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金融期货周报-20260109
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 13:31
行业 金融期货周报 日期 2026 年 1 月 9 日 研究员:何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3008762 研究员:黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F3051589 研究员:聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号:F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 #summary# |  股指 - - | 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 一、市场回顾 - - | 3 | | | 二、成交持仓分析 - - | 4 | | | 三、基差、跨期价差及跨品种价差分析 - - | 5 | | | 四、行业板块概况 - | | | | - | 7 | | | 五、估值比较 - - | 8 | | |  国债 - - | 10 | | | 一、本周市场回顾 - - | 10 | | | 二、市场分析 - - | 19 | | | 三、 ...
《金融》日报-20260106
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:34
| 2026年1月6日 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292 | | | | | | | | | 熊客健 | Z0019608 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 种类 | | 日期 | | 品种 | | IRR (%) | | 最新值 | 较前一交易日变化 | 上市以来百分位数 | | | | | | 2026-01-05 | TS基差 | | 1.4303 | | 0.0004 | 0.0074 | 17.50% | | | 基差 | | | 2026-01-05 | TF基差 | | 1.6224 | | -0.0349 | 0.0290 | 44.00% | | | | | | 2026-01-05 | T基差 | | 1.2733 | | 0.0966 | -0.0665 | 42.90% | | | | | | 2026-01-05 | TL基差 | | 1.5810 | | 0.3365 | -0.4905 | 54.30% | | | | | | 2026- ...
硅铁:钢招定价落地,警惕盘面情绪,锰硅:节后询价情绪浓厚,等待钢招落地
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-05 02:17
硅铁:钢招定价落地,警惕盘面情绪 锰硅:节后询价情绪浓厚,等待钢招落地 | | 李亚飞 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0021184 | liyafei2@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金园园(联系人) | 期货从业资格号:F03134630 | jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | | 硅铁、锰硅基本面数据 2026 年 1 月 5 日 | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 较前一交易日 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 硅铁2603 | 5672 | -78 | 225,315 | 218,692 | | 期 货 | 硅铁2605 | 5628 | -78 | 28,644 | 47,924 | | | 锰硅2603 | 5920 | -22 | 146,560 | 267,767 | | | 锰硅2605 | 5936 | -12 | 66,562 | 206,794 | | | 项 目 | | | 价 格 | 较前一交易日 | 单 位 | ...
LPG数据日报-20251205
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-05 05:18
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report's industry investment rating provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report - The LPG futures contract's closing price increased by 28 yuan/ton to 4317 yuan/ton, a 0.65% rise. The national LPG market price went up, with the average price reaching 4360 yuan/ton, a 0.44% increase from the previous workday. The LPG market is expected to operate in a range - bound manner [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Market Overview - The international LPG market showed a trend of rising first and then falling this week, but the overall price center shifted upward. The non - US supply was tight while market buying interest remained strong. The Middle East's January shipment negotiations were active, and the demand was firm. The Far - East arbitrage window in the European and American markets was still open, but buying interest weakened due to shrinking arbitrage. In the Far - East market, LPG prices rose first and then fell. In the shipping market, freight rates from the Middle East to the Far East and from the US Gulf of Mexico to the Far East both increased slightly [3]. 