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金十图示:2025年07月28日(周一)上海黄金交易所市场行情
news flash· 2025-07-28 09:30
Group 1 - The opening price for Au99.95 was 769.20, with a closing price of 770.25, reflecting a decrease of 2.37 yuan or -0.31% [2] - Au99.99 opened at 772.00 and closed at 771.80, showing a decline of 2.41 yuan or -0.31% [2] - The trading volume for Au99.95 was 4, with a transaction amount of 3,081,000 yuan [2] Group 2 - Au(T+D) opened at 770.60, reached a high of 771.84, and closed at 771.58, with a decrease of 1.59 yuan or -0.21% [3] - The trading volume for Au(T+D) was 34,706, with a transaction amount of 26,712,534,440 yuan [3] - The opening price for Pt99.95 was 330.47, with a closing price of 337.07, reflecting an increase of 4.16 yuan or 1.25% [3] Group 3 - The opening price for NYAuTN06 was 775.30, with a closing price of 775.85, showing a decrease of 1 yuan or -0.38% [4] - The trading volume for NYAuTN06 was 13.6, with a transaction amount of 10,548,920 yuan [4] - PGC30g opened and closed at 776.00, reflecting an increase of 12 yuan or 0.26% [4]
金荣中国:现货黄金小幅低开后,守住此前跌幅表现清淡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 07:50
基本面: 周一(7月28日)亚盘时段,现货黄金小幅低开后守住此前跌幅表现清淡,盘中最低测试至3319.12美元/盎司,目前暂交投于3333美元附近。因美国和欧洲 达成贸易协议,令黄金避险需求进一步下降,但金价仍受到部分逢低买盘支撑,因美元走强、美欧贸易协议的乐观情绪的压制,上周五金价收跌近1%,为 连续三个交易日下跌,收报3336.49美元/盎司。 上周,美元指数从逾两周低点反弹,显著推高了黄金对海外买家的成本。美元的走强不仅源于美国经济数据的稳健表现,还得益于市场对美欧贸易谈判乐观 情绪的消化。尽管短期内受到经济数据和贸易协议预期的支撑,美元在过去一周仍录得一个月来最大单周跌幅。美国股市标普 500 指数和纳斯达克指数上周 五创下收盘纪录新高,受助于对美国可能很快与欧盟达成贸易协议的乐观情绪。欧盟执委会主席冯德莱恩于周日在苏格兰与美国总统特朗普会晤。此前,欧 盟官员和外交官表示,美欧预计周末将达成一项框架贸易协议。特朗普此前表示,与欧盟达成贸易协议的可能性为"50%"。 当地时间7月27日,美国总统特朗普表示,美国已与欧盟达成15%税率的关税协议。特朗普表示,欧盟将比此前增加对美国投资6000亿美元,欧盟将 ...
上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月28日(周一)收盘下跌0.2%报771.6元/克;上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月28日(周一)收盘下跌1.74%报9187.0元/千克。
news flash· 2025-07-28 07:34
上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月28日(周一)收盘下跌0.2%报771.6元/克; 上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月28日(周一)收盘下跌1.74%报9187.0元/千克。 黄金延期 白银延期 ...
黄金多空高位交锋,皇御贵金属$50000新客礼助力加速布局!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 06:53
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are experiencing high volatility due to multiple factors, including strong U.S. retail data and ongoing geopolitical tensions, which may lead to a new round of gold market opportunities [1][11]. Group 1: Economic Data Impact - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% in June, significantly surpassing market expectations of 0.1% and reversing two months of decline [3]. - Core retail sales, excluding automobiles and energy, also grew by 0.5%, indicating consumer resilience amid inflationary pressures [3]. - Initial jobless claims fell by 7,000 to 221,000, marking the lowest level since mid-April, while continuing claims slightly increased to 1.956 million, still at historical lows, suggesting a stable labor market [3][4]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Policy Divergence - The Federal Reserve is experiencing a heated debate between hawkish and dovish factions regarding interest rate cuts, impacting market expectations [5][10]. - Hawkish members, like Governor Cook, argue for maintaining restrictive policies to combat inflation, citing the potential long-term effects of tariffs on consumer prices [6]. - Dovish members, such as Daly, maintain that two rate cuts this year are reasonable, emphasizing the need to avoid excessive tightening that could harm the job market [7][10]. - Governor Waller supports a 25 basis point cut in the upcoming meeting, citing temporary inflation from tariffs and risks in the labor market as justifications [8]. Group 3: Upcoming Economic Events - Key economic data releases are expected to influence market dynamics, including U.S. job openings on July 29, ADP employment numbers on July 30, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on July 31 [12]. - The potential escalation of U.S.-EU trade tensions and the ongoing situation regarding the Federal Reserve Chair's position may further impact gold market volatility [11].
