错失恐惧症(FOMO)

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“短期内没人会说估值过高!”,投资者热议“阿里FOMO”
华尔街见闻· 2025-10-03 10:50
在人工智能热潮的推动下,阿里巴巴今年上演了市值激增2500亿美元的反弹,这正引发投资界日益强烈的 "错失恐惧症"(FOMO) 情绪,但基金经理们认为 该股仍有进一步上涨空间。 AI支出推动云计算业务高速增长 阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭上周表示, 公司计划扩大此前制定的未来三年530亿美元AI投资预算, 尽管未提供具体数字。相比之下,美国四大云服务商预计仅今年就 将投入超过3440亿美元,主要用于AI数据中心建设。 这一AI转型策略已初见成效。阿里云在最新季度实现26%的收入增长,成为集团增长最快的业务单元。Aberdeen Investments投资经理Bush Chu表示: "如果中国公司能继续展现强大的AI能力和持续的盈利增长,全球投资者会注意到。" Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management基金经理Xiadong Bao认为,与美国目标丰富的环境不同, 阿里巴巴是中国少数几家同时拥有世界领先大语言模 型、AI芯片获取能力、云基础设施经验和数据丰富核心业务的公司之一。 阿里巴巴已成为中国AI投资的代表。香港交易所数据显示, 截至9月30日,境内投资者持有阿里巴巴股份的比例从一个月 ...
“短期内没人会说估值过高!”,投资者热议“阿里FOMO”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-03 04:18
AI支出推动云计算业务高速增长 阿里巴巴CEO吴泳铭上周表示,公司计划扩大此前制定的未来三年530亿美元AI投资预算,尽管未提供 具体数字。相比之下,美国四大云服务商预计仅今年就将投入超过3440亿美元,主要用于AI数据中心 建设。 这一AI转型策略已初见成效。阿里云在最新季度实现26%的收入增长,成为集团增长最快的业务单元。 Aberdeen Investments投资经理Bush Chu表示: 在人工智能热潮的推动下,阿里巴巴今年上演了市值激增2500亿美元的反弹,这正引发投资界日益强烈 的"错失恐惧症"(FOMO)情绪,但基金经理们认为该股仍有进一步上涨空间。 阿里港股上周五逆市上涨1.7%,创下自2021年8月以来的新高。尽管股价大幅上涨,阿里巴巴仍较历史 高点低65%以上,而美国主要科技巨头股价已接近峰值。 投资者普遍认为,相对吸引人的估值水平和全球基金的低配置为股价持续上涨留下空间。GAM Investment Management的基金经理Jian Shi Cortesi表示,她预计全球基金的低配状况将会改变: "而股价的强劲反弹也可能加剧这种(追涨)情绪"。 "如果中国公司能继续展现强大的AI ...
研究揭示:美国企业“FOMO”驱动下的AI应用,多数项目无效
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 15:34
FT记者分析了数百份企业文件,包括递交给美国证监会的公告、强制性信息披露以及高管与投资人的电话会议记录。结果显示,500家企业中有超过400 家提及AI,科技公司如微软、亚马逊和Meta更是大举投入,仅今年已宣布数千亿美元投资,用于模型开发和基础设施建设。但在许多传统行业,AI的应 用案例显得肤浅,例如可口可乐仅在一次财报发布会上提到利用AI制作电视广告。 风险和质疑同样存在。企业担忧AI在训练过程中使用了受版权保护的内容,可能引发法律纠纷。此外,数据保护和信息安全问题也频频被提及。 FT援引一位咨询顾问的话指出,很多企业并非因战略需要而采用AI,而是因担心竞争对手更快行动。 来源:市场资讯 (来源:DOLC) 据《金融时报》(FT)调查显示,美国标普500指数中的大多数企业如今都在讨论人工智能(AI),不仅是科技巨头,甚至饮料、服装和军工企业也纷纷 涉足。然而,许多公司无法明确说明AI带来的具体价值,更多是出于"错失恐惧症"(Fear of Missing Out,FOMO)的心理,担心被竞争对手甩在后面。 来自麻省理工学院(MIT)的最新研究则更为直白:平均95%的生成式AI试点项目(如类ChatGPT的 ...
