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银行存款“流失”?央行最新回应
第一财经· 2026-02-10 13:31
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in household asset allocation in China, highlighting a shift from traditional bank deposits to wealth management and asset management products, driven by declining interest rates and a more diversified financial market [3][5][7]. Group 1: Changes in Asset Allocation - In the context of declining interest rates, households and enterprises are increasingly reallocating their assets towards wealth management and asset management products, indicating a more flexible approach to asset distribution [3][5]. - By the end of 2025, the balance of funds from households and enterprises in asset management products reached 56.3 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, outpacing the growth of household and enterprise deposits by 2.4 percentage points [6]. Group 2: Growth of Asset Management Products - The scale of asset management products has grown rapidly, with a total asset balance of 120 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.1% and an increase of 13.8 trillion yuan over the year [5][6]. - Over 80% of asset management products are allocated to fixed-income assets, with significant investments in interbank deposits and certificates of deposit, which totaled 28.7 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, marking an 18.9% year-on-year increase [6]. Group 3: Impact on Bank Deposits - The rapid growth of asset management products has altered the structure of bank deposits, with a recent decline in the proportion of household and enterprise deposits and an increase in interbank deposits [7]. - Despite the shift towards wealth management and asset management products, most of the funds are ultimately directed back to the banking system, indicating that the overall liquidity in the financial system remains stable [7][11]. Group 4: Broader Financial Environment - The article emphasizes the need to assess liquidity from a broader perspective, incorporating both bank deposits and asset management products, which reflects a stable growth trend in overall liquidity [10][11]. - The central bank has actively managed liquidity through various tools, ensuring that the banking system's liquidity needs are met, with a net injection of 6 trillion yuan in open market operations in 2025 [11].
央行:即使部分存款转向理财、资管产品 最终会回流到银行体系
央行介绍,资管产品新增资产主要投向同业存款和存单。固定收益类资产是资管资产配置的主要部分。 2025 年末,80%以上的资管产品投向固定收益类资产,新增资产主要集中于同业存款和存单。 年末资 管产品配置同业存款和存单共计 28.7 万亿元 , 同比增长 18.9% ,全年累计增加 4.6 万亿元 , 占资管 各类新增底层资产的五成左右 , 比重较上年同期提升超过 20 个百分点。 除存款和存单外 ,债券、 股 票及股权、 非标准化债权也是资管产品的重要投向。 2025 年以来 ,债券和非标债权的增长相对稳定, 股票资产随市场情况会有变动。央行 2025 年三季度,居民存款增速高位有所回落 ,各方关注增多, 出现了一些关于银行存款"流失"的探 讨。 2月10日,中国人民银行发布《2025年第四季度中国货币政策执行报告》(下称《报告》),对近期居 民储蓄存款分流现象做出回应。 在题为"从资管产品与银行存款的合并视角看流动性总量"的专栏3中, 央行表示,如果居民将存款转化 为资管产品,这些资管产品投向同业存款和存单,会直接增加非银机构在银行的存款,若投向其他底层 资产,最终也会转化为企业和相关机构的存款,从归宿上看 ...
摩根大通美债客户净多头占比创去年12月以来新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 13:18
做多:24对20 中性:61对60 做空:15对20 净多头:9对0 活跃客户 摩根大通美国国债客户调查显示,截至2月9日当周,多头占比上升4个百分点,空头下降5个百分点,中 性上升1个百分点。净多头占比为去年12月15日以来新高。 所有客户(2月9日对比2月2日) 做多:44对44 中性:45对34 做空:11对22 净多头:33对22 责任编辑:李肇孚 摩根大通美国国债客户调查显示,截至2月9日当周,多头占比上升4个百分点,空头下降5个百分点,中 性上升1个百分点。净多头占比为去年12月15日以来新高。 所有客户(2月9日对比2月2日) 做多:24对20 中性:61对60 做空:15对20 净多头:9对0 活跃客户 做多:44对44 中性:45对34 做空:11对22 净多头:33对22 责任编辑:李肇孚 ...
A股上市公司春节前分红超3700亿元,国有六大行累计现金分红超2000亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 13:13
节前最后一周,还有约30家公司计划实施分红。考虑到今年春节相较去年晚近20天,今年节前上市公司 分红相对更加积极,行业层面看,银行股分红约占70%。 节前最后一周,还有约30家公司计划实施分红。考虑到今年春节相较去年晚近20天,今年节前上市公司 分红相对更加积极,行业层面看,银行股分红约占70%。 2025年12月以来,国有六大行累计现金分红超2000亿元;招商银行(600036.SH)、兴业银行 (601166.SH)等12家股份制银行合计派发超500亿元。此外,食品饮料板块分红占比约13%,非银金融 约占4.6%,同样位居前列。 据央视财经2月10日报道,数据显示,从股权登记日看,2025年12月1日至2026年2月9日,已有约270家 A股上市公司实施现金分红,合计金额超3700亿元,同比增长约9.6%。 2025年12月以来,国有六大行累计现金分红超2000亿元;招商银行(600036.SH)、兴业银行 (601166.SH)等12家股份制银行合计派发超500亿元。此外,食品饮料板块分红占比约13%,非银金融 约占4.6%,同样位居前列。 据央视财经2月10日报道,数据显示,从股权登记日看,2025年 ...