贵金属日评:美欧达成关税贸易协议,美日达成关税协议提高日本央行加息预期-20250728
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 03:29
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core View - Due to the passage of the US stablecoin - related bill allowing pension funds to invest in gold and other assets, the Trump administration's pressure on Powell increasing the probability of a Fed rate cut in September, continuous gold purchases by global central banks, and unresolved geopolitical risks, the downside space for precious metal prices may be limited. It is recommended that investors mainly lay out long positions on dips. Specific support and resistance levels are provided for London gold, Shanghai gold, London silver, and Shanghai silver [1] Summary by Relevant Data Gold - **Futures Market**: Shanghai gold futures active contract closing price was 777.32 on 2025 - 07 - 21, 778.74 on 2025 - 07 - 25, 781.70 on 2025 - 07 - 24, with a change of - 4.38 compared to a certain reference. Volume decreased from 331217.00 to 216188.00, and open interest decreased by 1605. Inventory (in ten - grams) increased from 29358.00 to 30258.00. COMEX futures active contract closing price was 9392.00 on one date, 9386.00 on another, and 9271.00 on a third, with a change of 6.00. Volume decreased from 1253182.00 to 742060.00, and open interest decreased by 16707. Inventory (in troy ounces) decreased from 37762393.92 to 37143884.29 [1] - **Spot Market**: Shanghai gold spot closing price was 773.61, with a change of - 3.39 compared to a reference. Spot - futures basis was - 3.71 on one date, - 3.64 on another, and - 4.70 on a third, with a change of - 0.07. London gold spot price was 3343.50, 3365.85, and 3318.50 on different dates, with a change of 25.00. SPDR gold ETF holding was 957.09, and iShare gold ETF holding was 449.60 [1] Silver - **Futures Market**: Shanghai silver futures active contract closing price was 9392.00 on one date, 9386.00 on another, and 9271.00 on a third, with a change of 6.00. Volume decreased from 1253182.00 to 742060.00, and open interest decreased by 16707. Inventory (in ten - grams) decreased from 1188721.00 to 1204466.00. COMEX futures active contract closing price was 38.33, 39.29, and 38.44 on different dates, with a change of - 0.11. Volume decreased from 23117.00 to 17478.00, and open interest decreased by 1072. Inventory (in troy ounces) decreased from 3632208.40 to 497804173.90 [1] - **Spot Market**: Shanghai silver spot closing price was 146.00, 9372.00, 9351.00, and 9226.00 on different dates, with a change of 21.00. Spot - futures basis was - 35.00 on one date, 25.00 on another, and - 20.00 on a third, with a change of - 0.07. London silver spot price was 38.74, 39.03, and 37.76 on different dates, with a change of - 0.29. US iShare silver ETF holding was 15230.43, and Canadian PSLV silver ETF holding was 6040.98 [1] Price Ratios - The ratio of Shanghai gold spot price to Shanghai silver spot price was 82.97, 84.32, and 82.76 on different dates, with a change of - 1.55. The ratio of New York gold futures price to New York silver futures price was 87.11, 85.82, and 87.04 on different dates, with a change of 0.07. The ratio of London gold spot price to London silver spot price was 86.32, 86.25, and 87.90 on different dates, with a change of - 1.58 [1] Other Commodities - INE crude oil price was 512.90, 4.00, and 508.90 on different dates, with a change of - 3.90. ICE Brent crude oil price was - 2.05, 68.53, and 67.60 on different dates, with a change of - 0.93. NYMEX crude oil price was 65.07, 66.16, and 66.31 on different dates, with a change of - 1.09. Shanghai copper futures price was 79250.00, 79890.00, and 79700.00 on different dates, with a change of - 450.00. LME copper spot price was 9867.00, - 58.50, and 9796.00 on different dates, with a change of - 71.00. Shanghai rebar price was 3356.00, 3294.00, and 3224.00 on different dates, with a change