Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [4][5][76] Core Views - The food and beverage sector is showing signs of seasonal demand recovery, particularly in functional beverages and other categories, indicating high market vitality [1][10] - The overall demand for liquor remains weak, with a consensus among liquor companies on slowing growth, highlighting the need for policies to stimulate domestic demand [2][10] - The beer industry is entering a phase of inventory replenishment and demand stabilization, with leading brands showing positive growth [13][14] - The snack food sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with some companies showing significant revenue growth while others face profitability challenges [15][16] - The condiment sector is performing well, with leading companies maintaining strong cash flow and exploring acquisitions to enhance market presence [16] - The frozen food sector is facing challenges due to a weak restaurant industry, but some companies are improving through acquisitions [17] - The dairy sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, supported by favorable policies and improved supply conditions [18] - The beverage sector is entering a peak season, with leading companies optimistic about maintaining growth [18] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The food and beverage sector rose by 1.88% during the week of May 6 to May 9, 2025, slightly underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [19] - The liquor sector is under pressure, with a reported revenue of CNY 442.23 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [2][10] - The beer sector's revenue grew by 3.7% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with leading brands like Yanjing and Zhujiang showing strong performance [13][14] 2. Key Data Tracking - The liquor index increased by 2.3% during the week, with policy measures boosting market confidence [12][19] - The snack food sector's revenue grew by 31% year-on-year in Q1 2025, although profitability faced challenges due to rising raw material costs [15][16] - The condiment sector's revenue for 2024 was CNY 92.8 billion, with a 3% year-on-year increase [16] 3. Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao are rated as "Outperform the Market" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth [4][5] - The report highlights the importance of digital transformation and market share expansion for companies like Luzhou Laojiao and Jinsuiyuan [2][10]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Company Overview - Company: Anjii Food - Industry: Frozen Food Industry Key Financial Metrics - In 2024, Anjii Food achieved revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.17% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion, up 0.46% [1] - Net cash flow from operating activities reached 2.104 billion, a growth of 7.85% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 3.6 billion, a decline of approximately 4% year-on-year, with net profit of 395 million, down 10% [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the company demonstrated resilience through cost structure optimization and product strategy adjustments [1] Business Segment Performance Prepared Foods - Revenue for the prepared foods segment in 2024 was 7.839 billion, with a growth of 15.4 billion, representing a growth rate of 18%-19% [2] - The "Fresh Lock" series became a core growth driver, generating over 1.5 billion in revenue, increasing its share from 9% in 2022 to 10.5% in 2024 [2] - The upcoming launch of "Fresh Lock 6.0" in H2 2025 is expected to strengthen the company's competitive advantage in the consumer market [2] Frozen Dishes - The frozen dishes segment generated revenue of 4.35 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [3] - Key products like "Small Crispy Meat" achieved revenue of 300 million, up 50% [3] - Shrimp products maintained stable growth, while some items faced price fluctuations, with certain products seeing a price drop of over 6% despite increased sales [3] Frozen Noodles and Rice - Revenue for the frozen noodles and rice segment was nearly 2.5 billion, a decline of 3.14% year-on-year due to intensified industry competition and price drops [4] - The company plans to focus on major product strategies to enhance brand influence and customer loyalty [4] - Overall gross margin for 2024 was 23.3%, a slight increase of 0.09 percentage points [4] Strategic Adjustments and Market Positioning - In 2025, the company will adjust its product strategy: - For B-end, focus on cost-effective products and introduce high-quality mid-priced items [5] - For C-end, emphasize product upgrades and series of popular items [5] - Revenue from distributor channels reached 12.3 billion, a growth of 9% [5] - Direct sales channels saw a decline of 4%, while e-commerce channels also experienced a slight drop of 2% due to reduced sales of certain products and the closure of unprofitable e-commerce operations [5] Future Outlook - The company aims to strengthen its market share through a focus on high-end, youthful product lines and customized products for major supermarkets [6] - The competitive pressure in the industry peaked in Q4 2024, but is expected to ease in Q1 2025 as the consumer market gradually recovers [6] - Raw material costs are projected to rise, but the company is implementing measures to control cost increases effectively [7] - The dividend payout ratio increased from 30% to 70%, with a cash dividend ratio of 65%, reflecting strong profitability and financial stability [7] - The company submitted an A1 application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with plans to complete the listing process by the end of June 2025 [7]

