Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the green electricity sector, benefiting from the appreciation of green certificate values and high installation growth [1]. Core Insights - The report continues to recommend investment opportunities in green electricity operators against the backdrop of increasing green certificate values. In June 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 278 million green certificates, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%, involving 198,700 renewable energy projects, with 196 million being tradable certificates, accounting for 70.64% [4][6]. - Key industry data shows that in the first half of 2025, total electricity consumption reached 4.84 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The cumulative power generation was 4.54 trillion kWh, up 0.8% year-on-year, with significant growth in wind and solar power generation [4][13][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW public utility index fell by 1.84% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, with declines across various sectors including thermal power and solar energy [9]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 was 4.84 trillion kWh, with growth rates of 8.7% in the primary industry, 2.4% in the secondary industry, 7.1% in the tertiary industry, and 4.1% in urban and rural residential use [13]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in H1 2025 was 4.54 trillion kWh, with thermal and hydro power generation declining by 2.4% and 2.9% respectively, while wind and solar power generation increased by 11.1% and 18.3% [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average grid purchase price in July 2025 was 382 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month [36]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of August 1, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 663 RMB/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 21.91% but a week-on-week increase of 10 RMB/ton [46]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.66 meters as of August 1, 2025, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year declines of 49.02% and 44.94% respectively [57]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a continued trend of safe and orderly development in the nuclear sector [71]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in solar energy and charging stations, highlighting companies such as Longyuan Power, Zhongmin Energy, and China Nuclear Power as key recommendations [4].

Core Insights - The Chinese green certificate system has achieved significant breakthroughs in issuance, trading scale, and application scenarios, marking a rapid advancement in the marketization of green energy in China [1][2] - As of March 2023, China's renewable energy installed capacity reached 1.966 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 24%, accounting for 57.3% of the total installed capacity in the country and over 40% of the global renewable energy installed capacity [1] Group 1: Green Certificate System - The green certificate serves as a "green ID" for renewable energy electricity, with a comprehensive lifecycle management system established in China to ensure effective tracking of renewable energy production and usage [2] - In March 2023, the global green electricity consumption initiative RE100 fully recognized Chinese green certificates, enhancing their international recognition and influence [2][3] Group 2: Market Development Strategies - The Chinese government aims to create the world's largest green certificate market by improving the issuance and trading mechanisms, promoting distributed renewable energy projects, and ensuring stable market supply [2][3] - The government plans to expand application scenarios for green certificates, linking them with energy consumption responsibilities and carbon emission controls to stimulate consumer demand [3] - International cooperation will be strengthened to enhance global recognition of Chinese green certificates, including collaboration with the EU and organizations like RE100 [3][4]

Core Viewpoints - In the first half of 2025, the profitability of thermal power companies improved due to a decrease in coal prices from 765 RMB/ton to 621 RMB/ton, leading to an 11% recovery in stock prices since late January [4] - The thermal power sector is expected to see positive factors in electricity volume, price, and costs in 2025, indicating growth potential [4] - Hydropower and nuclear power sectors remain stable with strong cash flows and high dividend yields, while the deepening of domestic electricity reforms is likely to create diverse investment opportunities [4] Thermal Power - The comprehensive electricity price for thermal power is expected to remain stable in 2025, with coal prices trending downward, leading to further profit recovery in the industry [7] - It is recommended to focus on thermal power companies with smaller declines in electricity prices and lower proportions of long-term coal contracts [7] - The implementation of capacity pricing and auxiliary service income is expected to stabilize thermal power profitability [61] Hydropower - High dividend yields attract incremental capital, with the dividend yield of Changjiang Electric Power remaining between 3.2% and 4.4% from 2017 to 2024 [80] - The hydropower sector is expected to see growth due to the commissioning of new projects, with over 25 million kW of hydropower capacity under construction [73] Nuclear Power - The approval of 11 new nuclear units in 2024 marks a significant acceleration in nuclear project approvals, indicating a stable growth trajectory for the sector [82] - By the end of 2024, China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power have substantial capacities under construction, ensuring future growth [86] Renewable Energy - The installation of wind and solar power is expected to maintain high growth rates, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 1.41 billion kW by the end of 2024 [92] - The implementation of the 136 Document is expected to promote the full market entry of renewable energy, leading to a surge in installed capacity [99] Waste Incineration - The waste incineration sector is entering a mature phase, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both increasing by 18% year-on-year in 2024 [119] - Companies in this sector are expanding overseas, establishing a competitive advantage in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [122]

（来源：中国青年报客户端） 近日，国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证，RE100技术标准5.0版也有 相关调整。 对此，国家能源局新能源和可再生能源司副司长潘慧敏在该局4月28日举行的新闻发布 会上回应称，这是我国绿证制度体系不断完善、各方不懈努力取得的重大成果。 "RE100是国际上倡导绿色电力消费的非政府组织，在国际绿色电力消费领域影响力非常大。"潘慧敏表 示，RE100无条件认可中国绿证，一是有力彰显了中国绿证在国际社会的权威性、认可度和影响力，将 极大提振中国绿证消费的信心；二是RE100成员企业及其供应链企业将有更大意愿和积极性采购和使用 中国绿证，对中国绿证的需求也将进一步扩大；三是中国外贸企业、在华外资企业通过采购中国绿证， 将有效增强出口绿色竞争力，提升产业链供应链"含绿量"。 潘慧敏指出，我国已经构建基本完善的绿证制度体系，绿证核发也实现了全覆盖。下一步，国家能源局 将会同有关部门，继续加强与RE100的沟通交流，推动其出台中国绿证采购相关技术指南，更好服务中 国企业购买绿证；同时加强与主要贸易伙伴开展绿证相关交流沟通，加快推动绿证国际互认；还会持续 做好绿证宣传， ...

