Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report ETF options are approaching expiration, and the implied volatility of near - month contracts is rising [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market Statistics**: The closing prices of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and CSI 1000 Index increased by 17.64, 42.36, and 93.54 respectively. The trading volumes of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index and CSI 300 Index decreased by 8.40 billion and 16.26 billion hands, while that of the CSI 1000 Index increased by 4.77 billion hands. For ETFs, the trading volume of some decreased, while others increased [3]. - **Option Market Statistics**: The trading volumes of some option contracts decreased, such as the Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option and Shanghai Composite 50 ETF Option, while others increased, like the CSI 1000 Index Option and Southern CSI 500 ETF Option. The open - interest also showed different trends of increase or decrease [3]. - **Option Volatility Statistics**: In the near - month contracts, the ATM - IV of most option contracts decreased, except for the Southern CSI 500 ETF Option and Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF Option which increased. The same - term HV of some contracts increased, and the Skew also had different changes [6]. 3.2 Option Index Data Statistics - **PCR and Maximum Positions**: The VL - PCR and OI - PCR of different option contracts varied. For example, the VL - PCR of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option was 54.85%, and the OI - PCR was 69.94%. The maximum positions of call and put options in the near - month contracts also differed for each option [3]. 3.3 Option Charts - For each type of option (e.g., Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option, CSI 300 Index Option), there are charts showing the full - contract PCR, the main - contract skewness trend, the volatility cone, and the volatility term structure, which visually present the historical and current option data [10][14][24]

Group 1 - The principle of hedging involves adjusting the market value of ETF constituent stocks based on their Beta value to estimate the corresponding systematic risk exposure of the ETF, and then buying a corresponding number of put options to hedge this estimated ETF market value [1]. Group 2 - A specific case involves an institution holding 10,000 shares of a constituent stock (Company A) of the Sci-Tech 50 Index, seeking to fully hedge the systematic risk of this stock [2]. Group 3 - On March 18, 2025, Company A's closing price was 94.1 yuan, and the closing price of the Sci-Tech 50 ETF (588000) was 1.146 yuan. The calculated Beta value of Company A relative to the Sci-Tech 50 ETF was 1.1 [3][4]. Group 4 - The institution bought 90 contracts of the Sci-Tech 50 put option with a strike price of 1150 for April, at a price of 0.0486 yuan, totaling a premium payment of 43,740 yuan [5]. Group 5 - By April 7, 2025, the institution sold the held options. During this period, Company A's stock price fell from 94.1 yuan to 84 yuan, resulting in a loss of 101,000 yuan on the stock position, while the put option price increased from 0.0486 yuan to 0.2017 yuan, yielding a profit of 137,790 yuan on the options position [6].

目前，CME的加密货币合约主要覆盖比特币与以太坊等资产，交易者可用于对冲价格波动风险或进行 杠杆化投机，而无需持有现货。例如，对比特币走势转弱的预期，可通过做空比特币期货来对冲现货头 寸。据CME披露，今年以来加密产品日均交易量已增长至270,900份合约，名义价值达120亿美元，同比 激增132%；未平仓合约同比增长82%，升至299,700份，名义价值达266亿美元。仅在第四季度，日均交 易量同比增长106%，达到403,200份，未平仓合约同比激增117%，名义规模达354亿美元。 随着更多投资者寻求受监管的加密敞口，CME自2017年推出比特币期货以来持续扩大产品线，市场需 求在波动周期中更加凸显。与此同时，比特币价格周一小幅反弹至88,000美元上方，但涨幅仍落后于美 股整体反弹，且尚未完全摆脱上周暴跌带来的疲弱情绪。上周五，比特币一度跌至近七个月低点80,554 美元，过去四周跌幅超过20%。尽管周末出现修复性反弹，周一涨幅不足2.5%。其他高波动代币表现更 为强劲，XRP上涨约7%，Solana上涨约3%。 智通财经APP获悉，芝商所宣布，其加密货币期货与期权产品在11月21日创下单日交易量新高 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoint The market shows a trend of oscillating volatility decline, and it is advisable to consider selling out-of-the-money call options [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market Statistics**: The closing prices of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and some ETFs have changed, with trading volume showing varying degrees of decline. For example, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index closed at 2950.56, down 5.29 points, and its trading volume decreased by 9.59 billion hands [1]. - **Options Market Statistics**: The trading volume and open interest of various options have also changed. For instance, the trading volume of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options decreased by 11,704, and the open interest increased by 2,676 [1]. 2. Options Volatility Statistics - **Near - Month Options**: The implied volatility (ATM - IV) of most options has declined. For example, the ATM - IV of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options decreased by 1.28% [4]. - **Next - Month Options**: The ATM - IV of most options has also decreased. For example, the ATM - IV of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options decreased by 0.29% [4]. 3. Specific Option Analysis - **Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options**: Analyzed through full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure charts [7][8]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Similar analysis methods are used, including full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure charts [11][12]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Analyzed with relevant charts such as full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [15][16]. - **ETF Options**: Options of various ETFs, such as Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF, Huatai - Ba瑞 300ETF, etc., are analyzed using similar methods [23][27].

