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中金:12月市场风险偏好改善 春季行情有望延续
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 00:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that market risk appetite improved in December, and the spring market is expected to continue [1] Group 2 - Investment suggestions for January include focusing on sectors benefiting from the spread of AI technology and applications, such as optical modules, cloud computing infrastructure, robotics, consumer electronics, and intelligent driving [1] - Certain sub-sectors of non-ferrous metals are expected to benefit from the restructuring of global monetary order and supply-demand imbalances [1] - The cyclical market represented by real estate and general consumption remains tilted towards the left side, with attention on chemicals, power grid equipment, engineering machinery, white goods, and commercial vehicles [1] - Long-term capital inflow into the market is a prevailing trend, with a focus on high-dividend leading companies based on quality cash flow, volatility, and dividend certainty [1] - Improved risk appetite in the capital market is expected to boost the performance of the non-bank financial sector, with a focus on insurance and brokerage firms [1]
锁凌燕:风险减量应成保险业攻坚方向
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-01-07 00:02
2025年以来,我国保险业在风险管理经验不断累积的基础上,在物联网、人工智能等新技术的支持 下,持续加力促进风险减量,取得显著成效。 风险识别能力显著提升。例如,应用与人工智能深度融合的智慧遥感技术,实现大范围、高频次的 地域监测,结合图像识别与数据分析能力,可以快速精准监测田间虫情、作物苗情、气候灾情、土壤墒 情,助力田间管理更科学,有效帮助农业保险精准承保和理赔,也有效提升农业风险管理智能化水平。 风险管理端口前移。例如,保险公司以产业链为线索,将制造企业风险管理延伸到能源、电力等重 点领域,通过风险评估、设备巡查、场景勘验等方式,提前识别和化解可能风险点,将管理端口推向风 险产生的"最初一公里"。 多层协同体系得以构建。保险公司作为风险管理枢纽,有效串联起政府部门、专业技术机构、救援 力量等多方主体。例如,一些保险机构组织专业技术人员深入车间厂房排查安全隐患;汛期各方协同开 展的提前预警、避险转移等服务,已经成为灾害应对的"标配"。可以说,政府主导、保险驱动、专业机 构执行、家庭企业广泛参与的"风险共治生态"正在形成并逐步完善。 当然,保险业推进风险减量仍面临一系列深层次挑战。 一是标准之困。风险减量是 ...
阿贝尔接棒 “后巴菲特时代”伯克希尔巨轮驶向何方
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-06 23:23
Core Viewpoint - The transition from Warren Buffett to Greg Abel marks the beginning of a new era for Berkshire Hathaway, with Abel emphasizing his mission to navigate the company smoothly rather than trying to replicate Buffett's legendary success [1][15]. Group 1: Transition of Leadership - Warren Buffett, who has led Berkshire Hathaway for 60 years, is gradually stepping back as he approaches retirement, with Greg Abel set to take over in 2026 [1][10]. - Buffett's tenure saw Berkshire achieve an astonishing total return of 5,502,284% from 1964 to 2024, compared to the S&P 500's 39,054% [1][10]. - Abel has been recognized for his ability to act decisively in investment opportunities, similar to Buffett's approach [15]. Group 2: Abel's Background and Achievements - Greg Abel, born in 1962, has a history of building strong relationships and has been instrumental in expanding Berkshire's energy sector since becoming CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Energy in 2008 [6][21]. - Under Abel's leadership, Berkshire Hathaway Energy's revenue grew from $2.3 billion in 1997 to $26.4 billion in 2022, with profits increasing from $139 million to $3.9 billion [7][22]. - Abel has also improved the operating profit margin of Berkshire's manufacturing, service, and retail segments from 4.9% in 2017 to 7.6% in 2023 [7][22]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Challenges - Analysts predict that Abel's management style may be more flexible than Buffett's, potentially leading to improved performance [24]. - Following Buffett's announcement of retirement, Berkshire's stock price fell over 10%, highlighting investor concerns about the transition [11][26]. - As of Q3 2025, Berkshire's cash reserves reached a record $381.7 billion, raising questions about how Abel will utilize these funds effectively [27].
