开源证券近日发布基础化工行业点评报告：据隆众资讯数据，截至11月19日，中国一代、二代生物柴油 FOB价格分别为1,165、1,900美元/吨，分别较2025年年初+11%、+24%。2025年以来，受终端需求增长 带动，生物柴油价格稳步增长。 RED III法案取消UCO双倍降碳政策，生柴需求有望增加 2026年欧盟将逐步执行RED III法案，其较RED II提高了2030年降碳目标，将可再生能源消费占比目标 从32%提高到至少42.5%；交通领域可再生能源占比目标从14%提高至29%；取消对UCO为原料生产生 物柴油双倍降碳的政策。换言之，2026年开始欧盟提高碳排放目标，对生物柴油，尤其是二代生物柴油 需求增加。同时取消UCO双倍降碳政策，生物柴油以及UCO的需求量将接近翻倍的增长。据USDA数据 及我们测算，2025年预计欧盟以UCO为原料生产的生物柴油需求量为374万吨，RED III法案落地后需求 量或将至少再增加400万吨。 受益标的：卓越新能、海新能科、嘉澳环保、山高环能等。 风险提示：政策推进不及预期、原材料价格大幅上涨、技术进步不及预期等。（开源证券 金益腾,宋梓 荣,李思佳） 以下为研 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities highlights the increasing demand for biodiesel in China and globally, driven by terminal demand growth and regulatory changes, particularly the implementation of the RED III directive in the EU starting in 2026 [1][4]. Domestic Market Developments - The first domestic B5 biodiesel injection for internal trade was completed on November 20, marking a significant step in the use of biodiesel in domestic shipping [2][3]. - The Ministry of Commerce's recent policy supports the blending of domestic biodiesel with marine fuel oil, which is expected to enhance the domestic biodiesel market [2]. International Market Trends - The "IMO net-zero framework" is anticipated to increase the demand for biodiesel, with projections indicating that Singapore's marine fuel injection could require millions of tons of biodiesel by 2030 [3]. - China's bonded marine fuel injection is expected to reach 1,988 million tons in 2024, with a potential increase of nearly 400 million tons in biodiesel demand if 20% biodiesel is blended [3]. Regulatory Changes in the EU - The RED III directive will raise the renewable energy consumption target in the EU from 32% to at least 42.5% by 2030, significantly increasing the demand for biodiesel, especially second-generation biodiesel [4]. - The removal of the double carbon reduction policy for used cooking oil (UCO) is expected to nearly double the demand for biodiesel and UCO in the EU [4]. Beneficiary Companies - Companies likely to benefit from these trends include Zhuoyue New Energy (688196.SH), Haineng Technology (300072.SZ), Jiaao Environmental Protection (603822.SZ), and Shanggou Environmental Energy (000803.SZ) [5].

数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-11 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《生物柴油供需持续偏紧,坚定看好产 业景气上行趋势—行业点评报告》 -2025.11.20 《"反内卷"为盾，需求为矛，化工有 望迎来新一轮景气周期—行业投资策 略》-2025.11.18 《有机硅、聚酯、己内酰胺反内卷持 续推进，硫磷、电新材料产业链价格 延续上涨—行业周报》-2025.11.16 基础化工 2025 年 11 月 21 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 国内首单内贸 B5 生柴加注，生物船燃需求前景可期 ——行业点评报告 | 金益腾（分析师） | 宋梓荣（分析师） | 李思佳（分析师） | | --- | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn | songzirong@kysec.cn | lisijia@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 | 证书编号：S0790525070002 | 证书编号：S0790525070006 | 生物船燃加注增加及欧盟 RED ...

NESTE预计在2025年4季度对鹿特丹工厂、12月对新加坡工厂均进行为期6周的检修。虽然近期我国SAF 出口白名单企业新增了三家，但从能出口到实现销售仍需要一段时间。截至10月，英国SAF添加比例为 1.6%，较2%的添加目标仍有差距。因此随着年底欧盟、英国对其2%的SAF添加比例进行核查, SAF供需 持续偏紧。新加坡民航局宣布自2026年4月起对所有从新加坡出发的航班乘客与货运征收"可持续航空燃 料(SAF)附加费"，并设立2026年SAF添加1%、2030年添加3%-5%的目标。 2026年，欧盟将逐步执行RED III法案，多数欧盟生产商可能会选择优先考虑生产HVO而不是SAF。中 国SAF成本优势显著，竞争力充足。进入2027年CORSIA要求成员国家强制推出SAF掺混比例，2050年 实现航空业净零排放。目前全球航空煤油需求3亿吨，假设2027年全球平均添加1%的SAF，再考虑欧 盟、英国添加2%的SAF，2027年SAF全球需求将达到300-400万吨。IATA预计2050年SAF全球需求达到4 亿吨。 生物柴油：欧盟可再生能源法案III执行及船燃加注增加，需求有望持续增加 智通财经APP获悉 ...

