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澳新银行分析师称金价回调恰为入场良机:二季度目标价上修至每盎司5800美元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:27
同时,澳新银行也提及白银市场因持续的工业供应短缺,预计将与金价保持高度联动,共同推高贵金属板块的整体表现。 澳新银行分析师称:"银价仍将锚定于金价涨势。我们预计银价将跑输黄金,这意味着金银比将均值回归至70:1。" 近期市场波动后,交易所上调了保证金要求,这给市场流动性带来了挑战,从而加剧了价格波动。尽管近期的波动引发了黄金价格是否已见顶的疑问, 但"我们认为,此轮涨势尚未成熟到足以在短期内逆转。" 分析人士指出,市场关注点正越来越多地转向关税可能产生的影响,而这些影响尚未完全体现在经济或通胀数据中。对美联储未来信誉的担忧持续存在, 这营造出一种可能推高投资者对黄金等实物资产需求的环境。 尽管黄金近期从每盎司5600美元的历史高位回落,但澳新银行的分析师表示,此次回调可能会吸引新的投资,理由是持续的结构性支撑以及几乎没有趋势 逆转的迹象,预计到2026年第二季度价格将达到每盎司5800美元。 澳新银行分析师索尼库马里和丹尼尔海因斯在一份报告中称,宽松的美国货币政策、不断升级的地缘政治紧张局势、持续的政策不确定性以及美元走弱表 明,当前金价的走势与1980年或2013年的投机性泡沫顶峰有着本质区别,目前的上涨更 ...
“抛售美国 2.0”?美银分析师:全球再平衡升温,非美资产走俏
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:25
Group 1 - Michael Hartnett, a strategist at Bank of America, indicates that U.S. trade policies are creating a "new world order," leading investors to shift from U.S. dollars and stocks to non-U.S. assets [1] - Hartnett notes that the Trump administration's policies have resulted in a new trading environment focused on "everything except the dollar," suggesting a global rebalancing [1] - Emerging market commodity-producing countries are expected to benefit from the growth in artificial intelligence demand, while investor allocations to China and India remain insufficient [1] Group 2 - Since the announcement of significant tariffs by President Trump in April 2024, U.S. assets have experienced volatility, raising concerns about the end of U.S. dominance in the global economy [4] - Despite the withdrawal of several tariff measures, the S&P 500 has underperformed compared to international indices, with the dollar index declining by approximately 10% since late 2024 [4] - Hartnett's preference for non-U.S. stocks has proven prescient, as the S&P 500 has risen by 15% but lagged behind the MSCI global index (excluding the U.S.) which has increased by 39% [4] Group 3 - The trend of capital flow towards international markets has continued into 2026, with European, Japanese, Korean, and emerging market indices collectively outperforming U.S. stocks [4] - The decline of the dollar has enhanced the attractiveness of overseas markets, increasing the relative value of foreign corporate earnings and boosting returns on international stocks [4] - In January, investors saw a net inflow of $51.6 billion into international equity ETFs, indicating a significant rise in monthly capital inflows since late 2024 [4] Group 4 - Some investors label the current trend of overseas allocation as "Sell America 2.0," but fund managers clarify that this buying spree in international stocks does not equate to a complete abandonment of U.S. equities [5] - Many still believe that U.S. stocks will continue to lead global markets, although the extent of that leadership may diminish compared to recent years [5] - Investors are increasingly questioning the rationale behind a singular focus on U.S. stocks, suggesting a potential shift towards international diversification in their portfolios [5]
中国民生银行首席经济学家兼研究院院长温彬发表新春畅想
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:17
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of building a modern financial system in China, focusing on serving the real economy and achieving high-quality development in the banking sector as part of the broader "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][10]. Group 1: Policy and Economic Context - In 2025, the Chinese banking industry adhered to a policy framework characterized by "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "systematic integration" to enhance financial service quality in key areas [4][9]. - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," which is crucial for advancing the construction of a financial powerhouse in China [5][10]. Group 2: Goals and Strategies - The construction of a financial powerhouse requires a focus on a people-centered approach, serving the real economy, and contributing to international financial stability [5][10]. - The article highlights the necessity of providing high-quality international financial products and digital financial infrastructure to support global economic development and promote a community with a shared future for mankind [5][10]. Group 3: Leadership and Development - Strengthening the comprehensive leadership of the Party is deemed essential for ensuring that financial work remains focused on the people, risk prevention, and deepening structural reforms in financial supply [5][10]. - The commitment to a customer-centric approach and innovation as a driving force is emphasized, with a clear alignment to the goals of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][10].