of 62.00. Dalian iron ore price was 802.50, 811.00, and 809.00 on different dates, with a change of - 8.50 [1] Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - Shanghai inter - bank offered rate (SHIBOR) overnight was 1.52, 1.37, and 1.64 on different dates, with a change of - 0.12. SHIBOR one - year was 1.63, 1.62, and 1.64 on different dates, with a change of 0.01. US 10 - year Treasury nominal yield was 4.4300, 4.4000, and 4.4700 on different dates, with a change of - 0.03. US 10 - year Treasury TIPS yield was 2.0400, - 0.02, and 1.9800 on different dates, with a change of - 0.08. US 10 - year Treasury breakeven inflation rate was 2.4400, 2.4500, and 2.4300 on different dates, with a change of - 0.01. US dollar index was 97.6701, 97.4884, and 98.6419 on different dates, with a change of - 0.97. US dollar - RMB central parity rate was 7.1385, 7.1419, and 7.1522 on different dates, with a change of 0.00. Euro - RMB central parity rate was 8.4077, 8.3228, and 8.4001 on different dates, with a change of - 0.01 [1] Stock Indices - Shanghai Composite Index was 3593.6553, - 12.07, and 3605.7269 on different dates, with a change of 33.86. S&P 500 was 6363.3500, 6388.6400, and 6297.3600 on different dates, with a change of 25.29. UK FTSE 100 was 9120.3100, 9138.3700, and 8972.6400 on different dates, with a change of 147.67. French CAC40 was 7818.2800, 7834.5800, and 7822.0000 on different dates, with a change of 16.30. German DAX was 24217.5000, 24295.9300, and 24370.9300 on different dates, with a change of - 78.43. Nikkei 225 was 41456.2300, 41826.3400, and 39901.1900 on different dates, with a change of - 370.11. South Korean Composite Index was 3192.2900, 3.76, and 3196.0500 on different dates, with a change of 5.60 [1] Important Information - The US and the EU reached a 15% tariff trade agreement, with Trump stating that the EU would increase investment in the US by $600 billion and purchase $750 billion worth of energy products [1] - After the Japan - US agreement, the Bank of Japan may restart interest rate hikes within the year. There are different views on the " $550 billion investment" [1] - The US House of Representatives passed a stablecoin - related bill allowing pension funds to invest in gold and digital currencies. Import tariffs pushed up commodity prices, leading to an increase in the US consumer - end inflation annual rate in June. The initial jobless claims were 217,000, lower than expected. The probability of a Fed rate cut in August increased, but the probability in February decreased [1] - The European Central Bank paused rate cuts in July, keeping the deposit mechanism rate at 2%. The manufacturing PMI in the eurozone, Germany, and France continued to rise in July. The eurozone (Germany) consumer price index annual rate in June was 2% (2%), meeting expectations but higher than the previous value. The market expects the ECB to cut rates about once before the end of 2025 [1] - The Bank of England cut the key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.25% in May, continuing to reduce government bond holdings from October 2024 to September 2025. The UK consumer price index annual rate in June was 3.68% (3.7%), higher than expected. The manufacturing (service) PMI in July was 48.2 (51.2), higher (lower) than expected. The expectation of a rate cut by the Bank of England in August increased, and it may cut rates 2 - 3 times before the end of 2025 [1] - The Bank of Japan raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 0.5% in January and may start reducing quarterly government bond purchases from 400 billion yen to 200 billion yen in April 2026. The core consumer price index annual rate in Japan (Tokyo) in June (July) was 3.3% (2.9%), meeting expectations but lower than the previous value. There is still an expectation of an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan before the end of 2025 [1] Trading Strategy - Due to the above factors, the downside space for precious metal prices may be limited. Investors are recommended to mainly lay out long positions on dips. The support and resistance levels for London gold are around 3150 - 3250 and 3600 - 3700 respectively, for Shanghai gold around 730 - 760 and 800 - 850, for London silver around 35 - 37 and around 40 - 48, and for Shanghai silver around 8600 - 9000 and 9500 - 10000 [1]