3.2 Regional Market Conditions 3.2.1 East China Region - The average price of the civil LPG market increased by 13 yuan/ton to 4360 yuan/ton, a 0.30% increase. The market in East China mainly rose this week. The release of December CP last week increased the import cost, supporting the sentiment of upstream and downstream. The refinery supply in Shanghai and Jiangsu decreased, and the overall supply showed an obvious narrowing trend. Chemical demand increased slightly, and downstream enthusiasm for entering the market was strong. The import cost increased, but the price increase of imported gas was less than that of domestic gas [3]. 3.2.2 South China Region - The average price of the civil LPG market increased by 25 yuan/ton to 4360 yuan/ton, a 0.58% increase. The LPG market in South China rose across the board this week. Supply tightness and cost increase were the main supporting factors. For civil gas, terminals led the price increase. Due to delayed ship arrivals, some terminal inventories were low, and importers continuously raised prices. Refineries quickly followed suit. For industrial gas, the supply pressure of refineries was relieved, and the prices also increased [3]. 3.2.3 Shandong Region - The average price of the civil LPG market increased by 10 yuan/ton to 4460 yuan/ton, a 0.22% increase, and the average price of ether - post - carbon - four increased by 6 yuan/ton to 4281 yuan/ton. The civil LPG market in Shandong first remained stable and then rose, reaching a high in nearly two months. The increase in CP led to an obvious rise in import costs, driving up the price of related propane and slightly improving the profitability of downstream chemical plants [3]. 3.3 Price and Spread - Futures prices: The closing price of the main LPG futures contract increased by 28 yuan/ton to 4317 yuan/ton, a 0.65% increase; the settlement price increased by 19 yuan/ton to 4301 yuan/ton, a 0.44% increase. - Inter - month spreads: The spreads between different LPG contracts showed different changes, such as PG2601 - PG2602 being - 15 yuan/ton (down from 96 yuan/ton), and PG2601 - PG2603 being 229 yuan/ton (down 10 yuan/ton). - Cross - variety spreads: For example, PG - 7.33*SC was 999.44 yuan/ton, a 0.50% decrease [3]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - The production cost of PDH - made propylene was 6392 yuan/ton, a 0.06% decrease; the production cost of PDH - made PP was 7575.55 yuan/ton, a 0.79% increase. The production profit of PDH - made propylene was - 397 yuan/ton, a 0.25% decrease; the production profit of PDH - made PP was - 1252.22 yuan/ton, a 7.35% decrease [3]. 3.5 Other Information - Freight rates: Freight rates for different shipping routes remained unchanged. - Exchange - rate and interest - rate: The US dollar index decreased by 0.46%, and SHIBOR - overnight remained basically unchanged at 1.3020% [3].
《金融》日报-20251204
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 01:56
| 国债期货价差日报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年12月4日 | | | | | | Z0019608 熊客健 | | 种类 | 日期 | 品种 | IRR (%) | 最新值 | 较前一交易目变化 | 上市以来百分位数 | | | 2025-12-03 | TS基差 | 1.6478 | -0.0609 | -0.0231 | 30.00% | | | 2025-12-03 | TF基差 | 1.7661 | -0.0921 | -0.0493 | 50.60% | | 基差 | 2025-12-03 | T基产 | 1.9644 | -0.0373 | -0.0906 | 68.60% | | | 2025-12-03 | TL 泉元 | 2.0675 | 0.3058 | -0.3083 | 75.50% | | | 2025-12-03 | 当季 下空 | | 0.0120 | -0.0160 | 26.10% | | TS跨期价差 | 2025-12 ...
