证券研究报告 2025 年 7 月 8 日 星期二 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指尾盘翻红 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3473.13 | 0.02% | 0.81 | | 深证成指 | 10435.51 | -0.70% | -73.25 | | 沪深 300 | 3965.17 | -0.43% | -17.03 | | 创业板 | 2130.19 | -1.21% | -26.05 | | 科创 50 | 978.29 | -0.66% | -6.51 | | 北证 50 | 1401.92 | -0.93% | -13.12 | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： 申万行业表现前五 申万行业表现后五 概念板块表现前五 ◼ 概念板块表现后五 综合 2.57% 煤炭 -2.04% 中船系 5.23% 重组蛋白 -1.42% 公用事业 1.87% 医药生物 -0.97% 生物质能发电 2.83% 减肥药 -1.10% 房地产 1.68% 通信 -0.77% 虚拟电厂 ...

| 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中船系 | 5.23 | 同花顺果指数 | -1.53 | | 生物质能发电 | 2.83 | 重组蛋白 | -1.42 | | 2025中报预增 | 2.77 | 减肥药 | -1.10 | | 虚拟电厂 | 2.62 | CRO概念 | -1.07 | | 跨境支付(CIPS) | 2.36 | AI PC | -1.02 | | 抽水蓄能 | 2.26 | AI手机 | -0.99 | | 超超临界发电 | 2.20 | 中国AI 50 | -0.98 | | 租售同权 | 2.20 | 芬太尼 | -0.85 | | 柔性直流输电 | 2.00 | 共封装光学(CPO) | -0.82 | | 特高压 | 1.98 | 创新药 | -0.71 | | 601033 | 永兴股份 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 129.98 | 3.96 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002479 | 富春环保 | 3.64 | 4.13 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiaao Environmental Protection has faced regulatory scrutiny for information disclosure violations, marking its third investigation since 2020, amid rising concerns over its governance and operational sustainability due to continuous losses and a high debt ratio [1] Group 1: Regulatory Issues - The latest investigation centers on the failure to properly convert construction in progress into fixed assets for a subsidiary project, leading to inaccurate financial disclosures for 2022 and 2023 [2] - The company has a history of financial misconduct, including a 2020 case where it inflated revenue by 179 million (14.24% of 2019 revenue) through improper accounting practices, resulting in fines and penalties for executives [3] - Despite claims of rectifying accounting errors, ongoing regulatory actions indicate deeper governance issues, exacerbated by the departure of key executives since 2021 [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - Jiaao Environmental Protection has experienced a dramatic decline in revenue, dropping from 3.211 billion to 1.274 billion from 2022 to 2024, with cumulative losses exceeding 407 million [5] - The company's debt crisis is imminent, with a debt ratio of 80.45% and short-term loans of 1.405 billion against only 230 million in cash, indicating severe liquidity issues [6] - Efforts to recover financially are uncertain, as the company relies on new projects and market expansion, yet has seen a 54.65% decline in operating cash flow due to procurement issues [7]

Core Viewpoint - Jiaao Environmental Protection has been investigated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) for suspected violations of information disclosure, marking the second investigation in five years [1][9]. Company Overview - Jiaao Environmental Protection, established in 2003 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2016, focuses on the research, production, and sales of bio-based plasticizers and biomass energy [3]. - The company has been recognized as one of the top ten enterprises in the plasticizer industry in China and has a biodiesel production capacity of 300,000 tons annually through its subsidiaries [3]. History of Violations - In March 2020, Jiaao Environmental Protection corrected multiple financial reports from 2017 to 2019 due to inconsistencies caused by staff errors [5]. - In December 2020, the CSRC initiated an investigation for information disclosure violations, revealing that the company had inflated its 2019 revenue by approximately 179 million yuan, which accounted for 14.24% of the reported revenue [7]. - The company faced administrative penalties in May 2021, including a fine of 1 million yuan for the company and its executives [7][8]. Recent Developments - The latest investigation by the CSRC is related to inaccuracies in annual report disclosures, with the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Bureau previously issuing a warning regarding unreported construction projects [9]. - The company has made retrospective adjustments to its financial statements, resulting in increased losses for 2022 and 2023 [10][11]. Financial Performance - Jiaao Environmental Protection reported revenues of 3.211 billion yuan, 2.666 billion yuan, and 1.274 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with net losses of 46.89 million yuan, 7.54 million yuan, and 367 million yuan [11]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to the EU's anti-dumping policies affecting biodiesel exports, leading to a 76.64% decrease in biomass energy revenue [12]. Debt Situation - As of the first quarter of 2025, the company's debt ratio reached 80.45%, with cash reserves of only 230 million yuan and short-term borrowings of 1.405 billion yuan [13]. - The company has struggled with liquidity issues since its IPO in 2016, having attempted five capital increase plans, with the latest plan aiming to raise up to 367 million yuan for debt repayment and working capital [14][15]. Shareholding and Control - The actual controller, Shen Jian, holds a 37.38% stake in the company, which is expected to increase to 51.23% following the completion of the latest capital increase [15]. - Shen Jian has pledged shares to secure personal investments and support the company's operations, with ongoing efforts to reduce the pledge ratio through asset disposals and bank loans [15].

