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中国公司全球化周报|奈雪再改名,或与进军欧美相关/小马智行与优步合作,在中东部署Robotaxi
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-11 04:11
Group 1: Company Developments - Nayuki Tea is reportedly changing its logo and name, possibly related to its expansion into the European and American markets [3] - Dingdong Maicai has entered the Hong Kong market through a strategic partnership with DFI Retail Group, aiming for a sales target of 100 million HKD in the first year [3] - WeRide and Uber are expanding their strategic cooperation to deploy autonomous Robotaxi services in 15 new international cities over the next five years [6] - Ant Group plans to separately list its overseas unit Ant International in Hong Kong, with no current policy obstacles reported [6] - CATL is seeking a loan of approximately 1 billion USD for its business expansion in Indonesia [7] Group 2: Industry Trends - The European market is becoming a new battleground for cross-border e-commerce platforms, with SHEIN and Temu increasing their advertising spending significantly [4] - The global retail e-commerce market in Europe reached 631.9 billion USD in 2023, indicating substantial growth potential [4] - The Chinese B2B foreign trade financial platform XTransfer has obtained an electronic money institution license from the Netherlands, enabling it to provide local accounts and cross-border settlement services [12] - China's goods trade import and export value for the first four months of the year was 14.14 trillion CNY, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.4% [13] - The automotive goods import and export total for March was 23.82 billion USD, with a month-on-month increase of 32.1% [14]
长江期货市场交易指引-20250508
Chang Jiang Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 02:42
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro Finance**: Index futures are expected to move in a volatile range, while treasury bonds are expected to rise steadily [1][5]. - **Black Building Materials**: Rebar is recommended for temporary observation, iron ore is expected to be weakly volatile, and coking coal and coke are expected to move in a volatile range [1][7][9]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Copper is recommended for cautious trading within a range, aluminum is not recommended for short - chasing, nickel is recommended for observation or short - selling on rallies, tin is recommended for range trading, gold is recommended for building positions on dips after a full price correction, and silver is recommended for range trading [1][11][17]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: PVC, caustic soda, rubber, urea, methanol, and plastic are all expected to move in a volatile range, while soda ash is recommended for observation [1][19][25]. - **Cotton Textile Industry Chain**: Cotton and cotton yarn are expected to be weakly volatile, apples are expected to move in a volatile range, and PTA is expected to be weakly volatile [1][27][28]. - **Agricultural and Livestock**: Pigs are expected to be weakly volatile, eggs are expected to be weakly trending, corn is expected to be strongly volatile, soybean meal is expected to decline in a volatile manner, and oils are expected to be weakly volatile [1][29][35]. 2. Core Views of the Report The report provides investment strategies and market outlooks for various futures products in different industries. It takes into account factors such as supply and demand, policy changes, and macro - economic conditions. For example, in the black building materials industry, the supply and demand situation of iron ore and the impact of policies on steel production are considered; in the non - ferrous metals industry, factors like global economic conditions, supply and demand fundamentals, and trade policies are analyzed. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Macro Finance - **Index Futures**: Affected by factors such as the Fed's monetary policy, geopolitical events, and domestic policies, the index futures are expected to move in a volatile range. If there is a downward trend to fill the gap, it may rebound after filling the gap; if the overall situation is stable and positive, it may be strongly volatile [5]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Although the "double - cut" policy has been implemented, the bond market investors are not fully satisfied. The short - end bonds are stronger, while the long - end bonds have a profit - taking market. The bond market is still in a situation with a relatively high winning rate but limited odds [5][6]. Black Building Materials - **Rebar**: The price is expected to move in a volatile range. The static valuation is low, but the policy and market expectations are weak. Attention should be paid to the implementation of production - restriction policies [7]. - **Iron Ore**: The supply is seasonally increasing, and the demand is also increasing, but there is an expectation of a peak and decline. Considering the high iron - water output and international trade frictions, the 09 contract is expected to be weakly volatile [7][8]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The coking coal market is expected to continue to be volatile in the short term, and attention should be paid to the resumption of downstream iron - water production, changes in imported coal prices, and policy expectations. The coke market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern, and attention should be