1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the second half of 2025, the economic growth rate is not expected to decline significantly, and structural issues such as prices are trending towards improvement [10]. - The allocation between stocks and bonds continues to shift, with bond yields and the stock market expected to rise continuously [10]. - Against the backdrop of revised economic expectations, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Profit - The cumulative and monthly year - on - year declines in industrial enterprise profits have both narrowed. From January to July, the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises decreased by 1.7% year - on - year, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to January - June. In July, the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises decreased by 1.5% year - on - year, an increase of 2.8 percentage points compared to June, indicating continuous improvement in corporate profitability [5]. - Analyzing industrial enterprise profits from the aspects of volume, price, and profit margin, from January to July, the added value of above - scale industries increased by 6.3% year - on - year, and the PPI of all industrial products decreased by 2.9% year - on - year, both decreasing by 0.1 percentage points compared to January - June. The profit margin of above - scale industrial revenue decreased by 4.63% year - on - year, an increase of 0.18 percentage points compared to January - June. The recovery of the profit margin drove the narrowing of the decline in industrial profits [5]. Structure By Industry Category - From January to July, the total profit of the mining industry decreased by 31.6% year - on - year, the profit of the manufacturing industry increased by 4.8% year - on - year, and the profit of the public utilities industry increased by 3.9% year - on - year. The expansion of the profit decline in the mining industry was due to anti - involution and frequent extreme summer weather, while the expansion of the profit increase in the public utilities industry was affected by the widespread high - temperature weather in July [6]. - In July, the profit of the manufacturing industry increased by 6.8% year - on - year, a 5.4 - percentage - point increase compared to June, driving the growth rate of the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises to accelerate by 3.6 percentage points compared to June. The profit of high - tech manufacturing changed from a 0.9% decline in June to an 18.9% increase, driving the growth rate of the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises to accelerate by 2.9 percentage points compared to June [6]. By Enterprise Nature - From January to July, the profits of state - owned enterprises decreased by 7.5% year - on - year, the profits of joint - stock enterprises decreased by 2.8% year - on - year, the profits of foreign - invested and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan - invested enterprises increased by 1.8% year - on - year, and the profits of private enterprises increased by 1.8% year - on - year [7]. - In July, the profits of medium - sized enterprises above designated size increased by 1.8% year - on - year, and the profits of small enterprises increased by 0.5% year - on - year, showing significant improvement in efficiency. The monthly profit of private enterprises increased by 2.6% year - on - year, 4.1 percentage points higher than the average level of the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises [7]. By Industrial Chain Position - From January to July, the proportion of the cumulative profit of upstream raw material mining in the profits of above - scale industrial enterprises was 12.3%, the proportion of mid - stream material manufacturing was 15.4%, the proportion of downstream equipment manufacturing was 38.0%, the proportion of downstream consumer goods manufacturing was 21.1%, the proportion of other manufacturing was 0.6%, and the proportion of public utilities was 12.5% [7]. - Inventory destocking accelerated. At the end of July, the nominal and real inventory year - on - year were 2.4% and 6.0% respectively, both decreasing by 0.7 percentage points. The overall asset - liability ratio of industrial enterprises at the end of July was 57.9%, remaining flat month - on - month [7]. Market - The industrial enterprise profit data was released at 9:30. Although the cumulative and monthly year - on - year declines in industrial enterprise profits both narrowed, the bond market did not trade based on this data, and bond yields fluctuated within a narrow range. After the mid - day break, the A - share market rose first and then fell back, with heavy trading volume and a decline. Under the stock - bond seesaw effect, bond yields first rose and then fell. At the end of the session, due to redemption factors, funds changed from buying to selling, and coupled with tightening funds, bond yields rose again [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that industrial enterprises' profitability is showing positive improvement due to the implementation of various policies aimed at promoting the private economy and countering "involution" [1][7] - In July, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 2.8 percentage points compared to June 2025 [1] - From January to July, cumulative profits of industrial enterprises fell by 1.7%, with a slight improvement in the decline rate compared to the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - In July, the revenue of industrial enterprises grew by 1.1% year-on-year, although the growth rate decreased by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained unchanged at -3.6% year-on-year, while the cost of industrial enterprises increased by 1.2%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month [2] - The manufacturing and public utility sectors saw a rebound in profit growth, with manufacturing profits increasing by 6.6% year-on-year, while mining profits fell by 39.2% [2] Group 3 - In the manufacturing sector, profits in raw materials and high-tech manufacturing showed significant improvement, with raw materials manufacturing profits rebounding to a growth of 36.9% year-on-year [3] - High-tech manufacturing profits turned from a decline of 0.9% in June to a growth of 18.9% in July, contributing 2.9 percentage points to the overall profit improvement of industrial enterprises [3] - Specific industries such as electronic and electrical machinery manufacturing saw profits grow by 87.9% and 15.3% respectively, driven by large-scale equipment updates [3] Group 4 - Private enterprises achieved a total profit of 1,118.37 billion yuan from January to July, with a growth of 1.8%, which is 0.1 percentage points faster than the first half of the year [7] - In July, private enterprises' profits grew by 2.6%, exceeding the average growth rate of all industrial enterprises by 4.1 percentage points [7] - Recent policies aimed at improving the business environment and supporting private enterprises have shown positive results, enhancing their operational conditions and profitability [7] Group 5 - Various local governments have introduced measures to promote the development of the private economy, signaling a strong commitment to optimizing the business environment and stimulating market vitality [8] - Specific initiatives include supporting private enterprises in participating in key industrial chains and addressing challenges faced by the private sector [8] - The establishment of local regulations, such as those in Hainan, aims to create a fair competitive environment for private enterprises [8]