硅铁:板块情绪共振,宽幅震荡,锰硅,矿端情绪挺价,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 02:07
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Report's Core View - Silicon ferroalloy (silicon iron and ferromanganese) is expected to experience wide - range oscillations, with Silicon iron affected by sector sentiment resonance and ferromanganese supported by price - holding sentiment at the ore end [1] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data** - Silicon iron 2601 closed at 5588, up 62 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 165,588 and an open interest of 162,088. Silicon iron 2605 closed at 5654, up 62, with a trading volume of 3,798 and an open interest of 10,807 [1] - Ferromanganese 2601 closed at 5820, up 60, with a trading volume of 213,766 and an open interest of 354,763. Ferromanganese 2605 closed at 5878, up 64, with a trading volume of 15,756 and an open interest of 45,381 [1] - **Spot Data** - The price of silicon iron (FeSi75 - B) in Inner Mongolia was 5220 yuan/ton, and the price of ferromanganese (FeMn65Si17) in Inner Mongolia was 5620 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore (Mn44 block) was 40.0 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of semi - coke (small material) in Shenmu was 820 yuan/ton [1] - **Spread Data** - The spot - futures spread of silicon iron (spot - 01 futures) was - 368 yuan/ton, down 62. The spot - futures spread of ferromanganese (spot - 01 futures) was - 200 yuan/ton, down 60 [1] - The near - far month spread of silicon iron 2601 - 2605 was - 66 yuan/ton, unchanged. The near - far month spread of ferromanganese 2601 - 2605 was - 58 yuan/ton, down 4 [1] - The cross - variety spread of ferromanganese 2601 - silicon iron 2601 was 232 yuan/ton, down 2. The cross - variety spread of ferromanganese 2605 - silicon iron 2605 was 224 yuan/ton, up 2 [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - **Coal and Coke News** - On November 6th, the starting price of Hongliulin lump coal, the raw material for semi - coke, was 720 yuan/ton, up 45 yuan/ton from the previous period. The auction volume was 7.8 tons, down 2.8 tons. The average transaction price was 783.36 yuan/ton, up 78.39 yuan/ton. The lowest auction price was 773 yuan/ton, and the highest was 790 yuan/ton [1] - **Ferroalloy Price News** - On November 10th, the price of 72 silicon iron in Shaanxi was 5100 - 5200 (+50), in Ningxia 5200 - 5250, in Qinghai 5200 - 5250 (+25), in Gansu 5150 - 5250, and in Inner Mongolia 5150 - 5250. The price of 75 silicon iron in Shaanxi was 5700, in Ningxia 5650 - 5700, in Qinghai 5600 - 5700, in Gansu 5650 - 5700, and in Inner Mongolia 5650 - 5700. The FOB price of 72 silicon iron was 1020 - 1040 (-10), and that of 75 was 1110 - 1130 dollars/ton. The northern quotation of 6517 ferromanganese was 5550 - 5600 yuan/ton, and the southern quotation was 5600 - 5650 yuan/ton [2] - **Ferroalloy Tendering News** - A large steel group in Hebei tendered 16,000 tons of ferromanganese in November, 500 tons less than in October. The tender notice for 75B silicon iron was for 2716 tons, 240 tons less than in October [3] - **Ferroalloy Production News** - From January to October 2025, the total national production of ferromanganese was 903.96 million tons, with Inner Mongolia producing 438.51 million tons, accounting for 48.5% of the national total. There are currently 28 operating factories in Inner Mongolia, and 13 have new production capacities, which are expected to be launched from November 2025 to the first three quarters of 2026. The current monthly production of ferromanganese in the factories to be put into operation from the end of 2025 to the first three quarters of 2026 is about 16.1 million tons, and the subsequent new monthly production is expected to be about 25.9 million tons. Over 90% of the new production capacity is for 6517 [3] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of silicon iron is 0, and that of ferromanganese is 0, indicating a neutral view on both [4]
硅铁:板块情绪与供需扰动,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-04 02:14
