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人民币对美元近期走强原因,对A股港股有何影响?|资本市场
清华金融评论· 2025-11-29 09:48
文/《清华金融评论》 王茅 近期人民币汇率涨势明显,离岸人民币(CNH) 11月25日 报 7 .0 829 元 (单日涨 0. 3%),11月2 7日盘中最高升至7. 0653 , 逼近 202 4年10月9 日高点。人民币近期 走强主要受内外因素共同推动,短期有望延续偏强 态势,对资本市场尤其是 A股和港股形成显著利好。 人民币近期 走强 主要 原因 外部环境改善 。 美元持续走弱, 2025年美元指数已累计下跌超7%,美联储降息预期升温 , 12月降息概率升至 8 0%以上,削弱美元吸引力 。 中美利差 收窄, 美联储降息频率高于中国央行,中美 10年期国债收益率利差缩小,提升人民币资产性价比。 内部支撑强化 。 我国 经济韧性凸显, 我国 出口超预期增长 , 如四季度结汇需求激增 , 政策工具箱丰富, 这 夯实 了人民币 汇率基础 。 政策主动引 导, 我国 央行通过中间价持续释放升值信号,并收紧离岸流动性抑制做空, 这 稳定 了 市场预期。 此外, 外资增配人民币资产 。 国际投行集体 ( 如高盛、瑞银等 ) 唱多 A股,科技股吸引力增强,跨境资金回流中国资本市场加速,也提振了人民币汇 率。 人民币 ...
进口再生纸浆监管引关注 业界专家提出《北京共识》
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-29 08:54
Core Viewpoint - Experts are calling for stricter regulations on the import of recycled paper pulp to prevent environmental risks and promote a green, safe, and high-quality development of the paper industry [1][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - A national standard revision plan for recycled paper pulp was approved on October 31, with the Paper Industry Standardization Technical Committee responsible for organizing the revision [2]. - The General Administration of Customs issued a notice on October 9 regarding the declaration requirements for imported recycled paper pulp, followed by a joint announcement from six departments on October 17 to standardize supervision [1][2]. Group 2: Environmental Concerns - The dry processing method for recycled paper pulp has been criticized for its limited purification capabilities, leading to potential contamination and safety hazards [3]. - Since 2021, there have been multiple cases of solid waste being imported under the guise of recycled paper pulp, raising significant environmental concerns [2][3]. Group 3: Industry Standards and Recommendations - The current national standard for recycled paper pulp lacks mandatory constraints and does not adequately address biosecurity and bacterial content for imported products [3][4]. - The "Beijing Consensus" recommends strict enforcement of hard standards for imported recycled paper pulp, including limits on contamination and the requirement to specify production methods [4][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - In 2024, China's total import of recycled paper pulp is projected to be approximately 4.14 million tons, with dry processed pulp accounting for about 3.8% of domestic pulp supply [6]. - Experts anticipate that domestic pulp production capacity will exceed 3.5 million tons by 2026-2027, reducing reliance on imports [6].
进口再生纸浆监管引关注,业界专家提出《北京共识》
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-29 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is urged to integrate into the national "dual carbon" strategy and accelerate green technology innovation and application, while addressing issues related to the import of recycled paper pulp, including incomplete national standards and environmental risks [1][5]. Regulatory Developments - Recent discussions have focused on enhancing the supervision and standardization of imported recycled paper pulp, with multiple government departments collaborating to issue new regulations and standards [2][3]. - The announcement from the General Administration of Customs on October 9 and subsequent joint announcements from six departments aim to regulate the import of recycled paper pulp more effectively [2]. Environmental Concerns - There have been instances of domestic paper companies misusing the label of recycled paper pulp to import solid waste, raising significant environmental concerns [3]. - Experts have highlighted the inadequacies of the dry processing method for recycled paper pulp, which fails to adequately remove contaminants and poses safety risks [4]. Standardization Issues - The current national standard for recycled paper pulp (GB/T43393-2023) is criticized for lacking mandatory constraints and not adequately addressing biosecurity and bacterial content for imported products [4][5]. - The absence of microbial testing indicators in the existing standards allows low-quality materials to enter the market, complicating customs regulation [4]. Recommendations from Experts - The "Beijing Consensus" calls for strict enforcement of hard standards for imported recycled paper pulp, including limits on contamination and the prohibition of hazardous materials [5][7]. - Experts advocate for the paper industry to adopt green technologies and enhance responsibility towards environmental protection, aligning with national interests [5]. Future Outlook - According to customs statistics, the total import of recycled paper pulp in 2024 is projected to be approximately 4.14 million tons, with a significant portion produced using the dry method [7]. - The industry anticipates a shift towards increased domestic production capacity, potentially reducing reliance on imports by 2026-2027 [7].