宽基ETF净流出,加配优质金融
HTSC· 2026-02-10 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several financial institutions including China Merchants Bank and Ningbo Bank, and a "Hold" rating for others like GF Securities and Dongfang Securities [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights a net outflow of 1.01 trillion yuan from broad-based ETFs in January 2026, indicating increased market volatility and a shift in investor sentiment towards high-quality financial stocks [1][3]. - The overall market for wealth management products saw a decrease in issuance, with 2,728 new products launched in January 2026, down 10.4% month-on-month, while the average yield for these products increased to 3.62%, up 177 basis points from the previous month [2][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the newly implemented performance benchmark guidelines for public funds, which aim to strengthen the alignment of interests between fund managers and investors [3][15]. Summary by Sections Wealth Management Products - In January 2026, the total issuance of wealth management products was 2,728, a decrease of 10.4% from December, while the total market size for these products was 31.57 trillion yuan, showing a slight decline [2][16]. - The average yield for wealth management products increased to 3.62%, reflecting a positive trend in returns despite the decrease in issuance [2][15]. Public Funds - The public fund market saw a 6% increase in new issuance in January, but the total market size decreased to 36.30 trillion yuan, down 1.24% month-on-month [3][15]. - The net asset value of ETFs fell to 5.46 trillion yuan, with a significant outflow of 1.01 trillion yuan from broad-based ETFs [3][15]. Private Funds - As of December 2025, the total size of private fund products reached 22.15 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 0.27% [5][15]. - The report notes a strong growth in the registration of private securities investment funds, which increased by 157% year-on-year [5][15]. Insurance Asset Management - By the end of Q3 2025, the balance of insurance funds reached 37.46 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17% [6][15]. - The report indicates a rising trend in the allocation of insurance funds to equities, with a notable increase in stock investment ratios [6][15]. Securities Asset Management - The size of securities asset management reached 6.37 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% [4][15]. - New issuance in January 2026 amounted to 77.42 billion units, representing a 20% increase from the previous month [4][15]. Trust Industry - The trust industry reported an asset size of 32.43 trillion yuan as of June 2025, marking a 10% increase since the beginning of the year [7][15]. - In January 2026, 1,377 trust products were issued, totaling 110.5 billion yuan, which is a 15% month-on-month increase [7][15].
江苏进一步优化民营经济金融服务与融资环境
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-02-10 12:56
同时,《若干措施》着力健全民营企业纾困帮扶机制,要求完善协调稳定企业融资环境工作机制,充分 发挥民营企业融资会诊帮扶机制作用,按照市场化、法治化原则,要求金融机构不盲目抽贷、断贷、压 贷。针对破产重整、和解企业,将研究支持其金融信用修复的具体措施,推动信用修复结果跨部门共享 互认。 为激发金融机构服务民营企业的内生动力,《若干措施》提出完善激励机制,例如,在银行机构服务实 体经济评价中增加民营经济融资指标权重;优化政府性融资担保机构评价指标,降低或取消盈利要求; 引导金融机构优化尽职免责标准指引、落实小微企业不良贷款容忍度等要求。 (文章来源:中国新闻网) 中新社南京2月10日电江苏省人民政府10日召开新闻发布会,对新近印发的《关于进一步优化民营经济 金融服务的若干措施》(简称《若干措施》)进行解读。该文件围绕五个方面,提出20条具体措施,旨在 提供充裕多元、优质高效、价格合理、安全稳健的金融服务。 江苏是民营经济大省,"十四五"以来,全省民营经济增加值近8万亿元人民币,占地区生产总值比重近 六成。江苏金融系统持续推动民营企业融资扩面、降本、增效。截至2025年末,全省民营企业贷款余额 约8万亿元;2025年 ...
