Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the electric new energy industry, indicating a recovery in performance driven by supply-demand improvements [3]. Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a clear upward trend in profitability, with a total net profit of 698 billion yuan for 54 sample companies in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 48% [8]. - The energy storage segment continues to see high demand growth, with leading companies showing strong performance, particularly those with global expansion capabilities [3]. - The wind power sector maintains high prosperity, with significant growth in offshore wind deliveries in Q3 2025 [3]. - The photovoltaic sector is witnessing a recovery in profitability, aided by policies aimed at reducing competition [3]. Summary by Sections Lithium Battery - The lithium battery sector shows a clear recovery with a total revenue of 748.85 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 698 billion yuan, up 48% year-on-year [8][9]. - All segments within lithium batteries, including batteries, electrolytes, and structural components, reported both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter revenue growth [8][9]. Energy Storage - The energy storage sector continues to experience high growth, with leading companies like Sungrow Power showing a 57% year-on-year increase in net profit [3]. - The demand for household energy storage is rebounding strongly, particularly in emerging markets, which is a key driver for growth [3]. Wind Power - The wind power sector reported a 23% year-on-year increase in total revenue for 31 sample companies, with net profit rising by 41% year-on-year [3]. - The average bidding price for wind turbine generators increased by approximately 9.2% year-on-year, indicating a stable pricing environment [3]. Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic sector is seeing significant improvements in profitability, particularly in upstream segments like silicon materials and wafers, which have stabilized and begun to recover [3]. - The report highlights the positive impact of policies aimed at reducing excessive competition, leading to a healthier industry environment [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on four main investment lines: 1. Cyclical growth companies such as CATL and EVE Energy 2. Technological innovation firms like Rongbai Technology 3. Supply-side optimization companies such as Tongwei Co. 4. Companies expanding into AIDC as a secondary business like Sungrow Power [3].

Market Overview - On November 10, 2025, the market experienced a slight decline with a trading volume of 2.02 trillion, down approximately 600 billion from the previous trading day[1] - The A-share market opened lower due to significant overnight declines in U.S. stocks but maintained a relatively stable performance throughout the day[1] - The overall market trend appears to be a steady upward movement, with notable focus on the new energy sector, particularly in photovoltaic and lithium battery industries[1] Sector Performance - The chemical, oil, building materials, and power equipment sectors showed the highest gains, while the computer, electronics, home appliances, automotive, and media sectors faced the largest declines[1] - The rapid rotation of market styles has shifted focus from energy storage to semiconductors, and now to photovoltaics and lithium batteries, indicating a broader market sentiment beyond just AI computing power[1] Investment Opportunities - The photovoltaic sector is gaining attention due to recent news about the formation of a joint storage consortium, leading to significant gains in the silicon material sector, which also positively impacts downstream photovoltaic component industries[2] - The lithium battery supply chain is witnessing strong expectations for recovery, supported by multiple large supply agreements and rising prices across various material segments[3] Trading Data - On November 7, the market saw a trading volume of 2 trillion, a decrease of 562 billion from the previous day, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.25%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.36%, and ChiNext Index down 0.51%[4] - On the same day, net inflows into the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets were 66.35 billion and 89.74 billion, respectively, with the top three sectors for inflows being chemical products, batteries, and power grid equipment[5] Economic Indicators - China's total import and export value for the first ten months of the year reached 37.31 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.6%[8] - Exports and imports in October were 2.17 trillion and 1.53 trillion, respectively, indicating a stable trade environment[8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core View of the Report - The fundamental situation of lithium carbonate continues to show a tight supply - demand balance. The total inventory has been decreasing for 12 consecutive weeks, and the de - stocking amplitude has further expanded. Although domestic production has continuously reached new highs and the import volume is expected to increase in November, the terminal market is strong. However, the expected acceleration of the resumption of production may put pressure on the price. It is recommended to take appropriate profit - taking for long positions near the previous high and wait for opportunities to go long on dips [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Overview - In October, China's official manufacturing PMI dropped to 49, and the non - manufacturing index rose to 50.1. Exports denominated in US dollars decreased by 1.1% year - on - year, and imports increased by 1.0% year - on - year. The eurozone's manufacturing PMI was 50 in October, with Germany and France in continuous contraction. The US ISM manufacturing PMI contracted for 8 consecutive months, but the service PMI reached an 8 - month high. The US government shutdown has entered its 36th day [3]. 