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安粮期货生猪日报-20250415
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-04-15 03:01
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - **Soybean Oil**: The Y2509 contract of soybean oil may face short - term consolidation [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: Due to multiple factors, soybean meal may experience short - term range - bound fluctuations [2]. - **Corn**: In the short term, the corn futures price will be range - bound, and an interval operation strategy is recommended [3]. - **Copper**: Maintain a tactical defense and focus on the monthly K - line pattern [4]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The 2505 contract of lithium carbonate may show a weak - side oscillatory trend, and short positions can be taken on rallies [5][6]. - **Steel**: With the gradual digestion of macro - negative factors, a strategy of buying on dips at low levels is recommended for steel [7]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Due to ample supply, coking coal and coke may have a limited - space, weak - side oscillatory rebound at low levels [8]. - **Iron Ore**: The iron ore 2505 contract will be range - bound in the short term, and traders are advised to be cautious [9]. - **Crude Oil**: After the sharp decline of the WTI main contract, pay attention to the rebound near the support level of 430 - 450 yuan/ton for the INE crude oil main contract [10]. - **Rubber**: Pay attention to the downstream operating rate of Shanghai rubber, and there is support around 14,000 yuan/ton for the main contract [11]. - **PVC**: With a slight improvement in macro - sentiment, the futures price may oscillate at a low level [12]. - **Soda Ash**: The futures market is expected to show a short - term weak - side oscillatory trend [13]. 3. Summary by Commodity Soybean Oil - **Spot Information**: The price of first - grade soybean oil at Zhangjiagang Donghai Grain and Oil is 8,320 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [1]. - **Market Analysis**: During the current period, it is the U.S. soybean sowing season and the South American soybean harvesting and exporting season. South American new - crop soybeans are likely to have a bumper harvest. The medium - term supply and demand of soybean oil may remain neutral, and the medium - term inventory may be stable [1]. Soybean Meal - **Spot Information**: The spot prices of 43% soybean meal in different regions are: Zhangjiagang 3,300 yuan/ton, Tianjin 3,720 yuan/ton, Rizhao 3,440 yuan/ton, and Dongguan 3,220 yuan/ton [2]. - **Market Analysis**: The Sino - U.S. tariff policy has caused market panic. Brazilian soybean harvesting is nearly complete, and the export outlook for U.S. soybeans is pessimistic. The supply of domestic soybean meal is still tight, and Brazilian soybeans are expected to arrive in mid - to late April. The downstream inventory is low, and the trading volume has increased slightly [2]. Corn - **Spot Information**: The mainstream purchase prices of new corn in different regions are provided, such as 2,090 yuan/ton in Northeast China and Inner Mongolia, and 2,290 yuan/ton in North China and the Huanghuai region [3]. - **Market Analysis**: U.S. tariff hikes have increased the cost of corn imports. The U.S. corn market is oscillating strongly. In China, the supply pressure has eased, and the demand is expected to increase. However, there are still potential suppressing factors [3]. Copper - **Spot Information**: The price of Shanghai 1 electrolytic copper is 74,430 - 74,670 yuan, down 555 yuan, with a discount of 30 - a premium of 20 [4]. - **Market Analysis**: Global "irrational" tariffs have caused turmoil in overseas capital markets. The Fed's stance reflects uncertainty. Domestically, policies are boosting market sentiment. The raw material supply problem has not been resolved, and the copper price is in a state of resonance [4]. Lithium Carbonate - **Spot Information**: The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%) is 70,750 yuan/ton (+250), and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2%) is 69,350 yuan/ton (+250) [5]. - **Market Analysis**: The forward price of spodumene concentrate is decreasing. Supply is increasing, and demand has improved but is still insufficient to drive up prices. The inventory is increasing, and the price has declined synchronously [5][6]. Steel - **Spot Information**: The price of Shanghai rebar is 