2025年6月上海黄金交易所市场综述
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 02:34
本月黄金交割量为677,642.12千克,实物出库量为89,642.3千克;白银交割量为2,335,080千克,实物出库量为166,950千克。 作者:上海黄金交易所 2025年6月,上海黄金交易所各类合约的成交金额为42,106.71亿元,同比增加73.7%,其中,询价交易成交31,878.63亿元,占比 75.7%。会员自营和代理业务的交易金额分别为40,728.36亿元和1,378.35亿元。 本月黄金成交量为5,417,182.62千克,同比增加22.6%,成交金额42,106.71亿元,同比增加73.7%,日均成交量为270,859.13千 克;铂金成交14,318千克,同比增加113.6%,成交金额41.11亿元,同比增加166.8%,日均成交量为715千克;白银成交 12,559,696千克,同比减少3.4%,成交金额1,098.23亿元,同比增加8.1%,日均成交量为627,984.8千克。 本月国际金价高位盘整,白银与铂金大幅上扬。现货黄金(XAU)收于3,283.57美元/盎司,较上月下跌5.68美元,低点和高点分 别为3,248.71美元和3,451.31美元。国际现货白银(XAG)收于 ...
贸易局势缓和,金银冲高回落
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Views - The change in the trade negotiation situation between the US and other countries is the main factor affecting the precious metal market. The prices of gold and silver fluctuate with the tension and relaxation of the negotiation situation. The agreement reached in the US - Japan tariff negotiation and the positive progress in the US - EU trade negotiation have weakened the safe - haven sentiment and put pressure on precious metals [3]. - The "reciprocal tariff" rate imposed by the US on Japan will be reduced from 25% to 15%. The agreement also includes Japan's commitment to invest $550 billion in the US and buy $8 billion worth of US goods. The US and the EU are moving towards an agreement that will set a 15% tariff rate for most products [3]. - With the US and Japan reaching a major trade agreement and progress in the US - EU negotiation, the global trade situation is stabilizing, and the risk - aversion sentiment in the market is cooling. It is expected that the short - term precious metal prices will show a weak trend. But the possibility of a change in the Fed's leadership increases market concerns about the stability of monetary policy, and the downward adjustment space for precious metals is expected to be limited [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Last Week's Trading Data - SHFE gold closed at 777.32 yuan/gram, up 0.30 yuan (0.04%), with a total trading volume of 211,851 lots and a total open interest of 178,255 lots. - Shanghai Gold T + D closed at 773.61 yuan/gram, down 6.39 yuan (- 0.82%), with a total trading volume of 29,664 lots and a total open interest of 209,130 lots. - COMEX gold closed at $3338.50/ounce, down $17.00 (- 0.51%). - SHFE silver closed at 9392 yuan/kg, up 119 yuan (1.28%), with a total trading volume of 522,479 lots and a total open interest of 634,627 lots. - Shanghai Silver T + D closed at 9372 yuan/kg, up 4 yuan (0.04%), with a total trading volume of 350,054 lots and a total open interest of 3,380,200 lots [4]. 2. Market Analysis and Outlook - The US - Japan and US - EU trade negotiations have made progress. The US - Japan agreement may become a "template" for other partner countries. The EU is also moving towards an agreement, but is preparing a retaliatory tariff plan. Market sentiment has turned optimistic [6][7]. - US President Trump has criticized the Fed for lacking "courage" and called for a three - percentage - point interest rate cut. The market is worried about the uncertainty of monetary policy. It is generally expected that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the July 29 - 30 meeting, and investors still bet on a possible rate cut in September [7]. - The European Central Bank has kept its three key interest rates unchanged and has not provided any forward guidance on the subsequent policy path, listing "trade disputes" as the main source of policy uncertainty [8]. - This week, focus on the preliminary value of the US Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate, the US July non - farm payrolls report, the US July ISM manufacturing index, the Fed's interest - rate meeting on July 29 - 30, and the progress of the US - EU trade negotiation [9]. 