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2) Core View of the Report Silicon ferroalloy and manganese ferroalloy are expected to experience wide - range fluctuations due to sector sentiment and supply - demand disturbances [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: For silicon ferroalloy, the closing price of SiFe2601 is 5526, up 26 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 118,520 and an open interest of 158,005; SiFe2605 has a closing price of 5604, up 38, a trading volume of 2,227, and an open interest of 8,437. For manganese ferroalloy, MnSi2601 has a closing price of 5794, up 22, a trading volume of 161,410, and an open interest of 350,214; MnSi2605 has a closing price of 5846, up 30, a trading volume of 11,640, and an open interest of 42,056 [1]. - **Spot Data**: The price of silicon ferroalloy FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia is 5250 yuan/ton, silicon manganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia is 5650 yuan/ton (down 10 yuan/ton from the previous day), manganese ore Mn44 block is 39.8 yuan/ton - degree, and semi - coke small material in Shenmu is 760 yuan/ton [1]. - **Spread Data**: The spot - January futures spread of silicon ferroalloy is - 276 yuan/ton (down 26 yuan/ton), that of manganese ferroalloy is - 144 yuan/ton (down 32 yuan/ton). The near - far month spread of silicon ferroalloy (SiFe2601 - 2605) is - 78 yuan/ton (down 12 yuan/ton), and that of manganese ferroalloy (MnSi2601 - 2605) is - 52 yuan/ton (down 8 yuan/ton). The cross - variety spread of MnSi2601 - SiFe2601 is 268 yuan/ton (down 4 yuan/ton), and that of MnSi2605 - SiFe2605 is 242 yuan/ton (down 8 yuan/ton) [1]. Macroeconomic and Industry News - **Price Information**: On November 3, 2025, the price of 72 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi is 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Ningxia is 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton (down 50 yuan/ton), in Qinghai is 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan/ton), in Gansu is 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia is 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan/ton). The price of 75 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan/ton), in Ningxia is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton, in Qinghai is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton, in Gansu is 5700 - 5800 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton (down 50 yuan/ton). The FOB price of 72 silicon ferroalloy is 1030 - 1050 dollars/ton, and 75 is 1110 - 1130 dollars/ton (down 10 dollars/ton). The northern quotation of 6517 silicon manganese is 5550 - 5650 yuan/ton (down 25 yuan/ton), and the southern quotation is 5600 - 5700 yuan/ton [1]. - **Electricity Price and Market**: In October 2025, the electricity price for silicon ferroalloy production in Qinghai was settled. The off - peak electricity price is 0.375 - 0.42 yuan/kWh, and the full - load electricity price is 0.43 - 0.44 yuan/kWh, up 3 - 6 cents, resulting in an inverted cost situation. The futures market opened lower and rose slightly, and the factory market price in the morning was relatively stable [1]. - **Production Forecast**: From January to October 2025, the total production of silicon manganese was about 9.0396 million tons, with 6517 silicon manganese accounting for 88.4% of the total. The production from April to June was at a low level, and it has rebounded significantly since July. It is expected that the production of 6517 silicon manganese will continue to increase from November to December, and the monthly production may exceed 900,000 tons. The production and proportion of medium - and high - silicon silicon manganese are slowly rising, mainly due to new production capacity and the conversion from 6517 production. The demand for special medium - silicon silicon manganese from downstream stainless - steel mills has increased significantly [3]. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of silicon ferroalloy is 0, and that of manganese ferroalloy is 0, indicating a neutral view. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [4].
硅铁:板块情绪与供需扰动,弱势震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-03 03:51
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry investment rating [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - Silicon ferroalloy and manganese ferroalloy are expected to experience weak and volatile trends due to sector sentiment and supply - demand disturbances [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Contents a. Fundamental Data Tracking - **Futures Data**: For silicon ferroalloy futures, SiFe2601 closed at 5500 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 151,902 and an open interest of 163,466; SiFe2605 closed at 5566 yuan/ton, down 82 yuan, with a trading volume of 1,745 and an open interest of 7,516. For manganese ferroalloy futures, MnSi2601 closed at 5772 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan, with a trading volume of 218,323 and an open interest of 352,439; MnSi2605 closed at 5816 yuan/ton, down 74 yuan, with a trading volume of 13,655 and an open interest of 39,646 [1] - **Spot Data**: The price of