Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the semiconductor and AI industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high growth, with global sales expected to reach a record high of $700.9 billion in 2025, driven by logic and memory segments [5][16]. - The price increases from Texas Instruments (TI) are creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to gain market share, particularly in high-margin segments like industrial and automotive electronics [5][24]. - The consumer electronics sector is seeing stable smartphone shipments with an expected 1.6% growth in 2025, alongside innovations in AI glasses that are anticipated to expand market size significantly [5][30][37]. - The PCB market is projected to grow due to high demand from AI data centers and other applications, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% expected from 2024 to 2029 [55][60]. Semiconductor Industry - Global semiconductor sales reached $59.91 billion in June, marking a 20% year-on-year increase, while China's sales were $17.24 billion, growing 13.1% [10][11]. - The growth in the semiconductor market is primarily driven by logic and memory segments, with projections for 2025 indicating a continued upward trend [16][18]. - The demand for DDR4 memory is expected to remain high due to ongoing production plans by Samsung, despite a shift towards newer technologies [18]. Consumer Electronics - Global smartphone shipments totaled 295 million units in Q2 2025, reflecting a 1% year-on-year increase, with brands like Samsung and Xiaomi showing notable performance [30][34]. - The introduction of new AI glasses is expected to enhance market acceptance and drive growth, with significant increases in shipment volumes projected for 2025 [37][39]. PCB Market - The global PCB market is anticipated to reach $73.57 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 5.8% driven by demand from AI and consumer electronics sectors [55][60]. - AI data centers are identified as a key growth area for PCB applications, necessitating advancements in high-performance and high-density designs [60][62].

2025 年 08 月 14 日 液冷：下一个光模块&PCB 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn 我们多篇报告一直明确：市场的结构是【双轮驱动】：其一为全球科技共舞下的 成长品类提供强劲的弹性，其二为"反内卷"牵头下周期与顺周期交易 PPI 修复 的扩散行情。我们于 7 月 29 日发布了《市场的双轮驱动系列一——交易 PPI》， 于 8 月 8 日发布了《市场的双轮驱动系列二——全球科技共舞》。 在双轮驱动行情下，"坚守自我，科技为先"尤为重要。我们于 8 月 3 日发布的 《坚守自我，科技为先》中提出：不应该在积极的市场中做"惊弓之鸟"，调整 后的布局更为关键。 科技当中的下一个光模块&PCB：液冷 AI 算力链条我们一直持续推荐，我们于 7 月 12 日、8 月 3 日、8 月 8 日、8 月 9 日多次提示 AI 硬件的投资机会。AI 算力链条景气度高、业绩确定性强，是当下 市场科技主线的核心。 光模块、PCB 是 AI 算力链的重要组成部分，二者深度绑定海内外 AI 算力基础 设施的建设浪潮，并跟随 AI 服务器不断迭代，无论是出 ...

华安证券8月13日发布研报称，给予鹏鼎控股（002938.SZ，最新价：52.89元）增持评级。评级理由主 要包括：1）紧抓 AI 端侧发展浪潮，实现AI云-管-端全链条布局；2）软板方面，随着智能手机向 AI 手 机的升级，AI 功能的增强预计将推动手机硬件的升级，对手机电池及散热等功能提出更高要求；3）硬 板方面，随着 AI 服务器需求的强劲增长，高端高密度互连板（HDI）产品已成为PCB行业中增长最快 的产品类型之一。风险提示：市场需求不及预期；市场竞争加剧；大客户进展不及预期；关税影响程度 超预期。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