3. Important Data Information - The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week was 217,000, the lowest level since mid - April, lower than the market expectation of 226,000 and the previous value of 221,000. - The preliminary value of the US July S&P Global manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.5, the lowest since December 2024, while the preliminary value of the service PMI was 55.2 and the composite PMI was 54.6, both at the highest since December 2024. - The preliminary value of the eurozone July manufacturing PMI was 49.8, the highest since July 2022, and the service PMI unexpectedly rose to 51.2, driving the composite PMI to 51, all higher than market expectations. - In the first half of the year, China's gold production was 252.761 tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.44%; gold consumption was 505.205 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.54%; the increase in domestic gold ETF holdings was 84.771 tons, a year - on - year increase of 173.73%, and the holdings at the end of June were 199.505 tons [10]. - As of July 25, 2025, the total gold holdings of ETFs were 957.09 tons, an increase of 13.46 tons from last week, 3.70 tons from last month, and 113.92 tons from last year. The silver holdings of ishare were 15,230.43 tons, an increase of 572.22 tons from last week, 364.24 tons from last month, and 890.08 tons from last year [11]. 4. Relevant Data Charts - The data shows the changes in the non - commercial long, short, and net long positions of gold and silver futures from July 1, 2025, to July 22, 2025 [12][15]. - There are multiple charts showing the price trends, inventory changes, and relationships between different factors of SHFE and COMEX gold and silver, such as the price relationship between domestic and foreign markets, the relationship between prices and other economic indicators like the US inflation expectation, the dollar index, etc. [16][17][18][19][20][21][23][25][27][28][30][32][34][36]
美欧达成贸易协议,金价触底加剧震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 01:46
行情回顾: 国际黄金周五(7月25日)再度收跌,开盘价3372.46美元/盎司,最高价3373.76美元/盎司,最低价3324.96美元/ 盎司,收盘价3327.76美元/盎司。 消息面: 贸易局势: 技术面: 国际黄金周五再度收跌,周五早间金价最高上探3373一下后短线维持震荡下行,亚盘时段金价维持较为温和震 荡下行,进入下午盘欧盘初期金价一度企稳于3355支撑位窄幅整理,欧盘时段金价短线加速下调破位走低,美 盘开盘前夕金价逐步企稳于3339一线温和整理,美盘时段金价小幅反弹3347一下后再度走低,周六凌晨金价最 低下探3325一下后震荡走高企稳收盘于3338一线。(周一早间金价跳空低开高走,维持短线震荡走势)日线连 续三个交易日录得阴线,当前金价企稳于日线60日均线支撑位一线,短线回落继续加剧日线见顶形态变化。整 体小时级别移动平均线呈较为规整向下发散排列,维持偏空指引参考,短线触底反弹逐步带来小时级别均线压 力位回踩走势,关注小时级别RSI极端值表现。四小时级别显示,短期金价持续收跌加剧四小时RSI超卖表现, 短期金价有较强调整需求。短期报价形成对四小时60日均线向下突破走势,继续加剧四小时均线向下交叉 ...
上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月28日(周一)早盘盘初下跌0.62%报768.4元/克;上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月28日(周一)早盘盘初下跌2.12%报9152.0元/千克。
news flash· 2025-07-28 01:05
Group 1 - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T+D price decreased by 0.62% to 768.4 yuan per gram on July 28 [1] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T+D price fell by 2.12% to 9152.0 yuan per kilogram on July 28 [1]
上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月25日(周五)晚盘收盘下跌0.42%报769.95元/克;上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月25日(周五)晚盘收盘下跌2.19%报9145.0元/千克。
news flash· 2025-07-25 18:40
Group 1 - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T+D closed at 769.95 yuan per gram on July 25, 2023, reflecting a decrease of 0.42% [1] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T+D closed at 9145.0 yuan per kilogram on July 25, 2023, showing a decline of 2.19% [1]