零和思维

Search documents
记者观察:在数贸会上管窥“中国智慧”助益全球发展
证券时报· 2025-09-29 14:34
Core Viewpoint - Digital trade has become a significant aspect of China's economy, showcasing its potential for growth and international cooperation through events like the Global Digital Trade Expo [1][2]. Group 1: Digital Trade Growth - During the expo, the "China Digital Trade Development Report 2025" was released, indicating that by the first half of 2025, China's digitally deliverable service trade is expected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6% [2]. - Cross-border e-commerce imports and exports are projected to hit 1.32 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - China's digital service trade growth rate significantly outpaces the global average, positioning it as the fastest-growing economy in this sector [2]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages - China's digital trade is supported by technological leadership, a vast market, and a complete industrial chain, which together form its core competitive advantages [2]. - The country advocates for multilateralism and has consistently rejected a zero-sum mindset, promoting global public goods through its digital solutions in areas like artificial intelligence and fintech [2]. Group 3: International Cooperation - The digital trade initiatives are enhancing economic and social development in Africa, with products like Ethiopian coffee and Kenyan tea entering the Chinese market through cross-border e-commerce [2]. - Cooperation between China and Africa focuses on key areas such as small and medium-sized enterprises, digital infrastructure, healthcare, and education, aiming to bridge the digital divide [3]. - China's initiatives like "Silk Road E-commerce" and "Digital Silk Road" are designed to inject new momentum into the economy and help developing countries benefit from the digital age [3].
特朗普二进宫:本想逆风翻盘,却无意间拨下美国散架最后的楔子。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:55
特朗普执政困境:傲慢与误判下的美国困局 当特朗普首次高喊让美国再次伟大入主白宫时,这位政治素人确实展现过令人意外的执政能量。他强推 制造业回流政策,对盟友软硬兼施争取利益,一度让美国经济呈现复苏迹象。然而时移世易,当这位争 议总统准备再次执掌白宫时,国际格局已发生深刻变化,他那些曾经奏效的政治绝招正面临全面失效的 尴尬。 战略误判:与虎谋皮的俄罗斯棋局 特朗普团队原计划利用俄乌冲突做文章,企图通过施压乌克兰在领土问题上让步来讨好普京。这种政治 小白才会采用的策略,在历经国际风云数十载的俄罗斯领导人面前显得尤为幼稚。克里姆林宫不仅没有 落入圈套,反而将计就计,导致美俄峰会无果而终。这就像新手棋手试图用粗浅的套路战胜围棋大师, 结果反被对方牵着鼻子走。 在巴以问题联合国表决中,美国成为唯一投反对票的国家,这种外交孤立处境令人唏嘘。哈佛大学肯尼 迪学院最新民调显示,美国国际信誉度已跌至历史低点。特朗普政府就像班级里那个总是特立独行的学 生,渐渐失去了同窗的信任。 贸易战困局:伤敌八百自损一千 在对华贸易政策上,特朗普政府重拳出击的关税大棒收效甚微。中国海关总署数据显示,2023年中美贸 易额仍保持稳定增长,而美国企 ...
257亿美元美债被抛出,特朗普突然收到一封信,美议员公开威胁:必须没收中航着陆权
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-21 05:00
中国持续减持美债的举动背后有着深层次的考量。国际评级机构穆迪近期调降美国主权信用评级的决定,进一步放大了市场对美国财政可持续性的忧虑。目 前美国国债规模已突破34万亿美元,债务利息支出占GDP比重持续攀升,这种借新还旧的债务循环模式正引发全球投资者的警惕。特别是30年期美债收益率 突破5%的心理关口后,美债作为传统安全资产的吸引力正在减弱。 从战略层面看,中国自2018年起就开始有序调整外汇储备结构。通过持续增持黄金等避 险资产,中国正在构建更具弹性的储备组合。这种渐进式的减持策略既能有效分散风险,又避免了引发市场剧烈波动。这种未雨绸缪的做法,展现了中国在 全球经济不确定性加剧背景下的前瞻性布局。 就在国际社会聚焦中国减持美债之际,美国政坛却传出了令人意外的声音。美国众议院中国问题特别委员会 主席穆勒纳尔近日向特朗普致信,提出了一系列针对中国的激进建议。其中最引人注目的是,他威胁要取消中国航空公司在美国的着陆权,以此施压中国维 持稀土供应。这一将民航与战略资源挂钩的提议,立即引发了舆论哗然。 最近,美国财政部公布的一组数据在全球金融市场掀起波澜:中国单月减持了257亿美元美债,这个数字直接触及了国际经济的敏感 ...