十年首现,沪指连续站稳关键位置!高盛:建议高配中国股票
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-06 22:55
Market Overview - The A-share market opened strongly in 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time since 2016, closing above 4020 points for two consecutive trading days [1][2] - Analysts are optimistic about the market's ability to maintain this level, with many institutions predicting a potential upward trend towards 4500 points in the near future [3][21] Institutional Insights - Major brokerage firms have expressed bullish sentiments, with predictions for the Shanghai Composite Index to reach levels as high as 5000 points, reminiscent of the 2015 bull market [2][3] - Foreign investment banks like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have forecasted annual increases of 15% to 20% for Chinese stocks in 2026 and set target points for major indices [2][3] Sector Performance - The insurance sector has shown significant strength, with major companies like China Ping An and New China Life reaching historical highs, contributing to market stability at the 4000-point level [13][18] - The insurance sector's performance is attributed to its role as a stabilizing force in the market, benefiting from rising stock prices and favorable regulatory conditions [18][19] Fund Flows - Insurance companies have increased their equity investments significantly, with a reported 37.46 trillion yuan in total funds, marking a 16.5% year-on-year growth [19][20] - The influx of long-term capital from insurance funds is expected to enhance market stability and investor confidence, creating a positive feedback loop for further investment [19][22] Trading Activity - Margin trading has seen a gradual increase, with the total margin balance reaching 2.56 trillion yuan by January 2026, reflecting a steady recovery rather than a speculative surge [23][24] - The current trading environment is characterized by a cautious yet optimistic approach from investors, contrasting sharply with the rapid growth seen during the 2015 bull market [23][24]
去年以来26家险企股权变动达33起 险企股权变动趋于活跃,既是市场资源优化配置的结果,也是行业深化供给侧结构性改革、加速风险出清的缩影
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-06 22:41
险企股权变动的另一个原因是险企增加注册资本时引入新股东或原股东持股比例变动。据记者统计, 2025年以来,保险机构共披露了21例有关变更注册资本的公告,其中11例出现了股权变动。 日前,国家金融监督管理总局重庆监管局(以下简称"重庆金融监管局")发布关于三峡人寿保险股份有限 公司(以下简称"三峡人寿")变更股东股权的批复,同意重庆发展投资有限公司(以下简称"重庆发展投 资")受让重庆渝富资本运营集团有限公司(以下简称"重庆渝富资本")持有的三峡人寿约5.62亿股股份。 重庆金融监管局批复显示,受让后,重庆发展投资持有三峡人寿约10.01亿股股份,持股比例为33%; 重庆渝富资本持有三峡人寿约4.05亿股股份,持股比例为13.35%。 这是近年来保险机构股权变动的一个缩影。据《证券日报》记者统计,2025年以来截至目前,保险机构 共披露了33起股权变动案例,涉及26家保险机构,股权变动的原因包括股权转让和增资造成的股东持股 比例变动。 股权转让方面,除传统的不同企业持股划转外,保险机构的股权转让原因还包括国有股东出于股权结构 优化目的实施的无偿划转、被法院以抵债方式裁定抵偿、库存股转让等。 值得注意的是,多家险 ...
深入做好金融“五篇大文章”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 22:38
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of developing various financial sectors, including technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, to support the construction of a strong financial nation and facilitate economic development [2][3]. Financial "Five Articles" - The "Five Articles" focus on enhancing financial support for achieving high-level technological self-reliance, promoting green transformation, improving the inclusive financial system, developing a pension financial system, and advancing high-quality digital finance [3][4]. - The implementation of digital technology in financial services is highlighted, with eight key areas identified for development, including the establishment of big data collections for tech enterprises and optimizing green finance service models [3][4]. Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy is identified as a new industry with high growth potential but also high risks, necessitating a comprehensive financial service system that caters to its unique characteristics [5][6]. - Guangdong Province has seen its low-altitude economy output exceed 100 billion yuan, prompting the introduction of the "Twelve Articles" to support the development of this sector through various financing channels [5][6]. Financial Products and Services - The "Twelve Articles" encourage the development of financial products that cover the entire lifecycle of low-altitude economy enterprises, including differentiated cash flow valuation models and support for venture capital in "hard tech" projects [6][7]. - Financial institutions are urged to create specialized service teams and innovative financial products tailored to the needs of the low-altitude economy [7][8]. Policy Coordination - The article stresses the need for coordinated efforts among various financial policies to create a conducive environment for the "Five Articles," with a focus on optimizing risk-sharing mechanisms and enhancing financial support for key economic strategies [8][9]. - As of September 2025, structural monetary policy tools supporting the "Five Articles" amounted to 3.9 trillion yuan, with significant growth in technology and green loans [9].
风险减量应成保险业攻坚方向
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 22:38
2025年以来,我国保险业在风险管理经验不断累积的基础上,在物联网、人工智能等新技术的支持下, 持续加力促进风险减量,取得显著成效。 风险识别能力显著提升。例如,应用与人工智能深度融合的智慧遥感技术,实现大范围、高频次的地域 监测,结合图像识别与数据分析能力,可以快速精准监测田间虫情、作物苗情、气候灾情、土壤墒情, 助力田间管理更科学,有效帮助农业保险精准承保和理赔,也有效提升农业风险管理智能化水平。 风险管理端口前移。例如,保险公司以产业链为线索,将制造企业风险管理延伸到能源、电力等重点领 域,通过风险评估、设备巡查、场景勘验等方式,提前识别和化解可能风险点,将管理端口推向风险产 生的"最初一公里"。 多层协同体系得以构建。保险公司作为风险管理枢纽,有效串联起政府部门、专业技术机构、救援力量 等多方主体。例如,一些保险机构组织专业技术人员深入车间厂房排查安全隐患;汛期各方协同开展的 提前预警、避险转移等服务,已经成为灾害应对的"标配"。可以说,政府主导、保险驱动、专业机构执 行、家庭企业广泛参与的"风险共治生态"正在形成并逐步完善。 当然,保险业推进风险减量仍面临一系列深层次挑战。 一是标准之困。风险减量是 ...