Profit Trends - In July, the year-on-year decline in industrial enterprise profits narrowed for the second consecutive month, decreasing by 2.8 percentage points to -1.5%[3] - Cumulative year-on-year profit decline was -1.7%, slightly narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to June[3] - The main driver for profit recovery in July was a significant reduction in operating costs, which fell by 1.1 percentage points to 0.8%, marking a new low since September 2024[3] Revenue and Costs - July revenue saw a slight year-on-year decline of 0.5%, with cumulative revenue also dropping by 0.2 percentage points to 2.3%, the lowest since the beginning of the year[3] - Cumulative expenses per 100 yuan of revenue remained stable at 8.38 yuan, with operating expenses further dragging down profits by 0.1 percentage points[3] Sector Performance - Manufacturing and public utilities saw slight improvements in cumulative profits, rising by 0.3 and 0.6 percentage points to 4.8% and 3.9% respectively[4] - Conversely, the mining sector experienced a worsening cumulative profit decline of 1.3 percentage points to -31.6%, a new low due to previous price competition pressures[4] Inventory and Market Conditions - Finished goods inventory saw a significant year-on-year decline of 0.7 percentage points to 2.4%, with actual inventory dropping by 0.8 percentage points to 6.2%, the lowest since the beginning of the year[4] - The ongoing downturn in the real estate market and strict control over new hidden debts are suppressing production confidence among industrial enterprises[4] Economic Outlook - The report suggests that effective governance of chaotic price competition and continuous cost reductions are key to the slight recovery in industrial profits[5] - However, insufficient domestic demand and declining revenue growth pose challenges for sustainable profit increases in industrial enterprises[5] - Monetary policy may consider slight interest rate cuts to stabilize the real estate market and support durable consumer goods demand[5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that MONGOL MINING (00975) reported a significant decline in revenue and a shift to a loss for the six months ending June 30, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The company's revenue for the period was $347 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 35.94% [1] - The company reported a loss attributable to shareholders of $23.32 million, marking a transition from profit to loss compared to the previous year [1] - The loss per share was recorded at 2.24 cents [1]

1、各类经济体的收入和利润结构 崔东树发文称，2025年1-7月我国汽车行业收入59193亿元，同比增8%；成本52056亿元，增8%；利润2737亿元，同比增0.9%；汽车行业利润率4.6%，相 对于下游工业企业利润率5.9%的平均水平，汽车行业仍偏低，较1-6月的4.8%利润率有所下降。 其中，7月的汽车行业收入8275亿元，同比增5%；成本7276亿元，增5%；利润293亿元，同比降17%；汽车行业利润率3.5%，环比6月下降明显，相较去 年7月的4.4%也是下降。 各地大力度推动"两新"政策落地实施，有效释放内需活力，消费品以旧换新政策加力扩围效果明显，汽车行业效益改善明显落后其它消费品。随着国家反 内卷工作持续推进，对改善行业利润的促进效果也已经有所体现。因此中央及各级政府积极稳定燃油车消费，推动报废更新的实施良好。期待车市油电同 权推动油电同强，未来汽车行业总体形势必能持续稳中向好。 2024年汽车行业利润总体表现不强，销售利润率仅有4.3%，较历史正常水平大幅下降。2025年7月份，汽车行业销售利润率3.5%，达到近期低点。2025年 1-7月份，汽车行业销售利润率4.6%，好于2024年，仍处 ...