silicon ferroalloy (FeSi75 - B) in Inner Mongolia was 5250 yuan/ton; the price of silicon - manganese (FeMn65Si17) in Inner Mongolia was 5660 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan. The price of manganese ore (Mn44 block) was 39.8 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of semi - coke (small material) in Shenmu was 760 yuan/ton [1] - **Price Difference Data**: The spot - futures price difference for silicon ferroalloy (spot - 01 futures) was - 250 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan; for manganese ferroalloy, it was - 112 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan. The near - far month price difference for silicon ferroalloy (SiFe2601 - 2605) was - 66 yuan/ton, and for manganese ferroalloy (MnSi2601 - 2605) was - 44 yuan/ton. The cross - variety price difference for MnSi2601 - SiFe2601 was 272 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; for MnSi2605 - SiFe2605 was 250 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan [1] b. Macro and Industry News - **Product Price Information**: On October 31st, the price of 72 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi was 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5250 - 5300 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton (+25), in Gansu 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton. The price of 75 silicon ferroalloy in Shaanxi was 5700 - 5800 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5700 - 5800 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5750 - 5800 yuan/ton. The FOB price of 72 silicon ferroalloy was 1030 - 1050 dollars/ton, and 75 was 1110 - 1130 dollars/ton (-10). The northern quotation of 6517 silicon - manganese was 5600 - 5650 yuan/ton (+50), and the southern quotation was 5600 - 5700 yuan/ton [1] - **Production Information**: In October, the production of manganese ferroalloy factories in Ningxia was basically unchanged, with individual factories switching from high - silicon silicon - manganese to 6517 at the end of the month, having little impact on production. The total production of silicon - manganese in Ningxia was about 21.07 million tons, of which 6517 production was about 19.97 million tons. In Inner Mongolia, some factories reduced production or switched production at the end of the month, while some resumed production after the National Day, with overall production still showing a slight increase. The total production of silicon - manganese in Inner Mongolia in October was about 45.48 million tons, of which 6517 production was about 36.53 million tons. In October, there were 77 silicon ferroalloy enterprises in production nationwide, with 249 submerged arc furnaces in operation. The average monthly start - up rate of silicon ferroalloy in October was 50.83%, a slight decrease of 0.05% compared to September. The production was expected to be 48.9 million tons, an increase of 1.02 million tons compared to September, a growth rate of 2.13%, and a decrease of 0.55 million tons compared to the same period last year, a year - on - year decrease of 1.11%. From January to October 2025, the cumulative production was 459.6 million tons, an increase of 1.71 million tons compared to the same period last year, a growth rate of 0.37% [1][3] - **Inventory Information**: As of this Friday, the manganese ore inventory at Tianjin Port was 377.64 million tons, a decrease of 0.65 million tons from the previous period; at Qinzhou Port, it was 47.77 million tons, a decrease of 8.76 million tons; at Caofeidian Port, it was 0 million tons with no inbound or outbound manganese ore this week; at Fangchenggang Port, it was 0.2 million tons, a decrease of 0.4 million tons. As of October 31st, the total manganese ore inventory was 425.61 million tons, a decrease of 9.81 million tons from the previous period [3] c. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of silicon ferroalloy is 0, and that of manganese ferroalloy is also 0, indicating a neutral outlook [4]
硅铁:主产区报价松动,宽幅震荡,锰硅,锰矿港口报价下移,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-15 02:26