3,170 yuan, the Tangshan operating rate is 83.13%, the social inventory is 5.9095 million tons, and the steel mill inventory is 2.0712 million tons [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The fundamentals of steel are improving, and the contango structure is weakening. The cost is rising, and the inventory is decreasing. The market is affected by both macro - policy expectations and fundamentals [7]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Spot Information**: The price of main coking coal (Meng 5) is 1,200 yuan/ton, and the price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port is 1,330 yuan/ton. The port inventory of imported coking coal is 3.4756 million tons, and the port inventory of coke is 2.1713 million tons [8]. - **Market Analysis**: Supply is ample, demand is weak, inventory is slightly increasing, and the profit is approaching the break - even point [8]. Iron Ore - **Spot Information**: The Platts iron ore index is 98.35, the price of Qingdao PB (61.5%) powder is 765 yuan, and the price of Australian powder ore (62% Fe) is 764 yuan [9]. - **Market Analysis**: Supply and demand factors are intertwined. The supply has decreased slightly, and the demand is mixed. The U.S. tariff policy has restricted the upward movement of prices [9]. Crude Oil - **Spot Information**: Not provided in the report. - **Market Analysis**: The impact of U.S. "reciprocal tariffs" is fading. OPEC is increasing production, but global demand is under pressure due to trade wars and geopolitical uncertainties [10]. Rubber - **Spot Information**: Not provided in the report. - **Market Analysis**: U.S. tariffs have hit China's tire and automobile exports. The global supply and demand of rubber are both loose, and the demand may be severely restricted [11]. PVC - **Spot Information**: The mainstream price of East China 5 - type PVC is 4,840 yuan/ton, a 20 - yuan increase; the mainstream price of ethylene - based PVC is 5,080 yuan/ton, unchanged [12]. - **Market Analysis**: The production start - up rate has decreased. Demand remains weak, and the inventory has decreased. The futures price may oscillate at a low level [12]. Soda Ash - **Spot Information**: The national mainstream price of heavy soda ash is 1,446.88 yuan/ton, a 3.12 - yuan decrease [13]. - **Market Analysis**: Supply is at a high level, inventory is slightly decreasing, and demand is mediocre. The futures market is under pressure [13].
南向资金今日净买入57.80亿港元,药明生物净买入4.74亿港元
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-04-14 15:23
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On April 14, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.40%, with southbound funds recording a total transaction amount of HKD 112.70 billion, resulting in a net inflow of HKD 5.78 billion [1]. Group 1: Southbound Fund Activity - The total transaction amount for southbound funds was HKD 1,126.99 million, with buy transactions amounting to HKD 592.39 million and sell transactions at HKD 534.59 million, leading to a net buy of HKD 57.80 million [1]. - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total transaction amount of HKD 430.30 million, with a net buy of HKD 2.60 million, while the Shanghai Stock Connect recorded a total transaction amount of HKD 696.69 million and a net buy of HKD 55.20 million [1]. Group 2: Active Stocks - The most actively traded stock by southbound funds was Xiaomi Group-W, with a total transaction amount of HKD 142.81 million, followed by Alibaba-W and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 92.00 million and HKD 75.51 million, respectively [1]. - The stock with the highest net buy was WuXi Biologics, with a net buy amount of HKD 4.74 million, and its closing price increased by 6.32% [1]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation had a net buy of HKD 2.86 million, while Pop Mart recorded a net buy of HKD 2.42 million [1]. Group 3: Continuous Net Buying - Seven stocks, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Xiaomi Group-W, appeared on both the Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock Connect active stocks list [2]. - Xiaomi Group-W, Meituan-W, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation had continuous net buying for 8 days, 7 days, and 7 days, respectively [2]. - Alibaba-W had the highest cumulative net buy amount of HKD 113.48 million, followed by Xiaomi Group-W with HKD 97.54 million and Meituan-W with HKD 46.82 million [2].
