格隆汇12月22日线上举办"科技赋能·资本破局"分享会。备受瞩目的卓越公司评选榜单隆重揭晓。其 中，格隆汇"金格奖"年度卓越公司评选中，赛力斯(601127.SH/09927.HK)荣获"年度卓越高端制造企 业"奖项。 "年度卓越高端制造企业"是从技术、价值、产业等层面进行全方位分析研判，旨在甄选出高端制造行业 中在智能化、绿色化、服务化发展方面取得重大成就的卓越企业。本次评选通过定量数据分析和专家评 审团等方式得出最终结果。 ...

以下文章来源于笔记财经晨会 ，作者笔记小助手 笔记财经晨会 . 有观点的财经晨会 点击上方 蓝字"笔记财经晨会" 关注我们 今日金曲：王菲-又见炊烟 笔友们早上好！点击上方音频收听详细晨会内容，音频末尾放送今日金曲，也可以留言区点歌哦！ 一、A股：海南"椰风"吹遍大A，50亿资金疯抢！ 1. 海南这波封关启动后，三亚免税店连续3天单日卖超1亿，今年累计冲200亿，把双11搬到了海滩上，政策红利"大型炫富现场"～ 2. 海南板块狂到没朋友： 海南板块指数涨9.45%差一步涨停，20只个股集体封板，主力资金砸50亿进场，妥妥全市场最靓的仔！ 3. 5个方向受益： 二、市场整体情况 沪指涨0.69%、深成指涨1.47%、创业板指涨2.23%，超3200只股飘红，成交额1.86万亿还放量了； 2. 机构彻底分裂： 交易盘忙着卖长债，配置盘揣着钱观望 ，本来都是"一家人"，结果现在"互相伤害"，"本是同根生，相煎何太急"～ 3. 央行操作：放了673亿逆回购，又收回1309亿，相当于净收回636亿，但市场钱还是够花，不紧张～ 四、LPR：连续7个月"躺平"，降息盼到脖子酸 1年期LPR3%、5年期以上3.5%，连续7个 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the need for China to strengthen its internal capabilities to address external challenges, particularly in the context of a complex and uncertain global environment [1] - The article highlights the importance of focusing on domestic demand and innovation to enhance resilience against external uncertainties, advocating for a strong domestic market and the cultivation of new growth drivers [1] Group 2 - The article identifies a "strong supply and weak demand" contradiction, where supply is abundant but structurally imbalanced, leading to intensified competition in low-end products and insufficient high-end supply [3] - It points out that weak consumer growth is influenced by factors such as low expectations for income growth and inadequate service quality, alongside investment vitality issues and external demand pressures from a sluggish global economic recovery [3] Group 3 - The meeting proposes to implement special actions to boost consumption, including urban and rural income increase plans and optimizing policies for new consumption, such as subsidies for upgrading digital products [4] - Data from the Ministry of Commerce indicates that from January to November this year, the old-for-new consumption policy has driven sales exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan, benefiting over 360 million people [4] Group 4 - On the supply side, the meeting calls for expanding the supply of quality goods and services, emphasizing innovation-driven strategies and the need for market-oriented reforms to facilitate the allocation of resources across regions [5] - It also stresses the importance of optimizing the implementation of key projects to expand effective investment and stabilize investment growth [5] Group 5 - The article concludes that the upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" period will focus on addressing the "strong supply and weak demand" structural contradiction through dual efforts on both supply and demand sides, ensuring a solid foundation for economic stability and growth [7]

Core Insights - The Hainan Free Trade Port officially commenced its full island closure operation on December 18, 2025, attracting significant international attention [3] - The term "closure" does not imply isolation but rather signifies a new level of openness, with Hainan positioned as a special area for goods while allowing free movement of people [5][7] - Hainan's strategic location allows it to connect with 21 countries and regions in Asia within a 4-hour flight, covering 47% of the global population [11] Group 1: Economic Impact - On the first day of closure, Sanya's duty-free sales reached 118 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 85% [1] - The transition from a "positive list" to a "negative list" for duty-free goods has increased the proportion of zero-tariff items from 21% to 74%, expanding the number of taxable items from 1,900 to 6,600 [17][19] - The introduction of a "double 15%" income tax incentive for enterprises in encouraged industries significantly lowers operational costs compared to mainland China [26] Group 2: Policy and Regulatory Framework - Hainan's closure is part of a broader national strategy to enhance the dual circulation development pattern, serving as a key point for both domestic and international market integration [14] - The implementation of a new sales tax system simplifies the tax process for businesses, reducing the burden of multiple tax payments throughout the production and sales process [29][30] - The establishment of the Hainan Free Trade Port Law and 46 supporting regulations aims to create a business environment aligned with international standards [36] Group 3: Infrastructure Development - Hainan has developed 72 container shipping routes and upgraded its transportation infrastructure, including roads and airports, to facilitate trade and tourism [33][34] - The integration of logistics and trade nodes enhances the efficiency of customs supervision and supports the overall economic vitality of the Hainan Free Trade Port [34] Group 4: Talent Attraction and Industry Growth - The tax incentives for high-end talent, including exemptions on personal income tax above 15%, aim to attract skilled professionals to Hainan [28] - Hainan is positioning itself not only as a duty-free shopping destination but also as a hub for high-end manufacturing and advanced industries, with 13 key industrial parks supporting diverse economic activities [32]

