2026.02.21 本文字数：1821，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 齐琦 马年春节，国际金价在5000美元/盎司关口上演"过山车"。大年初一（2月17日）盘中跳水超2%，次日直 线拉升收复失地，随后几个交易日在5000美元关口反复拉锯。 当千家万户沉浸在团圆喜悦中，深圳黄金电商从业者小宇却化身"空中飞人"，一周三飞穿梭于故乡与职 场。冷清的珠宝产业园区里，他的直播间与客服后台灯火通明，在全球金价的剧烈波动中，书写着中国 黄金消费市场的新春故事。 园区冷、生意火 18日，农历正月初二，深夜的深圳龙岗珠宝产业园，主干道上鲜有行人，多数商铺大门紧闭，只有零星 几家物流网点亮着灯。而在园区内一间办公室里，键盘敲击声、电话铃声此起彼伏，与窗外的寂静形成 鲜明对比。 这个春节，小宇的行程表被排得满满当当。他告诉记者，2月16日他从深圳飞回甘肃老家，与父母团圆 吃年夜饭；22日，正月初六，就要飞回深圳处理积压订单；等到24日，正月初八，再回老家补休。一周 三飞，他成了名副其实的"空中飞人"。 "初二晚上，家里的饺子刚端上桌，我就接到了团队的紧急电话。"小宇回忆，当时国际金价突然拉升， 消费者咨询量激增，系统一度 ...

从传统的节日消费向资产配置和悦己消费升级 马年春节，国际金价在5000美元/盎司关口上演"过山车"。大年初一（2月17日）盘中跳水超2%，次日直线拉升收复失地，随后几个交易日在5000美元关口反 复拉锯。 当千家万户沉浸在团圆喜悦中，深圳黄金电商从业者小宇却化身"空中飞人"，一周三飞穿梭于故乡与职场。冷清的珠宝产业园区里，他的直播间与客服后台 灯火通明，在全球金价的剧烈波动中，书写着中国黄金消费市场的新春故事。 园区冷、生意火 18日，农历正月初二，深夜的深圳龙岗珠宝产业园，主干道上鲜有行人，多数商铺大门紧闭，只有零星几家物流网点亮着灯。而在园区内一间办公室里，键 盘敲击声、电话铃声此起彼伏，与窗外的寂静形成鲜明对比。 "紧急调整价格！现货金条每克下调6元，同步上架投资金专属优惠券。"返乡过年的小宇也没闲着，他一边盯着电脑屏幕上跳动的伦敦金现报价，一边在群 里下达指令。屏幕上，国际现货黄金价格跌至4853美元/盎司的日内低点，较盘中高点5010美元/盎司大跌157美元。作为深圳一家黄金电商的运营负责人， 这样的盯盘和调整，是他这个春节的日常。 "国内金市休市，国际金价却在疯狂波动，我们线上生意必须跟着节奏走。 ...

2026年2月19日下午，全球黄金市场炸开了锅。 伦敦现货黄金价格像坐火箭一样冲上了5014.62美元一盎司，盘中最高摸到了 5021.25美元。 这个数字可不是随便涨涨，这是黄金有史以来第一次站上5000美元大关。 纽约黄金期货也跟着往上蹿，报在 5035.7美元。 国际金价这么疯涨，国内市场的反应却有点不一样。 因为春节假期刚结束，上海黄金交易所还没开盘，国内 的金价暂时按兵不动。 黄金T D报1108.5元一克，沪金主连报1110.1元一克，都比节前稍微跌了一点。 但金店里的情况就热 闹多了，周大福、周生生的零售价已经涨到了1560元一克，老凤祥也到了1556元一克。 银行的投资金条价格在1109元到 1134元之间波动。 回收黄金的价格也跟着水涨船高，足金回收价在1045到1060元一克。 金价能冲上5000美元，背后有好几股力量在使劲推。 中东那边局势一直很紧张，美国和伊朗互相较劲，谁都不肯退让。 这 种时候，大家心里都没底，钱就往黄金这种避险资产里跑。 美联储那边也传来消息，市场觉得今年降息的可能性越来越 大。 美国一月份的通胀数据出来了，同比涨了2.4%，比去年十二月的2.7%又降了一些。 通胀 ...