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a mixed performance across various segments, with opportunities in new channels and product categories. The report highlights the need for companies to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [5][6][7] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Baijiu Sector - The baijiu sector achieved a total revenue of CNY 440.515 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.89%, and a net profit of CNY 166.778 billion, up 7.50%. In Q1 2025, revenue was CNY 152.933 billion, growing 1.82%, and net profit was CNY 63.340 billion, increasing 2.33% [15][19] - High-end baijiu brands like Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao are expected to see stable growth targets of around 9%, 5%, and steady progress respectively for 2025 [19][21] - The report notes that companies are increasing dividend rates to enhance returns for investors, with expected dividend yields for major brands ranging from 1.39% to 6.28% in 2025 [18] 2. Frozen Food - The frozen food industry is facing a slowdown in growth, with leading companies like Anjijia showing resilience while others like Qianwei Central Kitchen are under pressure due to product structure. The industry is seeking breakthroughs in products and channels to improve revenue and profit [6] 3. Snack Foods - The snack food sector is experiencing differentiation, with leading companies leveraging product innovation and channel expansion to drive growth. Salted Fish's brand "Big Demon King" has shown significant results from brand investment [6] 4. Soft Drinks - The soft drink segment is seeing high growth from brands like Dongpeng, while companies like LuLu and Master Kong maintain operational resilience. New products in the health drink category are also performing well [6] 5. Pet Food - The pet food industry remains highly prosperous, with leading companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. showing revenue growth rates of 21.22% and 19.15% respectively in 2024 [7] 6. Bakery Products - The bakery sector is recovering, with significant growth in supermarket channels driven by new product launches. Companies like Angel Yeast are expanding their international business, contributing to overall growth [8] 7. Dairy Products - Yili's revenue is stabilizing with better-than-expected profit performance, while New Dairy is seeing continuous profit margin improvements. Yili aims for a total revenue of CNY 119 billion in 2025 [8] 8. Beer - The beer market is witnessing a recovery in consumption, with major brands like Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer showing positive sales growth in Q1 2025 [9] 9. Seasoning Products - The seasoning industry is under pressure, but companies like Haitian are performing steadily, with core products like soy sauce maintaining growth [9]

Summary of Company and Industry Insights from Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Anjijia Food - **Industry**: Frozen Food Industry Key Financial Performance - **2024 Revenue**: 101.04 billion CNY, up 7.85% YoY, with major contributions from: - **Prepared Foods**: 78.39 billion CNY, growth of 15.4 billion CNY, driven by rapid growth in fresh-keeping products, revenue share increased to 10.5%, expected price close to 11.5 CNY/kg [2][3] - **Frozen Dishes**: 43.5 billion CNY, growth of 4.7%, notable increases in small crispy meat and shrimp slides, but shrimp tails declined due to price fluctuations [2][3] - **Frozen Noodles and Rice**: Close to 25 billion CNY, down 3.14% YoY, impacted by industry competition and price declines [2][3] - **Gross Margin**: 23.3% for 2024, up 0.09 percentage points, with improvements in frozen prepared foods and stable margins in fresh-keeping products [2][7] - **Net Profit**: Slight increase of 0.47%, affected by increased stock incentive costs and higher investments in roasted chicken and chicken sausages [2][7] Strategic Initiatives - **Big Product Strategy**: 39 products with over 100 million CNY in revenue, accounting for 70% of total sales, with stable growth in frozen fish products [2][5] - **Dividend Policy**: Increased payout ratio from 30% to 40%, with a cash dividend ratio of 65% for 2024, leading to a total payout ratio of 70% [4][12] - **New Product Strategy for 2025**: Focus on cost-effectiveness for B-end products and upgrading C-end products, with expected growth of 15%-20% for fresh-keeping products [4][16] Market Dynamics - **Channel Performance**: - **Distributor Channel**: 9% growth, reaching 123 billion CNY - **Direct Sales**: Down 4% due to decreased sales in chain stores - **E-commerce**: Slight decline of 2%, totaling 3.12 billion CNY, mainly due to the shutdown of the Qingliu 5 e-commerce platform [6] - **Competition**: Price competition in frozen noodles has intensified since 2023, with promotional efforts increasing to capture market share, leading to profit pressure [21][22] Future Outlook - **2025 Q1 Performance**: Revenue of 36 billion CNY, down approximately 4% YoY; net profit of 3.95 billion CNY, down 10% YoY, affected by consumer environment and seasonal factors [8][9] - **Government Subsidies**: Increased by approximately 30 million CNY in Q1 due to the return of previously owed funds, positively impacting financial status [10] - **Cost Control**: Anticipated increase in costs due to raw material prices, but efforts in bulk procurement and centralized production are expected to mitigate impacts [36] Industry Trends - **Frozen Hot Pot and Noodle Market**: Expected growth despite price competition, with signs of recovery noted in April [18][19] - **Small Enterprises**: Many small businesses are at breakeven points, reflecting intense competition and survival pressures [27][28] - **Market Share**: The company maintains a leading market share across various segments, with ongoing efforts to innovate and respond to market demands [28] Conclusion - The company is positioned for moderate growth in 2024 and 2025, with strategic initiatives focused on product innovation, cost control, and market expansion. The competitive landscape remains challenging, but the company’s strong market position and proactive strategies are expected to sustain its growth trajectory.