资金动向 | 北水豪掷4.73亿港元扫货药明生物,连续8日加仓小米
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-04-14 12:15
Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth HKD 57.8 billion on April 11, with notable net purchases in WuXi Biologics (HKD 4.73 billion), CNOOC (HKD 2.86 billion), Pop Mart (HKD 2.42 billion), Hong Kong Exchanges (HKD 2.39 billion), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (HKD 1.91 billion) [1] - Southbound funds have continuously net bought Xiaomi for 8 days, totaling HKD 97.5411 billion; Meituan for 7 days, totaling HKD 46.822 billion; CNOOC for 7 days, totaling HKD 36.5746 billion; and Alibaba for 5 days, totaling HKD 113.4719 billion [1] Group 2 - WuXi Biologics is expected to benefit from the growth direction of innovative drugs in the pharmaceutical sector, which is not affected by tariffs, and has a strong domestic demand focus [3] - CNOOC's controlling shareholder, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, plans to increase its stake in CNOOC's A-shares and Hong Kong shares by no less than RMB 20 billion and no more than RMB 40 billion over the next 12 months [3] - Pop Mart's CEO announced a comprehensive upgrade of the organizational structure to promote the group's globalization strategy, focusing on regional strategies with headquarters set up in Greater China, Americas, Asia-Pacific, and Europe [3] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor is identified as a major beneficiary of the increasing domestic demand for analog chips due to retaliatory tariffs imposed by China on U.S. goods, with a target price of HKD 30.6 per share and a rating of "outperform" [4]
如何理解家电CPI环比创十年新高?——通胀数据点评(25.03)
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-04-11 15:53
Core Viewpoints - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March showed a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%, an improvement from the previous value of -0.7%, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, slightly worse than the expected 2.2% [8][59] - The increase in household appliance CPI to a ten-year high reflects improved consumer demand, despite weak PPI performance due to falling prices of major commodities like oil and coal [2][60] - The overall low CPI is primarily influenced by weak food CPI, which is attributed to sufficient food supply [3][19] CPI and PPI Analysis - March PPI decreased by 0.4% month-on-month, with significant contributions from falling oil prices (down 6%) and coal prices (down 7.9%), which together dragged PPI down by approximately 0.5% [2][9] - Core commodity PPI fell by 0.6 percentage points to -1.6%, while core commodity CPI slightly increased by 0.2 percentage points to 0.1%, indicating a shift in price sampling towards "trade-in" products [2][60] - Food CPI showed a slight recovery to -1.4% year-on-year, but the first quarter's food CPI was still down 1.4% compared to Q4 of the previous year, reflecting a strong supply of fresh vegetables and fruits [3][19] Service Sector Insights - The service CPI increased by only 0.3% month-on-month in March, which is lower than the typical seasonal increase of 1.4% seen in previous years, indicating a decline in post-holiday consumer activity [3][27] - Core service CPI decreased by 0.6%, significantly underperforming compared to the previous year's figure of -0.1%, with travel-related prices dropping due to reduced travel demand [3][61] Future Outlook - The potential increase in tariffs may exert downward pressure on PPI, while the recovery of domestic demand is expected to support CPI, leading to a forecast of CPI performing better than PPI throughout the year [4][33] - The anticipated average year-on-year PPI is projected at -1.5%, while CPI is expected to average at 0.1% [4][33]
4月11日电,哥伦比亚国家石油公司表示,由于油价下跌,其可能不得不“废弃”一些生产油田,转而专注于成本较低的油田。
news flash· 2025-04-11 15:21
智通财经4月11日电,哥伦比亚国家石油公司表示,由于油价下跌,其可能不得不"废弃"一些生产油 田,转而专注于成本较低的油田。 ...
调整之后,红利板块重回配置区!——更新红利20组合
申万宏源研究· 2025-04-11 09:48
以下文章来源于申万宏源策略 ,作者申万宏源策略 申万宏源策略 . 我们强调体系性、实战性 证券分析师: 陆灏川 A0230520080001、王雪蓉 A0230523070003 牟瑾瑾 A0230524100002、王胜 A0230511060001 研究支持: 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 多重因素共振下,A股红利板块持续调整。 年初至今,中证红利指数跌幅达2.5%,整体股息 率从5.04%提升至6.30%。一方面,降息预期延迟以及股债跷跷板效应显现,10年期国债上行 16BP;另一方面,国产大模型取得突破,成长预期回归,在风险偏好上升阶段,红利板块面临资 金分流压力。 申万三级行业口径下,2025年初至今红利板块内部结构分化显著: 股份行、白酒、 非运动服饰、乳品等板块估值提升;而动力煤、焦煤、炼油化工、房屋建设、教育出版等板块估 值回落、性价比提升, 具体见图一。 港股红利板块稳中有进,相较于A股红利板块的性价比优势缩窄。 年初至今,中证港股通高 息精选指数上涨2.8%。我们梳理A+H两地上市的高股息股票(A股股息率>3%,且港股股息率 AH红利溢价指数(算术平均) AH红利溢价指数(市值加权 ...
