Macro Commentary - The economic recovery in China remains unbalanced, with May data showing significant retail sales growth supported by the old-for-new policy, while real estate sales have declined further and industrial output growth has generally slowed [2] - GDP growth is expected to slow from 5.4% in Q1 2025 to 4.9% in Q2 and 4.7% in the second half of the year, potentially facing headwinds from weakening exports and diminishing effects of the old-for-new policy [2] - If a preliminary trade agreement is reached between China and the US, China may focus on economic rebalancing, increasing fiscal expansion and consumer stimulation, and promoting capacity reduction in manufacturing [2] Market Performance - Major global stock indices showed positive performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 24,061, up 0.70% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.94% to 6,033 [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.15% year-to-date, reflecting a strong performance in the technology sector [2] - The performance of various sectors in the Hong Kong market was mixed, with financials and industrials leading gains, while real estate and healthcare sectors faced declines [4] Sector Analysis - The automotive sector is highlighted with companies like Geely Automobile and Xpeng Motors rated as "Buy," with target prices indicating potential upside of 46% and 50% respectively [6] - The equipment manufacturing sector also shows promise, with companies like Zoomlion and Sany Heavy Industry rated as "Buy," suggesting potential price increases of 19% and 24% respectively [6] - In the consumer sector, Luckin Coffee and PepsiCo are rated as "Buy," with expected price increases of 15% and 61% respectively, indicating strong growth potential [6] Credit and Economic Support - China's credit situation remains weak, driven by government financing, while private sector credit demand is still sluggish [5] - The social financing scale growth rate has rebounded due to accelerated government bond issuance, but household confidence is affected by tariff shocks, impacting housing and consumption [5] - More policy support is needed to revitalize private economic recovery, with expectations of a further 10 basis point reduction in LPR by the second half of 2025 [5]

Economic Performance - In May, the national economy maintained stable operation under pressure, with a focus on high-quality development [1] - The industrial production showed steady growth, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 5.8% year-on-year [3][5] - The added value of the equipment manufacturing industry grew by 9.0%, and high-tech manufacturing increased by 8.6%, both exceeding the overall industrial growth rate [5][17] Service Sector - The service industry production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year in May, accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [7] - Key sectors such as information transmission, software and IT services, leasing and business services, and wholesale and retail all outpaced the overall service industry growth [7] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 41,326 billion yuan in May, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, which is 1.3 percentage points higher than the previous month [10] - The sales of basic living goods and certain upgraded products showed strong growth, supported by the "trade-in" policy [10] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment continued to expand, with a total of 191,947 billion yuan from January to May, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [14] - Rapid growth was observed in investments in information services, aerospace, and computer equipment manufacturing [14] Employment and Economic Policies - The employment situation remained generally stable, with a decrease in the urban survey unemployment rate [15] - Since 2025, more proactive macro policies have been implemented to enhance consumption vitality and promote production growth [15] Technological Advancements - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 8.6%, with digital product manufacturing growing by 9.1%, significantly outpacing overall industrial growth [17][19] - Breakthroughs in cutting-edge technology fields such as artificial intelligence and robotics have positively impacted industrial upgrades [19] Postal and Logistics Sector - The postal industry in China handled over 861 billion items in the first five months, with a year-on-year growth of 17.6% [20] - The number of charging infrastructure units reached 14.4 million, a 45.1% increase year-on-year, supporting the rapid development of new energy vehicles [22][23] New Infrastructure Developments - The Wuhan Hancheng Low-altitude Port officially commenced operations, enhancing short-distance delivery efficiency for high-demand goods [26]

Economic Performance - In May, the national economy showed strong resilience and vitality, with industrial added value increasing by 5.8% year-on-year and retail sales of consumer goods rising by 6.4% [1] - The consumer price index decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, indicating stable demand and supply [1] Industrial Growth - The equipment manufacturing sector saw a significant increase, with added value growing by 9% and contributing 54.3% to industrial production [1] - High-tech manufacturing added value rose by 8.6%, and digital product manufacturing increased by 9.1%, both outpacing overall industrial growth [2] New Energy and Technology - Production of new energy vehicles and solar cells surged by 31.7% and 27.8% respectively, highlighting the rapid growth in these sectors [2] - The production of industrial robots increased by 32% from January to May, and the added value of smart vehicle equipment manufacturing grew by 26.8% [2] Trade Performance - In May, the total value of goods imports and exports increased by 2.7% year-on-year, with exports rising by 6.3% [2] - Despite challenges in the global economy, trade with ASEAN and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative continued to grow, showcasing the diversification of China's trade [2] Economic Outlook - The overall economic growth trend remains stable, with no changes in innovation-driven development, green transformation, high-level opening up, and continuous improvement in people's livelihoods [3] - The economy's strong foundation and resilience provide confidence in overcoming various risks and challenges [3]

