Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen's government has launched a three-year action plan (2026-2028) aimed at optimizing the consumption environment, focusing on enhancing supply quality and improving consumption order [1] Group 1: Consumption Supply Quality Improvement Actions - The plan emphasizes six key areas for quality enhancement, including upgrading product quality, promoting high-quality products, and establishing a product quality traceability system [2] - Digital empowerment is a focus, with initiatives to develop smart business districts and new business models such as e-sports, live e-commerce, and instant retail [2] - Green and healthy consumption is prioritized, with efforts to expand green electricity consumption and improve charging infrastructure, alongside promoting international healthcare and wellness services [2] - The smart home sector will see improvements, encouraging AI integration in products and creating smart home experience centers [2] - Brand development initiatives will support traditional brands and cultivate new domestic products, enhancing the influence of "Zhen products" [2] - Cultural and tourism integration projects will be accelerated, including the development of key projects like Longqi Bay Resort and East Overseas Chinese Town [2] Group 2: Consumption Order Optimization Actions - The plan aims to create a safe and trustworthy consumption environment by enhancing safety regulations in key sectors such as food, pharmaceuticals, and electric bicycles [3] - It includes measures to address transaction irregularities, particularly in medical beauty and education sectors, and strengthen online market regulation [3] - Competition behavior will be standardized, with a focus on fair competition and combating illegal pricing practices [3] - Prepaid consumption governance will be improved through legislative efforts and enhanced digital currency promotion [3] Group 3: Consumer Rights Protection and Collaborative Governance Actions - The plan seeks to establish an efficient and convenient consumer rights protection system, promoting online dispute resolution and encouraging businesses to adopt proactive complaint handling [4] - It emphasizes the importance of judicial protection and the establishment of mechanisms for consumer public interest litigation [4] - Collaboration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area for consumer rights protection will be explored, including mechanisms for cross-regional complaint handling [4] Group 4: Leading and Internationalizing the Consumption Environment - The plan includes strong policy support for service and home consumption sectors, exploring the development of consumption-related insurance products [5] - It aims to establish a service consumption standard system and expand the application of credit in various scenarios [5] - Infrastructure improvements will focus on creating international consumption hubs and enhancing transportation and community commercial facilities [5] - The hosting of the APEC meeting in Shenzhen will be leveraged to improve international service levels and optimize inbound consumption experiences [5]

（来源：内蒙古日报） 2月1日，呼和浩特市民正在农贸市场选购蔬菜。当日，呼和浩特市各农贸市场、商场超市人头攒动、热 闹非凡，市民们正忙着选购各类年货，迎接马年春节。随着春节临近，内蒙古各地消费市场迎来了旺 季，重点商超、集贸市场纷纷加大商品的采购和储备力度，目前货源充足，品种丰富。本报记者 孟和 朝鲁 摄 转自：内蒙古日报 ...

Group 1 - The consumer market is experiencing a vibrant atmosphere as the Spring Festival approaches, with increased activity in shopping for traditional goods and enjoying cultural events [1] - In Shanxi, a variety of traditional goods are being showcased, particularly ceramic products featuring horse elements, which are popular among consumers [2] - The Chongqing Rongchang New Year market features a blend of intangible cultural heritage performances, local delicacies, and creative shopping options, with horse-themed cultural products gaining attention [4] Group 2 - In Fujian, the traditional "bench flower lantern dragon" performance, which has a history of over 200 years, is captivating audiences as it dances through the village, showcasing local heritage [6] - The Guangzhou Spring Festival Lantern Festival features impressive displays, including a 20-meter "Lion Awakening" light gate and various themed light installations that reflect the region's cultural essence [8] - In Anhui, creative flower buns shaped like horses and other New Year symbols are in high demand, with orders significantly increasing compared to regular sales [10] Group 3 - In Hebei, the integration of sports events with consumer activities is stimulating local economic activity, with a focus on showcasing unique products during the events [12] - The city of Cangzhou plans to host over 120 themed cultural and tourism activities during the Spring Festival, aimed at enhancing the festive experience for residents and visitors [14] - There is a notable increase in South Korean tourists booking trips to China, with a nearly 90% year-on-year growth in reservations, indicating a rising interest in diverse travel destinations [15]