12月20日，广州科技创新创业大赛（广州双创大赛）2025总决赛暨INNO+大湾区科创嘉年华在广州归 谷科技园隆重举行。本次活动由广州市科技局主办，作为2025大湾区科学论坛重要组成部分，吸引了超 60家投融资机构、30余家海内外媒体、数百名科创精英齐聚一堂，共同见证广州科技创新的丰硕成果与 未来愿景。 从"赛场星光"到"市场壮阔"：十年创新生态的蜕变 自2015年启动以来，广州双创大赛持续革新赛制机制，全国首创多项改革举措，如2017年探索开展"以 赛代评"，将赛事评价与科技项目遴选、政府资助直接挂钩；后续连年创新，先后推出"以投代评""以贷 代评"，将市场化投资机构的专业判断和银行的信贷评估纳入评审体系，显著提升了项目筛选的效率与 精准度；首创的"市场+政府"协同办赛模式，以及与港澳台联合办赛，进一步拓展了大赛的辐射范围与 资源整合能力，其改革实践已入选国家及省科技体制改革典型案例。 在"十年故事分享"环节，瑞臻再生医学分享了参赛企业实现从实验室到产业化的跨越。2019年，瑞臻再 生医学成立，专注于iPSC诱导多能干细胞"通用现货型"细胞治疗产品。2020年，他们首次参赛，凭借 iPSC定向分化技术获得初 ...

海南全岛封关运作，远非一地一港的政策调整。它更像一个投入平静湖面的巨石，激起的涟漪正层层扩散， 重新定义着亚洲运行了百年的贸易、航运与地缘规则 作为全球贸易的关键"路由器"，新加坡的成功根植于马六甲海峡无可替代的地理位置，以及由此衍生出的高 效中转、金融及法律服务。然而，这种模式存在固有的脆弱性 海南封关带来的"加工增值免关税"政策，精准地击中了传统中转模式的软肋。它并非提供另一个类似的中转 站，而是创造了一种"制造 贸易"的新型枢纽 海南封关的深远意义，在于其为中国乃至全球提供了一套制度型开放的"压力测试"系统 这种焦虑植根于现实的地缘政治。俄罗斯与西方相互关闭领空的前例，已展示了"领空武器化"的可能。日本 在对华关系上的战略摇摆，使其企业不得不将这种政治风险纳入长期成本核算。海南封关及其象征的中国市 场深度开放，与潜在的交通通道不确定性，构成了日本企业必须权衡的"双杀"困局：是更贴近庞大的消费与 供应链市场，还是分散风险以保安全？ 将这场变革解读为简单的"替代"过于片面。真正的图景是亚洲内部功能的精细化重组与竞合并存 新加坡已开始加速转型。其核心战略是向贸易价值链的更高端攀升，即强化其在法律仲裁、离岸金融 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Zhuji Development Conference was held in Zhuji City, Zhejiang Province, where significant investment and development initiatives were announced [1][3] Group 1: Investment and Economic Growth - Over the past five years, Zhuji has attracted more than 2,000 prominent individuals from the area, resulting in total investments exceeding 30 billion yuan [1] - Zhuji's GDP has increased from 154 billion yuan in 2021 to 186 billion yuan in 2024, marking a significant growth trajectory [3] - The local government has identified 144 internal projects with investments over 100 million yuan, accounting for one-third of the annual manufacturing investment [3] Group 2: Industrial Development and Projects - The conference featured the signing of 18 industrial projects with a total planned investment of 26.8 billion yuan, focusing on sectors such as intelligent vision, aerospace, life health, new energy, and high-end manufacturing [5] - Six major industrial platforms were promoted, including the High Lake Future New District and the Xishi Basketball Center area, aimed at accelerating the establishment of a modern industrial system [5] Group 3: Talent and Education Initiatives - A donation ceremony was held where multiple companies contributed 41 million yuan to support local talent development, reinforcing the foundation for industrial growth [5]