石化化工交运行业日报第48期:大股东增持彰显“三桶油”发展信心,看好油价波动期公司经营韧性-20250410
EBSCN· 2025-04-10 08:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, specifically for the "Three Barrel Oil" companies [5]. Core Insights - The "Three Barrel Oil" companies (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC) have announced share buyback plans by their major shareholders, reflecting confidence in their future development and the long-term investment value of the capital market [1]. - Despite recent oil price declines due to OPEC+ production increases and tariffs, the "Three Barrel Oil" companies have demonstrated operational resilience, with China National Petroleum and CNOOC showing profit growth, while Sinopec faced a decline in net profit due to refining sector challenges [2]. - The report anticipates continued growth in oil and gas equivalent production for 2025, with China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC expected to increase their production by 1.6%, 1.3%, and 5.9% respectively [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Oil and Petrochemicals - The report highlights the recent price movements in the oil market, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices dropping by 17.3% and 18.1% respectively since the beginning of April [2]. - The upstream segment of the "Three Barrel Oil" companies is expected to maintain cost advantages and enhance production capacity, with CNOOC's main cost per barrel projected to decrease by 1.1% in 2024 [2]. 2. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend, and well-performing companies within the "Three Barrel Oil" sector, including China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC, as well as oil service companies [4]. - It also recommends monitoring domestic material companies benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution, such as Jingrui Electric Materials and Tongcheng New Materials [4]. 3. Product Price Trends - The report provides a detailed overview of product prices in the energy and chemical sectors, noting fluctuations in various commodities, including a slight increase in domestic coking coal prices and a decline in liquefied gas prices [3][10][15].
安粮期货生猪日报-20250410
An Liang Qi Huo· 2025-04-10 06:22
Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings No investment ratings for the industries are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - **Soybean Oil**: The Y2509 contract of soybean oil may face consolidation in the short - term [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: Due to large emotional fluctuations, soybean meal may fluctuate strongly in the short - term [2]. - **Corn**: The short - term corn futures price will fluctuate within a range, and an interval operation strategy is recommended [3]. - **Copper**: After a sharp decline to release risks, copper prices need a rest, and tactical defense should be carried out at an appropriate time [4]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The 2505 contract of lithium carbonate may fluctuate weakly, and short positions can be opened on rallies [5][6]. - **Steel**: The market sentiment is pessimistic, and steel prices will fluctuate at a low level [7]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: With sufficient supply, coking coal and coke will have a weak rebound at a low level, but the upward space is limited [8]. - **Iron Ore**: The 2505 contract of iron ore will mainly fluctuate weakly in the short - term, and traders are advised to be cautious [9]. - **Crude Oil**: After a sharp decline in the WTI main contract after the holiday, pay attention to the rebound near the support level of 430 - 450 yuan/barrel of the INE crude oil main contract [10]. - **Rubber**: Pay attention to the downstream operating rate of Shanghai rubber, and rubber will mainly fluctuate weakly [12]. - **PVC**: Due to weak macro - sentiment, the futures price may fluctuate at a low level [13][14]. - **Soda Ash**: The 05 contract of soda ash continued to decline yesterday, and the futures price is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short - term [15]. 