春节假期，当大家忙着拜年、吃团圆饭的时候，国际黄金市场却上演了一出惊心动魄的"过山车"。 就在2026年2 月19日，国际现货黄金价格从低点暴力拉升，强势站上了每盎司5000美元的历史性关口，单日振幅超过150美元。 而与此同时，因为春节长假，国内的黄金交易所、期货市场全部休市，价格还停留在节前的1108.5元/克左右。 这 意味着，国内外的金价出现了明显的"时间差"和"价格差"。 节后一开盘，国内金价将直接与国际市场接轨，假期 里国际市场的所有剧烈波动，都可能在国内开盘那一刻集中兑现。 2026年2月19日，国际黄金市场的交易员们经历了一个不眠夜。 伦敦现货黄金价格在盘中最低触及4842美元后， 被强大的买盘力量迅速拉起，一路冲高，最高触及5021.25美元，最终收报在5014.62美元附近。 算下来，一天之 内就涨了将近40美元，涨幅接近0.8%。 如果从当天的最低点算起，反弹的幅度超过了160美元。 这种先暴跌再暴 涨的"深V"走势，让市场情绪在极度悲观和极度亢奋之间快速切换。 同一天，纽约商品交易所的黄金期货价格也 同步走强，报在5035.7美元。 白银、铂金、钯金等其他贵金属也出现了大幅波动，整个贵 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese gold market is experiencing a significant price disparity between retail prices and exchange prices, influenced by international market trends and domestic market conditions during the Chinese New Year holiday [1][3][19] Price Discrepancy - On February 19, 2026, the Shanghai Gold Exchange's T D price was 1108.50 CNY per gram, while retail prices at stores like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang reached 1560 CNY per gram, creating a gap of nearly 450 CNY [1][3] - The T D price reflects the last trading day before the holiday (February 13), not the current market price, as the exchange was closed during the holiday [4][19] International Market Dynamics - On the same day, the London spot gold price surpassed 5000 USD per ounce, marking a historical high, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets [6][19] - The price in London rose by 36.6 USD (0.74%) from the previous day, indicating strong international market activity despite the domestic market's stagnation [6] Central Bank Purchases - Global central banks purchased 863 tons of gold in 2025, with China's central bank holding 7419 million ounces (approximately 2307 tons) as of January 2026, indicating a strategic increase in gold reserves [7][19] Impact of U.S. Monetary Policy - Strong U.S. employment data in January 2026 altered market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, leading to a stronger dollar and reduced attractiveness of gold as an investment [9][10] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.35%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold [10] Market Segmentation - The Chinese gold market has developed three distinct pricing tiers: - The lowest tier reflects the financial attributes of gold, with T D prices closely tied to international market movements [12][19] - The middle tier represents wholesale prices, such as those in Shenzhen, which are close to raw material costs [13][19] - The highest tier consists of retail prices at brand stores, which include significant premiums for craftsmanship and branding [15][19] Consumer Behavior - The high retail prices have led consumers to adjust their purchasing strategies, opting for lighter, simpler designs or using "old for new" exchange methods rather than buying new high-weight jewelry [17][19] - The disparity in prices also affects the gold recycling market, where the recovery price for gold is significantly lower than retail prices, reflecting the loss of added value from branding and craftsmanship [16][19]

大年初三，周大福柜台前的阿姨攥着刚买的金镯子，笑得合不拢嘴。 她不知道的是，就在她为每克1560元的"高价"买单时，地球另一端的交易员正盯着 屏幕冷汗直流。 很多人没意识到，国内市场的热闹只是一场"信息滞后"的狂欢。 上海黄金交易所的黄金T D价格，还停留在2月9日收盘的1108.5元/克。 这意味着，过去 一周国际市场上惊心动魄的每盎司近200美元波动，国内价格还一分钱都没跟上。 这种"价格断层"是假期特有的产物。 国内投资者在欢度春节，国际市场却一刻未停。 当2月20日国内贵金属市场重新开市，这道裂缝必须被瞬间抹平。 要么国内金价跳空高开，一次性补涨；要么大幅低开，同步补跌。 无论方向如何，开盘瞬间的波动率都会远超平日。 一场迟到但猛烈的价格重估，已经进入了倒计时。 这场变盘从来不是凭空而来，而是三股巨力在暗处激烈角力的结果。 第一股力量，也是最敏感的那根神经，来自大洋彼岸的美联储。 2026年开年以 来，金价的每一次心跳几乎都和降息预期挂钩。 1月份美国非农就业新增了13万人，远超市场预期，同时CPI数据也保持粘性。 这两个数据像一盆冷水，浇灭了市场对快速降息的幻想。 在线聊春晚名场面 国内金价因为春节 ...

