在过去几年的震荡行情中，能够穿越周期的基金经理并不多见，华商基金多资产投资部副总经理胡中原 就是其中之一。 在胡中原的投资哲学中，风险收益比是第一要义。他的权益投资体系以中观行业比较为核心，个股选择 淡化阿尔法，组合管理坚持双重分散原则。 多年实战下来，这一方法论效果着实抢眼，其代表作华商润丰灵活配置混合A自2019年3月接手以来， 截至2025年9月30日，该基金近5年收益高达216.63%，大幅超越13.13%的同期业绩比较基准收益率。 难能可贵的是，从2019年到2024年，市场经历了多次调整行情，华商润丰灵活配置混合A每年均取得了 正收益，这种穿越周期的持续盈利能力，在公募基金中非常亮眼。另据银河证券数据，华商润丰混合A 近1、3、5、7年业绩均位列同类前十！ 长期持续的卓越业绩，也获得了个人投资者的广泛认可。2025年基金中期报告数据显示，华商润丰灵活 配置混合A的持有人结构中，个人投资者持有份额占比为61.56%。 展望权益市场后市，胡中原对未来持乐观积极态度，产业端看好人工智能相关领域的配置机遇，同时将 重点关注因人口结构变化和中国医药创新能力提升带来的中国消费领域和医药领域新变化。 多资产领域 ...

在过去几年的震荡行情中，能够穿越周期的基金经理并不多见，华商基金多资产投资部副总经理胡中原 就是其中之一。 在胡中原的投资哲学中，风险收益比是第一要义。他的权益投资体系以中观行业比较为核心，个股选择 淡化阿尔法，组合管理坚持双重分散原则。 多年实战下来，这一方法论效果着实抢眼，其代表作华商润丰灵活配置混合A自2019年3月接手以来， 截至2025年9月30日，该基金近5年收益高达216.63%，大幅超越13.13%的同期业绩比较基准收益率。 难能可贵的是，从2019年到2024年，市场经历了多次调整行情，华商润丰灵活配置混合A每年均取得了 正收益，这种穿越周期的持续盈利能力，在公募基金中非常亮眼。另据银河证券数据，华商润丰混合A 近1、3、5、7年业绩均位列同类前十！ 长期持续的卓越业绩，也获得了个人投资者的广泛认可。2025年基金中期报告数据显示，华商润丰灵活 配置混合A的持有人结构中，个人投资者持有份额占比为61.56%。 展望权益市场后市，胡中原对未来持乐观积极态度，产业端看好人工智能相关领域的配置机遇，同时将 重点关注因人口结构变化和中国医药创新能力提升带来的中国消费领域和医药领域新变化。 胡中原 华 ...

在过去几年的震荡行情中，所管产品能够穿越周期的基金经理并不多见，华商基金多资产投资部副总经理胡中原就是 其中之一。 在胡中原的投资哲学中，风险收益比是第一要义。他的权益投资体系以中观行业比较为核心，个股选择淡化阿尔法， 组合管理坚持双重分散原则。 多年实践发现，这一方法论效果较好，胡中原代表作华商润丰灵活配置混合A自2019年3月以来，截至2025年9月30 日，该基金近5年收益率高达216.63%，大幅超越13.13%的同期业绩比较基准收益率。 难能可贵的是，从2019年到2024年，市场经历多次调整行情，华商润丰灵活配置混合A每年均取得正收益，这种穿越 周期的持续盈利能力，在公募基金中表现较亮眼。据银河证券数据，华商润丰混合A近1、3、5、7年业绩均位列同类 前十。 长期持续的卓越业绩，也获得个人投资者广泛认可。2025年基金中期报告数据显示，华商润丰灵活配置混合A的持有 人结构中，个人投资者持有份额占比为61.56%。 展望权益市场，胡中原对未来持乐观积极态度，产业端看好人工智能相关领域的配置机遇，同时将重点关注消费领域 和医药领域新变化。 胡中原 华商基金多资产投资部副总经理 对胡中原而言，权益和债券 ...