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the content. Core Viewpoint The market is in a state of volatile decline in volatility, and it is advisable to consider selling out-of-the-money call options [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market**: The closing prices of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and some ETFs showed different trends, with trading volumes mostly decreasing. For example, the Shanghai Composite 50 Index closed at 2950.56, down 5.29 points, and its trading volume was 50.80 billion hands, a decrease of 9.59 billion hands [1]. - **Options Market**: The trading volumes of various options mostly decreased, while the open interest showed different trends. For instance, the trading volume of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options was 25,915, a decrease of 11,704, and the open interest was 56,615, an increase of 2,676 [1]. - **Options Volatility**: The implied volatility (IV) of most options decreased, and the historical volatility (HV) showed different trends. For example, the near - month ATM - IV of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options was 14.38%, a decrease of 1.28%, and the 10 - day HV was 11.80%, a decrease of 0.11% [4]. 2. Option Analysis Charts - For each type of option (such as Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options, CSI 300 Index Options, etc.), there are charts showing full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cones, and volatility term structures, which help analyze the market sentiment and volatility characteristics of each option [8][12][16].

Report Investment Ratings - Index Futures: ☆☆☆ [1] - Treasury Bond Futures: ☆☆☆ [1] Core Views - As of the week ending November 21, index futures declined. IH2511 dropped 2.49%, IF2511 fell 3.38%, IC2511 decreased 5.17%, and IM2511 declined 5.02%. Geopolitical tensions and overseas tech - stock corrections, along with the weakening of the Fed's rate - cut expectations, pressured investors' risk appetite [1]. - The high - frequency macro - fundamental factor scores for index futures are: inflation indicator 8 points, liquidity indicator 8 points, valuation indicator 11 points, and market sentiment indicator 9 points. For treasury bond futures, the inflation indicator is 8 points, the liquidity indicator is 10 points, and the market sentiment indicator is 8 points [1]. - The weighted annualized basis rates (dividend - adjusted) of IH, IF, IC, and IM at the end of the period were - 3.35%, - 5.92%, - 9.19%, and - 9.89% respectively. The basis rates of IC and IM contracts were above the 50th percentile in the past year, showing significant divergence in the basis trends of index futures [1]. - The net value of the financial derivatives quantitative CTA strategy rose slightly by 0.21% last week. In the long - term, most economic data indicate weakening growth, pressuring index futures. In the short - term, high - frequency real estate and consumption remain weak, the exchange rate is at a low level, and the capital market remains relatively loose, resulting in a relatively limited short - term decline [1]. - For index futures, the risk appetite is at a six - month low, IF and IH are relatively neutral, and the overall comprehensive signal is below neutral. For treasury bond futures, the capital market remains loose, the market risk appetite is conducive to the bond market's recovery, but the stock - bond seesaw effect is not significant, and the bond market is insensitive to fundamental feedback. The position factor has declined, and institutional year - end allocation behavior has not yet emerged intensively, with the comprehensive signal in a neutral oscillation [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro - fundamental High - frequency Factor Scores - Economic kinetic energy: The scores for index futures and treasury bond futures are 8 and 0 respectively (on a scale of 0 - 10). Different indicators such as blast furnace开工率, PTA开工率, etc., show various week - on - week changes, historical percentiles, and correlations with stock and bond indices [2]. - Inflation indicators: The scores for both index futures and treasury bond futures are 8 (on a scale of 0 - 10). Various inflation - related indicators like the vegetable basket product wholesale price index, coking coal index, etc., have different week - on - week changes, historical percentiles, and correlations