Core Viewpoint - The "2025 China (Leshan) Silicon Industry Chain Development Conference" is scheduled to be held from June 24-26 in Leshan, Sichuan Province, with over 200 companies registered and nearly 500 participants expected [1]. Group 1: Conference Details - The conference aims to discuss the development of the silicon industry chain in China, highlighting the importance of collaboration among various stakeholders [1]. - A list of participating companies includes major players such as Tongwei Co., Ltd., Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd., and JinkoSolar Co., Ltd., indicating strong industry interest [1][2]. Group 2: Participating Companies - Notable companies registered for the conference include: - Tongwei Co., Ltd. - Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd. - JinkoSolar Co., Ltd. - GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited - Corning (Shanghai) Management Co., Ltd. [1][2][3]. - The list also features various suppliers, research institutions, and financial firms, showcasing a diverse representation from the silicon industry [2][3][4]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The conference is expected to facilitate discussions on technological advancements and sustainable practices within the silicon industry, which is crucial for the growth of the photovoltaic sector [1]. - The participation of financial institutions and investment firms suggests a growing interest in funding and supporting innovations in the silicon industry [5][6].

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 工业硅期货早报 2025年6月18日 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 1 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 目 录 1 每日观点 2 基本面/持仓数据 每日观点——工业硅 供给端来看，上周工业硅供应量为7.9万吨，环比有所增加2.60%。 需求端来看，上周工业硅需求为8.2万吨，环比增长20.59%.需求有所抬升.多晶硅库 存为27.5万吨，处于高位，硅片亏损，电池片亏损，组件盈利；有机硅库存为72800 吨，处于高位，有机硅生产利润为290元/吨，处于盈利状态，其综合开工率为 66.28%，环比持平，高于历史同期平均水平；铝合金锭库存为2.23万吨，处于高 位，进口亏损为568元/吨，A356铝送至无锡运费和利润为633.38元/吨，再生铝开工 率为53.9%，环比持平，处于低位。 成本端来看，新疆地区样本通氧 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The industrial silicon market shows a supply - demand imbalance with high inventory pressure, and silicon prices are expected to remain under pressure at low levels in the short term, with limited downward space [1] - The polysilicon market has a weak fundamental situation, and prices are expected to have no upward trend in the short term, with a strategy of shorting on rebounds [1] Summary by Related Content Industrial Silicon Market - **Price Information**: The average price of industrial silicon不通氧553 (East China) remained flat at 8,100 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) average price was flat at 8,700 yuan/ton. The futures main contract closing price rose 0.34% to 7,370 yuan/ton [1] - **Supply Side**: Some silicon enterprises in the north reduced production due to cost - price inversion. In the southwest, although the wet season is approaching, enterprises lack confidence in the future, resulting in a decrease in overall production [1] - **Demand Side**: Polysilicon enterprises continued to reduce production, and the resumption of production may be postponed. The organic silicon industry had a strong willingness to cut production to support prices, but demand was weak. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchased as needed [1] Polysilicon Market - **Price Information**: N - type dense material remained flat at 34.5 yuan/kg, polysilicon re - feeding material was flat at 32.5 yuan/kg, and the futures main contract closing price rose 1.85% to 34,320 yuan/ton [1] - **Supply Side**: Polysilicon enterprises maintained production cuts, and some new production capacity might be put into operation, with a slight increase in expected output but still within 100,000 tons [1] - **Demand Side**: The photovoltaic market was weak, with rising inventories of silicon wafers and polysilicon, and falling prices of silicon wafers, cells, and components [1] Other Market Information - **Automobile Industry**: In May 2025, passenger car production and sales were 2.313 million and 2.352 million units respectively, with month - on - month increases of 2.5% and 5.8%, and year - on - year increases of 12.8% and 13.3%. From January to May, production and sales were 11.08 million and 10.996 million units respectively, with year - on - year increases of 14.1% and 12.6% [1] - **Organic Silicon Market**: The domestic organic silicon DMC market's trading center continued to decline, and it was expected to decline slightly further. The prices of DMC, 107 glue, and silicone oil changed, with DMC down 1.83% to 10,750 yuan/ton and 107 glue down 0.41% to 12,050 yuan/ton [1] - **New Energy Industry**: From January to May, the production of new energy vehicles and solar cells increased by 40.8% and 18.3% respectively. The power generation of wind and solar energy in large - scale industries increased by 11.1% and 18.3% respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market shows signs of slight recovery, with prices rebounding after reaching a low point, but downstream purchasing remains cautious, focusing on demand-based procurement [1][2]. Supply Side - Major northern manufacturers are steadily advancing their resumption plans, and with the onset of the flood season, some silicon plants in the southwest are also resuming operations, leading to an overall increase in production [1]. - New domestic production capacity is gradually being released, contributing to increased supply [1]. Demand Side - The operating load of organic silicon monomer plants has increased, but there is some inventory pressure, leading downstream to primarily engage in small-scale replenishment, resulting in a downward shift in overall transaction focus [1]. - There are no large-scale resumption plans from polysilicon companies, which means limited changes in demand for industrial silicon [1]. - Aluminum alloy companies are maintaining stable production and purchasing industrial silicon based on demand, leading to a slight overall increase in demand [1]. Cost Analysis - With the arrival of the flood season, electricity prices in the southwest have decreased, leading to a reduction in costs and further weakening cost support [1]. - Industrial silicon inventory remains high (over 900,000 tons), exerting significant pressure on industrial silicon prices [1]. Price Outlook - Although costs in the south are decreasing and lower cost support is weakening, current prices are already below cost, indicating limited space for further declines [2]. - While demand is increasing, supply is also rising, which limits the price support from demand increases, leading to expectations of price stability within a bottom range in the short term [2].