上证指数“十三连阳” 突破前期高点创逾十年新高
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-06 21:50
大盘股集中的上证50指数、沪深300指数分别上涨1.90%、1.55%,小微盘股集中的中证1000指数、中证 2000指数、微盘股指数分别上涨1.43%、1.22%、0.30%,大盘股表现更为强势。 1月6日,A股市场继续放量走强,三大指数全线上涨,上证指数实现日线"十三连阳",突破前期高点创 逾十年新高。炒股软件、稀有金属、卫星互联网、脑机接口等板块爆发,整个A股市场超4100只股票上 涨,超140只股票涨停。市场成交额为2.83万亿元。A股总市值突破122万亿元,再创历史新高。 资金面上,1月5日A股市场融资余额增加超190亿元,两融余额和融资余额再创历史新高。 分析人士认为,上证指数"十三连阳"展现了投资者对未来行情的期待和信心。宏观政策接续发力、建筑 业PMI大幅改善、人民币升值等积极因素持续增加,后续更多潜在催化剂值得期待,春季行情有望逐步 展开。 ● 本报记者 吴玉华 市场放量走强 1月6日,A股市场放量走强,上证指数突破2025年11月14日的高点——4034.08点,创逾十年新高。截至 收盘,上证指数、深证成指、创业板指、科创综指、北证50指数分别上涨1.50%、1.40%、0.75%、 1. ...
广东开展保险资金 长期投资改革试点
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-06 21:02
● 本报记者武卫红 广东金融监管局1月6日发布消息,近日,广东金融监管局、省委金融办、省科技厅等九部门联合印发 《关于支持我省保险业高质量发展助力广东在中国式现代化建设中走在前列的指导意见》。 《指导意见》紧扣《中共广东省委关于制定广东省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》部 署,围绕科技创新、现代化产业体系、民生保障、社会治理和高水平开放等重点领域,对保险业高质量 发展作出系统安排,支持保险业更好发挥经济"减震器"和社会"稳定器"功能,助力筑牢经济安全网、社 会保障网和灾害防控网,为广东在中国式现代化建设中走在前列夯实风险保障底座。 《指导意见》提出,发挥保险资金长期投资优势。培育耐心资本,推动资金、资本、资产良性循环。推 动保险公司在粤设立私募证券投资基金,开展保险资金长期投资改革试点。发挥保险资金周期长、稳定 性高优势,加大对广东集成电路、人工智能、低空经济、生物医药等领域投资力度,推动技术创新和产 业结构优化。 为完善保险资金投融对接机制,《指导意见》提出,建立健全"险资入粤"常态化投融资对接机制,搭建 重点项目库,围绕广东重大基础设施、民生保障、百千万工程、科技产业项目、制造业项目等提供一揽 ...
上证指数“十三连阳”突破前期高点创逾十年新高
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-06 20:43
1月6日,A股市场继续放量走强,三大指数全线上涨,上证指数实现日线"十三连阳",突破前期高点创 逾十年新高。炒股软件、稀有金属、卫星互联网、脑机接口等板块爆发,整个A股市场超4100只股票上 涨,超140只股票涨停。市场成交额为2.83万亿元。A股总市值突破122万亿元,再创历史新高。 资金面上,1月5日A股市场融资余额增加超190亿元,两融余额和融资余额再创历史新高。 分析人士认为,上证指数"十三连阳"展现了投资者对未来行情的期待和信心。宏观政策接续发力、建筑 业PMI大幅改善、人民币升值等积极因素持续增加,后续更多潜在催化剂值得期待,春季行情有望逐步 展开。 ● 本报记者 吴玉华 市场放量走强 1月6日,A股市场放量走强,上证指数突破2025年11月14日的高点——4034.08点,创逾十年新高。截至 收盘,上证指数、深证成指、创业板指、科创综指、北证50指数分别上涨1.50%、1.40%、0.75%、 1.45%、1.82%,上证指数报收4083.67点。 大盘股集中的上证50指数、沪深300指数分别上涨1.90%、1.55%,小微盘股集中的中证1000指数、中证 2000指数、万得微盘股指数分别上涨1 ...