Group 1 - The international gold price has recently shown significant volatility, reaching over $5000 per ounce, driven by Federal Reserve policy divergence, geopolitical tensions, and technical rebounds [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices will gradually rise to $5400 by the end of 2026, supported by emerging market central bank demand and risk aversion [1] - Fluctuations in gold prices directly impact the fundamentals of gold stocks such as Shandong Gold [1] Group 2 - Shandong Gold's A-share price has been under pressure, closing at 45.40 yuan with a decline of 3.30% and a trading volume of 2.104 billion yuan, indicating a net outflow of 319 million yuan from main funds [2] - The technical analysis shows that the stock is in a consolidation range, with resistance at 59.17 yuan and support at 40.73 yuan [2] - Institutional views on Shandong Gold remain neutral to positive, with a target price of 59.10 yuan, suggesting approximately 30% upside potential [3] Group 3 - 40 institutions forecast a 100.17% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, primarily driven by high gold prices [3] - The market is currently focused on gold price trends and the company's cost control capabilities [3]

Market Overview - European and US stock markets experienced a broad decline, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.54%, losing over 260 points, the S&P 500 down by 0.28%, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 0.31% [1] - The Stoxx Europe 600 index dropped by 0.53%, retreating from its record high set on Wednesday [1] Technology Sector - Major US tech stocks mostly declined, with the Wande American Technology Seven Giants Index down by 0.29%. Apple, Netflix, and Intel fell by over 1%, while Microsoft, Google, and Nvidia saw slight decreases [1] - Notably, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta experienced minor gains [1] Airline Industry - Airline stocks fell across the board, with Boeing down over 2%, American Airlines dropping more than 5%, Delta Airlines down over 5%, Southwest Airlines nearly 5%, and United Airlines close to 6% [1] Semiconductor Sector - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index decreased by 0.5%, with Microchip Technology and Texas Instruments both down over 2%, and NXP Semiconductors also falling by more than 2%. Qualcomm dropped over 1%, while Advanced Micro Devices saw an increase of over 1% [1] - Jensen Huang announced a "world unprecedented" chip, indicating that all technologies are nearing their limits [1] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.35%, with individual stocks like Luokung down over 3%, Bawang Tea down over 2%, and JinkoSolar down over 2%. However, Hesai Technology and Huazhu Group saw gains of over 2% and 1%, respectively [1] Gold and Silver Market - Gold stocks mostly rose, with Coeur Mining up over 6% and NovaGold Resources increasing by over 5%. As of the report, spot gold rose by 0.42% to $4,997 per ounce, and spot silver increased by 1.44% to $78.269 per ounce [2] - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.09%, while COMEX silver futures increased by 0.82% [2] Oil Sector - Oil stocks surged, with Battalion Oil up over 34%, TMD Energy nearly 20%, and Sasol up nearly 10%. Western Oil Company reached a high of over $51.5 per share, closing up 9.36% [2] - International crude oil futures saw significant increases, with WTI and ICE Brent both rising by over 2% [2]

每经编辑｜程鹏 美伊新一轮谈判结束，但局势仍未见缓和。美方"时间表"不断收紧，军事部署与政治施压同步推进；以色列宣称"已为任何情况做好准备"；伊朗方面则称 谈判与备战并行，同步强化防御并举行军演。 石油股强势爆发，BATTALION OIL涨超34%，TMD ENERGY涨近20%，南非萨索尔涨近10%，西方石油公司股价触及盘中高位，收涨9.36%，报每股超 51.5美元。消息面上，国际原油期货大幅走高，创下了反弹新高，WTI原油、ICE布油均涨超2%。而此前一天，国际油价已大涨超4%。 局势剑拔弩张之际，美国总统特朗普2月19日再划"最后期限"，称美伊会否达成协议，"接下来十天左右"即可见分晓。谈还是打，前景依然悬而未决。 黄金股多数上涨，科尔黛伦矿业涨超6%，诺华黄金资源涨逾5%。消息面上，现货黄金一度上涨至5017.47美元/盎司，现货白银一度上涨至78.933美元/盎 司。2月19日COMEX黄金期货收涨0.09%，COMEX白银期货收涨0.82%。 有美国官员称，目前的配置可以支撑美国对伊朗进行持续数周的空中打击行动。有消息特别指出，至少6架E-3预警机近日从美国本土部署到英国和德国， 该型飞机通常 ...

高盛发布研报称，综合来看，各国央行的购金行为和私人投资者为应对美联储降息而增加的黄金敞口， 将推动金价在2026年底前缓慢攀升至每盎司5400美元。若以看涨期权结构来衡量，若私营部门进一步实 现多元化，那么黄金价格的预测将面临显著的上涨风险。 智通财经APP获悉，万国黄金集团(03939)早盘涨超5%，截至发稿，涨3.99%，报16.69港元，成交额 4503.69万港元。 消息面上，万国黄金集团此前公告，预期2025年度公司拥有人应占溢利约14亿至15亿元，同比增长约 143%至161%。环球富盛认为，公司2025年归母净利润预计同比大幅增长，受益于金价提升。该机构指 出，公司金岭矿扩建项目可期；与金山矿业订立认购协议，加速金岭项目发展；以及金岭矿日产量持续 提升。 ...