2026年1月金股陆续披露。 整体来看，有色板块在1月获得券商一致青睐，紫金矿业被10家券商扎堆推荐，是当之无愧的"人气王"。此外，电子、机械、非银板块也有不俗人气。 展望1月市场行情，券商普遍认为，"春季躁动"正徐徐展开，中期大盘趋势依然向上。 1月金股出炉，紫金矿业人气最高 回顾2025年全年，券商金股在波澜壮阔的A股行情中收益亮眼。根据每市APP数据，国元证券月度金股组合在2025年以超80%的收益率居于第一，东北证券、开源证 券去年收益率也近70%，东兴证券、华鑫证券、招商证券等收益率超60%。 进入2026年，1月金股陆续披露。 在众多推荐标的中，紫金矿业获得中泰证券、光大证券等10家机构的一致推荐，是当之无愧的最热金股。推荐券商普遍认为，公司兼具"金+铜"双轮驱动逻辑，在 降息周期与供需格局优化的背景下，金价与铜价有望同步上行，公司业绩弹性与资源成长性突出。 中际旭创则被开源证券、招商证券等7家券商推荐，人气排名第二。推荐理由上，券商认为，作为光模块龙头，公司受益于AI算力建设加速，1.6T等高端产品有望放 量，业绩增长确定性较强。 保险板块也获得券商高度关注，例如中国平安获得国联民生证券、申万宏 ...

Group 1 - The report suggests tactical overweighting in A/H shares, US stocks, and gold, while recommending standard allocation in government bonds and underweighting in oil due to rising global risk aversion driven by geopolitical changes in South America [2][3][18] - Multiple factors support the performance of Chinese equities, including expectations of expanded fiscal deficits and more proactive economic policies as the 14th Five-Year Plan begins [16][17] - The US stock market is expected to perform well, supported by resilient corporate earnings and a cautious monetary policy direction from the Federal Reserve, despite marginal economic cooling [16][17] Group 2 - The report highlights the importance of gold as a safe-haven asset amid rising geopolitical uncertainties, with central banks continuing to purchase gold, which supports long-term price stability [18][19] - The oil market is anticipated to face short-term volatility, with consistent supply-demand expectations and geopolitical events potentially increasing US influence on global oil prices, leading to continued pressure on oil prices [18][19] - The tactical asset allocation model indicates a strategic weight of 45% in equities, 45% in bonds, and 10% in commodities, with specific allocations detailed for various asset classes [20][26]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that geopolitical events have activated the global gold market, leading to a significant increase in gold prices and related stocks, particularly following a military action by the US against Venezuela [2] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks rose by 1.34%, with notable increases in stocks such as Hunan Silver (up 5.49%) and Xiaocheng Technology (up 4.68%) [1] - Zijin Mining announced an expected net profit of 51-52 billion yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of approximately 59%-62%, driven by growth in core metal production and rising sales prices [2] Group 2 - The ETF tracking gold stocks (517520) is expected to benefit from the strong performance of its largest component, Zijin Mining, which has a combined weight of about 15% in the index [2] - Long-term outlook suggests that the trend of rising precious metals prices may continue, despite short-term volatility influenced by economic data and oil price fluctuations [2] - The gold stock ETF (517520) is highlighted for its higher elasticity during gold price increases, making it an attractive investment option for capturing gold price gains while diversifying individual stock risks [3]

编辑丨金珊 受地缘紧张局势的升级影响， 5日早盘，黄金价格大涨。 截至9:30左右， 现货黄金涨1.63%，突破4400美元关口；COMEX黄金期货涨1.73%。现货白银大涨近4%，突破75美元关口。 | 伦敦金现 | 伦敦银现 | COMEX黄金 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4402.009 | 75.612 | 4404.5 | | +70.434 +1.63% | +2.793 +3.84% | +74.9 +1.73% | | COMEX白银 | SHFE黄金 | SHFE自银 | | 75.195 | 991.66 | 18010 | | +4.180 +5.89% | +10.44 +1.06% | -27 -0.15% | 国际油价由跌转涨振幅较大。 | W | | ICE布油 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | B.IPE | | | | | | 61.11 | 昨结 | | 60.75 | 总手 | 1.88万 | | | +0.36 | +0.59% 开盘 | | 60.99 | 现手 ...

