Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views - New - season supply pressure leads to a decline in futures prices, and many deep - processing enterprises in Northeast China have lowered the purchase price of new grain; the overall demand for corn is stable, and the import pressure is limited; the supply - demand structure is turning loose, and the main task in the fourth quarter is to digest the pressure of new grain [1] - There are both positive and negative factors in the corn market. Positive factors include a slight rebound in spot prices in some areas of Huanghuai, low - volume imports in August, and successful corn procurement by the Chengdu branch of Sinograin. Negative factors are the new - season harvest causing supply pressure and weakened market sentiment due to price cuts by deep - processing enterprises [3] Group 3: Summary of Relevant Catalogs Corn & Starch Futures Price Changes - From September 19 to September 22, 2025, most corn and corn starch futures contracts showed price declines. For example, corn 11 dropped from 2168 to 2158 (-0.46%), and corn starch 11 dropped from 2463 to 2447 (-0.65%). The wheat average price rose slightly by 0.04% [2] Positive Factors - Corn spot prices in some areas of Huanghuai have slightly rebounded [3] - In August, the import of corn remained at a low level, with less substitution pressure [3] - On the 22nd, the Chengdu branch of Sinograin conducted a corn bidding procurement of 4100 tons, all of which were successfully transacted, and there were no sales sessions [3] Negative Factors - Corn is in the new - season harvest and listing period, and the temporary supply surplus exerts pressure on prices [3] - Many deep - processing enterprises have lowered the purchase price of new grain, further weakening market sentiment [3] Spot Prices and Basis - Corn spot prices in different regions (such as Jinzhou Port, Shekou Port, and Harbin) remained unchanged on the day, and the basis of Jinzhou Port's main - continuous contract increased by 21. Corn starch spot prices in different regions (such as Shandong, Jilin, and Heilongjiang) also remained unchanged, and the basis of Shandong's main - continuous contract increased by 42 [11] US Corn Prices and Import Profits - The price of CBOT corn main - continuous contract dropped by 0.59% to 421.75. The import profit of US Gulf is 306.56 yuan/ton, and that of US West is 448.76 yuan/ton [24]

Report Information - Report Title: Coking Coal Daily Report [1] - Research Team: Black Team of the Research Center [1] - Report Date: September 23, 2025 [1] Key Price and Inventory Data Coal Prices - The latest price of Liulin Main Coking Coal is 1503.00, with a weekly increase of 102.00 and an annual increase of 7.36% [2] - The latest price of Raw Coal Port Delivery Price is 1020.00, with a daily increase of 11.00, a weekly increase of 70.00, a monthly increase of 72.00, and an annual decrease of 10.53% [2] - The latest price of Shaheyi Meng 5 is 1350.00, with a monthly decrease of 30.00 and an annual decrease of 18.18% [2] - The latest price of Anze Main Coking Coal is 1500.00, with a weekly increase of 80.00, a monthly increase of 30.00, and an annual decrease of 10.71% [2] Future Prices - The latest price of Futures 05 is 1323.00, with a daily increase of 10.50, a monthly increase of 79.00, and an annual increase of 4.46% [2] - The latest price of Futures 09 is 1389.50, with a daily increase of 9.00, a weekly increase of 18.00, a monthly increase of 326.50, and an annual increase of 6.23% [2] - The latest price of Futures 01 is 1229.00, with a daily increase of 13.00, a monthly increase of 30.50, and an annual decrease of 2.54% [2] Inventory Data - The total inventory is 3372.99, with a weekly increase of 56.61, a monthly decrease of 100.63, and an annual decrease of 10.92% [2] - The coal mine inventory is 232.79, with a weekly decrease of 21.73, a monthly decrease of 42.85, and an annual decrease of 15.02% [2] - The port inventory is 271.11, with a weekly decrease of 4.38, a monthly increase of 15.62, and an annual decrease of 34.53% [2] - The steel mill coking coal inventory is 793.73, with a weekly decrease of 2.03, a monthly decrease of 12.07, and an annual increase of 10.49% [2] - The coking coking coal inventory is 883.54, with a weekly decrease of 36.51, a monthly decrease of 93.34, and an annual increase of 4.31% [2] Other Data - The coking capacity utilization rate is 75.87, with a monthly increase of 1.45 and an annual increase of 9.88% [2] - The coking coke inventory is 86.03, with a monthly decrease of 0.14 and an annual decrease of 0.06% [2] - The 05 basis is -23.34, with a daily increase of 5.59, a weekly increase of 92.95, and an annual decrease of 217.42 [2] - The 09 basis is -89.84, with a daily increase of 7.09, a weekly increase of 73.95, and an annual decrease of 1.59 [2] - The 01 basis is 70.66, with a daily increase of 3.09, a weekly increase of 91.45, and an annual decrease of 0.65 [2] - The 5 - 9 spread is -66.50, with a daily increase of 1.50, a weekly decrease of 19.00, a monthly decrease of 247.50, and an annual increase of 0.60 [2] - The 9 - 1 spread is 160.50, with a daily decrease of 4.00, a weekly increase of 17.50, a monthly increase of 296.00, and an annual increase of 2.41 [2] - The 1 - 5 spread is -94.00, with a daily increase of 2.50, a weekly increase of 1.50, a monthly decrease of 48.50, and an annual increase of 16.09 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures is applying for the issuance of overseas listed shares (H-shares) and plans to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] Group 1: Company Actions - The company has received a notice from the China Securities Regulatory Commission regarding the filing for overseas issuance and listing [1] - The filing notice includes plans to issue no more than 124 million overseas listed ordinary shares [1] - The company must complete the overseas issuance and listing within 12 months, or it will need to update its filing materials [1] Group 2: Regulatory Information - The filing notice only confirms the filing information and does not guarantee investment value or returns [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report maintains the previous judgment that coking coal and coke should not be short - allocated among the black series. Although the market participants' expectations for the future have gradually improved and the willingness to hold goods has increased compared to the first half of the year, the high total supply pressure of steel and high inventory need time to digest, which will suppress the rebound height of coking coal and coke prices. A substantial favorable policy or an unexpected decline in coal mine开工率 is required to break through the previous high. It is not recommended to use coking coal as a short - allocation variety in the black series. The coke futures price is at a premium of 1 - 2 rounds compared to the dry - quenched coke warehouse receipt, and the industry can pay attention to hedging opportunities under low basis, while arbitrageurs can focus on the 1 - 5 reverse spread of coking coal and coke [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Contents 3.1 Double - Coking Price Range Forecast - **Coking Coal**: The monthly price range forecast is 1200 - 1350, the current 20 - day rolling volatility is 44.01%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility is 84.70% [3]. - **Coke**: The monthly price range forecast is 1650 - 1850, the current 20 - day rolling volatility is 33.04%, and the historical percentile of the current volatility is 71.11% [3]. 3.2 Double - Coking Risk Management Strategy Suggestions - **Inventory Hedging for Coke**: When coke production recovers rapidly, the spot supply and demand tend to be loose, and coke enterprises are worried about the decline in future sales prices, they can short the J2601 contract of coke. The recommended hedging ratios are 25% at the entry interval of (1780, 1830), 50% at (1830 - 1880), and 25% at (1200, 1250) [3]. - **Procurement Management for Coking Coal**: Due to the repeated macro - sentiment, the seasonal low开工率 of coking coal mines, and factors such as over - production inspection and anti - cut - throat competition in the fourth quarter disturbing the coking coal supply, coking plants worried about future raw material price increases can long the JM2605 contract of coking coal. The recommended hedging ratios are 25% at the entry interval of (1150, 1200) and 50% at (1200, 1250) [3]. 3.3 Black Warehouse Receipt Daily Report - **Inventory Changes**: On September 19, 2025, compared with the previous day, the inventory of rebar increased by 6931 tons, hot - rolled coil decreased by 7721 tons, iron ore remained unchanged, coking coal decreased by 100 hands, coke remained unchanged, ferrosilicon decreased by 129 pieces, and ferromanganese decreased by 320 pieces. Compared with the previous week, the inventory of rebar increased by 9904 tons, hot - rolled coil decreased by 22213 tons, iron ore decreased by 200 hands, coking coal decreased by 400 hands, coke increased by 30 hands, ferrosilicon increased by 1163 pieces, and ferromanganese decreased by 764 pieces [4]. 