paid to the recovery of finished - product demand, the balance of coking - steel profits, and policy - related production - restriction disturbances [9][10]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The supply - side pressure is increasing, and the demand may be restricted by price increases and trade policies. The price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern after the holiday, and cautious trading within a range is recommended [11]. - **Aluminum**: The supply is increasing, and the demand is weakening. The price is expected to be weakly volatile, but the current decline is too fast, so short - chasing is not recommended [12]. - **Nickel**: The supply is in an oversupply situation, and it is expected to be weakly volatile under the influence of cost and demand factors [13][14]. - **Tin**: The supply of raw materials is tight, and the downstream semiconductor industry is expected to recover. The price is expected to be volatile, and range trading is recommended [15]. - **Gold and Silver**: Affected by factors such as the Fed's monetary policy, economic data, and trade policies, the prices are expected to be in an adjustment state, and range trading is recommended [17]. Energy and Chemicals - **PVC**: The demand is weak, and the supply is excessive. The price is expected to be weakly volatile, and attention should be paid to tariff negotiations and domestic stimulus policies [19]. - **Caustic Soda**: The supply is sufficient, and the demand increment is limited. It is expected to be weakly volatile, and attention should be paid to delivery volume, inventory, and export [20]. - **Rubber**: The demand is weak, and the supply is sufficient. It is expected to be weakly volatile in the medium term, and attention should be paid to policies, tariffs, and weather [21][22]. - **Urea**: The supply is high, and the demand is gradually released. It is expected to be strongly volatile in the short term, and range operation is recommended [22]. - **Methanol**: The supply is reduced, and the demand is stable. It is expected to be volatile in the short term, and range operation is recommended [24]. - **Plastic**: The supply pressure is large, and the demand is in the off - season. It is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term, and attention should be paid to demand, policies, and tariffs [25]. - **Soda Ash**: The supply is still high, and the downstream is not optimistic. It is expected to be weakly volatile, and short - term observation is recommended [25]. Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton**: The global supply and demand are loose, and the downstream consumption is weak. The price is expected to be weakly volatile [27]. - **Apples**: The current inventory is low, and the price is expected to be volatile at a high level, but attention should be paid to macro - risks [27]. - **PTA**: The cost is collapsing, and the terminal export orders are poor. The price is expected to be weakly volatile, and attention should be paid to the 4200 support level [28]. Agricultural and Livestock - **Pigs**: The supply is increasing and postponed, and the price is under pressure. It is expected to be weakly volatile, and short - selling on rallies is recommended after taking profits [29][30]. - **Eggs**: The demand is falling after the holiday, and the supply is accumulating. The 06 contract is expected to be volatile at a low level, and the 08 and 09 contracts are considered bearish [31][32]. - **Corn**: The short - term supply is tight, and the long - term supply and demand are tightening. It is recommended to go long on dips, and attention should be paid to substitutes [32]. - **Soybean Meal**: The short - term supply is increasing, and the price is expected to decline. The long - term cost is increasing, and the price is expected to be strong. Short - selling on rallies in the short term and long - buying on dips in the long term are recommended [33][34]. - **Oils**: The short - term is expected to be weakly volatile, and attention should be paid to support levels. Bean and rapeseed oils are expected to be stronger, and attention should be paid to the spread expansion of bean - palm and rapeseed - palm oil contracts [35][40].
解读“特朗普将取消AI芯片限制”对国产算力的影响
是说芯语· 2025-05-08 02:40
以下文章来源于橙子不糊涂 ,作者橙子 橙子不糊涂 . 80后,集成电路背景,专注于AI硬科技、半导体领域的研究和投资。 我们这里凌晨Bloomberg发了一条新闻: 关键内容有3部分: 1,The Trump administration plans to rescind Biden-era AI chip curbs as part of a broader effort to revise semiconductor trade restrictions. 特朗普政府计划撤销拜登时期的 AI 芯片限制,作为修订半导体贸易限制的更大努力的一部分。 2,The repeal seeks to refashion a policy launched under President Joe Biden that created three broad tiers of countries for regulating the export of chips from Nvidia Corp. and others. 旨在重塑乔·拜登总统时期推出的政策,该政策为监管英伟达公司等企业的芯片出口创建了三个广泛的国家等级 ...
黄金:中美谈判略有进展白银:震荡回落
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-08 01:31
2025年05月08日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属 观点与策略 | 黄金:中美谈判略有进展 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 白银:震荡回落 | 2 | | 铜:库存持续下降,限制价格回落 | 4 | | 铝:价格承压 | 6 | | 氧化铝:继续磨底 | 6 | | 锌:承压运行 | 8 | | 铅:供需双弱,区间震荡 | 9 | | 镍:上下方空间收敛,镍价重回窄幅震荡 | 10 | | 不锈钢:现货补跌修复基差,盘面下方仍有支撑 | 10 | | 锡:假期间价格走弱 | 12 | | 工业硅:需求疲软,盘面弱势 | 14 | | 多晶硅:盘面再创上市新低 | 14 | | 碳酸锂:成本重心延续下移,累库格局制约反弹 | 16 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 5 月 8 日 黄金:中美谈判略有进展 白银:震荡回落 | 王蓉 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0002529 | wangrong013179@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘雨萱 | 投 ...