with stock and bond indices [3]. - Liquidity: The score for index futures is 9 (on a scale of 0 - 10). Indicators such as DR007, DR001, etc., show different week - on - week changes, historical percentiles, and correlations with stock and bond indices [4]. - Index valuation: The score for index futures is 10 (on a scale of 0 - 10). Valuation indicators such as PE, PS, etc., have different week - on - week changes, historical percentiles, and correlations with stock indices [5]. - Market sentiment: For stock indices, the score is 9 (on a scale of 0 - 10), and for bonds, the score is 8 (on a scale of 0 - 10). Different sentiment - related indicators such as margin trading balances, bond yields, etc., show various week - on - week changes, historical percentiles, and correlations with stock and bond indices [6][7]. Strategy Introduction - The variety pool includes index futures and treasury bond futures. The short - term model focuses on market style, external factors, and capital market high - frequency financial data, while the long - term model focuses on market expectations and macro - economic low - frequency indicators. The position is synthesized based on institutional long and short positions [16]. - The comprehensive signal strength is weighted by three independent models (0 - 1). Contracts with the top 2 comprehensive signal strengths and values greater than or equal to 0.6 are considered for long positions, and those with the bottom 2 and values less than or equal to 0.4 are considered for short positions. Position data signals are shielded 7 days before delivery [17]. Treasury Bond Futures Cross - variety Arbitrage Strategy - The cross - variety arbitrage strategy is based on the resonance of signals from the fundamental three - factor model and the trend regression model. The fundamental three - factor model uses the Nelson - Siegel instantaneous forward - rate function, and signals are classified into three types: '1' (large spread may decrease), '0' (uncertain spread trend or oscillation), '- 1' (large spread may increase). The trend regression model filters signals, and trading occurs when there is resonance. In practice, a 1:1.8 ratio is used for the 10 - 5Y spread adjustment [20]. - For TF and T main contracts, different dates show different signals from the N - S model and the trend regression model [23].

Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the notion of "stock index futures settlement day must decline" is a baseless myth in the capital market, akin to historical witch hunts, aimed at misleading retail investors into selling their stocks prematurely [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Analysis - Historical data from the S&P 500 index shows that on "Quadruple Witching Days," the index has risen 65% of the time over the past 30 years, with an average fluctuation of only 0.23%, contradicting the idea of a "must decline" phenomenon [7]. - In the A-share market, from 2015 to 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose on 58 out of 120 settlement days, with an average fluctuation of ±0.52%, indicating no significant downward trend [7][9]. - The probability of the CSI 300 index rising on settlement days is only 46%, with extreme fluctuations exceeding 2% occurring only 5 times, representing 4.2% of the total [7]. Group 2: Market Mechanisms - The trading volume of stock index futures on settlement days is minimal compared to the total market capitalization of 106 trillion yuan, making it unlikely to significantly impact the market [9][11]. - The settlement price for A-share stock index futures is based on the arithmetic average of the last two hours of the cash index, making manipulation nearly impossible due to the required capital and regulatory oversight [11][13]. - The monthly settlement system in the A-share market is designed to avoid conflicts with major financial reports and macroeconomic data releases, which is a strategic choice rather than a disadvantage [11][13]. Group 3: Investor Behavior - A survey by the China Financial Futures Exchange in 2024 indicated that over 70% of investors support maintaining the current settlement model, with less than 7% advocating for a shift to quarterly settlements [13]. - The article emphasizes that the so-called "witch hunt" in the capital market exploits retail investors' fears, leading them to make irrational decisions based on misinformation [15].