其实，单纯以美元汇率换算的GDP衡量国力，就像只看包装不看内核，忽略了一个关键指标，恰恰是它，能让所谓的"差距"瞬间反转。这个核心指标是什 么？它又如何改写我们对中美真实国力的认知？ 要读懂中美GDP差距的本质，首先要搞清楚一个关键前提：汇率换算的GDP，受货币波动影响极大，不能直接等同于真实国力。 从经济增速来看，美国年均增速约2%，中国则保持在4%左右，理论上中国应持续缩小与美国的差距，但为何实际数据反而反向扩大？ 今天来给大家聊一下中美GDP之间的差距。有一组数据引发广泛讨论：中美GDP差距从2023年的9.4万亿美元，扩大到如今的11万亿美元。 按汇率换算，中国GDP约18万亿美元，美国则在28-29万亿美元区间，表面看两国差距正在拉大。 其实原因并非中国国力衰退，而是人民币汇率波动与经济结构调整的阶段性影响。近年来，中国正处于经济转型期，部分传统产业投资出现阶段性调整，消 费市场也面临短期承压。 这是否意味着中国国力增长放缓，甚至未来会被美国进一步拉开距离？不少人据此产生焦虑，但事实真的如此吗？ 与此同时，中国出口贸易始终保持强劲势头，积累了大量外汇储备，但国内投资信心的恢复需要时间，这一过程中人民 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hainan's announcement of full island closure operation on December 18, 2025, represents a strategic move by China to counter global containment efforts, emphasizing openness rather than isolation [1][8][22] Group 1: Policy and Economic Implications - The concept of "closure" in Hainan does not imply isolation but rather a model of "open first, control second," allowing international access while regulating domestic channels [3][6] - Hainan will operate as a special zone with zero tariffs and simplified approvals for international goods, effectively becoming a "domestic outside" area in terms of trade rules [3][6] - The unique policy of "30% value-added processing for domestic sales exempt from tariffs" provides a significant competitive advantage for businesses, allowing them to import raw materials duty-free and sell processed goods to the mainland without tariffs [11][13] Group 2: Strategic Positioning - Hainan is not intended to replace Hong Kong or Singapore; instead, it aims to leverage its vast land and natural resources to focus on sectors like agriculture, deep-sea exploration, aerospace, and high-end manufacturing [15][17] - The region is positioned as a "testbed" for advanced medical devices and data flow, facilitating early access for domestic patients and exploring cross-border digital economy cooperation [19][21] Group 3: Global Context and Future Outlook - Hainan's closure is seen as a significant step comparable to China's WTO accession in 2001, marking a shift from product-level to institutional-level openness, allowing China to participate in international rule-making [22] - The initiative aims to attract global capital, talent, and technology to Hainan, countering efforts to isolate China and reinforcing the country's commitment to globalization [21][22]

专题：财经年会2026：预测与战略暨2025全球财富管理论坛 12月18日， 阳光保险集团首席经济学家、国家统计局原局长邱晓华在发言中表示，居民财富因房产减值而缩水，影响消费能力，"去年9月份之后，中国资 本市场出现好转，从去年9月份到现在，居民的金融资产大概增值10万亿。所以我们还是要继续把房地产的问题尽快解决好，把资本市场继续维护好，让老 百姓能够在财产性收入方面有一个更好的心理预期"他说。 阳光保险集团首席经济学家、国家统计局原局长邱晓华 以下为部分发言实录： 邱晓华：谢谢主持人，也谢谢大家在这么宝贵的时间听我汇报一下我对当下经济和未来五年经济的初步展望。 2025年即将过去，回顾这一年，中国经济逆风而行，外有美国关税战的冲击，世界变乱交织，内有经济转型之阵痛，内需增长偏弱，双重挑战无疑增添了我 们发展的难度，当然也说明了稳中有进的不易，全年经济按照目前的态势，比上年增长5%左右，能够实现年初的预期目标，为"十四五"的收官画上了圆满 的句号。 2026年是"十五五"的开局之年，展望新的一年，改革开放、地缘政治、科技革命和宏观政策将继续主导整个经济和市场的发展格局。预计国家明年经济增长 目标可能为5%左右 ...