单柏霖指出，半导体算力作为AI基础设施的核心，正迎来爆发式需求，而AI芯片国产化进程加速，将 驱动中国半导体产业从"跟跑"向"并跑"转型。"半导体算力和AI芯片是AI时代的核心引擎，随着生成式 AI、大模型和边缘计算的普及，全球算力需求呈指数级增长。中国作为AI应用大国，正受益于这一浪 潮"。 消息方面，2025年中国通用算力规模预计增长20%，智能算力规模增长43%，排名全球第二，仅次于美 国。近五年来，算力总规模增速每年都高达30%左右。有机构预计，AI持续发展有望持续拉动高端光模 块需求，光模块行业长期成长动能强劲。 上证指数创近四年来新高之际，光模块概念和PCB板块（印刷电路板）表现持续活跃。8月13日，多只 光模块龙头个股大涨甚至收获涨停板。在汇安基金行业主题组基金经理单柏霖看来，这不仅仅是市场短 期情绪的体现，更是半导体算力与AI芯片产业复苏的信号。 日前，拟由单柏霖担纲的汇安成长领航混合型基金也发行定档，公告将于9月1日-9月19日全面发行。相 较于汇安成长优选混合，新基金汇安成长领航混合投资范围更为宽泛，可同时参与A股和港股投资，投 资于股票资产（含存托凭证）的比例为基金资产的60%-95%， ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The credit data for July shows a rare negative turn, with new credit scale turning negative for the first time in 20 years, while social financing continues to grow under government bond support [4] - M1 growth has increased for two consecutive months, indicating faster fund activation in both resident and corporate sectors, particularly driven by a rise in resident demand [4] - The overall monetary policy is expected to remain loose, with potential for further rate cuts and reductions in reserve requirements due to economic downward pressure [4] Group 2: Company Insights - 卓胜微 (Zhuosheng Micro) - The company is advancing its chip project, with significant production capacity achieved in both 6-inch and 12-inch wafer production lines, indicating a strong position in the RF front-end market [8][9] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 4.91 billion, 5.61 billion, and 6.67 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 380 million, 860 million, and 1.29 billion CNY [9] Group 3: Company Insights - 万国黄金 (Wanguo Gold) - The company holds three significant mining assets, including the world-class Jinling Gold Mine, which is expected to contribute significantly to future revenue growth [10][12] - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 3.49 billion, 4.77 billion, and 5.36 billion CNY, with net profits of 1.41 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.18 billion CNY respectively [12] Group 4: Company Insights - 海能技术 (Haineng Technology) - The company reported a strong revenue growth of 34.9% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 140 million CNY, with a net profit increase of 139% [13] Group 5: Company Insights - 中科三环 (Zhongke Sanhuan) - The company achieved a net profit of 44 million CNY in H1 2025, marking a turnaround from losses, with a significant reduction in expense ratios contributing to improved profitability [14][15] - Future profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 170 million, 250 million, and 350 million CNY respectively [15] Group 6: Company Insights - 奥比中光 (Obi Zhongguang) - The company is focusing on the robotics sector, with a projected revenue growth of 65.9%, 57.6%, and 28.6% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [16] Group 7: Company Insights - 鹏鼎控股 (Pengding Holdings) - The company reported a revenue of 16.38 billion CNY for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, with a net profit growth of 57.2% [17][18] - Future revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 41.2 billion, 48.3 billion, and 55.6 billion CNY respectively [18] Group 8: Company Insights - 甘源食品 (Ganyuan Food) - The company experienced a revenue decline of 9.3% year-on-year for H1 2025, with net profits down by 55.2%, indicating challenges in channel adjustments [20] Group 9: Company Insights - 361度 (361 Degrees) - The company achieved a revenue growth of 11% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a net profit increase of 8.6% [21][22] - Future profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 1.261 billion, 1.420 billion, and 1.588 billion CNY respectively [22]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with significant growth in the computing power industry chain, particularly in areas such as liquid cooling, CPO, and AI chips, leading to record-high stock prices for several leading companies [2][3]. Group 1: AI Chips - The global AI chip market is projected to reach $53.6 billion in 2023 and is expected to surge to $71 billion in 2024, with a growth rate exceeding 30% [3]. - Domestic AI chip manufacturers are rapidly closing the performance gap with global leaders like NVIDIA, with local brands accounting for approximately 20% of the market in the first half of 2024 [3]. - Companies such as Cambrian and others are achieving significant stock price increases, with some seeing over 100% growth year-to-date [4]. Group 2: Optical Modules - The optical module market is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 22% from 2024 to 2029, potentially exceeding $37 billion by 2029 [5]. - Seven Chinese companies are among the top ten global optical module manufacturers, indicating strong domestic capabilities [5]. - Leading companies in this sector have reported earnings that exceed market expectations, with stock prices reaching historical highs [6]. Group 3: PCB (Printed Circuit Boards) - The PCB industry is experiencing a boom, with eight leading companies achieving record-high stock prices, driven by the demand from AI hardware and electric vehicles [7][8]. - The market for AI server and switch PCBs is estimated to reach between $50 billion to $60 billion by 2026 [7]. - A significant majority of PCB companies listed in A-shares reported revenue growth, with some companies like Shenghong Technology seeing net profit increases of over 300% [8]. Group 4: Liquid Cooling - The liquid cooling technology market is witnessing explosive growth due to increasing demands for efficient heat dissipation in data centers [9][10]. - Major tech companies like NVIDIA and Google are adopting liquid cooling solutions, which are expected to expand into various network devices [10]. - The liquid cooling server concept index has risen over 15% since August, reflecting strong market interest [9]. Group 5: AI Servers - The domestic AI server market has been growing at an annual rate exceeding 20% since 2022, with a market size projected to surpass 69.3 billion yuan by 2024 [15]. - The restrictions on high-end GPU exports have created a favorable market environment for domestic AI server manufacturers [15]. - Companies involved in AI server production are expected to benefit significantly from the growing demand for computing power [15][16].