美财长:参议院金融委员会同意推进沃什的美联储任命案听证会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:14
格隆汇2月13日|美国财长贝森特周五表示,尽管有位关键参议员对提名持保留态度,参议院金融委员 会已同意推进对总统特朗普提名沃什接任美联储主席的确认听证会。贝森特表示:"我认为举行听证会 至关重要。鲍威尔主席的任期将于5月中旬届满,任何关心美联储诚信与独立性的人士都希望看到凯文· 沃什能确保连续性。" 来源:格隆汇APP ...
英国央行首席经济学家皮尔:当前利率的限制性程度愈发模糊
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:12
格隆汇2月13日|英国央行首席经济学家皮尔周五警告称,货币政策对需求的压制程度正变得难以判 断。"我们的货币政策立场确实仍有一定限制性,"皮尔表示,"但这种限制性程度现在更加模糊,或许 其模糊性甚至超过了反通胀进程尚未达标的不确定性。"皮尔在桑坦德银行伦敦活动中表示,通胀回落 至2%目标的速度慢于预期,并强调薪酬协议水平对央行而言仍然过高。作为央行最具鹰派色彩的声音 之一,皮尔在2月5日会议上与多数委员一同投票支持维持利率不变。 ...
陈海强获批担任浙商银行董事长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:12
2月13日金融一线消息,国家金融监督管理总局今日发布《关于陈海强浙商银行董事长任职资格的批 复》,核准陈海强浙商银行股份有限公司董事长的任职资格。 简历显示,陈海强,1974 年 10 月出生,浙商银行党委书记、董事长。硕士学位、正高级经济师。曾任 国家开发银行杭州分行副主任科员,招商银行宁波北仑支行行长、宁波分行党委委员、行长助理、副行 长,浙商银行宁波分行党委书记、行长,杭州分行党委书记、行长,浙商银行行长助理,浙商银行党委 委员、副行长、首席风险官,浙商银行党委副书记、行长。现兼任浙江省国际商会常务副会长。 责任编辑:曹睿潼 2月13日金融一线消息,国家金融监督管理总局今日发布《关于陈海强浙商银行董事长任职资格的批 复》,核准陈海强浙商银行股份有限公司董事长的任职资格。 简历显示,陈海强,1974 年 10 月出生,浙商银行党委书记、董事长。硕士学位、正高级经济师。曾任 国家开发银行杭州分行副主任科员,招商银行宁波北仑支行行长、宁波分行党委委员、行长助理、副行 长,浙商银行宁波分行党委书记、行长,杭州分行党委书记、行长,浙商银行行长助理,浙商银行党委 委员、副行长、首席风险官,浙商银行党委副书记、行长。 ...
建行董事长张金良与中国太平董事长尹兆君举行工作会谈
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:10
观点网讯:2月13日,中国建设银行董事长张金良会见中国太平保险集团有限责任公司董事长尹兆君, 双方就进一步全面深化业务合作举行工作会谈。 免责声明:本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。 尹兆君表示,中国太平高度重视和建设银行的合作关系,希望双方在传统业务良好合作的基础上,加大 在战略投资、财富管理、养老金融、海外业务等领域的合作,建立常态化沟通机制,扎实推进银保高质 量发展。 张金良表示,中国太平是建设银行重要的战略合作伙伴,双方在代理保险、资产托管、企业年金、金融 市场等多领域开展了广泛而深入的合作,希望未来双方立足"十五五"新起点,积极响应市场需求,不断 创新合作机制、升级产品服务,共筑银保协同发展新生态。 ...
