议。吴清表示，证监会将深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会和中央经济工作 会议精神，扎实推进资本市场"十五五"规划编制和实施，紧扣防风险、强监管、促高质量发展的工作主线，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革，稳步扩大制 度型高水平对外开放，持续提高资本市场制度包容性吸引力，更好服务经济高质量发展和中国式现代化大局。 美国11月CPI同比增长2.7%，预估为增长3.1%。美国11月核心CPI同比增长2.6%，预估为增长3%。美国上周首次申领失业救济人数 ...

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