周一的文章提示过大家，周二晚上公布的CPI数据将是A股突破去年国庆节后的高点3674的契机。只能说时来天地皆同力，昨晚美国7月份CPI数据不及预 期，美联储9月份降息基本稳了，甚至有降息50BP的可能，昨晚美元指数跳水，欧美股市全线上涨。 为啥美联储降息这么重要？降息意味着全球宽松周期再启动，去年美联储第一次降息是9月19日，直接降了50BP。然后就是央行、证监会等三部门在9月24 日放出政策大礼包，包括降准、降息，开启A股牛市。 如果真是牛市来了，自然是抱团时代大趋势和景气度最高的板块，那就是当下的AI算力，机构给的中际旭创、新易盛的2025年净利润分别是100亿、90亿， 明年是180亿、140亿，现在也不到30倍，别看2000多亿的市值，但算是A股最便宜的科技股了。 当然，现在的A股不能叫牛市来了，应该说是"牛二"阶段到了，我在7月份的时候连写两篇文章，提出A股再次进入机构抱团牛，现在印证了。 我当时的逻辑是，通缩后期一般会有大牛市。在通缩前期，经济基本面恶化，股市一般会进入熊市，但为了治理通缩，都会持续降息和放水，市场上的钱会 越囤积越多。钱总是会寻找增值，开始肯定是债券等安全资产受益，但随着股市跌到 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 文/新浪财经上海站 陈秀颖 8月12日晚，鹏鼎控股（002938.SZ）发布公告称，决定重新聘任沈庆芳先生为首席执行官（CEO），原 CEO林益弘转任总经理，分管采购及其他具体职能。 这意味着沈庆芳在卸任两年（其于2023年4月卸任CEO）后重执帅印，而林益弘不再一人兼任CEO和总 经理职务。 | 工作圆历 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 2017/05 - 至今 | | 麒鼎控股(深圳股份有限公司 董事 | | 2017/05 | l है के | 鹏鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司 董事长 | | 2017/05 | - 至今 | 鹏鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司 法定代表人 | | 2017/05 | - 至今 | 麒鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司 战略委员会委员 | | 2017/05 | - 至今 | 麒鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司 战略委员会召集人 | | 2006/06 | - 至今 | 强鼎科技控股股份有限公司 董事长 | | 2017/05 | - 2023/04 | 麒鼎控股(深圳)股份有限公司 提名委员会 ...

| | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 増減 | | 营业收入(元) | 16.375.291.624.65 | 13.126.081.516.38 | 24. 75% | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润(元) | 1,233,023,885.96 | 784, 251, 417. 46 | 57.22% | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益的净利润(元) | 1, 148, 508, 663. 87 | 756, 111, 326. 94 | 51.90% | | 经营活动产生的现金流量净额(元) | 4, 276, 933, 506. 84 | 2, 790, 005, 762. 81 | 53. 29% | | 基本每股收益(元/股) | 0. 53 | 0. 34 | 55. 88% | | 稀释每股收益(元/股) | 0. 53 | 0. 34 | 55. 88% | | 加权平均净资产收益率 | 3.76% | 2.61% | 1. 15% | | | 本报告期末 | 上年度末 | 本报告期末比上年度 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2,564,546,348.28 yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.43%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.96% to 195,849,763.7 yuan [2][4] - Total assets reached 8,468,050,642.4 yuan, a 5.26% increase compared to the previous year, while net assets attributable to shareholders saw a minimal increase of 0.01% [3][4] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2,564,546,348.28 yuan, up from 2,147,370,990.70 yuan in the same period last year, marking a growth of 19.43% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 195,849,763.7 yuan, down from 222,453,160.53 yuan, reflecting a decline of 11.96% [4] - The net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 183,779,370.54 yuan, a decrease of 12.79% from 210,731,909.09 yuan [4] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 190,186,846.05 yuan, down 41.53% from 325,298,206.94 yuan [4] - Basic and diluted earnings per share were both 0.62 yuan, down 11.43% from 0.70 yuan [4] - The weighted average return on equity was 4.40%, a decrease of 0.89% from 5.29% [4] Industry Trends - The PCB industry continued to grow in the first half of 2025, driven by demand in sectors such as servers/data storage, communication infrastructure, and automotive [5] - According to Prismark, the global PCB industry is projected to reach a value of 78.563 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.8% [5] - By 2029, the global PCB industry value is expected to grow to 94.661 billion USD, with a compound annual growth rate of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [5] Product Development and Market Expansion - The company has a broad application range, focusing on data centers and servers, automotive electronics, and consumer electronics, while also expanding into energy, power, and industrial control medical sectors [5][6] - In the data center and server sector, the company has enhanced its market competitiveness by developing high-performance PCB products that meet the high demands for performance and reliability [5][6] - In the automotive electronics sector, the company is focusing on high-end products related to electric and intelligent vehicles, establishing long-term partnerships with international automotive brands and Tier 1 suppliers [6] - The consumer electronics sector is experiencing innovation driven by AI, with the company quickly entering the AI personal computer (AIPC) market and optimizing its product structure to meet evolving customer needs [7]