Section 1: Report Overview - The report, titled "Stock Index Options Data Daily Report", is provided by the Research Institute of Guomao Futures on November 21, 2025, with data sourced from Wind and the institute itself [2][3] Section 2: Market Review Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.4% at 3931.05 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.76%, the ChiNext Index dropped 1.12%, the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 declined 1.07%, the Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 decreased 1.24%, the Wind All A fell 0.66%, the Wind A500 dropped 0.62%, and the CSI A500 declined 0.67%. A - shares traded 1.72 trillion yuan throughout the day, compared to 1.74 trillion yuan the previous day [5] - The Shanghai 50 index had a trading volume of 1009.82 billion, a closing price of 3008.2904, a decline of 0.54, and a turnover of 194.56 billion yuan; the CSI 300 index had a trading volume of 4564.9483 billion, a closing price of 3567.12, a decline of 18.19, and a turnover of 227.54 billion yuan; the CSI 1000 index had a trading volume of 7340.4118 billion, a closing price of 6999.7818, a decline of 44.89, and a turnover of 4150.65 billion yuan [3] CFFEX Stock Index Options Trading | Index | Call Option Volume (10,000 contracts) | Put Option Volume (10,000 contracts) | Volume PCR | Call Option Open Interest (10,000 contracts) | Put Option Open Interest (10,000 contracts) | Open Interest PCR | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | Shanghai 50 | 3.27 | 5.53 | 0.60 | 3.47 | 2.07 | 0.74 | | CSI 300 | 17.28 | 6.54 | 0.61 | 13.10 | 10.24 | 0.78 | | CSI 1000 | 33.92 | 0.78 | 0.89 | 16.23 | 19.11 | 0.89 | [3] Section 3: Volatility Analysis Shanghai 50 Volatility - The historical volatility of the Shanghai 50 index is analyzed through the historical volatility cone, including 10%, 30%, 60%, 90% quantile values, minimum, maximum, and current values. The volatility smile curve shows the next - month at - the - money implied volatility [3][4] CSI 300 Volatility - The historical volatility of the CSI 300 index is presented using the historical volatility cone with various quantile values. The volatility smile curve depicts the next - month at - the - money implied volatility [3][4] CSI 1000 Volatility - The historical volatility of the CSI 1000 index is analyzed via the historical volatility cone, and the volatility smile curve shows the next - month at - the - money implied volatility [3][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the stock index futures market, use a dumbbell structure to cope with the market. The market is expected to be under pressure and stable before the main line becomes clear. December中下旬 may be a potential turning point. In the short term, use a dumbbell structure to deal with the market [1][7]. - In the stock index options market, adopt a covered call strategy for defense. The market style is rotating, and no capital main line has been formed yet. It is recommended to continue holding the covered call strategy [2][7]. - In the treasury bond futures market, the funding factor may support the bullish sentiment. The bond market is currently volatile, and the market space may not be opened yet. Towards the end of the year, the bond market allocation power may remain strong, and there is a possibility of further implementation of loose monetary policies. The bond market is expected to be volatile with a bullish bias [3][7][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views Stock Index Futures - **Viewpoint**: Use a dumbbell structure to cope with the market. The IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts have different basis and spread changes, and the total positions have also changed. The market is expected to be under pressure and stable before the main line is clear. December中下旬 may be a potential turning point. Short - term strategy is to hold IM + dividend [7]. - **Logic**: The equity market on Thursday continued to be weak, with coal, new energy, and petrochemical sectors leading the decline. The trading volume of the price - increase chain is at a high level, and the divergence among funds has intensified. The trading volume is around 1.7 trillion, and the turnover rate is at the bottom, indicating low participation. After the overnight rebound of the US and Japanese stocks, the market preference continued to decline, implying a strong profit - taking demand [1][7]. Stock Index Options - **Viewpoint**: Adopt a covered call strategy for defense. The total turnover of each option variety decreased by 6.70%, and the liquidity is at a relatively low level since October. The trading volume decline indicates that the market is not overly pessimistic. It is recommended to continue holding the covered call strategy [2][7]. - **Logic**: The equity index fluctuated weakly yesterday, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling 0.40%. The market style is rotating, and no capital main line has been formed [2][7]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Viewpoint**: The funding factor may support the bullish sentiment. The trading volume, open interest, spreads, and basis of T, TF, TS, and TL contracts have changed. The bond market is currently volatile, and towards the end of the year, it is expected to be volatile with a bullish bias. Operational suggestions include trend strategy (volatile with a bullish bias), hedging strategy (pay attention to long - position substitution at high basis), basis strategy (pay attention to basis widening), and curve strategy (the curve may remain steep) [7][8][10]. - **Logic**: Treasury bond futures rose and fell differently yesterday. The central bank conducted 300 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 10 billion yuan. Due to the weakening of tax - period factors, the funding situation has eased, and the funding rate has declined slightly, which may support the bullish sentiment, especially for the short - end. The long - end TL variety may be affected by the expectation of intensified real - estate policies [3][7][10]. 