3.2 Supply Side - This week, the weekly output of lithium carbonate continued to increase, remaining above 23,000 tons and reaching a new high for the year. The average industry operating rate rebounded to over 50%. In October 2025, Chile exported 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate, a 56% increase from the previous month, with 16,200 tons exported to China [3]. 3.3 Demand Side - According to the preliminary statistics of the Passenger Car Association, from October 1 - 31, the retail sales of the national passenger car market were 2.387 million vehicles, a 6% year - on - year increase and a 7% increase from the previous month. The cumulative retail sales this year were 19.395 million vehicles, a 9% year - on - year increase. The wholesale volume of national passenger car manufacturers was 2.922 million vehicles, a 7% year - on - year increase and a 4% increase from the previous month. The cumulative wholesale volume this year was 23.769 million vehicles, a 12% year - on - year increase [4]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - This week, the price of the mining end increased. The price of African SC 5% remained unchanged at $630 per ton compared to last week. The CIF price of Australian 6% spodumene was $940 per ton, a decrease of $53 per ton from last week. The market price of lepidolite was 2,775 yuan per ton, an increase of 100 yuan from last week. The production cost of lithium carbonate was 71,169 yuan per ton, a decrease of 9 yuan from last week, and the industry profit was 8,904 yuan per ton, an increase of 1,887 yuan [4]. 3.5 Total Inventory - As of November 6, the total inventory of lithium carbonate was 123,953 tons, a decrease of 3,406 tons from last week. The inventory of upstream smelters was 30,715 tons, a decrease of 1,336 tons from the previous week [5]. 3.6 Market Review - As of November 7, LC2601 closed at 82,300 yuan per ton, a 1.9% increase from last week. The spot price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 80,250 yuan per ton, a 2.7% decrease from last week. The basis discount widened, and the main contract's open interest was 492,000. The main contract first declined and then rose this week. On Tuesday, the market was impacted by the news of the full resumption of mica mines by CATL and Guoxuan, causing the lithium price to drop significantly. However, due to strong downstream demand, tight supply - demand balance, and continuous de - stocking, the price was difficult to fall deeply [8]. 3.7 Product Output and Operating Rate - **Lithium Carbonate**: As of November 7, the output was 23,465 tons, a week - on - week increase of 145 tons. The enterprise operating rate was 51.53%, a week - on - week decrease of 1.12%. The price increase stimulated production enthusiasm, and the production of some enterprises increased [10]. - **Lithium Hydroxide**: As of November 7, the output was 6,455 tons, a week - on - week increase of 165 tons. The enterprise operating rate was 36.72%, a week - on - week decrease of 4.72%. Mainstream holders focused on fulfilling long - term contracts, and cathode material manufacturers were cautious in purchasing [12]. - **Lithium Iron Phosphate**: As of November 7, the output was 96,856 tons, a week - on - week increase of 8,420 tons. The enterprise operating rate was 85.24%, a week - on - week increase of 7.41%. The industry was in a situation of both strong supply and demand [14]. - **Ternary Materials**: The demand in the power field was strong, and the production schedule increased slightly [16]. - **Other Cathode Materials**: The demand structure was differentiated, and the supply remained stable [24]. 3.8 Inventory Situation - **Lithium Carbonate Industry**: As of November 6, the total inventory was 123,953 tons, a decrease of 3,406 tons from last week. The warehouse receipt inventory was 27,332 tons, a decrease of 289 tons from last week. The post - holiday de - stocking accelerated, and the warehouse receipt continued to decline, intensifying the tightness of spot circulation [32]. - **Lithium Iron Phosphate Industry**: As of November 7, the total inventory was 40,132 tons, a decrease of 541 tons from last week. The finished - product inventory continued to decline, and the market demand drove inventory digestion [35]. 3.9 Cost and Profit of Products - **Lithium Carbonate**: As of November 7, the production cost was 71,169 yuan per ton, a decrease of 9 yuan from last week, and the industry profit was 8,904 yuan per ton, an increase of 1,887 yuan. The price of lithium ore followed the fluctuation of lithium carbonate, and the de - stocking trend supported the price [49]. - **Lithium Hydroxide**: As of November 7, the production cost was 68,465 yuan per ton, a decrease of 1,001 yuan from last week, and the industry profit was 7,643 yuan per ton, an increase of 943 yuan from last week. The supply tightened, and the inventory de - stocking supported the price [51]. - **Lithium Iron Phosphate**: As of November 7, the production cost was 36,677 yuan per ton, a decrease of 220 yuan from last week, and the loss was 2,463 yuan per ton, an increase of 37 yuan per ton from last week. Although the raw material price was strong and the demand was high, the over - capacity of conventional products limited price increases [53]. - **Ternary Materials and Other Products**: The cost - profit transmission was not smooth, and the industry profit level faced challenges [56].