3. Summary by Commodity Soybean Oil - **Spot Market**: The price of first - grade soybean oil at Zhangjiagang Donghai Grain and Oil is 8,230 yuan/ton, down 40 yuan/ton from the previous trading day [1]. - **Market Analysis**: During the current period, it is the sowing season of US soybeans and the harvesting and export season of South American soybeans. The harvest of Brazilian soybeans is almost completed. The new South American soybean crop is likely to have a bumper harvest. In the medium - term, the new supply and downstream demand of soybean oil may remain neutral, and the medium - term inventory may be sorted out [1]. Soybean Meal - **Spot Information**: The spot prices of 43% soybean meal in different regions are: Zhangjiagang 3,140 yuan/ton (+40), Tianjin 3,340 yuan/ton (+70), Rizhao 3,300 yuan/ton (+100), and Dongguan 3,050 yuan/ton (+40) [2]. - **Market Analysis**: The Sino - US tariff policy has caused market panic. The harvest of Brazilian soybeans is nearly finished, and the export of US soybeans is still pessimistically expected. The arrival of imported soybeans is increasing, and the terminal breeding demand is average. The inventory of oil mills' soybean meal remains neutral. Due to the additional high - tariff imposition during the Tomb - Sweeping Festival, the short - term sentiment of soybean meal is strong [2]. Corn - **Spot Information**: The mainstream purchase prices of new corn in key deep - processing enterprises in the three northeastern provinces and Inner Mongolia are 2,088 yuan/ton; in key enterprises in North China and the Huang - Huai region, it is 2,293 yuan/ton; the purchase price at Jinzhou Port (15% moisture, bulk density 680 - 720) is 2,140 - 2,160 yuan/ton; and at Bayuquan Port (bulk density 680 - 730, 15% moisture) is 2,140 - 2,160 yuan/ton [3]. - **Market Analysis**: The US corn planting area in 2025 is expected to reach 95.326 million acres, a 12 - year high. The domestic farmers have sold nearly 90% of their grain, and the import of corn and substitute grains has decreased significantly. The downstream pig production capacity is recovering, and the overall supply - demand pattern is improving. However, there are still potential suppressing factors such as policy - grain rotation and wheat substitution [3]. Copper - **Spot Information**: The price of Shanghai 1 electrolytic copper is 73,820 - 75,400 yuan/ton, down 4,540 yuan/ton, with a premium of 100 - 200 yuan/ton. The imported copper ore index is - 26.4, down 2.26 [4]. - **Market Analysis**: The global "irrational" tariff shock has caused great fluctuations in overseas capital markets. The domestic policies are continuously strengthening, which is conducive to the recovery of market sentiment. The raw material shock is still extreme, and the copper price is in a stage of resonance [4]. Lithium Carbonate - **Spot Information**: The market price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%) is 70,500 yuan/ton (-1,400), and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate (99.2%) is 79,100 yuan/ton (-1,400). The price difference between the two is 1,400 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day [5]. - **Market Analysis**: The forward price of lithium spodumene concentrate has been lowered. The weekly operating rate is increasing, but the growth rate is slowing down. The demand has improved but is still insufficient to drive the price up. The inventory has been continuously accumulating [5]. Steel - **Spot Information**: The price of Shanghai rebar is 3,170 yuan/ton, the Tangshan operating rate is 83.13%, the social inventory is 5.9095 million tons, and the steel mill inventory of rebar is 2.0712 million tons [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The fundamentals of steel have gradually improved, and the contango structure has weakened. The cost center of steel is rising, and the inventory is decreasing. The short - term macro - policy expectations dominate the market, and the supply and demand are both strong [7]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Spot Information**: The price of main coking coal (clean coal, Mongolia 5) is 1,200 yuan/ton; the price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port is 1,330 yuan/ton; the port inventory of imported coking coal is 3.4756 million tons; and the port inventory of coke is 2.1713 million tons [8]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply is relatively loose, the