王浩认为，择时的主要目标是提升投资组合的收益风险比，可能是提升收益，也可能是规避一些极端风 险，以降低回撤或波动。因此，对于波动相对较大的权益资产而言，择时是有意义的。"与成熟市场相 比，新兴市场的股票资产整体波动更大，因此择时的必要性也更高。"他表示。 广发基金王浩： "发车"顺势而为 灵活把握结构性机会 ◎记者 聂林浩 11月以来，股票市场宽幅震荡、行业轮动加速，令不少投资者在"长期持有"与"频繁交易"之间难以抉 择。近日，上海证券报记者采访了广发基金资产配置部基金经理、"指数100份"基金投顾组合策略投资 经理王浩，试图解答投资是否需要择时这一问题。 "择时其实是一种敬畏市场、顺势而为的工具，但要基于科学的决策。"王浩表示，在"指数100份"的管 理中，每一笔投入都是基于当下的市场行情来选择适合的标的，并单独监控每一笔"发车"的止盈点。如 果团队判断市场缺乏较好的机会，宁愿选择按兵不动，这也正是"发车式"基金投顾组合策略与传统定投 的区别。 择时的本质是敬畏市场、顺势而为 桥水创始人达利欧曾说："最重要的事情并不是预知未来，而是知道在每一个时间点上如何针对可获得 的信息作出合理的回应。"在王浩看来，长期 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing importance of "fixed income +" products in a market characterized by declining interest rates and the shift towards net asset value management in bank wealth management [1][2] - It emphasizes the need for investors to understand the optimal equity-debt allocation and strategies to navigate market volatility for better investment experiences and returns [1] Group 1: Risk-Return Optimization - The management of "fixed income +" products requires a balance between risk and return, with a focus on understanding client expectations and market volatility [4][5] - Different products cater to varying risk appetites, with low and medium volatility products being more suitable for a broader range of investors [4][6] - A three-tiered drawdown warning mechanism is established to manage portfolio risks effectively, with ongoing optimization efforts [6][8] Group 2: Preserving Returns - In challenging equity market conditions, maintaining the returns of "fixed income +" products is crucial, with a focus on asset allocation and flexible investment styles [10][11] - The importance of a disciplined approach to position sizing and risk exposure is highlighted, particularly in low-volatility products [10][11] Group 3: Absolute Return Pursuit - Achieving absolute return targets has become increasingly difficult in a low-interest-rate environment, necessitating strong trading and timing skills from fund managers [12][13] - Risk budget management is employed to construct "fixed income +" portfolios within the constraints of current market conditions [12][13] Group 4: Growth Style Risk Control - The article discusses the necessity of combining asset allocation strategies with trading capabilities to navigate high-volatility markets effectively [14][15] - Identifying macroeconomic risks and structural market trends is essential for maintaining a favorable risk-return profile [15] Group 5: Market Evolution and Adaptation - The capital market landscape has changed significantly, with a systematic decline in asset yields and a shift in investor demographics impacting market dynamics [17][18] - Fund managers are adapting by broadening their research focus to include global markets and various asset classes [17][18] Group 6: Dynamic Rebalancing - Dynamic rebalancing is emphasized as a strategy for managing asset pricing and duration effectively, aiming for a balanced risk-return profile [19][20] - The gradual process of rebalancing is preferred to mitigate risks and smooth out returns over time [20] Group 7: Growth Style "Fixed Income +" - The article highlights a unique approach to "fixed income +" products that incorporate a growth style, aiming to provide stable returns while capitalizing on growth opportunities [21][22] - This strategy is designed to appeal to long-term investors seeking to benefit from societal development trends [22] Group 8: Combining Active and Quantitative Approaches - The integration of quantitative tools with fundamental research is becoming increasingly important for enhancing investment management processes [23][24] - The use of AI and data analytics is noted as a means to improve research efficiency and decision-making [24][25] Group 9: Low Turnover Alpha Sources - The article outlines a method for identifying companies with alpha potential across various industries, emphasizing the importance of aligning investment intentions with company types [26][27] - Continuous learning and industry insights are crucial for selecting companies that can deliver long-term value [27][28] Group 10: Forward-Looking Technology Layout - The focus on technology investments, particularly in AI, is highlighted as a strategic move to capitalize on emerging trends [30][31] - The need for ongoing evaluation of business models and cash flow generation capabilities in the tech sector is emphasized [31][32]