Group 1 - The biomass power generation concept sector experienced a rise of 0.65% as of the market close on June 17, with notable increases in specific companies such as Huaguang Huaneng (up 9.96%) and Wuhan Tianyuan (up 5.44%) [1] - The top ten companies in the biomass power generation sector ranked by stock price increase include Huaguang Huaneng, Wuhan Tianyuan, and Taida Co., with respective increases of 9.96%, 5.44%, and 1.79% [2][6] - The sector saw a net outflow of main funds amounting to 26.69 million yuan on June 17, despite some companies attracting significant inflows [3][4] Group 2 - The main fund inflow rankings for June 17 show Huaguang Huaneng leading with an inflow of 68.97 million yuan, followed by Wuhan Tianyuan with 23.72 million yuan, and Taida Co. with 8.20 million yuan [4][7] - The detailed fund flow data indicates that large orders experienced a net outflow of 102 million yuan, while small orders saw a net inflow of 118 million yuan on the same day [4]

2024 年植物油方面基本是美国加拿大墨西哥的本土原料为主，而动物油脂和黄油脂方面还 是有其他区域的原料。其中牛油方面其他区域原料为 68 万吨，黄油脂方面其他区域原料为 218 万吨，牛油和黄油脂合计为 286 万吨。抑制非北美的原料，由于玉米油的产量跟燃料乙 醇相关，相对偏稳定，容易增加北美本土菜籽油豆油的用量。 由于美国在 2024 年生物质柴油是净进口国家。我们粗略的将生物质柴油的量转化为原料的 量，生物柴油净进口+可再生柴油净进口的量转化为总原料，为 277 万吨。 再评估美国生物质柴油原料需求增量的问题 ———— 吴小明 投资咨询号：Z0015853 国投期货研究院 2025-06-16 在《美国生物柴油政策利多，美豆油大涨》这篇文章中，我们对非美植物油需求的粗略预估 为如下内容。 "按照 2026 年和 2027 年 56.1 和 58.6 亿加仑的生物质柴油义务量看来，比对 2024 年全年实 际生产+净进口的数据（2025 年全年数据暂时缺少，叠加 2025 年近来需求表现偏弱，先粗 略的用 2024 年的数据参考）。2024 年美国生物质柴油的产量是 48.6 亿加仑+净进口 7.5 亿 ...

中国长城资产有关负责人表示，在实践中，中国长城资产发挥"资产盘活+债务化解"专业优势，制定深 度沟通、稳步推进、增量引导、逐项化解的全链条方案。盘活存量去包袱，通过市场化手段推动长期沉 淀的22亿元低效存量资产激活，转化为现金流活水，卸下企业发展的历史重担。重组债务"稳底盘"，梳 理复杂债务结构，分批确权、分类兑付超百笔存量债务，化解相关项目关联风险，夯实资本市场信用基 础。增量投入强动能，注入7.99亿元纾困资金，支持生物质能源技术研发与产业升级，推动企业从解困 向提质跨越。一系列举措解决了企业资产负债表修复的短期痛点，更助力企业提升生产经营能力、激活 创新动能的长期价值，推动经济效益与社会效益深度融合。纾困盘活使该上市公司实现了资产负债结构 优化，生产经营逐步回归正轨，核心技术研发重启，并为其在能源转型赛道上抢占科技创新制高点赢得 关键机遇。 为企业成功纾困既是中国长城资产运用市场化、法治化手段再度破解上市公司困局，助力其在资本市场 健康发展的典范，更是金融赋能新质生产力的又一生动样本。 中国长城资产将以国家金融监督管理总局印发的《关于促进金融资产管理公司高质量发展 提升监管质 效的指导意见》为指引，立足 ...

根据市场公开信息及6月9日披露的机构调研信息，知名私募凯丰投资近期对1家上市公司进行了调研， 相关名单如下： 机构简介： 深圳市凯丰投资管理有限公司，是一家投资于全球大宗商品、债券、权益类资产及其衍生品的宏观对冲 基金管理公司。凯丰投资是中国基金业协会会员、中国期货业协会会员，具有中国证券基金业协会批准 的私募基金管理人资格。公司管理的多只阳光化基金产品的业绩与规模均居于国内同类产品前列，并荣 获"2014年度金牛私募管理公司（宏观期货策略）"、"第一届央证管理期货奖"、"2015年度金牛私募管 理公司（宏观期货策略）"等奖项。凯丰投资秉承"细节暗藏产业密码，研究发现价值内核"的投资理 念，着力打造了一支50余人的高水平投研团队，专注于宏观和产业基本面研究。目前，产业研究已经覆 盖了国内外期货市场主要交易品种，通过深入产业链调研、挖掘产业细节，并辅以量化手段，协助公司 交易决策。2016年，凯丰投资将进一步加强与实体企业的交流合作，以专业的资产管理能力和深厚的产 业研究实力，为其提供包括产业咨询、合作套保、产业基金等服务在内的产业链综合解决方案。让金融 助力中国企业，圆中国金融强国梦！ 以上内容为证券之星据公 ...

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证券代码：002616 证券简称：长青集团 去年以来生物质燃料的竞争有所减少，市场燃料供应相对充 足，同时项目也通过拓展外料场加大了燃料储备，以上因素叠 加使得采购价格有所下降。 3.如何看待生物质供热未来的成长空间？ 公司看好生物质热电联产这个发展方向，同时政策层面 上，国家也支持"有序发展生物质热电联产，因地制宜加快生 物质发电向热电联产转型升级"。近年来，国家高度重视环保， 取缔自建小锅炉，迫使相关企业纷纷转向集中供热产业园区。 从景气度上看，公司供热客户主要集中在食品、造纸、化工等 需求相对稳定的行业。 债券代码：128105 债券简称：长集转债 广东长青（集团）股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-0605 | |  特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | 2025 年 6 月 5 日上午（线上调研）： | | | 国信证券、兴全基金等 13 位投资者 | | | 2025 年 ...