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In January 2026, the manufacturing PMI declined more than seasonally with supply - demand converging and enterprise - scale differentiation intensifying, while price indices rose. The service industry PMI slightly dropped and the construction industry's prosperity significantly declined, thus more efforts are needed to promote economic - stabilizing policies [1][10][34]. - In January, the shock of sentiment was gradually digested, and the bond market recovered after adjustment. However, there were still some constraints for a smooth short - term decline. The 10Y Treasury bond yield may return to the central part of the oscillation range in February. Two structural investment opportunities are recommended: the allocation opportunities of 5Y government - financial bonds and 3 - 5Y general - credit bonds, and the spread - compression opportunities such as 10Y CDB - 10Y Treasury bonds [4][34][35]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 1 - month PMI Data Overview - Manufacturing PMI declined by 0.8 percentage points to 49.3% in January, returning to the contraction range and being weaker than the seasonal average. The production index expansion slowed, demand was under pressure, price indices rose, and enterprises replenished inventory passively with a decline in purchasing willingness [10]. - In the non - manufacturing sector, the service industry PMI slightly decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 49.5%, and the construction industry's business activity index dropped by 4.0 percentage points to 48.8%, both showing different degrees of deviation from seasonal performance [11][14]. 3.2 Manufacturing: Demand - side Operation Under Pressure, Both Price Indices Rising - **Production**: The manufacturing PMI production index was 50.6% in January, down 1.1 percentage points month - on - month, weaker than the seasonal level. The slowdown was due to factors like cold weather and approaching Spring Festival, especially the over 4 - percentage - point decline in the consumer goods manufacturing production index [17]. - **Demand**: The new order index and new export order index of manufacturing PMI decreased by 1.6 and 1.2 percentage points respectively. The "new order - new export order" index dropped to 1.4%. Seasonal factors and external policy changes affected demand, but the proportion of manufacturing enterprises reporting insufficient market demand decreased [19]. - **Enterprise Scale and New Kinetic Energy**: The PMI of large, medium, and small enterprises decreased by 0.5, 1.1, and 1.2 percentage points respectively. New kinetic energy industries continued to lead, while traditional industries' prosperity declined [20]. - **Price**: Affected by multiple factors, the main raw material purchase price index and ex - factory price index were 56.1% and 50.6% respectively, up 3.0 and 1.7 percentage points month - on - month. The index difference reached 5.5 percentage points, compressing the profit space of mid - and downstream enterprises [23]. - **Inventory**: The raw material inventory index decreased by 0.4 percentage points, and the finished - product inventory increased by 0.4 percentage points. The economic kinetic energy index decreased by 2.0 percentage points, and the purchasing volume index dropped to 48.7%. The start of the replenishment cycle depends on the recovery of market demand [24]. 3.3 Non - manufacturing: Slight Decline in Service Industry PMI, Significant Decline in Construction Industry - **Service Industry**: In January, the service industry PMI slightly declined. The strong support from the financial industry, the stable development of new kinetic energy, and the good performance of some consumption - related service industries maintained its stability. However, the real - estate industry's business activity index fell below 40.0%, and Spring Festival consumption may boost the consumption - related service industries [29]. - **Construction Industry**: Due to cold weather and the approaching Spring Festival, the construction industry's business activity index decreased by 4.0 percentage points to 48.8% in January. Both housing construction and civil engineering construction activities slowed down, and the off - season characteristics may continue in February [32]. 3.4 Impact on the Bond Market - In January, after the shock of sentiment was digested, the bond market recovered. The 10Y Treasury bond yield dropped to the lower limit of the 1.8% - 1.9% oscillation range. With insufficient broad - money expectations and increased local - bond supply in February, the 10Y Treasury bond yield may return to the central part of the oscillation range. Two parts of structural investment opportunities are recommended [4][34][35].