demand is still sluggish, the inventory of independent coking enterprises is slightly increasing, and the average profit per ton of coke is approaching the break - even point [8]. Iron Ore - **Spot Information**: The Platts Iron Ore Index is 95.65, the price of Qingdao PB (61.5%) powder is 735 yuan/ton, and the price of Australian iron ore powder (62% Fe) is 749 yuan/ton [9]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply of iron ore is increasing, and the global port inventory has reached a new high since 2023. The demand is weak, and the market is worried about the contraction of long - process steelmaking demand. However, the weakening of the US dollar index provides some support [9]. Crude Oil - **Market Analysis**: The US has postponed the collection of "reciprocal tariffs" on some countries for 90 days and reduced tariffs on some countries to 10%, while maintaining a 129% tariff on China. OPEC+ decided to increase production in May, and the US PMI data in February contracted. The trade war and the Russia - Ukraine conflict have increased uncertainties, and the demand in the second quarter may be severely affected [10]. Rubber - **Spot Information**: The spot prices of rubber are: domestic whole latex 16,600 yuan/ton, Thai RSS3 21,600 yuan/ton, Vietnamese 3L standard rubber 17,750 yuan/ton, and 20 - grade rubber 16,350 yuan/ton [11]. - **Market Analysis**: The US "reciprocal tariff" has a great impact on China's tire and automobile exports. The global supply and demand of rubber are both loose, and the market is concerned about the import volume and inventory changes of rubber in China [12]. PVC - **Spot Information**: The mainstream spot price of East China 5 - type PVC is 4,750 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton month - on - month; the mainstream price of ethylene - based PVC is 5,080 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton month - on - month; the price difference between the two is 330 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton month - on - month [13]. - **Market Analysis**: The operating rate of PVC production enterprises has increased. The domestic downstream demand has not improved significantly. The social inventory has decreased due to various factors. The futures price has fallen due to macro - tariff factors, and the fundamentals have not improved significantly [13]. Soda Ash - **Spot Information**: The national mainstream price of heavy soda ash is 1,462.38 yuan/ton, unchanged month - on - month. The mainstream prices in East China, North China, and Central China are 1,525 yuan/ton, 1,575 yuan/ton, and 1,450 yuan/ton respectively, all unchanged month - on - month [15]. - **Market Analysis**: The operating rate of soda ash has increased, and the production has increased. The manufacturer's inventory has accumulated, and the social inventory has decreased slightly. The demand is average, and the downstream is resistant to high - priced goods. The global tariff disturbance still exists, and the short - term futures price is under pressure [15].
节后A股迎关税风暴袭击,中国核心资产显韧性!哪些方向值得关注?
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-04-09 10:08
对等关税发酵,全球资产明显波动,不确定性之下余波未定。4月7日开盘,A股三大股指全线下行,上证指数跌逾 6%,深证成指跌近8%,创业板指跌超9%。盘面上A500等核心资产韧性凸显。 【对国内基本面有何影响?】 通过数据计算,本次对等关税后,今年美国已累计对华加征54%的关税,再叠加此前已加关税,美国对华关税税率可 能达到60%以上,高于市场预期的上沿位置。 根据国联证券分析,假设对美出口下降一半甚至更多(对美出口占中国总出口15%),考虑全球其他需求同步受损, 中国总出口下降10%到20%,相当于2008年金融危机、2020年疫情的最大冲击水平。 从相对盈利优势来看,核心资产的营收增速和净利润率都已经提前于全A非金融板块出现拐点,展现出极强的经营韧 性。 华创证券认为,基于当前环境下,中国相较于全球其他经济体存三大相对优势: 一是当前国内财政货币仍有明显空间,2024年底以来央行已多次公开表示"择机降准降息",可期待二季度降息窗口打 开。 二是近期对于支持民营经济信号明显增强,政策积极释放支持民营经济发展信号。 三是相比其他国家,中国在应对美方的关税措施上有充分经验,18年以来对美出口依赖度已大幅降低,中国出 ...
港股收盘(04.09) | 恒指收涨0.68% 大消费股、半导体股走势强劲 中芯国际(00981)大涨超10%
智通财经网· 2025-04-09 08:53
智通财经APP获悉,港股今日低开高走,三大指数午后强势拉红,恒科指数一度涨超3%。南向资金持 续加码托举大市,全日净买额超355亿港元,创历史最高单日净买入纪录。截止收盘,恒生指数涨 0.68%或136.81点,报20264.49点,全日成交额4123.85亿港元;恒生国企指数涨1.41%,报7535.68点; 恒生科技指数涨2.64%,报4689.19点。 银河证券指出,中长期来看,港股市场配置价值较高的三大主线分别是:第一,在国内扩内需、稳消费 等政策刺激下,消费行业业绩有望继续改善,从而促进当前估值水平处于历史中低水平的消费股上涨。 第二,科技政策支持与产业趋势将迎来共振,相关公司业绩改善预期较强,科技板块有望持续上涨。第 三,港股高股息策略仍具备吸引力,尤其是积极进行市值管理的央企高股息标的。 蓝筹股表现 小米集团-W(01810)表现亮眼。截至收盘,涨7.71%,报41.9港元,成交额274.28亿港元,贡献恒指87.55 点。汇丰研究报告指出,小米受美国关税政策的影响小于苹果的供应商,因为其对美国市场的依赖极 低,而且其产品定位对于不确定的经济前景更具防御性。大和认为,近期小米集团的股价在车祸和配 ...