Core Viewpoint - MONGOL MINING reported a significant decline in total revenue and a shift from profit to loss for the first half of 2025, primarily due to lower average selling prices and a one-time loss related to debt refinancing [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2025, was approximately $346.6 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 35.9% [1] - The loss attributable to equity holders of the company was $23.3 million, compared to a profit of $133 million for the first half of 2024 [1] - The decline in profitability was mainly attributed to a decrease in average selling prices and a one-time loss of $25 million associated with debt refinancing [1]

证券研究报告 宏观研究 [Table_ReportType] 专题报告 | ] [Table_A 解运亮 uthor宏观首席 分析师 | | --- | | 执业编号：S1500521040002 | | 联系电话：010-83326858 | | 邮 箱： xieyunliang@cindasc.com | 麦麟玥 宏观分析师 执业编号：S1500524070002 邮 箱： mailinyue@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127 号 金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 盈利结构与 2015 年有不同之处 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 8 月 28 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [➢Table_Summary] 工业企业盈利好坏参半。当前企业盈利整体降幅收窄，但我们认为不能用 好或不好来简单一概而论，因为今年 1-7 月的企业盈利数据结构性分化 特征比较明显。首先，整体上看，利润率支撑降幅收窄，量价均有拖累。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][3] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.473 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.9% to 796 million yuan [1][7] - The decline in net profit is attributed to several factors, including production disruptions due to safety incidents and construction impacts [2] - Future growth is anticipated from projects such as the expansion of Yinman Mining and acquisitions like the 85% stake in Yubang Mining [3][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.324 billion yuan, down 7.7% year-on-year but up 15.2% quarter-on-quarter; net profit for the same period was 421 million yuan, down 35.6% year-on-year but up 12.5% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The production of tin and silver saw a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, while zinc and lead production experienced declines of 20.64% and 1.09%, respectively [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the approval of the 2nd phase expansion project at Yinman Mining, increasing its capacity from 1.65 million tons per year to 2.97 million tons per year [3] - The acquisition of Atlantic Tin Industry (ATL) is also projected to enhance growth potential, with plans to acquire 100% ownership [3] Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.08 yuan, 1.39 yuan, and 1.64 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights three positive changes in the industrial profit landscape for July, indicating a narrowing decline in profit growth and improvements in certain sectors, particularly emerging industries and upstream manufacturing [4][14]. Group 1: Three Positive Changes - Emerging industries are experiencing rapid profit growth, with sectors such as biopharmaceuticals and integrated circuits showing significant increases of 36.3% and 176.1% respectively [4][11]. - Some industries are seeing notable improvements in profit margins due to the effects of anti-involution policies, with upstream manufacturing profit margins rising to 3.59%, compared to 2.86% in the previous year [5][12]. - The pace of asset expansion is slowing, and inventory growth is also decelerating, which helps alleviate supply-demand imbalances, with industrial finished goods inventory growth at 2.4% [5][12]. Group 2: July Industrial Profit Data Review Overall Situation: Narrowing Decline in Profit Growth - In July, the profit of large-scale industrial enterprises decreased by 1.1% year-on-year, an improvement from the previous decline of 4.3% [2][14]. - The inventory growth rate as of July was 2.4%, down from 3.1% previously [2][14]. - The profit growth rates varied by ownership, with state-owned enterprises at -6.8%, private enterprises at 2.3%, and foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan enterprises at -2.4% [14]. Industry Situation: Improvement in Raw Material Manufacturing Profits - In July, the mining sector saw a profit decline of 39.2%, while manufacturing grew by 6.6% and electricity, heat, gas, and water supply increased by 6.89% [15]. - The raw material manufacturing sector shifted from a 5.0% decline in June to a 36.9% increase in July, with steel and petroleum processing industries turning profitable [15].

Profit and Revenue Analysis - From January to July 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached CNY 40,203.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[1] - In July 2025, industrial enterprises' profits fell by 1.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 2.8 percentage points from June[1] - The operating income of industrial enterprises grew by 2.3% year-on-year from January to July, with the growth rate slowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[1] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The operating income profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.2% from January to July, unchanged from the first half of the year[2] - Operating costs increased by 2.5% year-on-year during the same period, with the growth rate slowing by 0.3 percentage points compared to the first half[1] - The average revenue per CNY 100 of assets was CNY 74.0, an increase of CNY 0.1 from the first half of the year[1] Industry Performance Insights - The mining industry accounted for 12.3% of total industrial profits, continuing to decline, with profits in this sector dropping by 31.6% year-on-year[9] - High-tech manufacturing contributed positively to the profit growth of industrial enterprises, adding 1.9 percentage points to the cumulative year-on-year profit growth[11] - The overall industrial production value increased by 6.3% year-on-year, slightly slowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year[6] Future Policy Expectations - There are expectations for incremental policies in the fourth quarter to address the weak pricing environment affecting industrial profitability[18] - The negative contribution from the mining and raw materials processing industries to profit growth is anticipated to continue, while traditional and high-tech manufacturing sectors provide some support[18]