造纸板块11月28日跌0.38%,恒丰纸业领跌,主力资金净流出4.36亿元
证券之星消息,11月28日造纸板块较上一交易日下跌0.38%,恒丰纸业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3888.6,上涨0.34%。深证成指报收于12984.08,上涨0.85%。造纸板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600235 | 民丰特纸 | 6.90 | 1.62% | 5.50万 | | 3744.90万 | | 600433 | 冠蒙高新 | 3.26 | 1.56% | 17.24万 | | 5562.80万 | | 605500 | 标林包装 | 8.98 | 1.01% | 2.58万 | | 2300.53万 | | 603733 | 仙鶴股份 | 23.00 | 1.01% | 2.08万 | | 4790.45万 | | 603165 | 荣晟环保 | 12.90 | 0.78% | 1.86万 | | 2388.01万 | | 920394 | 民士达 | 36.18 | 0.61% | 8379.25 | | 3020.3 ...
景兴纸业:回购价格上限按董事会决议前30个交易日均价150%确定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 04:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Jingxing Paper Industry's share repurchase price is set at a maximum of 4 yuan, which has raised questions among investors regarding the company's confidence in its own stock value [1] - Jingxing Paper Industry clarified that the repurchase price cap is determined based on the average trading price of the company's stock over the 30 trading days prior to the board's decision, multiplied by 150% [1]
破全球技术壁垒!这家济宁分院多场景创新解特种领域痛点
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-11-28 03:53
齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点孔茜通讯员吴丛 从大亚湾核电站海底管道里自主清淤的无人装备,到帮助残障人士用"意念"操控肢体行走的脑机接口系统,再到为传统造纸企业破解数十年上料痛点的智 能方案……这些看似不相关的技术突破且鲜少被大众只晓得特种技术赛道,其背后推手正是坐落于济宁高新区的中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院济宁分 院。 该院以"隐形冠军"的姿态深耕细作。不追逐流量曝光,却在细分领域突破全球技术壁垒;不标榜行业光环,却用"从0到1"的创新,为多个卡脖子场景提供 唯一解。 "无人化清淤" 助力大亚湾核电站高效运维 广东大亚湾核电站的海底管道入口处,咸湿海风掠过金属管壁。一抹亮黄色`目,这台搭载着展开式柔性清理组件的特种无人装备,正缓缓驶入半径2米的 管道入口。它不仅是中国科学院深圳先进技术研究院济宁分院"封闭及半开放场所无人驾驶技术"的具象成果,更标志着全球核电运维领域"无人化清淤"实 战的正式启幕。 作为核电站的"冷却动脉",大亚湾核电站连接冷却塔与核反应堆的海底管道,长度延伸至3-5公里,常年浸泡在海水中的管壁极易附着贝类、藻类等海生 物,日积月累形成厚厚的污垢层,成为制约核电安全高效运维的"老大难"。此前,传统人工清 ...