"中国消费市场的庞大规模以及良好表现，意味着消费者的购买能力和意愿在增强，为松下各类产品的 销售提供了广阔空间。"16日，在中国官方公布5月份国民经济运行情况后，松下控股株式会社全球副总 裁、集团中国东北亚总代表本间哲朗与《国际锐评》交流了体会。 数据显示，5月份，中国社会消费品零售总额41326亿元，同比增长6.4%；全国规模以上工业增加值同 比增长5.8%；货物进出口总额38098亿元，同比增长2.7%，其中出口22767亿元，增长6.3%。"零售额增 速创17个月来最快""外贸展现出韧性""关键指标超出预期"……国际舆论纷纷对中国经济表现作出评 价。在《华尔街日报》等外媒看来，面对美国关税壁垒等严峻挑战，中国经济依然取得超预期增长，实 属不易。 中国人民大学教授王孝松对《国际锐评》指出，从外部看，5月份，中美日内瓦经贸会谈取得实质性进 展、达成重要共识。这有利于中美经贸关系改善，也有利于世界经济发展。从内部看，中国经济基本面 良好、市场广阔、潜力巨大，当外需收缩时，可以通过出口转内销等方式挖掘国内市场潜力。同时，随 着中国科技实力不断提升，各产业加快转型升级，综合竞争力与日俱增，推动中国经济高质量发展。 ...

Economic Overview - In May, the national economy demonstrated resilience, maintaining overall stability and progress, with stable growth in production demand and a generally stable employment situation [1][3] - The combination of policy effects has shown positive results in stabilizing the economy and promoting development [1] Industrial Performance - In May, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, indicating strong resilience and growth potential [2] - The high-end manufacturing sector saw significant growth, with the added value of equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9% and 8.6% respectively [2] - The digital economy's integration has accelerated, with the added value of digital product manufacturing growing by 9.1%, significantly outpacing overall industrial growth [2] - Green production is improving, with production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries for vehicles increasing by 31.7% and 52.5% respectively [2] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods in May increased by 6.4% year-on-year, reflecting enhanced consumer vitality [4] - The "old-for-new" consumption policy has shown continued effectiveness, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment [4] - The tourism sector has also seen a boost, with domestic travel during the "May Day" holiday increasing by 6.4% year-on-year [4] Trade Performance - In May, China's total goods import and export volume grew by 2.7%, with exports increasing by 6.3%, demonstrating resilience in foreign trade [7] - Despite a decline in trade with the US, trade with ASEAN, the EU, and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative continued to grow, showcasing the diversification of China's foreign trade [7] - Private foreign trade enterprises have shown strong market adaptability, with their import and export volume increasing by 7% year-on-year in the first five months [7]

Economic Performance - In May, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.61%[4] - Fixed asset investment from January to May grew by 3.7% year-on-year, marking the lowest level this year[4] - Retail sales in May reached 4.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, exceeding market expectations of 4.85%[5] Industrial Sector Insights - The equipment manufacturing sector saw a 9.0% year-on-year increase in added value, contributing 54.3% to overall industrial growth[4] - High-tech manufacturing growth slowed to 8.6%, down by 1.4 percentage points from April, primarily due to high base effects and reduced policy stimulus[4] - The export delivery value of large-scale industrial enterprises increased by only 0.6% year-on-year, indicating weakened external demand[4] Investment Trends - Equipment and tool investment surged by 17.3% year-on-year, contributing 63.6% to overall investment growth, driven by policies like "old-for-new" and equipment upgrades[4] - Real estate investment in May fell by 10.7%, with residential investment declining by 10.0%, reflecting ongoing pressures in the property sector[5] - Infrastructure investment recorded a growth rate of 10.42%, supported by special bonds and long-term treasury bonds, despite a slight decline from April[5] Consumer Behavior - Essential consumer goods such as grain and oil saw a growth rate of 14.6%, indicating resilience in basic consumption[5] - The "old-for-new" policy significantly boosted retail sales in categories like home appliances and furniture, with growth rates of 53.0% and 25.6% respectively[5] - Automotive retail sales grew by only 1.1%, significantly lower than the overall retail growth, primarily due to the decline in subsidies for new energy vehicles[5] Future Outlook - Industrial growth may slow marginally in June, with high-frequency data indicating a shift towards the off-season for several upstream industries[5] - Manufacturing investment is expected to remain high, driven by policy support for equipment updates and green transformation, but may face constraints from low export demand[5] - Retail sales growth may slightly decline, with ongoing policy support being a key factor in sustaining consumer demand[5]