相关研究报告 《内需提振预期强化，关注政策改善 可期—行业投资策略》-2025.5.8 《一季报白酒稳健增长，零食新品红 利表现突出—行业周报》-2025.5.5 《基金持仓更加集中，零食板块表现 较好—行业周报》-2025.4.27 白酒底部建议加配，大众品三条思路选股 ——行业周报 食品饮料 2025 年 05 月 11 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 食品饮料 沪深300 zhangsimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790123070080 核心观点：承压基调下的边际改善 5 月 5 日-5 月 9 日，食品饮料指数涨幅为 1.8%，一级子行业排名第 19，跑输沪 深 300 约 0.2pct，子行业中保健品（+5.1%）、烘焙食品（+4.2%）、预加工食品 （+2.5%）表现相对领先。上市公司财报披露结束后，市场进入业绩真空期，市 场风险偏好提升，食品饮料跑输大盘。往 2025 年全年展望，食品饮料行业主线 仍是消费复苏。2025 年我们更多期望经济活跃度提升带来商务消 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the latest food innovations and trends, featuring various new product launches from different brands [1] - Anmuxi and Green Arrow have launched a summer limited edition of mint-flavored yogurt, which contains 7.1g of protein per 230g bottle and is priced at 10.9 yuan [4] - Good Hope Water has introduced a new mulberry water product, made with black mulberries and black goji berries, available in 500ml bottles for 5.9 yuan [5] - Yongpu has released an ice mint black coffee liquid made from 100% Arabica coffee beans, containing ≥200mg/kg of caffeine, priced at 39.9 yuan for a 175g box [8] - Hershey's and ADT have collaborated to launch anti-theft chocolate bars in Brazil, featuring a Bluetooth tracker that alerts users if the chocolate moves outside a designated range [10] - Sanquan has introduced two new Chinese-style tea dumplings: jasmine Longjing and rose black tea, each weighing 50g and sold in packs of four for 49.9 yuan [12] - Cocoa Full has launched three new tea beverages: double pomelo Tieguanyin, orange small osmanthus, and guava lemon green tea, each containing ≥15% juice and priced at 44.9 yuan for a pack of nine [14] - Joyoung has released two new soy milk tea flavors: kirin watermelon and domineering durian, each with approximately 87kcal per serving and priced at 39.9 yuan for a box [17] - Weidong and Wufangzhai have collaborated to launch a Dragon Boat Festival gift box containing spicy meat dumplings and konjac dumplings [18] - Kraft Heinz has introduced Lunchables PB&J sandwiches in the U.S., designed for easy consumption without thawing or heating, priced at $2.49 [20] - Stella Rosa has launched a new watermelon and chili-flavored wine, made from 95% white Moscato grapes, priced at $11.99 [21]

Group 1: Financial Performance and Taxation - The company will continue to recognize stock incentive expenses in 2025, specifically for 21,100 restricted shares allocated to 5 incentive recipients from the 2021 plan [1] - The income tax expense for Q4 2024 reached CNY 15 million, primarily due to the reduction in deductible amounts related to stock payment expenses after the lifting of restrictions on restricted shares [1] - The increase in sales expenses by CNY 10 million in Q1 is attributed to online promotion costs, which are considered non-recurring [2] Group 2: Business Development and Strategy - The 2025 business development plan includes increased investment in R&D and production resources for baked goods and frozen prepared dishes, aiming to meet customer demands for rapid innovation [2] - The company plans to explore C-end business opportunities, leveraging its R&D advantages to develop differentiated products and diversify sales channels, including e-commerce and traditional retail [2] - Efforts will be made to enhance operational efficiency across all business segments, focusing on cost control in procurement, production, and logistics [2] - Brand building and customer service quality will be prioritized to ensure sustainable and high-quality growth [2] Group 3: Production and Capacity Management - The company operates through self-production, commissioned processing, and outsourcing, with most core products being self-produced [3] - In 2024, 20,000 tons of products were processed through commissioned processing, primarily for items like sesame balls and spring rolls, which are produced using standard equipment and processes [3] - Future decisions on converting commissioned processing to self-production will depend on market conditions and operational assessments [3] Group 4: Financing Plans - The company plans to raise CNY 300 million through a simplified procedure for issuing shares to specific investors, pending approval from the 2024 annual shareholders' meeting [4] - The specific use of the funds for acquisitions or expansion of production has not yet been determined, and further disclosures will be made as developments occur [4]