海外银行股去年涨势如虹 投资者如何破局“产品荒”
21世纪经济报道记者 黄子潇 深圳报道 近期,国际金融巨头密集披露财报。以美国四大银行、三大银行卡组织为代表的巨头在2025年整体交出 较好业绩,同期股价表现突出。 2025年,美国银行板块表现强势。花旗集团、摩根大通、富国银行、美国银行股价全年涨幅分别为 70.38%、37.27%、35.57%和28.04%,甚至超过不少美股科技巨头的同期表现。 欧洲银行表现更为亮眼,桑坦德银行、西班牙对外银行及德意志银行同期均实现股价翻倍。 记者注意到,目前内地市场缺主投海外银行的产品,公募的相关布局近似空白,这与布局全球科技的产 品丰富程度截然不同。不过,在港交所注册的基金中有一些相关产品,大多为国际资管机构推出。 国际大型银行密集披露财报 美国四大行一般指花旗集团、摩根大通、富国银行、美国银行。 近日,摩根大通、美国银行、花旗集团和富国银行相继披露2025年四季度和全年业绩。四家银行全年营 收分别为1824亿、1824亿、852亿和837亿美元,同比增长2.6%、6.8%、5.6%和1.7%;净利润方面,分 别实现570亿、305亿、143亿、213亿美元,同比分别下降2.4%、增长13.1%、增长12.8%和增长8 ...
每日机构分析:2月10日
Group 1 - CITIC Securities maintains an optimistic outlook on precious and non-ferrous metal prices, despite recent volatility in gold prices driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and changes in the situation in Iran [1] - Jefferies economists express a negative outlook on the UK economy, predicting further deterioration in fiscal conditions and a greater rate cut by the Bank of England than currently priced in by the market [1] Group 2 - ING strategists note a slight decrease in UK government bond yields following Prime Minister Starmer's market reassurance, but higher yields may still be demanded compared to other developed market bonds [2] - Barclays reports that Singapore's government has raised its GDP growth forecast for 2026, but this is unlikely to lead to immediate tightening of monetary policy by the Monetary Authority of Singapore [2] Group 3 - The Reserve Bank of Australia has become the first major developed country central bank to raise interest rates this year, leading to a decline in consumer confidence in February [3] - Japanese companies are increasingly turning to convertible bond financing due to rising costs of traditional debt instruments amid increased fiscal spending and higher interest rates [3] - ANZ economists highlight a K-shaped recovery in the South Korean economy, indicating disparities within manufacturing and between large and small enterprises, with solutions tied more to global demand and fiscal factors than monetary policy [3]
详解2025年理财年度报告:规模稳步增长,增配现金类资产【中泰银行·戴志锋/邓美君/陈程】
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 12:45
报告摘要 理财产品存续规模为33.29万亿元,同比增长11.2%,全年合计增量为3.34万亿元,全年增量较2024年增加0.19万亿元。 "存款搬家"背景下,全年规模增量同比增近2000亿。2025年,"存款搬家"的叙事持续被市场热议,在2022年后存款挂牌利率多次下降的背景下,到期定存 部分流向资本市场如基金、理财、资管等,而银行理财凭借其稳健和低波的特性,成为定存这类低风险偏好资金的重要流向,一定程度上带动理财市场规 模的提升。截至2025年末,理财产品存续数量为4.63万只,同比增长14.8%,创2020年以来最高水平;存续规模为33.29万亿元,同比增长11.2%。从增量 来看,2025年四个季度增量分别为-0.82亿元、1.53亿元、1.46亿元和1.16亿元,全年合计增量为3.34万亿元,较2024年增加0.19万亿元。 个人投资者风险偏好低,产品加权平均收益率受债市影响呈下行态势。1)截至2025年末,理财投资者数量达1.43亿人,同比增长14.4%。其中,个人投资 者、机构投资者分别为14127.32、194.16万人,分别同比增长14.3%、18.8%。2)个人投资者更青睐稳健型产品,202 ...
一份对美国“意义重大”的报告,即将公布
凤凰网财经· 2026-02-10 12:43
来源丨国际财闻汇 一份信息量高于以往的就业报告预计将揭示美国劳动力市场近年来放缓的程度,甚至可能表明其增长已完全停滞。 除常规月度就业人数和失业率数据外,定于周三发布的1月就业报告还将包含备受关注的年度就业数据修正值。此前初步估计显示,截至2025年3月 的年度就业数据可能出现创纪录的91.1万人的下修,预计此次修正将显著下调招聘速度。 BMO Capital Markets首席美国经济学家Scott Anderson表示:"今年的年度基准修正将比往常更具影响。当前劳动力市场确实处于净就业增长与可 能出现就业流失的刀锋边缘。" 这份由美国劳工统计局编制的报告原定于2月6日发布,但因政府部分停摆而推迟。 "零。一点都没有。完全没有,"沃勒在声明中表示,"这根本不像一个健康的劳动力市场。" 富国银行经济学家在报告中指出:"1月就业报告可能使疲软的劳动力市场格局基本维持不变。" 每年1月就业报告发布时,劳工统计局会将就业数据与更精准但不够及时的季度就业与工资普查数据进行基准校准。该数据基于各州失业保险税记 录,覆盖美国大部分就业岗位。 除2025年3月经调整的就业水平外,劳工统计局还将发布去年全年经修订的月度就业人 ...