Economic Performance - In May, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations[2] - The service industry production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year in May, indicating positive service sector performance[13] Consumer Trends - The total retail sales of consumer goods in May grew by 6.4% year-on-year, up from 5.1% in April, driven by the early "618" shopping festival[19] - Major categories such as home appliances and communication equipment saw significant growth, with home appliance sales increasing by 53.0% year-on-year[23] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) grew by 3.7% year-on-year from January to May, below the market expectation of 4.0%[4] - Infrastructure investment increased by 5.6% year-on-year, while real estate development investment declined by 10.7%[4] Employment and Labor Market - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in May was 5.0%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a stable employment situation[6] - The job market remains sensitive to external economic conditions, with policies aimed at supporting key demographics such as graduates and migrant workers[6] Market Outlook - The second quarter is expected to see a slight economic slowdown compared to the first quarter, with potential non-linear characteristics due to external uncertainties[1] - A dual bull market in stocks and bonds is anticipated in the second half of the year, supported by easing U.S.-China trade relations and risk mitigation funds[1]

Group 1 - The Chinese government is intensifying efforts to promote the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, focusing on improving the efficiency of technology transfer and addressing bottlenecks in the process [1][2] - The State Council emphasizes the importance of optimizing evaluation systems for technology research and industrial development, enhancing the alignment between industrial demand and technological supply [2][3] - The National Development and Reform Commission is working on establishing a network of pilot platforms for technology transfer, with a focus on key manufacturing sectors [3][4] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is launching a national pilot program for the industrialization of high-tech achievements, targeting advanced manufacturing and new materials [4][5] - MIIT has introduced a management approach for technology incubators, categorizing them into standard and excellent levels to enhance the quality of incubation services [5] - There are currently 16,000 incubation institutions across China, contributing significantly to the development of high-tech enterprises and promoting economic growth [5]

Company Announcements - Weir Shares will change its stock name to Haowei Group starting June 20, 2025, while the stock code "603501" remains unchanged [3] - Dafu Technology plans to transfer 27% of its subsidiary Peitian Intelligent Manufacturing's shares to Dayu Industrial Investment Group for approximately RMB 192.21 million, retaining a 63.49% stake post-transaction [4] - Aojing Medical announced the passing of its founder and actual controller, Cui Fuzhai, who held 4.62% of the company's shares directly and 0.26% indirectly; the company stated that his death will not impact operations [6] - Zhongji Oil and Gas confirmed normal operations and no undisclosed significant matters affecting stock fluctuations [7] Performance Metrics - China Eastern Airlines reported a 15.43% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover for May 2025, with a capacity increase of 9.27% and a seat occupancy rate of 85.39% [9] - China Coal Energy's coal sales in May 2025 were 21.79 million tons, a decrease of 4.9% year-on-year, while coal production increased by 1.9% to 11.90 million tons [10] - Shenzhen Airport recorded a passenger throughput of 5.54 million in May 2025, up 15.67% year-on-year, with a cumulative throughput of 27.41 million for the year [11] Major Contracts - Baina Qiancheng signed a proprietary licensing cooperation agreement with Mango Films, with a total contract value of RMB 372 million, representing 50.65% of the company's audited revenue for 2024 [15] - China Energy Construction won a bid for the Jiangyin Sulong Project with a contract value of approximately RMB 5.00508 billion, involving the construction of two 660MW coal-fired power units [16]

Core Viewpoint - The overall economic operation in China remains stable, with several indicators showing improvement, driven by new consumption momentum and robust service consumption growth [1][2]. Economic Performance - In May, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year, while the service production index grew by 6.2%, accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [3]. - The total retail sales of consumer goods rose by 6.4% year-on-year in May, an increase of 1.3 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - The urban unemployment rate in May was 5%, down by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, with the youth unemployment rate showing a continuous decline [3]. Consumption Growth Drivers - The growth in retail sales was significantly supported by the "old-for-new" policy, with retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment increasing by 53% and 33% respectively, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the total retail sales growth [6]. - The "6.18" online shopping promotion, which started on May 13, also boosted online retail sales, which grew by 6.3% year-on-year in the first five months, accounting for 24.5% of total retail sales [6]. - Holiday consumption showed positive trends, with domestic tourism increasing by 6.4% during the "May Day" holiday, and restaurant income rising by 5.9% in May [6]. New Consumption Momentum - Retail sales of sports and entertainment products and jewelry increased by 28.3% and 21.8% respectively in May, indicating sustained double-digit growth [7]. - The demand for communication services expanded, with retail sales in this category growing over 10% in the first five months [7]. - The expansion of visa-free entry countries has stimulated inbound tourism, with a significant increase in payment transactions from foreign visitors [7]. Industrial Development - The new economic momentum is also reflected in the high-end, intelligent, and green development of the industrial sector, with the added value of high-tech manufacturing growing by 8.6% year-on-year in May [9]. - Key industries such as automotive and electronic equipment manufacturing saw substantial growth, with added value increasing by 11.6% and 10.2% respectively [9]. - Production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries surged by 31.7% and 52.5% respectively, highlighting the shift towards green production [9].