特朗普彻底着急,威逼30国对华动手,加拿大:正考虑取消对华关税,不想和中方发生冲突
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 04:57
近日,特朗普政府正在推动一项庞大的对华加税计划,威逼多个国家,特别是G7成员国,加入对中国 施加经济压力的行列。据悉,特朗普正施压要求G7国家对购买俄罗斯石油的中国加征高额关税,最高 税率甚至高达100%。这一举措的表面理由是通过打击中国来促使俄罗斯与乌克兰展开和平谈判,但特 朗普显然有更深的战略意图,即通过"关税联盟"对中国进行经济"围堵"。 特朗普不仅仅局限于G7,过去几天,美国已对全球30个国家施压,要求它们加入这场对华加税的行 动。美国给出的理由是要通过加重中国购买俄罗斯石油的负担,促使俄罗斯与乌克兰进行和平谈判。然 而,更多的解读认为,特朗普的真正目的是借此机会进一步打击中国,以重塑全球经济格局并巩固美国 在全球经济中的主导地位。 二、在这场"关税风暴"中,加拿大的态度出现了戏剧性的转变。此前,加拿大政府宣布,从10月1日起 对所有中国制造的电动汽车征收100%的附加税,这一举措遭到中国外交部的强烈反对。然而,最新消 息显示,加拿大政府正在考虑免除或降低对中国电动汽车的关税。据加拿大全国电视台报道,加拿大农 业部长希思·麦克唐纳表示,这一政策调整是总理马克·卡尼下达的命令,目的是避免进一步恶化与中国 ...
中美外长防长通话传递明确信号
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-12 01:28
高层通话释放积极信号的同时,中美各层级交流也在加快回暖。几乎与此同时,美媒传出美国国会众议 院一个跨党派代表团计划于9月访华的消息。如果成行,这将是6年来的首次。此前,美国"飞虎队"老兵 后人也参加了九三阅兵。从国会山上跨党派的对华沟通意愿,到"大地微微暖气吹"的民间交流动力,都 为中美关系的改善创造了良好氛围,证明中美之间从来不乏向良性方向迈进的动能。 上海美国商会9月10日发布的《2025年中国商业报告》显示,近一半受调查的美国公司希望华盛顿能够 取消对中国商品施加的"所有关税",而以关税政策促进制造业"回流"美国的目标几乎注定难以达成。与 中国"脱钩断链"不成功的这些"反面教材",无疑是促使华盛顿对华政策回归务实、理性的客观推动力。 美国民间持续的对华接触呼声,向华盛顿政治人士反复证明一个客观现实:美国离不开中国,正如中国 也同样需要美国。 与此同时,人们也看到,在寻求与中国对话的同时,华盛顿并未停止对中国的打压行为。此次美防长在 通话中不忘强调,"美国在亚太这一重点战场拥有切身利益,并将坚决维护这些利益",这还是在为干涉 中国内政和插手亚太事务预留借口。在通话中,外交部长王毅提醒美方"务必谨言慎行", ...
印度为自信付出代价?美国加征惩罚关税,印媒:印度在全球的地位遭到撼动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 03:51
虽然50%关税对印度经济的直接冲击尚在可控范围,但更深层的危机在于美国试图阻断印度崛起路径。印度长期依赖西方技术转移和市场准入实现发展, 而美国此番通过关税工具限制其产业升级空间,实质是要求印度在能源安全与美印关系间二选一。这种"非友即敌"的零和思维,与印度追求多极化外交的 目标背道而驰。 美国对印度的打击,现实影响其实并不是致命的,印度完全扛得住,关键是美国这么做断了印度崛起的路,这才是要命的。当印度试图在东方与西方间寻 找平衡时,美国的惩罚性关税无疑是一记警钟:所谓"坚如磐石"的合作关系,终究敌不过现实利益的算计。 印度近期陷入前所未有的贸易困境,美国自8月27日起对印度所有产品加征50%关税,导致印度对美482亿美元出口商品遭受重创。与此同时,美国以"对 等关税"为由,将印度从俄罗斯进口石油的税率从25%提升至50%,以此惩罚印度在俄乌冲突后大幅增加俄油采购的行为——印度俄油进口占比从1%飙升 至40%以上,被美方指责为"牟取暴利"。 这场贸易战暴露了美印关系的脆弱性。尽管印度被视为美国在亚洲的重要伙伴,甚至被部分媒体渲染为"准盟友",但美国此次翻脸施压毫无转圜余地,令 莫迪政府措手不及。分析指出,美国 ...