(ASX: SBM)与灵宝黄金3.7亿澳元合资交易预计3月收官,Simberi扩建项目最终投资决策在望 TTT与NASA签署测试协议 冷喷涂技术进军航天领域
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 13:00
Group 1: St Barbara and Lingbao Gold Joint Venture - St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) has confirmed a joint venture with Lingbao Gold Group Co., Ltd. for a cash investment of AUD 370 million to acquire a 50%+1 share in St Barbara Mining Pty Ltd, aimed at the Simberi gold mine expansion project [2][3] - The transaction is expected to close by the end of March 2026, coinciding with the final investment decision (FID) for the Simberi project [2][4] - Following the deal, Lingbao Gold will hold an 80% interest in the Simberi project, while Kumul Mineral Holdings will acquire a 20% interest for AUD 100 million, creating a non-corporate joint venture with an 80:20 ownership structure [3][4] Group 2: Project Details and Financial Implications - The Simberi expansion project has existing reserves of approximately 2.5 million ounces (Moz) and resources of about 5.8 Moz, with a competitive cost structure and long-term growth potential [4] - The project is expected to commence production as early as this fiscal year, with annual output projected to gradually increase to 200,000 ounces over five years [4] - The implied overall value of the Simberi project is estimated at around AUD 800 million, surpassing St Barbara's market capitalization of approximately AUD 600 million at the time [3][4] Group 3: Company Background and Market Context - Lingbao Gold is one of China's major gold producers, listed in Hong Kong since 2006, with a comprehensive business model covering exploration, mining, and trading [5] - Kumul Mineral Holdings, as a state-owned enterprise in Papua New Guinea (PNG), provides governmental support for the transaction, reflecting the PNG government's endorsement of the Simberi project [5] - St Barbara's market capitalization also includes other development projects in Canada, cash, gold inventory, and other investment assets, with the Simberi mining lease extended until 2038 [5]
港股13日跌1.72% 收报26567.12点
Xin Hua She· 2026-02-13 12:58
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 465.42 points, a decrease of 1.72%, closing at 26,567.12 points [1] - The total turnover on the main board was HKD 257.578 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 142.47 points, closing at 9,032.71 points, a decline of 1.55% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 48.56 points, closing at 5,360.42 points, down by 0.9% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings fell by 0.65%, closing at HKD 532 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing decreased by 2.13%, closing at HKD 405.2 [1] - China Mobile remained unchanged, closing at HKD 78.2 [1] - HSBC Holdings dropped by 2.72%, closing at HKD 135.7 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings decreased by 0.59%, closing at HKD 46.9 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 0.15%, closing at HKD 133.7 [1] - Henderson Land Development fell by 1.04%, closing at HKD 32.4 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China decreased by 1.48%, closing at HKD 4.65 [1] - China Construction Bank fell by 1.49%, closing at HKD 7.96 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China dropped by 1.38%, closing at HKD 6.41 [1] - Ping An Insurance decreased by 2.16%, closing at HKD 70.35 [1] - China Life Insurance fell by 3.67%, closing at HKD 33.08 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation dropped by 5.12%, closing at HKD 5.37 [1] - China National Petroleum Corporation fell by 4.33%, closing at HKD 9.05 [1] - CNOOC Limited decreased by 3.5%, closing at HKD 24.24 [1]
法兴银行:欧元区政府债券市场表现平静,缺乏动能
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 12:55
Group 1 - The report from Société Générale indicates that the Eurozone government bond market lacks momentum, with narrow yield spreads and low volatility [1] - Investors are engaging in carry trades, seeking signals in this low-noise market environment [1] - Seasonal factors may lead to underperformance of peripheral country bonds, but this situation is not expected to last long [1] Group 2 - Political events have historically been a source of volatility for Italian government bonds (BTP), with the upcoming constitutional referendum on judicial reform in March being closely watched [1] - The company anticipates that there will not be significant political shocks, and any market reactions should be viewed as short-term noise [1]