3.4 Analysis of Bullish and Bearish Factors - **Bullish Factors**: Downstream seasonal restocking before the National Day has alleviated the inventory pressure of coking coal mines, and the pithead has a strong price - support sentiment. The difficulty of the third - round price cut for coke has increased, and some coke enterprises have attempted to raise prices. After the second - round price cut was implemented, the spot profit of steel improved, and the high pig iron output provided rigid support for the short - term demand of coking coal and coke. "Anti - cut - throat competition" is the focus of market trading in the second half of the year, and the macro - sentiment will repeatedly dominate the trend of coking coal and coke futures. The Fed cut interest rates by 25BP as expected, and the market expects two more interest rate cuts this year, which supports the overall valuation of commodities [6]. - **Bearish Factors**: The social inventory pressure of finished steel products is still large, and the demand in the peak season is lower than expected, which limits the rebound space of coking coal and coke. The average daily customs clearance at the port this week exceeded 1250 vehicles, and the coal shipment volume remained at a high level, resulting in a strong supply of imported coal [7]. 3.5 Coking Coal and Coke Futures and Spot Prices - **Futures Prices**: The report provides detailed data on the coking coal and coke futures prices, including the cost of warehouse receipts, basis, inter - month spreads, coking profit, and various ratios (such as the ratio of coking coal to power coal, the ratio of iron ore to coke, etc.) on September 19, 2025, as well as their changes compared with the previous day and the previous week [8]. - **Spot Prices**: The report presents the spot prices of coking coal and coke on September 19, 2025, including the ex - factory prices of domestic coking coal, the self - pick - up prices at ports, the CFR prices of imported coking coal, the ex - factory prices and export prices of coke, and the corresponding profit data (such as coking profit, import profit of coking coal, and export profit of coke), along with their daily and weekly changes [9][10].

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Group 1 - The domestic futures market for the chemical sector showed a downward trend, with the main contract for paraxylene (PX) opening at 6698.0 CNY/ton and experiencing a decline of approximately 2.63% [1] - The price of PX is expected to fluctuate in the short term due to a tight supply-demand balance, with recent domestic maintenance units gradually restarting, leading to weaker market sentiment and lack of driving force from crude oil [1] - The supply side remains stable with no significant changes in domestic and international facilities, while the demand side shows a slight increase in PTA processing fees, indicating a balanced supply-demand situation [2] Group 2 - Domestic PX production for the week was reported at 770.98 million tons, with a utilization rate of 84.63%, remaining unchanged from the previous week [2] - PTA production increased to 138.8 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.77 million tons, with a utilization rate of 74.95%, up by 4.30% [2] - Short-term PX prices are anticipated to follow fluctuations in crude oil prices, with resistance around 6850 CNY and support near 6500 CNY [2]

Group 1 - The main contract for rapeseed meal futures experienced a rapid increase, reaching a peak of 2530.00 yuan, with a current price of 2525.00 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.27% [1] - Domestic supply pressure is reduced due to a decrease in the arrival of rapeseed, while seasonal demand for rapeseed meal in aquaculture is increasing [2][4] - The implementation of temporary anti-dumping measures on rapeseed by China further weakens long-term supply expectations [2] Group 2 - Short-term trends for rapeseed meal are expected to follow soybean meal prices, with limited arrivals of rapeseed impacting inventory levels [3][4] - The current low inventory levels at major domestic ports are attributed to a decrease in the arrival of Canadian rapeseed, although year-on-year levels remain high [4] - The ongoing negotiations between China and Canada regarding tariffs on rapeseed may influence future market conditions, but the impact is considered limited [4]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Corn's short - to medium - term supply - demand structure is turning loose. The short - term supply surge from the new season's harvest is suppressing prices, but with the continued absence of import pressure, the price decline may be limited [1]. - Corn demand remains resilient, and substitution pressure is limited [1]. - CBOT corn is oscillating at a low level to digest the pressure of a bumper harvest. With a sharp reduction in China's imported grains, the transmission of international grain prices to the domestic market is expected to decline [1]. - The domestic corn futures market is digesting the pressure of the new season's harvest in the short term and is operating with a weak oscillation [1]. - Corn starch futures are following the decline of corn. Later, with the expectation of cost reduction and the arrival of the consumption peak season, prices are likely to operate within a range [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Market Data of Corn and Starch Futures - Corn futures prices for different contracts (11, 01, 03, 05, 07, 09) increased on September 18, 2025, compared to September 17, 2025, with the increase ranging from 0.09% to 0.74% [1]. - Corn starch futures prices for different contracts (11, 01, 03, 05, 07, 09) also increased on September 18, 2025, compared to September 17, 2025, with the increase ranging from 0.27% to 0.73% [1]. - The wheat average price increased by 0.08% from September 17 to September 18, 2025 [1]. 3.2 Factors Affecting the Market 3.2.1 Bullish Factors - Pig production capacity remains at a high level, and demand shows resilience [2]. - The import volume of corn and rice has decreased significantly, reducing substitution pressure [2]. - The pressure of domestic corn production increase is limited, and the new - season quotes are mainly high - opened [2]. 3.2.2 Bearish Factors - Corn is in the new - season harvest and listing period, and the temporary supply surplus is pressuring prices [2]. - There are frequent messages about pig production capacity regulation, and there are concerns about medium - term corn demand [2]. 3.3 Spot Prices and Basis - For corn, the spot prices in Jinzhou Port, Shekou Port, and Harbin remained unchanged on the reporting date. The Jinzhou Port main - contract basis decreased by 16 [11]. - For corn starch, the spot prices in Shandong, Jilin, and Heilongjiang remained unchanged on the reporting date. The Shandong main - contract basis decreased by 18 [11]. 3.4 International Market Data - CBOT corn main - contract price was 424.5, down 0.59% [22]. - COBT soybean main - contract price was 1038.75, down 0.5% [22]. - CBOT wheat main - contract price was 525, down 0.66% [22]. - The US Gulf完税 price was 2146.07, down 0.54%, with an import profit of 293.93 [22]. - The US West完税 price was 1994.56, down 0.57%, with an import profit of 445.44 [22].

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Core Viewpoint - On September 17, COFCO Capital experienced a significant increase in stock price by 10.02%, with a trading volume of 2.714 billion yuan, indicating strong market interest and activity [1]. Financing Summary - On the same day, COFCO Capital had a financing buy-in amount of 336 million yuan, with a financing repayment of 281 million yuan, resulting in a net financing purchase of approximately 54.43 million yuan [1]. - As of September 17, the total financing and securities lending balance for COFCO Capital was 892 million yuan, with the financing balance at 884 million yuan, representing 2.63% of the circulating market value, which is above the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. - In terms of securities lending, COFCO Capital had no shares repaid on September 17, with 74,000 shares sold short, amounting to approximately 1.08 million yuan at the closing price, and a remaining short position of 545,900 shares valued at 7.97 million yuan, also above the 90th percentile level over the past year [1]. Company Overview - COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd. is located in the Chaoyang District of Beijing and was established on December 29, 2004, with its listing date on June 3, 2010 [1]. - The company's main business activities include trust, futures, insurance, and banking, with revenue composition as follows: insurance segment 72.02%, trust segment 15.30%, futures segment 12.23%, and others 0.46% [1]. Shareholder and Financial Performance - As of August 29, COFCO Capital had 136,000 shareholders, an increase of 7.94% from the previous period, with an average of 16,941 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 7.35% [2]. - For the first half of 2025, COFCO Capital reported operating revenue of 4.893 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 62.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 848 million yuan, down 27.83% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, COFCO Capital has distributed a total of 1.503 billion yuan in dividends, with 850 million yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders included the Southern CSI 500 ETF, holding 13.6631 million shares, an increase of 1.6479 million shares from the previous period, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 13.4116 million shares, an increase of 613.64 thousand shares [2].