Group 1: Gold and Silver Market - Gold prices surged by 1.63%, surpassing the $1,400 mark, while COMEX gold futures increased by 1.73% [1] - Spot silver rose nearly 4%, breaking the $75 threshold [1] Group 2: Oil Market - International oil prices experienced significant volatility, shifting from decline to increase [3] - Venezuela, a key oil-producing country and OPEC member, faces production cuts due to U.S. sanctions, which may lead to a further decline in its oil output [6] - Analysts suggest that escalating geopolitical tensions could raise risk premiums and drive oil prices upward, with WTI and Brent crude potentially reaching $60 and $63 per barrel, respectively [6] Group 3: Asian Stock Markets - Asian stock markets opened higher, with Japan's Nikkei 225 rising over 2.6% and South Korea's Composite Index increasing by more than 2% [4] - The A-share market also saw gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.46%, the Shenzhen Component up by 0.80%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.84% [4] - Notable sectors included commercial aerospace, military stocks, brain-computer interface concepts, and oil and gas stocks showing strong performance [4]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to exhibit a "bull market" trend, with significant inflows into the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF, reflecting investor confidence in future performance [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 5, 2026, the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) saw an intraday increase of 2.31%, currently up 1.81%, reaching a new high since its listing [1][9]. - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF has received a net subscription of 7.8 million units, with a net inflow of 78.89 million yuan over the past five trading days, indicating strong market interest [1][9]. Group 2: Gold Market Insights - The geopolitical tensions following the U.S. military action against Venezuela are expected to drive safe-haven investments in gold, reinforcing the bullish trend in precious metals [1][14]. - Venezuela's gold resource potential is estimated at 3,500 tons, with a projected production of 31 tons in 2024, positioning it in the mid-range of global gold production [1][14]. Group 3: Copper Market Dynamics - A strike at the Mantoverde copper-gold mine in Chile has disrupted supply, contributing to upward pressure on copper prices [2][15]. - The global copper market is projected to face a shortfall of over 100,000 tons in 2026, exacerbated by ongoing U.S. copper tariffs and a price premium of $100 per ton for COMEX copper over LME copper [2][15]. Group 4: Aluminum Market Developments - LME aluminum prices have surged past $3,000, marking the highest level since 2022, driven by concerns over supply stability due to the indefinite shutdown of the Mozal aluminum plant in Mozambique [5][16]. - Global demand for electrolytic aluminum is expected to increase by 150,000 to 187,000 tons in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 2% to 2.5%, while supply remains tight due to potential power shortages [5][16]. Group 5: Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal sector is anticipated to benefit from a confluence of factors including global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, and improved macroeconomic expectations, leading to a sustained bullish trend [5][17]. - Analysts from Zhongjin Company and Zhongtai Securities express optimism for a comprehensive bull market in the non-ferrous sector in 2026, driven by synchronized growth in monetary policy, demand, and supply [5][17]. Group 6: Investment Strategy - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF and its associated funds provide broad coverage across various non-ferrous metals, allowing for risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [6][18].

