Group 1: Zero Carbon Park Development - The company is aligning its strategy with national policies supporting zero carbon park development, transitioning from "investment holding" to "investment holding + high-end services" [2][3] - A recent product launch introduced a comprehensive solution for zero carbon parks, featuring 40 high-value products across six series, marking a shift from project-based services to platform-based solutions [2][3] Group 2: New Business Developments - The company has obtained electricity trading qualifications in five southern provinces, with ongoing trading in Guangdong, projecting a stable operation and profitability in electricity trading by the end of 2025 [3][4] - The virtual power plant initiative has registered as one of the first ten operators in Guangdong, aggregating 146 MW capacity and achieving effective load responses totaling approximately 16 MWh [3][4] Group 3: Service and Energy Efficiency Initiatives - The company is advancing its "service doubling" and "energy efficiency doubling" initiatives, with new contracts in engineering and digital services amounting to approximately 493 million yuan [5][6] - The company has expanded its energy efficiency services, covering an additional 3.11 million square meters in 2023, focusing on high-quality clients in public institutions and hospitals [5][6] Group 4: Financial Performance and Investment Strategy - The company targets an internal rate of return of around 6% for investment projects, with flexibility for high-quality clients and demonstration projects [6][7] - The average financing cost for the company is approximately 2.65% for the first three quarters of 2025, benefiting from supportive carbon reduction policies [6][7] Group 5: Shareholder Returns and Capital Structure - The company plans to balance shareholder returns with business transformation needs, aiming for a cash dividend of no less than 30% of distributable profits annually [7][8] - The upcoming stock issuance aims to raise up to 2 billion yuan, with 1.6 billion yuan allocated for energy efficiency projects, enhancing the company's financial foundation for sustainable growth [8][9]

Core Insights - The Fudan University Sustainable Development Research Center released the carbon price indices for November 2025, including national carbon emission allowance (CEA) prices, certified voluntary emission reduction (CCER) prices, and green electricity certificate (GEC) prices [1] CEA and CCER Price Indices - The expected buying price for CEA in November 2025 is 47.59 CNY/ton, with a selling price of 55.42 CNY/ton, resulting in a midpoint price of 51.51 CNY/ton; the buying price index decreased by 14.08% and the selling price index decreased by 8.59% [2] - The expected buying price for CCER in November 2025 is 59.67 CNY/ton, with a selling price of 68.17 CNY/ton, resulting in a midpoint price of 63.92 CNY/ton; the buying price index decreased by 13.52% and the selling price index decreased by 11.27% [2] GEC Price Indices - The expected price for green certificates from centralized projects for 2024 is 2.94 CNY/unit, while for distributed projects it is 2.26 CNY/unit, and for biomass power generation it is 1.31 CNY/unit; all show a decline compared to October 2025 [3] - For 2025, the expected price for centralized projects is 4.24 CNY/unit, for distributed projects it is 3.65 CNY/unit, and for biomass power generation it is 3.81 CNY/unit, with price differences among types of green certificates widening [3] October Market Performance - In October, the average closing price for CEA was 54.76 CNY/ton, down 12.4% from September's average of 62.51 CNY/ton; the market showed a significant drop followed by a slight rebound [4] - The average daily trading volume for carbon allowances in October was 172.14 million tons, an increase of 15.81% compared to September's 148.64 million tons, indicating active trading as the compliance period approaches [4] Global Carbon Market Overview - The global carbon market saw an overall increase in trading volume in October, with the EU carbon market's average daily trading volume rising by 7.91% and the UK market by 34.43%, while the Korean market saw a slight decline of 1.06% [5] - Price movements varied across global markets, with the EU carbon market price increasing by 1.64%, while the UK and Korean markets experienced declines of 0.82% and 3.30%, respectively [6]

Summary of Longyuan Power Conference Call Company Overview - Longyuan Power is a subsidiary of China Energy Group, focusing on wind power, with a wind power installed capacity ratio of 73% and solar power at 27% [2][5][9] - The company has maintained a long-term Return on Equity (ROE) of 8%-9% since 2011, but has faced pressure on electricity prices and competition from thermal power, leading to a decline in revenue per kilowatt-hour [2][5] Industry Context and Valuation - The renewable energy industry is experiencing favorable policies, with a notable increase in new installed capacity since July 2025 [3] - Longyuan Power's price-to-book (PB) ratio has fluctuated significantly, dropping from 2.34 in September 2021 to a historical low of 0.52 in February 2024, and currently recovering to 0.85 [3][7] - The company is expected to benefit from industry valuation recovery due to its first-mover advantage and competitive pricing post the implementation of Document 136 [3][7] Financial Performance - As of mid-2025, Longyuan Power's accounts receivable stood at 49.5 billion yuan, accounting for 56% of net assets, with annual state subsidies expected to be between 12-13 billion yuan [4][11] - The price of green certificates has rebounded to 5.7 yuan per certificate, a 23% year-on-year increase, with trading volumes for green certificates and green electricity rising by 100%-200% [4][13] Asset and Project Pipeline - Longyuan Power's current operational capacity includes 31.4 GW of wind power and 11.8 GW of solar power, with plans to add 5 GW of new capacity in 2025 [8][9] - Future growth is anticipated from the injection of 4 GW of green power projects from the parent group, upgrades of old equipment, and a strong pipeline of offshore wind and large-scale projects [2][8] Market Dynamics - The marketization of electricity pricing has led to wind power prices being higher than solar power prices, benefiting Longyuan Power as a major wind power competitor [10] - The company has a competitive edge due to its internal synergies and the alignment of its renewable energy projects with its thermal power operations [10] Future Profitability and Projections - Longyuan Power's projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.43 billion yuan, 7.22 billion yuan, and 7.93 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 0%, 12%, and 10% respectively [14] - Despite short-term performance pressures, the overall trend for the company is positive, with expectations for gradual recovery in the green energy sector [14]