Group 1 - The consumer market is experiencing a surge as the Spring Festival approaches, with abundant supply and strong sales of New Year goods across various regions [1] - In Shaanxi, over 150 key activities are planned for the New Year consumption season, covering shopping, food, performances, and cultural experiences [1] - In Guangdong's Guangzhou, the Lingnan Flower Market is supplying over 40 categories and hundreds of varieties of fresh flowers, with daily sales peak reaching 1.5 million stems [1] Group 2 - In Hubei's Yichang, the annual Xiling Temple Fair showcases folk culture and serves as a platform for local agricultural products [2] - In Chongqing's Rongchang District, the New Year market features lion dance performances, creating a festive atmosphere for visitors [2] - In Jiangxi's Yongfeng, over 200 local specialties, including Jinggangshan tea oil and Nanchang rice noodles, are on display, accompanied by cultural activities like traditional performances and making rice cakes [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongbai Group is facing significant operational challenges, highlighted by a recent embezzlement case involving a subsidiary employee, which has further exacerbated its already declining financial performance [2][4]. Group 1: Embezzlement Case - The embezzlement case involved four defendants who exploited a loophole in the fresh produce procurement system, resulting in the misappropriation of approximately 219 million yuan [5]. - The court sentenced the main perpetrator to life imprisonment and imposed fines, while the total recoverable amount from the embezzled funds is estimated to be around 50.22 million yuan, which is less than a quarter of the total amount misappropriated [6][7]. - The company faced regulatory scrutiny for failing to disclose the embezzlement case in a timely manner, leading to a warning from the Hubei Securities Regulatory Bureau [5][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Internal Control Issues - Zhongbai Group has experienced continuous revenue decline since 2021, with revenue dropping from 12.33 billion yuan to 10.38 billion yuan by 2024, and net losses expanding to 528 million yuan in 2024 [8][9]. - The company has undertaken significant store adjustments, closing 301 stores while attempting to optimize its operational structure, yet these efforts have not yet translated into improved financial results [9]. - Despite some stores showing increased foot traffic and sales post-renovation, the overall performance remains weak, with a 19.41% year-on-year revenue decline in the first three quarters of 2025 and net losses reaching 580 million yuan, surpassing the total losses of 2024 [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the bustling activity in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, where local residents are shopping for New Year goods, particularly at the well-known Hengchang Mall, which has been operating for 31 years and is recognized for its affordable products [1]. Group 1 - Hengchang Mall, established in 1995, is a popular market in Hohhot, attracting many customers from both the city and surrounding rural areas, especially before the Spring Festival [1]. - The mall experiences a significant increase in foot traffic during the festive season, indicating a strong local demand for affordable goods [1]. - The atmosphere in the mall is lively and festive, reflecting the cultural significance of the New Year shopping tradition among the local population [1].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the gold jewelry sector, indicating that consumer enthusiasm remains strong despite fluctuations in gold prices, particularly during the Chinese New Year [10][24]. Core Insights - On January 30, gold prices experienced significant volatility, yet consumer interest in Lao Pu gold stores remained high, showcasing the brand's growing influence [10]. - Promotional activities at Lao Pu gold stores and SKP malls are expected to sustain high-end gold brand consumption during the Spring Festival, with various discounts and gifts driving consumer demand [10]. - Lao Pu gold's fixed-price model contrasts with competitors that price by weight, leading to stronger consumer expectations for price increases, thus insulating the brand from gold price fluctuations [10]. - The report highlights that despite a drop in gold prices at the end of January 2026, certain Lao Pu stores in Shanghai and Beijing continued to see long queues, indicating strong brand appeal during price volatility [10]. Industry Data Tracking - According to Guojin Digital Future Lab, the overall GMV for Tmall and JD.com in the fourth week of December increased by 49.2% year-on-year [11]. - The top five categories in terms of growth during this period were books and audio-visual products, automotive and bicycles, watches, toys, and shoes and bags [11]. Market Review - For the week of January 26 to January 30, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, CSI 300, Hang Seng Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index recorded changes of -0.44%, -1.62%, 0.08%, 2.38%, and -1.38% respectively, while the retail sector saw a gain of 4.18% [17]. - Notable stock performances included *ST Huike, Yiyaton, Yiwan Yichuang, Yuyuan Co., and Kaichun Co., which saw gains attributed to AI application catalysts [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on cross-border e-commerce, particularly companies with strong brand power and product differentiation, which are expected to show resilience in performance [24]. - In the gold jewelry sector, the report anticipates that consumer enthusiasm will remain strong despite high baseline figures in January, with same-store growth expected to continue [24]. - The report highlights the potential for companies like Chao Hong Ji, which is expected to benefit from new product launches and an increase in self-produced products, driving profitability [24]. - The duty-free sector is also noted for its potential growth, particularly with the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port, which is expected to significantly impact local and national duty-free businesses [24].

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - Key sectors showing gains include telecommunications (+9.0%) and technology hardware (+4.6%) while software and services fell by 6.9%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, a significant drop from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media and entertainment (+$39.5 million) while software and services experienced outflows of -$106.0 million[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - Notable upward revisions were in technology hardware (+5.6%) and automotive (+3.2%) sectors, while energy saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risk Factors - Economic fundamentals, international political uncertainties, U.S. fiscal policy, and Federal Reserve monetary policy present significant risks[3]

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - 13 sectors saw gains, while 10 sectors experienced losses, with telecommunications leading at +9.0%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, down from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media & entertainment (+$39.5 million)[2] - Significant outflows occurred in software & services (-$106.0 million) and healthcare equipment & services (-$57.7 million)[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - 21 sectors had upward revisions, with technology hardware & equipment seeing the largest increase at +5.6%[3] - Energy sector saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risks - Economic fundamentals, international political situations, U.S. fiscal policies, and Federal Reserve monetary policies present uncertainties[3]