Group 1: Investment Ratings - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report Group 2: Core Views - The main产区 of ferrosilicon has seen a loosening in quotes, and it is in a wide - range shock. The port quotes of manganese ore for silicomanganese have moved down, and it is also in a wide - range shock [1] - The trend strength of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese is both 0, indicating a neutral view [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking Futures - Ferrosilicon 2511 closed at 5378, down 28 from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 92,807 and an open interest of 74,528. Ferrosilicon 2601 closed at 5322, down 46, with a trading volume of 87,575 and an open interest of 173,437. Silicomanganese 2511 closed at 5726, down 8, with a trading volume of 8,789 and an open interest of 21,570. Silicomanganese 2601 closed at 5738, down 8, with a trading volume of 133,881 and an open interest of 382,892 [1] Spot - The price of ferrosilicon FeSi75 - B in Inner Mongolia was 5150 yuan/ton, down 50. The price of silicomanganese FeMn65Si17 in Inner Mongolia was 5650 yuan/ton. The price of manganese ore Mn44 block was 39.8 yuan/ton - degree, down 0.2. The price of small - sized semi - coke in Shenmu was 710 yuan/ton [1] Price Differences - The basis of ferrosilicon (spot - 11 futures) was - 228 yuan/ton, down 22. The basis of silicomanganese (spot - 01 futures) was - 88 yuan/ton, up 8. The near - far month spread of ferrosilicon 2511 - 2601 was 56 yuan/ton, up 18. The near - far month spread of silicomanganese 2511 - 2601 was - 12 yuan/ton, unchanged. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2511 - ferrosilicon 2511 was 348 yuan/ton, up 20. The cross - variety spread of silicomanganese 2601 - ferrosilicon 2601 was 416 yuan/ton, up 38 [1] 2. Macro and Industry News - On October 13, the price of 72 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi was 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5100 - 5200 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton, and in Inner Mongolia 5200 - 5250 yuan/ton (down 50). The price of 75 ferrosilicon in Shaanxi was 5950 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Ningxia 5900 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Qinghai 5900 - 6000 yuan/ton, in Gansu 5850 - 5950 yuan/ton (down 50), and in Inner Mongolia 5950 - 6000 yuan/ton (down 50). The FOB price of 72 ferrosilicon was 1040 - 1050 US dollars/ton (down 10), and that of 75 was 1110 - 1140 US dollars/ton (down 10). The northern quote of 6517 silicomanganese was 5600 - 5700 yuan/ton, and the southern quote was 5650 - 5750 yuan/ton [1] - The spot price of manganese ore at Tianjin Port: Australian block Mn46% was quoted at 41 - 41.5 yuan/ton - degree (down 0.5), with a transaction price of around 41; Australian block Mn42% was quoted at 39.5 - 40 yuan/ton - degree (down 0.5), with a transaction price of around 39.5; South African block was quoted at 34 - 34.5 yuan/ton - degree, with a transaction price of around 34; Gabonese block was quoted at 40 - 40.5 yuan/ton - degree, with a transaction price of around 40. The manganese ore market is mainly affected by macro sentiment and downstream procurement rhythm. China's special port charges on US vessels have officially taken effect, but the proportion of vessels built or operated by the US in imported manganese ore vessels is relatively small [1][3]
硅铁:资金情绪博弈,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 01:46
Report Summary Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoint - The market for silicon iron and manganese silicon is characterized by capital - sentiment games and wide - range fluctuations [1]. Detailed Summaries Macro and Industry News - On September 23, the price range of 72 silicon iron was 5200 - 5300 yuan/ton in Shaanxi, 5400 - 5450 yuan/ton in Ningxia, etc.; 75 silicon iron prices increased, with a 20 - dollar/ton increase in FOB price for 75. Silicon manganese 6517 had different price changes in the north and south. The northern price was 5650 - 5750 yuan/ton (-50), and the southern price was 5750 - 5800 yuan/ton (+50) [1]. - Zhongtian Iron and Steel in Changzhou set the silicon iron purchase price at 5850 yuan/ton, 50 yuan/ton lower than the previous round, with a quantity of 600 tons [1]. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of silicon iron is 0, and that of manganese silicon is also 0 [1]. Fundamental Data - For silicon iron futures contracts: the closing price of SiFe2511 was 5698 with a change of 5 compared to the previous trading day, and the volume was 244,716 with a position of 187,402; for SiFe2601, the closing price was 5666 with a change of 2, volume of 67,451, and position of 101,301 [2]. - For manganese silicon futures contracts: the closing price of MnSi2511 was 5864 with a change of 14 compared to the previous trading day, and the volume was 89,016 with a position of 93,273; for MnSi2601, the closing price was 5882 with a change of 12, volume of 246,470, and position of 335,174 [2]. - The spot - futures price differences, near - far month price differences, and cross - variety price differences for silicon iron and manganese silicon are also provided in the report [2].