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows mixed performance with sectors like lithium battery electrolyte and fluorochemical leading the gains, indicating a positive trend in the chemical industry driven by demand from the new energy sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 10, the A-share market experienced a divergence in performance, with the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index rising over 2%, and stocks like Luxi Chemical hitting the daily limit [1] - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) has seen significant net inflows, totaling 101 million yuan over the past 10 trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - In September, the production of new energy vehicles reached 1.58 million units, accounting for 49% of total automobile production, with lithium iron phosphate batteries making up 73% of domestic power battery sales [1] - The lithium battery industry is entering a peak season in October, with production across the entire supply chain expected to increase by 3% to 9% month-on-month and 21% to 51% year-on-year [1] - Cumulative production of lithium carbonate, batteries, and key materials has shown a year-on-year increase of 27% to 58% as of October, with significant growth in battery anode materials and electrolytes exceeding 40% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - CITIC Securities highlights three main trading themes in the chemical sector: 1. The demand for energy storage is boosting the industry's overall outlook, with a reshaping of supply and demand dynamics for upstream lithium battery materials [1] 2. Continued efforts to combat internal competition in the chemical sector are expected to lead to a recovery in chemical product prices [1] 3. The chemical industry is experiencing high levels of prosperity, with core business expected to maintain strong growth [1] Group 4: ETF and Fund Insights - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds closely track the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index, with the basic chemical industry accounting for 60.8% and the oil and petrochemical industry for 32.2%, positioning them to benefit from the improved industry outlook and anti-internal competition policies [2]

Group 1 - The 15th High-Performance Lithium Battery Annual Conference will be held from November 18 to 20 in Shenzhen, with Zhu Wu, General Manager of Mengguli New Materials, confirmed to attend as a roundtable dialogue guest [2] - Zhu Wu has 16 years of experience in the lithium battery industry and has held managerial positions in several leading new energy material companies, contributing to significant awards and recognitions [4] - Mengguli New Materials, established in 2000, focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of lithium-ion battery cathode materials, with a registered capital of 460 million yuan [4][5] Group 2 - The company was officially listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market on August 9, 2023, and emphasizes the simultaneous development of technological innovation and product upgrades [5] - Mengguli has achieved a comprehensive voltage platform for lithium cobalt oxide, covering 4.2V to 4.55V, with high-voltage products validated by key customers [6] - The company’s ternary cathode materials include high-nickel and single crystal series, with significant breakthroughs in medium-nickel high-voltage products and successful domestic replacements for NCA products [6]

Core Viewpoint - The North American electricity shortage continues to drive up sectors such as energy storage, lithium batteries, power equipment, and photovoltaics, with significant profit opportunities expected in the energy storage downstream integration and operation segments [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext New Energy ETF (159368) experienced fluctuations, with stocks like Tianhua New Energy and Dike Co. rising over 7%, while Haineng Technology increased by over 5% [1] - The ETF is the largest in tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, which covers various segments of the new energy and electric vehicle industries, including batteries and photovoltaics [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Energy storage is highlighted as one of the best supporting power sources for AIDC, with a high certainty of volume growth [1] - There is an expectation that profits will be passed from upstream to materials and battery segments through price increases, with opportunities for both volume and price growth in these areas [1] - The demand outlook for 2026 is becoming clearer, particularly for materials like 6F and VC, which are experiencing rapid price increases, as well as leading opportunities in lithium iron phosphate, anode materials, separators, and aluminum foil [1] Group 3: ETF Characteristics - The ChiNext New Energy ETF has the highest elasticity, with a potential increase of up to 20%, and the lowest fee structure, with a total management and custody fee of only 0.2% [1] - As of October 31, 2025, the ETF's scale reached 829 million yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 90.05 million yuan over the past month [1] - The ETF has a storage content of 58% and a solid-state battery content of 31%, aligning well with current market trends [1]