《洞见ESG》4月刊 ESG强制信披倒计时 政策速递 证监会发文规范A股ESG信披，这458家上市公司须做好准备 近日，证监会发布修订后的《上市公司信息披露管理办法》，第六十五条明确提出"上市公司按照证券 交易所的规定发布可持续发展报告"。该《信披办法》于2025年7月1日起正式施行。 【点击查看详 情】 铝冶炼纳入碳市场有何影响？2026年碳配额缺口或达34万吨，企业需尽快降低碳成本 铝冶炼纳入碳市场的管控范围与电力行业有所不同。电力行业只管控化石燃料燃烧排放，而新纳入的 铝冶炼行业，除了化石燃料燃烧排放，工业过程排放也纳入管控。 【点击查看详情】 1200家水泥企业将纳入全国碳市场，如何减碳？ 按照单吨水泥碳排放550kg计算，近十年我国水泥工业每年碳排放在11亿吨以上。纳入全国碳市场的水 泥企业或达1200家，目前企业减排压力不大，但预计三到五年内碳配额将收紧，减排成本将上升。 【点击查看详情】 全国碳市场首次扩围：纳入钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼行业，新增1500家重点排放单位 生态环境部发布《全国碳排放权交易市场覆盖钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼行业工作方案》。此次扩围后，预 计全国碳排放权交易市场重点排放单位将达到37 ...

RE100无条件认可中国绿证，是2023年以来我国绿证制度体系不断完善、各方不懈努力取得的重大成果。当前，我国已 经构建基本完善的绿证制度体系，绿证核发也实现了全覆盖。 近日，国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证。 这意味着什么？ 国家能源局新能源和可再生能源 司副司长潘慧敏28日在国家能源局例行新闻发布会上给出解答。 "RE100是国际上倡导绿色电力消费的非政府组织，在国际绿色电力消费领域影响力非常大。"潘慧敏说。 最近RE100在官网的常见问答中明确企业使用中国绿证不需要再提供额外证明，同时在其技术标准中明确绿色电力消费必须持 有绿证。 潘慧敏表示，下一步，国家能源局将会同有关部门，继续加强与RE100的沟通交流，推动其出台中国绿证采购相关技术指南， 更好服务中国企业购买绿证；加强与主要贸易伙伴开展绿证相关交流沟通，加快推动绿证国际互认；持续做好绿证宣传，开展 形式多样的政策宣介活动，为企业购买绿证、使用绿证答疑解难，做好服务。 （ 安娜） （来源：新华财经） 相 关 阅 读 央视新闻丨培育"绿证"市场 激发绿色电力消费需求 中丹绿色电力合作项目成果发布会暨绿色电力消费研讨会在京召 ...

Core Viewpoint - The development of green electricity and green certificate markets is essential for promoting a green and low-carbon energy structure, stimulating market vitality, guiding green consumption, and facilitating the green transformation of the economy and society [1][2]. Group 1: Green Electricity and Green Certificate Market Development - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments have issued guidelines to promote the high-quality development of the green electricity certificate market, focusing on stabilizing supply, stimulating demand, and improving mechanisms [1]. - The transition from passive compliance to active choice in green electricity consumption is encouraged, aiming to create a virtuous ecosystem where enterprises actively consume green electricity and collaborate across the supply chain [1]. Group 2: Mechanisms and Incentives - A combination of mandatory and voluntary green certificate consumption mechanisms is proposed, targeting high-energy-consuming and high-emission industries to enhance green electricity consumption [2]. - The establishment of a tiered green electricity consumption ratio is suggested, with support for companies exceeding their consumption targets through government purchases, subsidies, and tax incentives [1][2]. Group 3: Integration with Carbon Markets - The integration of green electricity and certificates with carbon markets and sustainable disclosure standards is emphasized, providing diverse pathways for achieving carbon neutrality [2]. - Companies are encouraged to include green certificate purchases in their ESG reports and to disclose their green electricity consumption progress [2]. Group 4: Financial Support for Green Electricity Consumption - The development of supply chain financial products based on green electricity consumption is advocated, including green electricity receivables financing and credit loans [3]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to offer preferential loan terms and establish green electricity consumption interest subsidy loans for qualifying enterprises [3]. Group 5: International Standards and Cooperation - Accelerating alignment with international green certificate standards is crucial, with a focus on enhancing the recognition of "Chinese green certificates" in global markets [4]. - The establishment of international green supply chain alliances is encouraged to set unified emission reduction goals and certification standards, facilitating collaborative carbon reduction efforts [4].