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-13 宏观情绪影响消退，工业硅偏弱运行回归基本面 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-06-12，工业硅期货价格偏弱震荡，主力合约2507开于7500元/吨，最后收于7455元/吨，较前一日结算变化（-20） 元/吨，变化（-0.27）%。截止收盘，2505主力合约持仓121504手，2025-06-12仓单总数为58372手，较前一日变化 -302手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8000-8300（0）元/吨；421#硅在8400-9000 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格7500-7700（0）元/吨，99硅价格在7500-7700（0）元/吨。 SMM统计6月12日工业硅主要地区社会库存共计57.2万吨，较上周环比减少1.5万吨。其中社会普通仓库13.3万吨， 较上周环比减少0.2万吨，社会交割仓库43.9万吨（含未注册成仓单及现货部分），较上周环比减少1.3万吨。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10700-11500（0）元/吨。SMM报道，本周山东单体企业线上商城DMC开 盘报价11000元/吨，竞价成交价格跌破11 ...

Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon spot price remains stable, with a recent increase in the main contract price by 5.96% from 7135 CNY/ton to 7560 CNY/ton, indicating a slight market recovery despite cautious downstream purchasing behavior [1] Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply has increased due to the onset of the flood season, with some silicon factories in the south resuming production alongside new capacity coming online and previously halted production restarting [1] - Demand from downstream sectors shows a slight increase, with organic silicon monomer plants operating at high levels, maintaining stable demand for industrial silicon; polysilicon plants have stable operations, and aluminum alloy plants are purchasing based on demand [1] - Overall demand from the three major downstream sectors for industrial silicon has increased [1] Price Dynamics - The market for organic silicon monomer plants is well-supplied with sufficient inventory, but weak downstream demand is causing price pressure, leading to a downward shift in price levels; polysilicon spot prices have also declined [1] - Recent inflows of industrial silicon warehouse receipts have led to a slight decrease in inventory, but overall inventory levels remain high, exerting pressure on the spot market [1] - With the reduction in electricity prices during the flood season in the south, cost support has weakened further; however, current prices are below production costs, limiting further downside potential, and prices are expected to remain within a bottom range of fluctuation [1]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-11 多晶硅现货成交一般，盘面震荡运行 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-06-10，工业硅期货价格偏强运行，主力合约2507开于7405元/吨，最后收于7415元/吨，较前一日结算变化（60） 元/吨，变化（0.82）%。截止收盘，2507主力合约持仓155627手，2025-06-11仓单总数为59252手，较前一日变化-927 手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8000-8300（0）元/吨；421#硅在8400-9000 （0）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格7500-7700（0）元/吨，99硅价格在7500-7700（0）元/吨，现货价格企稳。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价10700-11500（-100）元/吨。SMM报道，据SMM统计，5月国内有机硅产 量环比4月上升6.48%，开工率增至62.37%，月内龙头企业集中规模检修，但其他部分企业装置负荷稍有提高，故 表现为运行产能减少，但实际产量增长的现象。6月虽仍有部分装置处于检修周期，但负荷的提高影响下，预计6 月排产仍将继续走高。 策略 近几日工业硅期货盘面反弹 ...

Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, the futures price rebounded while the spot price stabilized, with the basis narrowing significantly. The fundamentals changed little, but the overall sentiment improved recently. The price bottom is easily affected by various news, and the near - month contract has high positions, leading to large short - term fluctuations. Upstream enterprises can sell on rallies for hedging [1][2]. - For polysilicon, the futures price declined, and the spot price was weakly stable. The fundamentals are weak. As the number of warehouse receipts increases, the delivery game weakens, and the futures price is under pressure. Attention should be paid to the subsequent increase in warehouse receipts [3][5][10]. Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - On June 8, 2025, the main contract 2507 of industrial silicon futures opened at 7,245 yuan/ton and closed at 7,475 yuan/ton, up 2.33% from the previous settlement price. The position of the main contract 2507 was 177,663 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts on June 9 was 60,179 lots, a decrease of 394 lots from the previous day [1]. - The spot price of industrial silicon was stable. The price of East China oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 8,000 - 8,300 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 8,400 - 9,000 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton. The prices of individual silicon in Xinjiang and Sichuan continued to decline, while those in Kunming, Huangpu Port, Tianjin, Shanghai, and the northwest remained stable, as did the price of 97 silicon [1]. - The DMC price of silicone was 10,900 - 11,500 yuan/ton, a decrease of 200 yuan/ton. The weekend quotation of Shandong monomer enterprises decreased by 400 yuan/ton to 11,000 yuan/ton, and the bid - winning price dropped to 10,800 yuan/ton. After the price decline, the transaction center of the DMC market decreased [1]. Polysilicon - On June 8, 2025, the main contract 2507 of polysilicon futures opened at 34,620 yuan/ton and closed at 34,105 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.24% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 64,383 lots (65,179 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 123,726 lots [3][7]. - The spot price of polysilicon was stable. The price of polysilicon re - feedstock was 32.00 - 35.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 30.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 29.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 32.00 - 33.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 35.00 - 38.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 33.00 - 35.00 yuan/kg [3][7]. - The polysilicon inventory was 26.90 (a 0.37% month - on - month increase), the silicon wafer inventory was 20.02GW (a 7.80% month - on - month increase), the weekly polysilicon output was 22,000 tons (a 1.85% month - on - month increase), and the silicon wafer output was 13.04GW (a 2.67% month - on - month decrease) [3][4][7]. - The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.92 yuan/piece (a decrease of 0.03 yuan/piece), N - type 210mm was 1.28 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers were 1.08 yuan/piece [4][7]. - The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W (a decrease of 0.01 yuan/W), PERC210 battery cells were about 0.28 yuan/W, TopconM10 battery cells were about 0.25 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells were 0.26 yuan/W, Topcon210RN battery cells were 0.27 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery cells were 0.37 yuan/W [4][8][9]. - The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm components was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.69 - 0.70 yuan/W (an increase of 0.01 yuan/W), and N - type 210mm was 0.70 - 0.70 yuan/W (an increase of 0.01 yuan/W) [4][9]. Strategies Industrial Silicon - Unilateral: Mainly conduct range operations, and upstream enterprises can sell on rallies for hedging. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Futures - spot: None. - Options: None [2]. Polysilicon - Unilateral: Mainly conduct range operations. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Futures - spot: None. - Options: None [5][8][10].

作 者丨曹恩惠 编 辑丨骆一帆 6月9日，有媒体报道称，一位接近合盛硅业（603260.SH）的人士透露， 该公司正在谋求股 权转让，特变电工是此前的意向"接盘方"之一。 上述报道指出，截至5月底，双方对价格的谈判未能取得积极成果。"据了解，以董事长罗立 国为代表的合盛硅业实控人罗氏家族，出让全部股权的意向对价在百亿元级别。而特变电工 认为该价格偏离预期。" "对于任何捏造、散布此类不实信息、误导市场及投资者的行为，公司将采取一切必要法律手 段，严厉追究相关方的法律责任，坚决维护公司及全体股东的合法权益。"公司称，"如未来 发生与该事项相关的情形，本公司及相关信息披露义务人将严格按照法律法规要求及时履行 信息披露义务。" 作为工业硅和有机硅领域的双龙头企业，合盛硅业截至2024年底已经形成了工业硅产能122万 吨/年，有机硅单体产能173万吨/年。该公司也布局了光伏多晶硅等光伏制造环节，但受到近 两年光伏产业周期迎来低谷期的影响，其光伏板块的业务表现远不及传统硅基业务。 2024年，合盛硅业实现营业收入266.92亿元，同比增长0.41%；实现归属于母公司股东净利润 为17.40亿元，同比减少33.6%。而今 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 China (Leshan) Silicon Industry Chain Development Conference is scheduled to take place from June 24 to June 26 in Leshan, Sichuan Province, and is currently experiencing high registration interest [3] - All single rooms at the conference hotel are fully booked, and there are limited standard rooms available, indicating strong demand for the event [3] - The conference will not charge a registration fee, and participants can collect their representative certificates upon registration [4] Group 2 - Various promotional project pricing details are provided, including costs for roll-up banners (5000 yuan), material display (5000 yuan), video display during tea breaks (10000 yuan), and report presentations (50000 yuan) [4] - Member units are entitled to complimentary conference materials and meal vouchers, with limits based on membership level, while non-member units and excess member personnel will incur a fee of 2000 yuan per set for materials and meal vouchers [4] - Payment details for the conference are outlined, including the account information for the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association and instructions for obtaining electronic invoices [4]