Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Lithium battery material prices continue to rise, with the average price of domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate reaching 121,500 CNY per ton, a 13.02% increase month-on-month [1] - Tinci Materials has signed long-term electrolyte supply agreements with two major battery manufacturers, with an expected total supply of nearly 1.6 million tons of electrolyte products from 2026 to 2028 [1] - The report recommends several companies in the electric vehicle sector, including Zhuhai Guanyu, Shangtai Technology, and others, while suggesting to pay attention to companies in the PCB and solid-state battery sectors [1][2] Summary by Sections Electric Power Equipment - The National Energy Administration has released guidelines for the integration of coal and new energy, with the fifth batch of State Grid bidding for transmission and transformation equipment amounting to 10.559 billion CNY, with over 67% of the bids for combination electrical appliances, transformers, and power cables [2] - Recommended companies in the electric power equipment sector include Dongfang Electric, Siyi Electric, and others, with a focus on controllable nuclear fusion technologies [2] Energy Storage - The average price of 4-hour energy storage systems rose to 0.52 CNY/Wh in October, with a total of 10GW/29.4GWh of energy storage systems and equipment completed in the domestic market [2] - Recommended companies in the energy storage sector include Yiwei Lithium Energy, Sungrow Power, and others [2] Wind Power - The government of Yancheng plans to develop 35.83GW of wind power, with a focus on deep-sea wind projects [3][61] - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Zhongtian Technology, and others [3] Photovoltaic Industry - November saw a decrease in photovoltaic module production, which may lead to a rebound in prices as companies look to restore profit levels [3][52] - Recommended companies in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly, Tongwei, and others [3] AI and Industry Applications - iFlytek has launched the "Spark Industry Analyst," shifting its AI strategy from general models to industry-specific applications, enhancing decision-making capabilities in various sectors [3][65] - The State Council has issued opinions on accelerating scene cultivation and promoting large-scale applications of new scenarios, with AI being a core driver [3][67]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 12.6 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.15 billion yuan, up 63% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.06 billion yuan, an increase of 67% [2][4]. - In the third quarter, the company reported a revenue of 4.4 billion yuan, a 44% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, also up 63% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 360 million yuan, reflecting a 53% growth [2][4]. - The company's operating cash flow significantly improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of approximately 1.56 billion yuan, a substantial increase compared to the same period last year [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters was approximately 28.6%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year. However, the gross margin in the third quarter decreased by 2.0 percentage points year-on-year due to weakened demand for building machinery [10]. - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters was about 9.1%, which is an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, and remained stable in the third quarter [10]. Business Segments - The overseas building materials segment continues to drive growth, with significant revenue increases expected from new capacities in Kenya, Côte d'Ivoire, and Tanzania [10]. - The ceramic machinery segment faced challenges, but the order intake exceeded the previous year, indicating potential recovery in revenue [10]. - The lithium industry segment showed strong performance, with sales of approximately 32,000 tons and revenue of 1.92 billion yuan, benefiting from a rebound in lithium carbonate prices [10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in overseas building materials revenue, supported by new production lines and technological upgrades [10]. - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are approximately 1.56 billion, 1.90 billion, and 2.22 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 16, 13, and 11 times [10].