国投证券港股晨报-20251128
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-28 03:17
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slightly up, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.36%, indicating a cautious shift in investor sentiment after recent rebounds [2][3] - The total market turnover was approximately HKD 204.7 billion, with short selling on the main board reaching about HKD 36.7 billion, accounting for approximately 20.41% of the total turnover [2] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of approximately HKD 1.3 billion, with Alibaba, Pop Mart, and Meituan being the most actively bought stocks, while Xiaomi, Zijin Mining, and Tencent were the most sold [2][3] Group 2: Sector Performance - The paper industry continued its strong performance, with leading paper companies seeing stock price increases due to expectations of improved industry profitability from previous price hikes [2] - The consumer sector also performed well, with multiple sub-sectors such as tobacco, automotive, new retail, and dairy products showing significant gains, supported by a recent policy initiative from six ministries aimed at boosting consumption [3] - Conversely, the real estate sector faced notable declines, with concerns over debt restructuring among leading companies leading to reduced investor risk appetite [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Lenovo Group - Lenovo Group reported better-than-expected Q2 results, with its Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) revenue increasing by 11.8% year-on-year to USD 15.11 billion, benefiting from a rise in AI computer shipments and strong sales of high-end products [5] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a significant revenue increase of 23.7% year-on-year to USD 4.09 billion, driven by AI infrastructure business growth, despite a small operating loss [5][6] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved record revenue growth of 18.1% year-on-year to USD 2.56 billion, with a strong operating profit margin of 22.3% [6] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo is focusing on AI development, shifting towards a more inclusive approach that emphasizes human and enterprise entities, which is expected to create growth opportunities in various AI terminal devices and solutions [6] - The company is preparing for ongoing storage supply shortages and price increases by securing long-term agreements with key suppliers and leveraging its cost advantages to manage potential cost pressures [7] - The forecast for Lenovo's adjusted net profit for the fiscal years 2025/26 and 2026/27 is USD 1.62 billion (up 12.5% year-on-year) and USD 1.78 billion (up 9.9% year-on-year), respectively, with a target price of HKD 12.3, indicating a "buy" rating [7]
民丰特种纸股份有限公司 关于公开挂牌出售不再使用设备的进展公告
Overview - Minfeng Special Paper Co., Ltd. plans to publicly auction unused equipment from its Nanhu plant through Jiaxing Property Trading Co., Ltd. The first auction failed to attract any interested buyers, resulting in a failed bid [1][2]. Transaction Summary - The company held its 18th board meeting on September 29, 2025, and the first extraordinary shareholders' meeting on October 15, 2025, where it approved the proposal to publicly auction unused equipment [1]. - The first auction did not attract any interested buyers, leading to a failed bid [1]. - On November 19, 2025, the company held its 20th board meeting and approved a second public auction of the unused equipment, with the auction price reduced by 10% from the initial listing [1][2]. Progress of the Transaction - The second public auction was conducted from November 20 to November 26, 2025, but it also failed to attract any interested buyers, resulting in another failed bid [2]. Future Arrangements - To broaden the audience for the asset sale, the company plans to select other auction platforms for a new public auction, maintaining the same auction price and scope as in the second public auction [3].
A股主要股指冲高回落 沪指微涨0.29%
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-11-27 23:31
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong upward movement during the day but retreated in the afternoon, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.44% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 740 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2,700 stocks rose across the market, indicating a rapid rotation of market hotspots [1] Sector Performance - The lithium battery electrolyte concept saw a rebound, with stocks like Shida Shenghua hitting the daily limit [1][6] - The computing power chip sector was active, with Saiwei Electronics rising over 15% [1] - The consumer electronics sector remained strong throughout the day, with Yunzuka Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The paper sector showed significant gains, with an overall increase of over 2%, driven by price hikes in various paper products [4] - Other sectors such as forestry, daily chemicals, chemical products, and chemical fibers also performed well [5] Specific Company Developments - Xi'an Catering's stock surged, reaching the daily limit after the announcement of 16 measures by the Shaanxi provincial government to deepen capital market reforms [2] - The company focuses on a dual-driven strategy of "catering main business + food industry," emphasizing regional specialty cuisine and food production [3] - Major paper companies have announced price increases for various paper types, benefiting from improved demand and supply-side adjustments [4][6] - Leading electrolyte companies are experiencing a surge in orders, with some contracts extending to 2028, indicating strong future demand [7]
金十数据全球财经早餐 | 2025年11月28日
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-11-27 23:08
Group 1: Market Overview - The US dollar index experienced fluctuations, ultimately closing down by 0.059% at 99.53 [2][6] - Gold prices fell by 0.14%, settling at $4157.99 per ounce, while silver rose by 0.1% to $53.4 per ounce [2][6] - International crude oil prices increased for the second consecutive day, with WTI crude rising by 0.96% to $59.03 per barrel and Brent crude up by 0.77% to $62.89 per barrel [2][6] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index up by 0.07% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 0.36%, with a total trading volume of HKD 2047.28 million [3] - In the A-share market, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.44%, respectively, with a total trading volume of CNY 1.71 trillion [4] Group 3: Sector Performance - In Hong Kong, technology stocks had mixed performances, with Xiaomi Group rising over 2% and Alibaba falling over 2%. Paper stocks performed well, with Lee & Man Paper rising over 6% and Nine Dragons Paper up over 3% [3] - In the A-share market, the organic silicon sector remained active, with Huasheng Lithium Energy rising over 15% and Jinyinhai nearing a 13% increase. The solid-state battery sector also saw strong performance, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [4]