Core Viewpoint - Green development is essential for high-quality development in China, emphasizing the coordinated advancement of carbon reduction, pollution reduction, greening, and economic growth as a pathway to achieve comprehensive green transformation and build a beautiful China [1] Group 1: Progress and Achievements - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, various regions have explored collaborative paths tailored to local conditions, achieving significant progress in ecological environment restoration, with improvements in air quality, water quality, and land conditions [2] - The integration of ecology and industry has expanded, establishing the world's largest carbon emissions trading market and accelerating the promotion of eco-environmental development models [2] - China leads globally in clean energy technology and equipment, holding over 40% of global patents, with continuous advancements in solar conversion efficiency and offshore wind power capacity [2] Group 2: Challenges and Long-term Goals - The efficient coordination of carbon reduction, pollution reduction, greening, and economic growth is a long-term endeavor, with persistent challenges due to high energy consumption and carbon emissions in the industrial structure [2] - There are significant regional disparities in energy endowments, industrial structures, economic development levels, and pollution and carbon emissions, complicating task allocation and coordination [2] Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - Strengthening top-level design by establishing a unified strategic goal system that emphasizes the synergistic benefits and comprehensive performance of carbon peak, pollution reduction, and forest coverage [3] - Optimizing implementation paths by using carbon reduction as a central focus, promoting pollution reduction to facilitate carbon reduction, and enhancing ecological restoration through greening efforts [3] - Developing new growth points through ecological industrialization and industry ecology, supported by green technology and finance, to expand employment channels in sectors like new energy vehicles and circular economy [3] Group 4: Institutional Framework - Establishing a robust legal framework and unified environmental policy standards tailored to regional characteristics, clarifying collaborative governance methods and legal responsibilities [4] - Increasing financial investment in green and low-carbon sectors, guiding resources towards green projects through various financial instruments [4] - Reforming evaluation mechanisms to incorporate the completion of collaborative tasks into the performance evaluation system of governments at all levels [4]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has proposed a system to set renewable energy non-electric consumption ratios for energy users, which includes green hydrogen and methanol consumption. This policy is expected to effectively promote the green transformation of high-energy-consuming industries, particularly in steel and chemical sectors, leading to a new growth phase in the industry [1][2][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Implementation - The NDRC released a draft implementation plan for renewable energy consumption minimum ratio targets, which includes establishing a regulatory framework for non-electric renewable energy consumption [2][3]. - The plan sets two types of consumption ratio targets: one for renewable energy electricity consumption and another for non-electric consumption [3]. - The energy authorities will monitor and evaluate the implementation of these targets, ensuring compliance and establishing a transition period [3]. Impact on Industries - The inclusion of hydrogen and methanol consumption in the non-electric consumption ratio marks a significant policy shift, addressing structural issues in high-energy and high-carbon industries that struggle to reduce carbon emissions through renewable electricity alone [4]. - Green hydrogen can effectively replace carbon-intensive processes in industries like steelmaking, where traditional methods produce significant CO2 emissions [4]. - In the chemical sector, green hydrogen-derived products like green ammonia and green methanol can reduce reliance on fossil fuels, thus lowering carbon emissions during production [4]. Investment Opportunities - Companies involved in the production of electrolyzers, which convert green electricity into green hydrogen, are expected to benefit from this policy shift [2]. - Investors should focus on firms that are signing sales agreements with downstream customers or those that are leading in green methanol project investments and process innovations [2]. - The policy is likely to create opportunities for companies with cost advantages in green methanol and biogas synthesis processes [2].

Core Insights - China has become the world's largest automobile exporter, with significant changes in the nature of exports and imports, particularly concerning carbon emissions and regulations [1] - The global focus on carbon emissions is driven by international agreements like the Paris Agreement and various national strategies, including China's dual carbon goals and the EU's carbon footprint regulations [1] Group 1: EU Regulations - The EU has implemented a battery regulation that mandates carbon footprint assessments for battery products, effective from 2023, which includes lifecycle carbon footprint calculations [4] - The regulation categorizes batteries into five types, each with specific requirements, and prohibits the sale of products exceeding carbon footprint limits in the EU market [4] Group 2: Japan's Policies - Japan has introduced a carbon footprint disclosure policy for power batteries, requiring manufacturers to disclose carbon emissions to qualify for government subsidies [6] - This phased approach aims to align with EU regulations, facilitating the sale of Japanese vehicles in the EU market [6] Group 3: US Legislation - The US Clean Competition Act imposes carbon fees on high-emission goods, including potential future inclusion of the battery industry, which could impact production costs [7][8] - The act aims to create a competitive advantage for cleaner products and encourage global carbon reduction efforts [7] Group 4: CBAM Mechanism - The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will require importers to report carbon emissions and potentially pay for emissions exceeding EU quotas starting in 2026 [9][10] - CBAM aims to equalize carbon costs between imported goods and local products, reducing carbon leakage and ensuring fair competition [9] Group 5: Industry Implications - The battery industry faces challenges due to diverse regulations across regions, which may complicate compliance for Chinese automobile exports [8][11] - The increasing focus on carbon footprint management in the battery sector may lead to future carbon tariffs, impacting cross-border manufacturing costs [11]