Group 1: Company Performance and Growth Strategies - The company aims to optimize product quality and enhance competitiveness, focusing on market research and channel service quality [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 2.218 billion and a net profit of CNY 209 million, indicating positive operational indicators since Q3 2024 [1] - The company plans to leverage digitalization and smart technology to improve production efficiency and reduce costs [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The frozen food industry in China is expanding, with increasing market space driven by diverse consumer demands and changing consumption patterns [1] - The company recognizes the potential for growth in the frozen food sector due to rising consumer spending and the increasing restaurant chain penetration rate [1] Group 3: Business Development and Revenue Streams - As of December 2024, the company has opened 83 7-11 stores, contributing to its revenue, although the current impact on total income is minimal [2] - The company is focusing on military-civilian integration projects, with ongoing product development and capacity reserves to secure future orders [2] Group 4: Financial Health and Shareholder Returns - The company has over CNY 3 billion in cash, with no significant capital expenditures or acquisition intentions, allowing for potential dividend increases to enhance shareholder returns [2] - The board will consider adjusting the dividend policy based on future growth capital needs while maintaining a long-term, stable return mechanism for shareholders [2] Group 5: Sales Strategy and Market Adaptation - The company is reducing the number of inefficient distributors, which has decreased by 20% over two years, while focusing on enhancing collaboration with high-growth clients [2] - Direct e-commerce channels have become a significant revenue growth point, with a focus on improving operational capabilities and customer experience [2] Group 6: Labor and Outsourcing - In 2024, the company outsourced 9.98 million hours of labor at a cost of CNY 369 million, indicating significant labor cost pressures [2] - The company is managing labor costs through a mix of outsourced and in-house labor, including technical workers and high-intensity labor [2] Group 7: Future Growth and Innovation - The company plans to achieve sustainable growth through product innovation and market expansion, focusing on consumer insights and adapting to diverse consumption trends [3] - Continued investment in digital infrastructure and a market-oriented assessment mechanism will enhance the company's core capabilities and competitive edge [3]

Group 1 - The company is making significant adjustments to its new product strategy for 2025, differentiating between B-end and C-end strategies, with B-end focusing on "timely follow-up" and C-end shifting to "upgrade and replace" [1] - In the frozen fish paste and meat products segment, the company plans to launch a new 6.0 strip product that is smaller in weight, catering to single-person and small family consumption [1] - The company aims to enhance its competitive advantage in frozen dishes, with plans to introduce a 250g pack of volcanic stone grilled sausages for C-end, emphasizing flavor and packaging [1] Group 2 - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape in the frozen prepared foods and frozen noodle products sectors, focusing on leveraging its market share and channel advantages [2] - The acquisition of Dingwei Thai is based on three main strategies: product complementarity, channel complementarity, and the potential for premium pricing in the domestic frozen baking sector [2] - The company plans to enhance its product structure and optimize its market position by focusing on core products and developing new varieties in the frozen noodle category [2]

Group 1: Songzi Co., Ltd. (松井股份) - Songzi Co., Ltd. is steadily advancing its business in the passenger car coating sector, deepening collaborations with BYD and North American T Company, and expanding its product line to include exterior large component coating materials, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 78.17% in Q1 2025 [1] - To maintain its gross margin, the company is enhancing product competitiveness and optimizing costs [1] - In the high-end consumer electronics sector, Songzi is deepening cooperation with leading clients, leveraging innovative processes to explore incremental space and improve its product system [1] - The company has significant technical advantages in its power battery insulation coating project, with smooth commercialization progress and policy support driving market demand for insulation technology [1] - In response to changes in tariff policies, Songzi is focusing on the global trade environment, deepening domestic substitution processes, and strengthening its international market layout [1] - The ink and adhesive business has made progress, with plans to meet diverse future demands [1] Group 2: Anyi Food (安井食品) - Anyi Food is adjusting its 2025 new product strategy, focusing on extreme cost performance for B-end and quality-price ratio for C-end, with key product launches including fresh-keeping 6.0 strip products, tender fish balls, black tiger shrimp slides, tiger skin fried eggs, and a series of lucky bag products [2] - To consolidate its market position against competition in frozen prepared foods and frozen noodle products, Anyi is amplifying the advantages of its frozen prepared food flagship products and making breakthroughs in new-style pastries [2] - The acquisition of Dingwei Thai aims to complement product categories and channels, focusing on developing high-end cod fish paste products, segmented categories of Kanto stew, and the frozen baking track [2] - The company is embracing customization for supermarkets to adapt to the needs of supermarket systems and new retail formats, currently in the early stages of strategy implementation [2] - The total cash dividend for 2024 is projected to be 1,040,059,864.54 yuan, with plans to continue sharing operational results and boosting investor confidence in 2025 [2]