真当中国不会出手?美国传出重要风声,关税或猛增100%!中方:九三阅兵不必给特朗普留座
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 09:33
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by Trump regarding the consideration of additional tariffs on Chinese goods has raised significant concerns about the future of US-China trade relations [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Relations and Negotiations - Previous US-China economic talks had shown promise, with Trump initially expressing approval and hinting at a visit to China to further bilateral trade relations [3]. - However, Trump's subsequent demands for unreasonable conditions have escalated tensions, reversing the previously improving atmosphere of negotiations [3]. - The US's unilateral adjustments to tariff rates in the Japan-US trade agreement highlight a pattern of unpredictability in trade agreements, which may affect future negotiations with China [3]. Group 2: Impact of Tariff Threats - Trump's proposed tariffs would significantly disrupt the ongoing US-China trade talks, leading to increased costs for Chinese exporters and higher prices for American consumers [5]. - The interconnectedness of global supply chains means that escalating trade tensions could have far-reaching consequences, potentially destabilizing global trade and affecting economic recovery [5][7]. - The potential for economic friction to spill over into other areas of bilateral relations adds complexity to the US-China relationship [5]. Group 3: Global Economic Context - The rise of trade protectionism poses challenges to the global economy, and while competition exists between the US and China, there remains substantial room for cooperation on global issues [7]. - The US's tariff threats are seen as unilateral actions that contradict the principles of economic globalization, which emphasizes interdependence among nations [7]. - Stability in US-China trade relations is crucial not only for the two countries but also for the global economy, necessitating rational dialogue and cooperation to foster a healthier trade environment [7].
寰宇平:重建国际信任刻不容缓
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-05 04:48
Group 1 - Trust is the cornerstone of international cooperation, and its erosion has led to a global trust deficit, impacting economic recovery and international collaboration [1][2] - Major powers are increasingly engaging in unilateralism and populism, undermining international agreements and creating uncertainty in global markets [1][2] - The current geopolitical landscape is characterized by a shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world, with some nations clinging to outdated Cold War mentalities, exacerbating tensions and mistrust [2][3] Group 2 - The international community must work collaboratively to rebuild trust, focusing on mutual respect for core interests and avoiding misjudgments [3][4] - China is promoting a vision of a shared future for humanity, advocating for multilateralism and proposing initiatives to address the trust deficit [4][5] - High-level cooperation and cultural exchanges are essential for strengthening global trust and overcoming ideological barriers [3][4]
港媒:全球AI治理,不能没有中国
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-08-01 23:30
Group 1 - The core message of the articles emphasizes China's proactive stance in global AI governance, contrasting with the U.S. approach that focuses on competition and national security [1][2][3] - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference held in Shanghai showcased significant advancements in AI technology, reflecting public interest and China's commitment to play a constructive role in global AI governance [1][2] - China's Prime Minister highlighted the need for a balance between development and security in AI, calling for international consensus and cooperation rather than exclusion [1][2][3] Group 2 - The articles point out that many AI governance initiatives are built around alliances of "like-minded" Western countries, often excluding China and leading to fragmented trust in global governance [2] - The geopolitical tensions have overshadowed potential areas for cooperation, with AI often viewed through a security lens rather than as a tool for enhancing human welfare [2][3] - The call for a shift from a competitive to a cooperative narrative in AI governance is seen as crucial, with the acknowledgment that AI challenges transcend national borders [3]
美媒爆料,特朗普政府动手了,王毅当着全世界的面,送给美国12个字
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 23:57
Group 1: Core Insights - The Trump administration has initiated a review of SpaceX's contracts with the federal government following Trump's suggestion to sever ties with Musk's company, highlighting the ongoing scrutiny of corporate-government relationships [1] - The Trump administration's trade policies, including tariffs on EU goods and national security investigations into imports, aim to reduce trade deficits and protect domestic industries, but have led to retaliatory measures from trade partners like Canada and Mexico [3][4] - The complex dynamics of U.S. foreign relations under the Trump administration are evident in its differing approaches to India and Pakistan, affecting regional strategic balances [4][6] Group 2: U.S.-China Relations - The trade tensions between the U.S. and China have persisted, with tariffs impacting American competitiveness in the Chinese market and leading to potential losses for U.S. exporters [6][9] - High-level diplomatic interactions are crucial for stabilizing U.S.-China relations, with recent meetings emphasizing the need for mutual respect and cooperation [6][7] - The importance of small decisions in U.S.-China relations is highlighted, as seemingly minor actions can significantly impact trust and cooperation between the two nations [7][9] Group 3: International Reactions - The EU has strongly reacted to U.S. protectionist measures, preparing countermeasures such as tariffs and legal actions in the WTO [9] - India is reassessing its relationship with the U.S., balancing cooperation with the need to maintain independent diplomatic ties with other countries [9] - The future of U.S.-China relations is critical for global issues, with calls for collaboration on challenges like climate change and public health [9]