Group 1: Optimizing Risk-Return Ratio - The management of "fixed income +" products requires a balance between risk and return, with a focus on understanding client expectations and market volatility [4][5][6] - A diverse team approach enhances research depth and breadth, allowing for better asset allocation and risk management [6] - Implementing a three-tiered drawdown warning mechanism helps in controlling risks while aiming for returns [6][9] Group 2: Preserving Returns - In challenging equity markets, maintaining a flexible investment style and adapting to market trends is crucial for preserving returns in "fixed income +" products [11] - Continuous learning from equity fund managers can provide insights into long-term asset value analysis [11] Group 3: Pursuing Absolute Returns - Achieving absolute return targets has become increasingly difficult due to declining bond yields, necessitating exceptional trading and timing skills [13] - Risk budget management is essential, with a focus on maintaining a portion of risk exposure within the bounds of market conditions [13] Group 4: Risk Control and Opportunities in Growth Style - A dual approach of macroeconomic risk identification and sector-specific investment can help mitigate risks associated with high-volatility assets [16][17] - Focusing on industries with clear trends and improving profit expectations can yield positive returns in a non-systemic risk environment [17] Group 5: Market Evolution and Adaptation - The capital market has seen a systematic decline in asset yields, necessitating a broader research focus that includes global markets and various asset classes [19][20] - Adapting to changes in market structure and investor behavior is vital for maintaining effective investment strategies [20] Group 6: Dynamic Rebalancing - Dynamic rebalancing strategies are employed to manage asset volatility and ensure stable returns, particularly in fluctuating market conditions [23] Group 7: Growth Style "Fixed Income +" - The growth style in "fixed income +" products aims to capture societal development benefits while providing stable returns through fixed income assets [25] Group 8: Combining Active and Quantitative Approaches - Integrating quantitative tools with fundamental research enhances the investment management process, allowing for more efficient decision-making [27] Group 9: Insights and Compounding - Identifying companies with long-term growth potential requires a clear understanding of investment objectives and continuous industry learning [29][30] Group 10: Forward-Looking Technology Layout - Early investments in technology sectors, particularly AI, are based on recognizing transformative trends and potential for long-term growth [33][34]

Core Viewpoint - The "fixed income plus" (固收+) funds have shown varied net value curves in a "strong stock, weak bond" market, with some funds outperforming due to high allocations in stocks and convertible bonds, while others focusing on long-duration bonds performed poorly [1][2] Group 1: Performance of "Fixed Income Plus" Funds - The average annual increase for "fixed income plus" products is approximately 4.8%, with top performers like Huazhong Zhili rising by 47.77% and Huashang Shuangyi by 44.4% [3] - Funds with over 40% allocation to equities, such as Huazhong Zhili and Huashang Shuangyi, have significantly benefited from high-growth technology stocks [3][4] - Other top-performing funds, like Fuguo Jiuli and Minsheng Jiayin, have convertible bond allocations exceeding 70%, with Jin Ying Yuanfeng surpassing 90% [3] Group 2: Risk Level Adjustments - Several "fixed income plus" funds have seen their risk levels raised from R2 (medium-low risk) to R3 (medium risk) due to performance volatility and high returns [6][5] - Fund companies adjust risk levels based on regulatory requirements, market conditions, and changes in target clientele [7] Group 3: Market Outlook - The overall bond market is expected to remain favorable, while the equity market is anticipated to continue its structural trends, leading to a consensus on seeking higher risk-return ratios through "fixed income plus" products [1][10] - The total scale of "fixed income plus" funds reached 1.48 trillion yuan, with a quarterly increase of over 100 billion yuan, indicating growing investor interest [9] - The current economic indicators suggest a weak recovery, providing a stable foundation for the bond market, while also presenting new challenges [10]