Core Viewpoint - Since the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's renewable energy sector has achieved significant advancements in scale, proportion, marketization, and quality, contributing to energy security and green transformation, while also providing a model for global energy transition [2][3]. Large-Scale Leap - China's renewable energy capacity has seen a historic leap, with total installed capacity exceeding 2.1 billion kilowatts by July 2023, accounting for nearly 60% of the national total, and wind and solar power installations reaching 1.68 billion kilowatts, surpassing thermal power capacity [3][4]. - The development of large-scale renewable energy bases has transitioned from pilot projects to widespread implementation, with significant projects like the Xinjiang Gobi base contributing to a new pattern of large-scale and intensive development [4]. - Distributed energy installations have also surged, with distributed solar capacity reaching 497 million kilowatts by July 2025, over six times the level at the end of 2020, making up about 45% of total solar installations [4]. High Proportion Leap - The share of renewable energy in China's energy consumption has significantly increased, with renewable energy generation expected to reach 3.47 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2024, which is 2.5 times that of 2020 [6][7]. - Renewable energy has shifted from a supplementary role to a core component of the energy structure, with significant upgrades in transmission and grid management to accommodate this transition [7]. High-Quality Leap - China has established itself as a global leader in renewable energy, with a complete and rapidly developing industrial chain, and has achieved significant technological advancements in hydropower, offshore wind, and solar energy [8][9]. - The cost of renewable energy technologies has decreased significantly, with wind and solar power costs dropping by approximately 60% and 80% respectively over the past decade, facilitating global adoption [9][10]. Market-Oriented Development - A comprehensive policy framework has been established to support the development and regulation of renewable energy, enhancing market participation and ensuring high-quality growth [11][12]. - The green certificate system is being improved, with a significant increase in the issuance and trading of green certificates, reflecting the growing recognition of the environmental value of renewable energy [13][14]. - Innovative regulatory approaches are being implemented to ensure the healthy development of the renewable energy sector, utilizing advanced technologies for better oversight [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the green electricity sector, benefiting from the appreciation of green certificate values and high installation growth [1]. Core Insights - The report continues to recommend investment opportunities in green electricity operators against the backdrop of increasing green certificate values. In June 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 278 million green certificates, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%, involving 198,700 renewable energy projects, with 196 million being tradable certificates, accounting for 70.64% [4][6]. - Key industry data shows that in the first half of 2025, total electricity consumption reached 4.84 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The cumulative power generation was 4.54 trillion kWh, up 0.8% year-on-year, with significant growth in wind and solar power generation [4][13][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW public utility index fell by 1.84% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, with declines across various sectors including thermal power and solar energy [9]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 was 4.84 trillion kWh, with growth rates of 8.7% in the primary industry, 2.4% in the secondary industry, 7.1% in the tertiary industry, and 4.1% in urban and rural residential use [13]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in H1 2025 was 4.54 trillion kWh, with thermal and hydro power generation declining by 2.4% and 2.9% respectively, while wind and solar power generation increased by 11.1% and 18.3% [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average grid purchase price in July 2025 was 382 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month [36]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of August 1, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 663 RMB/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 21.91% but a week-on-week increase of 10 RMB/ton [46]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.66 meters as of August 1, 2025, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year declines of 49.02% and 44.94% respectively [57]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a continued trend of safe and orderly development in the nuclear sector [71]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in solar energy and charging stations, highlighting companies such as Longyuan Power, Zhongmin Energy, and China Nuclear Power as key recommendations [4].