| < W | 恒生科技(HSTECH) | | Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 01-05 09:20:48 | | | | 资讯 | 成分 资料 | | 相关基金 月度收 | | 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌 三 | | 快手-W 1024.HK | | 70.150 | 5.89% | | 阿里巴巴-W | | | | | 9988.HK | | 151.100 | 1.41% | | 中村国际 0981.HK | | 75.800 | 0.93% | | 『『』『』『』『『』『』『『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『』『』『』『『』『』『』『』『『』『』『』『』『『』『』『』『『』『』『』『『』『』『『』『』『』『『』『』『』『』『『』『』『』『』『『』『』『』『『』『』『『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『『』『』『『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『』『『』『 9626.HK | | 201.400 | 0.85% | | 百度集团-SW | | 145.000 | 0.83% | | 9888.HK | | | | | 小米集 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.09% at 26,361.44 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.33% to 5,755.28 points. The National Enterprises Index fell 0.03% to 9,166.25 points, and the Red Chip Index decreased by 0.22% to 4,074.78 points [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed performance: Alibaba-W increased by 1.41%, Tencent Holdings rose by 0.16%, JD.com-SW fell by 0.26%, Xiaomi Group-W gained 0.79%, NetEase-S dropped 0.26%, Meituan-W decreased by 0.38%, Kuaishou-W surged by 5.89%, and Bilibili-W rose by 0.85% [1] - The three major indices in Hong Kong experienced a "New Year rally" on the last trading day, with the Hang Seng Index up 2.76% to 26,338.47 points, the Tech Index up 4% to 5,736.44 points, and the National Enterprises Index up 2.86% to 9,168.99 points [1] Investment Insights - CICC analyzed that the recent surge is likely not due to significant capital inflow or major policy changes, but rather driven by industry factors such as the listing of semiconductor leaders and the end of overseas holidays prompting investors to reposition for 2026 [2] - Huatai Securities recommends continuing to allocate to tech chains with performance expectations, while also considering a balanced allocation to cash flow assets due to changing driving factors and funding attributes [2] - Key sectors to watch in Q1 include strong cyclical industries with external demand catalysts, such as copper, aluminum, chemicals, and engineering machinery, alongside technology as a main focus [2] Company News - BYD is projected to achieve total sales of 4.602 million new energy vehicles in 2025, with pure electric vehicle sales expected to reach approximately 2.257 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 27.86% [6] - Semiconductor industry developments are highlighted by the increase in the shareholding of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund in SMIC from 4.79% to 9.25% [10] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has revised regulations to lower public fund sales costs, which is expected to save investors approximately 51 billion yuan annually, reducing the comprehensive fee rate by about 20% [9]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market experienced a significant decline last week, recovering the previous week's losses and forming a bearish engulfing pattern, indicating potential further downward adjustments. However, the overall upward trend and bullish outlook remain intact, suggesting that any further declines could present buying opportunities [1][3]. Price Movements - Gold prices opened slightly higher at $4,537.12 per ounce, reached a weekly high of $4,548.58, and then fell sharply, recording a daily drop of over $200. The weekly low was $4,274.54, with a final closing price of $4,328.35, reflecting a weekly decline of $203.91 or 4.5% compared to the previous week's close of $4,532.26 [3]. - The market's volatility was influenced by profit-taking after previous surges in precious metals, increased margin requirements for futures contracts, and a drop in initial jobless claims in the U.S. [3][4]. Geopolitical Influences - Recent geopolitical tensions, including U.S. military actions in Venezuela and airstrikes in Yemen, have driven demand for gold as a safe haven. However, these factors are typically short-term boosts, and the overall market adjustment pattern remains to be seen [4][6]. Economic Indicators - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report is highly anticipated, as it will be the first normal monthly data since the end of the government shutdown. Any signs of a slowing job market could accelerate rate cut expectations, which may negatively impact gold prices [6]. - Other economic indicators, such as ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI, will also be assessed to gauge the health of the U.S. economy and the timing of potential Fed rate cuts [6]. Long-term Outlook - Despite a significant initial increase in gold prices, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged, supported by factors such as expected Fed rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and strong central bank demand for gold [6][8]. - Projections for 2026 suggest continued benefits from Fed rate cut expectations, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and strong demand for gold from central banks and ETFs, indicating further bullish market potential [8]. Technical Analysis - On a monthly chart, gold prices have shown a significant pullback, indicating potential for a larger correction towards the $4,000-$3,900 range. However, a strong performance in January could signal a bullish trend towards $5,500-$6,000 [8]. - Weekly and daily charts indicate that while there may be short-term downward pressure, the overall trend remains upward, with key support levels identified at $4,325 and $4,280 [10].

Group 1 - Venezuela remains a focal point in the news, with oil being a central topic. Despite having the largest global reserves, Venezuela's heavy crude oil exports are limited, suggesting minimal short-term impact on international oil prices. It is anticipated that crude oil futures may see only a brief spike without sustained increases [1] - The recent release of the "Solid Waste Comprehensive Management Action Plan" aims to enhance the reduction of industrial solid waste at the source and eliminate outdated production capacity. This plan emphasizes the integrated construction of non-ferrous metal mining and processing, which is expected to positively influence the non-ferrous metal market in the medium to long term due to anticipated supply shortages amid strong demand [2] Group 2 - The performance of the A-share market is influenced by external factors, with the recent mixed performance of major US tech stocks having a limited impact on A-share tech stocks. In contrast, the Hong Kong market showed strong performance, with the Hang Seng Tech Index experiencing a significant increase of 4%, marking the largest gain on the first trading day of the year in five years [3] - The rise in Hong Kong tech stocks, particularly driven by chips, is expected to positively affect A-share chip stocks. The performance of leading chip companies on the STAR Market is likely to boost the STAR Index and the Shanghai Composite Index. However, there is caution regarding the potential for a high opening, which could lead to a high open-low close scenario [5]