Group 1 - A-shares opened slightly higher on November 10, with active performance in sectors such as lithium batteries, chemical raw materials, and memory chips [1] - The A500 ETF fund (512050) saw a net subscription of 2.768 billion yuan over the past 10 trading days, indicating accelerated capital allocation towards core A-share assets [1] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year increase in CPI for October, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising 1.2% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [1] Group 2 - Galaxy Securities anticipates that the hidden main line in the A-share investment landscape may be the themes unfolding in the year-end market, suggesting a buildup for a new upward trend [2] - The third-quarter reports of listed companies demonstrate resilience in fundamentals, with notable structural highlights [2] - The "14th Five-Year" plan emphasizes high-quality development and technological self-reliance, aiming to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [2]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry has experienced a decline in profitability for three consecutive years since 2022, with some sectors facing intense competition and overall losses. However, there is a shift towards industry self-regulation to restore product supply-demand balance and improve profitability [1] Industry Overview - The agricultural chemicals, refrigerants, bioenergy, tires, and metal chromium sectors are currently in an upward cycle of prosperity [1] Market Trends - According to GGII statistics, domestic energy storage lithium battery shipments are expected to reach 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, exceeding 30% of the total for 2024, with an anticipated annual total of 580 GWh, representing a 67% year-on-year growth. This surge in storage demand, coupled with pre-subsidy rushes, has led to strong demand for upstream lithium battery materials, resulting in a supply shortage and a continuous price recovery [1] - Nutrien forecasts that global potash demand may further increase to 74-77 million tons by 2026, with global potash prices expected to maintain high levels and potential for further increases due to major companies delaying capacity expansions [1] Investment Focus - CITIC Securities indicates that the chemical sector is currently trading around three main themes: 1. The rise in energy storage demand is enhancing the prosperity of the supply chain, with a reshaping of the supply-demand dynamics for upstream lithium battery materials, recommending a focus on new energy-related materials [1] 2. The ongoing "anti-involution" efforts in the chemical industry are leading to self-regulation across multiple sectors, which is likely to support a bottoming out and recovery in chemical product prices [1] 3. The chemical sector itself is experiencing high prosperity, with core businesses expected to maintain robust growth [1]

Market Overview - Major indices opened higher with Shanghai Composite Index up 0.11%, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.37%, and ChiNext Index up 0.43% [1] - Key sectors showing gains include fluorine chemical, phosphorus chemical, and precious metals [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4001.79, up 0.11%, with 1183 gainers and 702 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13453.37, up 0.37%, with 1549 gainers and 854 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 3221.93, up 0.43%, with 753 gainers and 438 losers [2] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities emphasizes the importance of identifying performance elasticity and focusing on structural market trends, particularly in AI and new energy sectors [2] - China Galaxy Securities highlights the ongoing adjustment in the tech sector and suggests focusing on themes like anti-involution and dividends, with a rotation among sectors such as electric grid equipment and lithium batteries [3] - Huatai Securities recommends a "dumbbell" strategy for short-term investments, focusing on low-valuation sectors and potential recovery in dividend-paying stocks [4]

Group 1 - CITIC Securities maintains a bullish outlook on gold stocks, indicating a decrease in volatility for commodities and stock indices [1] - The sentiment index for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks has declined, with a notable drop in the VIX for major indices [1] - Institutional focus is shifting towards defense, military, and non-bank financial sectors, while interest in the telecommunications sector is decreasing [1] Group 2 - CICC forecasts a more balanced market style for A-shares by 2026, driven by the restructuring of the international monetary order and the AI revolution [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of fundamentals and the movement of global and domestic funds in shaping market dynamics [2] - Three main investment themes are suggested: growth in prosperous sectors, breakthroughs in external demand, and cyclical reversals [2] Group 3 - China Galaxy Securities highlights the ongoing adjustment in the technology sector, with a focus on the rotation of market themes [3] - The report notes that the market is expected to maintain rapid rotation, with sectors like electric grid equipment, lithium batteries, and chemicals showing upward trends [3] - Key investment themes include anti-involution, new productive forces, consumer sectors, and "dual heavy" areas benefiting from project construction [3]