3.2 Economic Calendar - The report lists the economic data of the EU, China, and the US from November 19 - 20, 2025, including CPI, core CPI, LPR, unemployment claims, non - farm payrolls, and unemployment rate [11]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng conducted research in Hubei and Hunan from November 18 - 20, emphasizing the promotion of foreign trade quality improvement, the construction of a high - standard logistics system, and the support of high - quality development of the manufacturing industry [12]. - Shenzhen will conduct a bond auction on November 24. The 2025 Shenzhen Special Bond (Sixty - fourth Issue) plans to issue 6.52 billion yuan with a 10 - year term, and the funds are intended for the Shenzhen government investment guidance fund. This year, many places have issued special bonds to local government investment funds, with a total scale exceeding 50 billion yuan [13][14]. - Since November, more than 15 bond funds have suffered large - scale redemptions, mainly pure - bond funds. The new - issue market for bond funds is also cold. In contrast, equity products have shown strong capital - attracting ability, with a net subscription of 143.623 billion yuan for equity ETFs since October [14]. 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring - The report mentions data monitoring of stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures, but no specific data content is provided in the text.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The implied volatility of stock index options is decreasing, and stock index options are approaching expiration [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Option Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market Statistics**: The closing prices of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 1000 Index, Shanghai - Shenzhen related ETFs all decreased. For example, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4564.95, down 23.34; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 7340.41, down 46.80. The trading volumes of most underlying assets changed, with some increasing and some decreasing [3]. - **Option Market Statistics**: The trading volumes and open interests of various options also changed. For instance, the trading volume of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index options was 172,768, up 6704; the open interest was 233,386, down 1521. The VL - PCR and OI - PCR of different options varied, such as the VL - PCR of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index options was 60.97%, and the OI - PCR was 78.20% [3]. 3.2 Option Volatility Statistics - **Near - month Options**: The ATM - IV, IV changes, and other volatility - related indicators of different options showed different trends. For example, the ATM - IV of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index options was 15.02%, up 1.08%; the ATM - IV of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 ETF options was 15.82%, down 0.13% [6]. - **Next - month Options**: Similar to near - month options, the ATM - IV and other indicators of next - month options also had different changes. For instance, the ATM - IV of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index options was 16.40%, down 0.54% [6]. 3.3 Option Index Data Statistics - No specific analysis content is provided, only the table title is given [7]. 3.4 Different Option Types Analysis - **Shanghai 50 Index Options**: Multiple charts are provided, including the full - contract PCR chart, the main - contract skewness chart, the volatility cone chart, and the volatility term - structure chart, which can be used to analyze the market situation of Shanghai 50 Index options [10]. - **Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index Options**: Similar to Shanghai 50 Index options, multiple charts are used to analyze the market situation of Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index options, such as the full - contract PCR chart and the main - contract volatility chart [14][16]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: The report presents relevant charts for CSI 1000 Index options to help analyze its market characteristics [20][21]. - **Shanghai 50 ETF Options**: Various charts are provided to analyze the market of Shanghai 50 ETF options, including the main - contract volatility chart and the full - contract PCR chart [24][26]. - **Huatai - Baorui 300 ETF Options**: Multiple charts are used to analyze the market situation of Huatai - Baorui 300 ETF options [28][30]. - **Southern CSI 500 ETF Options**: The report uses charts to analyze the market of Southern CSI 500 ETF options [32][33]. - **Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF Options**: Relevant charts are provided for the analysis of Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options [42][43]. - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF Options**: Multiple charts are used to analyze the market situation of E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF options [46][51]. - **Harvest 300 ETF Options**: The report presents charts to analyze the market of Harvest 300 ETF options [54][55]. - **Harvest CSI 500 ETF Options**: Various charts are used to analyze the market situation of Harvest CSI 500 ETF options [59][60]. - **Growth Enterprise Market ETF Options**: Multiple charts are provided to analyze the market of Growth Enterprise Market ETF options [64][66]. - **Shenzhen 100 ETF Options**: The report uses charts to analyze the market situation of Shenzhen 100 ETF options [68][70].