Core Viewpoint - The "fixed income +" products have shown diverse net value curves in the context of a strong stock market and weak bond market, with some products achieving outstanding performance through high elasticity allocations in stocks and convertible bonds, while others focusing on long-duration bonds performed relatively poorly [1][2]. Group 1: Performance of "Fixed Income +" Products - The average increase of "fixed income +" products this year is approximately 4.8%, with top performers like Huazhong Zhili rising by 47.77% and Huashang Shuangyi by 44.4% [4]. - The leading products have significant allocations in equity assets, with over 40% of assets in stocks for top performers, benefiting from high-elasticity technology stocks [4]. - The performance of other high-ranking products, such as Fuguo Jiuli and Minsheng Jiayin, also shows a strong focus on convertible bonds, with allocations exceeding 70% [4]. Group 2: Risk Level Adjustments - Several public funds and distribution channels have raised the risk levels of their "fixed income +" products, with many being upgraded from R2 (medium-low risk) to R3 (medium risk) [8]. - The adjustments in risk levels are influenced by regulatory requirements, market conditions, and changes in target customer profiles [8][9]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The bond market is expected to maintain a stable operation, while the equity market is anticipated to continue with structural trends, leading to a consensus on seeking higher risk-return ratios through "fixed income +" products [2][12]. - The overall scale of "fixed income +" funds reached 1.48 trillion yuan by the end of the second quarter, with a significant increase of over 100 billion yuan in a single quarter [11]. - The current economic indicators suggest a weak recovery, providing a stable foundation for the bond market, while also presenting new challenges [12].

Core Viewpoint - The ideal product for investors is one that they occasionally remember but mostly forget, emphasizing a focus on risk-reward ratio and client experience over extreme rankings and market noise [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy is shaped by years of managing large funds, focusing on safety margins and long-termism, aiming for steady returns rather than just high net value [1][4]. - The approach includes a "macro long-term perspective" combined with "mid-level industry analysis" to identify promising sectors and validate them through thorough research [5][9]. - Emphasis is placed on the importance of valuation, considering static and dynamic return on equity (ROE) and being cautious of seemingly low price-to-earnings ratios during industry peaks [5][6]. Group 2: Market Insights - The manager has a positive long-term outlook on A-shares, believing they were significantly undervalued as of August last year, driven by China's manufacturing and technological advancements [9]. - The focus on non-ferrous metals is based on the long-term outlook of the declining dollar credit system, identifying resource commodities as beneficial [9][10]. - The demand for gold remains strong due to its status as a preferred reserve asset for central banks, which supports its long-term price strength [9]. Group 3: Risk Management - The investment strategy includes a cautious approach to technology stocks, drawing parallels between the current AI wave and the 2000 internet bubble, highlighting the risks associated with financing environments [10]. - The manager maintains a low exposure to certain tech assets while focusing on other sectors to provide steady returns and reduce unnecessary volatility [10].

Core Viewpoint - The ideal investment product is one that investors occasionally remember but mostly forget, focusing on risk-reward ratio and client experience rather than extreme rankings or market hype [1] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes a long-term perspective, prioritizing safety margins and a steady return over time [1][2] - The manager's experience with large funds has shaped a calm and steady investment approach, particularly during market volatility [2] - The focus is on fundamental value assessment rather than short-term emotional trading, with a preference for "left-side" and "contrarian" investment strategies [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy has shifted towards longer holding periods, with a focus on identifying industries with long-term potential and verifying them through macro and industry analysis [3] - Valuation is a critical factor in determining risk-reward ratios, with an emphasis on static and dynamic return on equity (ROE) assessments [3][4] - The manager avoids high valuation and crowded trades to reduce portfolio volatility [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The manager holds a positive long-term view on the A-share market, believing it to be undervalued and resilient against external disturbances [7] - There is a strong focus on the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by a long-term outlook on the decline of the dollar credit system [7][8] - Demand for gold remains robust due to its status as a preferred reserve asset for central banks, providing long-term support for gold prices [7] Group 4: Sector Analysis - Copper and aluminum are highlighted as metals closely linked to the growth of new energy sectors, with increasing demand and constrained supply [8] - The manager expresses caution regarding certain technology stocks, drawing parallels between the current AI wave and the 2000 internet bubble, emphasizing the risks associated with financing environments [8][9] - The strategy involves maintaining a lower exposure to high-risk tech assets while focusing on other sectors to provide stable returns and minimize volatility [9]