Core Viewpoint - The eighth meeting of the China-Kazakhstan Entrepreneur Committee resulted in a strategic cooperation agreement between China Tianchen Engineering Co., Ltd. and Kazakhstan's ERG Group, focusing on comprehensive collaboration in four key areas: carbon reduction, pollution reduction, green expansion, and growth [2][3] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The strategic cooperation agreement signifies a full-chain closed loop from project implementation to business expansion and strategic collaboration between Tianchen and ERG [2] - The partnership aims to create a model of economic and ecological benefits through technological innovation, systematic governance, and the implementation of ecological projects [2] Group 2: Project Highlights - Tianchen has been active in Kazakhstan since 2010, undertaking significant projects such as the AES power station and the integrated oil and chemical project, contributing to local economic and social development [3] - The 80MW flue gas power generation project is the first collaboration between Tianchen and ERG, utilizing flue gas recycling technology to save approximately 200 million standard cubic meters of natural gas annually and reduce CO2 emissions by 320,000 tons [3] - The project exemplifies energy cascading utilization and helps lower electricity costs for ERG, supporting Kazakhstan's energy conservation and emission reduction goals [3] Group 3: Future Commitment - Tianchen plans to enhance resource investment in Kazakhstan and deepen cooperation in industrial investment, project construction, resource energy, and infrastructure [3] - The company aims to contribute to Kazakhstan's economic development and strengthen the friendship between China and Kazakhstan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant transformation in Henan's development trajectory towards a low-carbon economy, emphasizing the integration of clean energy, green transportation, and low-carbon lifestyle practices as part of a broader strategy for high-quality development [1]. Energy Structure Optimization - The Qinghai-Henan ±800 kV UHVDC project has transmitted over 700 billion kWh of clean energy from Qinghai to Henan since 2020, reducing coal consumption by 22.32 million tons [2]. - Henan's electricity grid has become a crucial hub for national energy distribution, with a capacity to deliver over 20 million kW, meeting about 25% of the province's load demand [2]. Renewable Energy Development - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, Henan's renewable energy installed capacity has surpassed 85 million kW, a 162% increase from 2020, achieving over 100 billion kWh in annual generation and over 50% in installed capacity share [3]. - The share of coal in primary energy consumption has decreased, while non-fossil energy consumption has risen to 18%, an increase of approximately 7 percentage points since 2020 [3]. Green Transportation Initiatives - The launch of the "Yujiaotou 001" electric smart cargo ship marks a significant step in the electrification of inland shipping, reducing carbon emissions by over 90% and cutting fuel costs by 85% [4]. - Henan is actively promoting clean transportation, with initiatives like "road-to-rail" and "road-to-water" logistics, resulting in 189,000 TEUs sent via rail-sea intermodal transport and over 100,000 TEUs handled at inland ports [4]. Advocacy for Low-Carbon Lifestyle - The introduction of a carbon reduction certification program has led to the issuance of certificates for 3,560 projects, resulting in a total CO2 reduction of 1,266.4 tons, equivalent to the carbon sequestration of approximately 3,286 acres of forest [5]. - Public engagement in low-carbon practices is increasing, with initiatives such as waste sorting and the use of reusable shopping bags becoming more common among residents [6]. Environmental Conservation Efforts - Henan has implemented energy-saving standards for all new buildings, achieving a 32% reduction in per capita energy consumption in public institutions compared to 2020 [6]. - The province has successfully reduced energy consumption per unit of GDP by 15%, surpassing national targets ahead of schedule [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights Shanxi's commitment to low-carbon development strategies, showcasing significant advancements in carbon reduction efforts across various industries [1][2][3] - Jin Nan Steel Group has implemented a solar photovoltaic project that is expected to generate approximately 200 million kilowatt-hours annually, saving around 100 million yuan in electricity costs and reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 157,000 tons [1] - Shanxi has made progress in shutting down outdated coal-fired power units, completing over 70 million kilowatts of "three reforms" in coal power generation, and has transformed all 11 cities into national clean heating pilot cities, reducing coal burning by over 6 million tons annually [2] Group 2 - The province is actively promoting the construction of electric vehicle charging stations, with plans to build over 2,000 public charging piles in Jin City, reflecting a shift towards renewable energy consumption [2] - Shanxi is providing full subsidies for hydrogen truck tolls on highways and is developing the Taiyuan Wusu Zero Carbon Airport project, which aims for net-zero carbon emissions through renewable energy sources [3] - The industry in Dingxiang County is managing carbon footprints through comprehensive carbon accounting, achieving an annual reduction of approximately 29,000 tons of carbon dioxide emissions [3]