Core Insights - The Chinese green certificate system has achieved significant breakthroughs in issuance, trading scale, and application scenarios, marking a rapid advancement in the marketization of green energy in China [1][2] - As of March 2023, China's renewable energy installed capacity reached 1.966 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 24%, accounting for 57.3% of the total installed capacity in the country and over 40% of the global renewable energy installed capacity [1] Group 1: Green Certificate System - The green certificate serves as a "green ID" for renewable energy electricity, with a comprehensive lifecycle management system established in China to ensure effective tracking of renewable energy production and usage [2] - In March 2023, the global green electricity consumption initiative RE100 fully recognized Chinese green certificates, enhancing their international recognition and influence [2][3] Group 2: Market Development Strategies - The Chinese government aims to create the world's largest green certificate market by improving the issuance and trading mechanisms, promoting distributed renewable energy projects, and ensuring stable market supply [2][3] - The government plans to expand application scenarios for green certificates, linking them with energy consumption responsibilities and carbon emission controls to stimulate consumer demand [3] - International cooperation will be strengthened to enhance global recognition of Chinese green certificates, including collaboration with the EU and organizations like RE100 [3][4]

Core Viewpoints - In the first half of 2025, the profitability of thermal power companies improved due to a decrease in coal prices from 765 RMB/ton to 621 RMB/ton, leading to an 11% recovery in stock prices since late January [4] - The thermal power sector is expected to see positive factors in electricity volume, price, and costs in 2025, indicating growth potential [4] - Hydropower and nuclear power sectors remain stable with strong cash flows and high dividend yields, while the deepening of domestic electricity reforms is likely to create diverse investment opportunities [4] Thermal Power - The comprehensive electricity price for thermal power is expected to remain stable in 2025, with coal prices trending downward, leading to further profit recovery in the industry [7] - It is recommended to focus on thermal power companies with smaller declines in electricity prices and lower proportions of long-term coal contracts [7] - The implementation of capacity pricing and auxiliary service income is expected to stabilize thermal power profitability [61] Hydropower - High dividend yields attract incremental capital, with the dividend yield of Changjiang Electric Power remaining between 3.2% and 4.4% from 2017 to 2024 [80] - The hydropower sector is expected to see growth due to the commissioning of new projects, with over 25 million kW of hydropower capacity under construction [73] Nuclear Power - The approval of 11 new nuclear units in 2024 marks a significant acceleration in nuclear project approvals, indicating a stable growth trajectory for the sector [82] - By the end of 2024, China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power have substantial capacities under construction, ensuring future growth [86] Renewable Energy - The installation of wind and solar power is expected to maintain high growth rates, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 1.41 billion kW by the end of 2024 [92] - The implementation of the 136 Document is expected to promote the full market entry of renewable energy, leading to a surge in installed capacity [99] Waste Incineration - The waste incineration sector is entering a mature phase, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both increasing by 18% year-on-year in 2024 [119] - Companies in this sector are expanding overseas, establishing a competitive advantage in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [122]

Core Viewpoint - The unconditional recognition of China's green certificate by RE100 signifies a major achievement in the improvement of China's green certificate system, enhancing its authority and influence in the international community [2][3]. Group 1: RE100 Recognition - RE100's unconditional recognition of China's green certificate will significantly boost confidence in the consumption of these certificates within China [2]. - Member companies of RE100 and their supply chain enterprises are expected to show greater willingness to purchase and use China's green certificates, leading to an increased demand [2]. - Chinese foreign trade enterprises and foreign-invested companies in China can enhance their export green competitiveness by purchasing Chinese green certificates, thereby increasing the "green content" of their supply chains [2]. Group 2: Future Plans and Communication - China has established a fundamentally complete green certificate system, with full coverage of certificate issuance [3]. - The National Energy Administration plans to strengthen communication with RE100 to promote the development of technical guidelines for purchasing Chinese green certificates, facilitating better service for Chinese enterprises [3]. - There will be ongoing efforts to enhance communication with major trading partners regarding green certificates and to accelerate the international mutual recognition of these certificates [3].

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RE100无条件认可中国绿证，是2023年以来我国绿证制度体系不断完善、各方不懈努力取得的重大成果。当前，我国已 经构建基本完善的绿证制度体系，绿证核发也实现了全覆盖。 近日，国际绿色电力消费倡议组织（RE100）宣布无条件认可中国绿证。 这意味着什么？ 国家能源局新能源和可再生能源 司副司长潘慧敏28日在国家能源局例行新闻发布会上给出解答。 "RE100是国际上倡导绿色电力消费的非政府组织，在国际绿色电力消费领域影响力非常大。"潘慧敏说。 最近RE100在官网的常见问答中明确企业使用中国绿证不需要再提供额外证明，同时在其技术标准中明确绿色电力消费必须持 有绿证。 潘慧敏表示，下一步，国家能源局将会同有关部门，继续加强与RE100的沟通交流，推动其出台中国绿证采购相关技术指南， 更好服务中国企业购买绿证；加强与主要贸易伙伴开展绿证相关交流沟通，加快推动绿证国际互认；持续做好绿证宣传，开展 形式多样的政策宣介活动，为企业购买绿证、使用绿证答疑解难，做好服务。 （ 安娜） （来源：新华财经） 相 关 阅 读 央视新闻丨培育"绿证"市场 激发绿色电力消费需求 中丹绿色电力合作项目成果发布会暨绿色电力消费研讨会在京召 ...