AI投资者的警告:对AI的“错失恐惧症”正在催生巨大泡沫
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-28 12:22
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) in Silicon Valley as a mechanism that is accelerating the AI investment bubble, driven by investor fear of missing out (FOMO) on lucrative opportunities in the AI sector [3][6][11]. Group 1: SPV Mechanism and Market Dynamics - SPVs are legal entities created for specific investment purposes, allowing investors to pool funds to invest in high-demand tech companies, particularly in AI [3][6]. - The valuation of leading AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic has surged to hundreds of billions, leading to a rapid expansion of a parallel market composed of numerous temporary SPVs [3][6]. - SPVs lower the investment threshold for retail investors, enabling them to purchase fractional shares of popular AI companies, but this can also inflate valuations in an opaque manner [3][6][11]. Group 2: Risks and Warnings from AI Companies - Major AI firms, including OpenAI and Anthropic, have issued warnings about unauthorized SPVs that may lack economic value, urging investors to exercise caution [5][6]. - Investors have raised concerns about the complexity and high fees associated with SPVs, which can lead to significant financial risks for inexperienced investors [8][9][10]. Group 3: Fee Structures and Investor Awareness - The fee structures of SPVs can be convoluted, with multiple layers of management fees that can reach as high as 20%, significantly reducing potential returns for investors [8][9]. - Many investors, particularly those with financial backgrounds, are drawn to SPVs without fully understanding the associated costs and risks, often prioritizing access to popular companies over due diligence [9][10]. Group 4: Broader Implications and Future Concerns - The proliferation of SPVs has raised concerns about the potential for a bubble in the AI sector, with investors rushing to capitalize on high valuations without adequate understanding of the underlying risks [11][12]. - The article suggests that if general artificial intelligence (AGI) does not materialize soon, the industry may face a significant downturn, impacting those who invested heavily in SPVs [12].
美国科技“三巨头”,这次赚麻了
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-03 23:17
Group 1: Core Insights - The emergence of ChatGPT has initiated a significant AI competition among major tech companies, leading to substantial profit growth after heavy capital expenditures [1][4] - Major companies like Google, Microsoft, and Meta reported impressive earnings, with Google achieving $96.428 billion in revenue (up 13.8%) and $28.196 billion in net profit (up 19.4%) in Q2 [1][5] - Microsoft reported $76.44 billion in revenue (up 18%) and $27.2 billion in net profit (up 24%) for Q4, with its intelligent cloud business revenue reaching $29.88 billion (up 26%) [1][5] - Meta's Q2 revenue was $47.52 billion (up 22%) with a net profit of $18.34 billion (up 36%) [1][5] Group 2: Capital Expenditure Trends - Companies are significantly increasing their AI investments, with Google planning $85 billion in capital expenditures for 2025, a $10 billion increase from previous estimates [2][3] - Microsoft anticipates over $30 billion in capital expenditures for Q1 of FY2026, a more than 50% increase from prior expectations [2][3] - Meta's capital expenditure plan for the year is between $66 billion and $72 billion, with expectations for significant growth in 2026 [2][3] Group 3: AI Infrastructure and Talent - The increase in capital expenditure is primarily aimed at AI infrastructure, including servers, networks, and data centers, as companies face a shortage of AI computing power [3] - Meta is also focusing on talent acquisition, with CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasizing the importance of hiring skilled personnel to support AI initiatives [3] Group 4: Monetization of AI - AI is beginning to generate revenue, with Google's Gemini application reaching 450 million monthly active users and a 50% increase in daily usage [4] - Microsoft reported that its Azure and other cloud services generated over $75 billion in revenue (up 34%) for FY2025, with 100 million monthly active users for its Copilot series [5] - Meta's operating profit margin reached 43% in Q2, largely due to AI efficiencies in its advertising system [5] Group 5: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The AI investment landscape is characterized by a "FOMO" (fear of missing out) mentality among tech giants, with companies feeling pressured to invest heavily to maintain competitive positions [7][8] - Analysts note that the AI sector is witnessing a "Matthew effect," where leading companies accumulate advantages that make it increasingly difficult for newcomers to compete [9] - Major tech companies are projected to invest over $350 billion in AI infrastructure this year, with expectations to exceed $400 billion by 2026 [10]