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企业信心不减 :申万期货早间评论-20251126
申银万国期货研究· 2025-11-26 00:46
Group 1 - The State Council will hold a press conference on November 27 to discuss policies aimed at enhancing the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, and promoting consumption [1] - From January to October, China's total foreign direct investment reached $144.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, while new contracts for foreign engineering projects amounted to $210.7 billion, up 18.6% year-on-year [1] - A-share buyback amounts have exceeded 130 billion yuan this year, marking the second-highest level in history, with over 100 companies doubling their stock prices after implementing buybacks [1] Group 2 - The U.S. stock indices rose, with the communication and media sectors leading the gains, while defense and transportation sectors lagged [2] - The financing balance decreased by 2.88 billion yuan to 2.4423 trillion yuan on November 24, indicating cautious market sentiment as the year-end approaches [2] - The "Fifteen Five" plan continues to focus on technological self-reliance, suggesting that the technology sector remains a long-term investment direction [2] Group 3 - Palm oil inventories continue to accumulate, with a 16.4% month-on-month decrease in Malaysian palm oil exports expected for November 1-25 [3] - The domestic supply of rapeseed oil is under pressure due to increased raw material supply, leading to price declines [3] - Rubber prices are expected to fluctuate as supply pressures emerge from overseas production, while domestic production transitions to the off-season [3] Group 4 - The National Space Administration has issued a plan to promote the high-quality and safe development of commercial aerospace from 2025 to 2027, establishing a national commercial aerospace development fund [8]
中国10月PPI环比年内首次上涨 :申万期货早间评论-20251110
申银万国期货研究· 2025-11-10 01:01
重点品种: 焦煤、欧线、铜 集运欧线:上周五EC下跌1.79%,12合约收于1812点。盘后公布的SCFI欧线为1323美元/TEU,周度环比下降21美元/TEU,基本对应于11.10-11.16期间的 欧线订舱价,反映11月第二周欧线船司尤其是PA联盟运价的下调。周三盘后,马士基公布第47周开舱价,大柜报价2250美元,环比仅小幅上涨50美元, 由于马士基未能如期在11月下半月进一步挺价,年底旺季空间收窄。以今年的货量和运力供给来看,本来市场预期的挺价节奏是11月上半月、11月下半月 以及12月上半月各挺价一次,但目前马士基使得挺价节奏和幅度均不及预期。弱现实下,船司挺价提涨力度有限,尽管马士基同步发布12月涨价函,但旺 季空间受到压制,或已无可博弈的空间,关注后续运价拐点。 双焦:上周五夜盘双焦盘面走势偏弱,焦煤持仓量环比下降。上周钢联数据显示,五大材产量周环比下降,热卷总库存环比小幅增加、螺纹总库存环比下 降,五大材表需环比降幅明显,需求淡季特征出现。上周钢厂盈利率进一步降至40%以下,铁水产量延续下滑趋势,双焦需求环比继续走弱,目前钢材的 弱现实、低利润将制约煤价上行空间,判断短期盘面高位震荡,关注后 ...
又一公募基金老将,卸任
中国基金报· 2025-09-07 09:43
【导读】融通基金邹曦卸任其管理的基金产品 中国基金报记者 方丽 又有一位公募"老将"出现人事变动。 日前,融通基金公告称 ,邹曦卸任其管理的基金产品,交由李进、何龙、万民远、程越楷等多位中生代基金经理接棒。 邹曦是行业内老将,投资生涯已超24年,他自2001年加盟融通基金之后,职位从行业分析师、宏观策略分析师、基金管理部总监、研究部 总监,到现任权益投资总监,始终在融通基金,直到卸任前都长期站在投资一线。 业内人士猜测,一次性卸任所有在管基金,邹曦有可能将离开融通 基金 。 邹曦卸任所管理基金 中生代基金经理接棒 融通基金发布的四则公告显示,邹曦卸任其管理的基金产品。 从业超24年老将 在人员流动频繁的基金行业,目前投资年限超过10年且始终站在投资一线的仅十余人,邹曦正是其中一员。 从2001年入行至今,经过24年的摸爬滚打,邹曦形成了自己的投资体系——产业趋势投资体系,其组合管理原则是"一般情况下Alpha,极 端情况下有限的Beta"。 邹曦对"周期"研究颇深,曾常常发出"把所有的股票都当作周期对待"的感慨。他还表示,产业趋势的驱动力可以分为三类,即社会体系变 革、经济体制改进和技术进步,相关产业趋势的分 ...