Core Insights - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate, a key material for electrolytes, has surged to 119,800 yuan/ton as of November 7, marking a 114.31% increase from 55,900 yuan/ton on September 15 [1] - This price increase has led to a rapid rebound in the stock prices of companies in the electrolyte sector, with firms like Tianqi Materials and Huasheng Lithium achieving over 100% gains this year [1] - A significant revaluation of the industry chain is underway due to a reversal in supply and demand dynamics [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has experienced dramatic fluctuations, rising from nearly 600,000 yuan/ton during the peak demand period from 2020 to early 2022, to a low of 54,000 yuan/ton in early 2024, reflecting a drop of over 90% [4][5] - The market began to reverse in the second half of this year, with a rapid price increase of 33.14% in just ten days post the National Day holiday [6][8] - As of October 10, lithium hexafluorophosphate inventory was only 1,500 tons, indicating a low inventory status, with some companies operating at zero inventory [8] - The production of lithium hexafluorophosphate in September was 21,800 tons, a month-on-month increase of 34.14% and a year-on-year increase of 46.29%, but is expected to drop to 20,100 tons in October [8][9] Demand Surge - The demand for lithium hexafluorophosphate is being driven by strong growth in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, with the penetration rate of electric vehicles in China expected to exceed 35% by the third quarter of 2025 [10] - The energy storage market has seen explosive growth, with global lithium battery storage installations exceeding 170 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a 68% year-on-year increase [10] - The demand for electrolytes and lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged, with battery manufacturers and energy storage companies locking in long-term supply contracts to secure resources [12] Industry Restructuring - The price increase of lithium hexafluorophosphate is leading to a restructuring of profits within the industry, benefiting leading companies while smaller firms face cost pressures [16] - As of the end of 2024, global effective production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate is projected to be 390,000 tons, with China accounting for 371,000 tons, primarily concentrated among leading firms [18] - The profit margin for lithium hexafluorophosphate has increased significantly, with sample profits reaching 47,372.57 yuan/ton, a 48.36% increase week-on-week [20] Future Outlook - The current price increase is not merely a cyclical rebound but reflects a shift in the new energy industry from scale competition to quality upgrades, driven by market demand and supply-side restructuring [25] - New production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate is unlikely to be released on a large scale before mid-2026, while demand for energy storage is expected to grow by 50% [25] - The price stability is projected to remain between 80,000 to 120,000 yuan/ton, significantly above the industry cost line of 50,000 to 60,000 yuan/ton [25]

Core Insights - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate, a key material for electrolytes, has surged to 119,800 yuan/ton as of November 7, marking a 114.31% increase from 55,900 yuan/ton on September 15 [1] - This price increase has led to a rapid rebound in the stock prices of companies in the electrolyte sector, with firms like Tianqi Materials and Huasheng Lithium achieving over 100% gains this year [1] - A significant revaluation of the industry chain is underway due to a reversal in supply and demand dynamics [1] Price Trends - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has experienced dramatic fluctuations, rising from nearly 600,000 yuan/ton in 2022 to a low of 54,000 yuan/ton in early 2024, reflecting a decline of over 90% [3] - The market began to shift in the second half of this year, with prices breaking out of a stagnant phase and increasing by 33.14% in just ten days after mid-September [5] Supply Dynamics - The supply side has seen a significant reduction in effective supply due to the exit of many small manufacturers and cautious capacity expansion from leading firms [7] - As of October 10, lithium hexafluorophosphate inventory was only 1,500 tons, indicating a low inventory status [7] - Production in October is expected to decrease to 20,100 tons, a 3.4% decline from September, despite high production rates among most companies [7] Demand Drivers - The demand for lithium hexafluorophosphate is being driven by strong growth in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, with the penetration rate of electric vehicles in China expected to exceed 35% by the third quarter of 2025 [9] - The energy storage market has seen explosive growth, with global lithium battery storage installations exceeding 170 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a 68% year-on-year increase [9] - Domestic energy storage project bidding has surged, with a 97.7% increase in new bids from January to September this year [9] Company Performance - Tianqi Materials has signed procurement contracts with battery companies for a total supply of 159,500 tons, amounting to nearly 40 billion yuan, which is more than three times its projected revenue for 2024 [11][12] - The profitability of leading companies in the lithium hexafluorophosphate sector has improved significantly, with profits per ton rising to 47,372.57 yuan, a 48.36% increase week-on-week [19] - Companies like Duofluor and Tianqi Materials are expected to see substantial profit increases, with projections indicating a potential net profit of 12 billion yuan for Duofluor in 2026 if prices remain stable [19] Market Structure - The market for lithium hexafluorophosphate is highly concentrated, with the top three companies holding over 70% of the market share [16] - Tianqi Materials, which produces its own lithium hexafluorophosphate, has a cost advantage of 15% over competitors, allowing it to maintain a strong position in the market [22] - The current price increase may lead to significant changes in the competitive landscape of the electrolyte market, with some second-tier companies struggling to maintain profitability [23] Future Outlook - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate is expected to remain tight, with a projected price range of 80,000 to 120,000 yuan/ton through the first half of 2026 [24] - The supply of new capacity is unlikely to be released on a large scale before mid-2026, while demand is anticipated to grow at a rate of 50% [24]

作者 | 弗雷迪 数据支持 | 勾股大数据（www.gogudata.com） 截至 1 1 月 7 日， 电解液核心材料 ——六氟磷酸锂 均价已达 11.98 万元 / 吨，较 9 月 15 日的 5.59 万元 / 吨累计上涨 114.31% 。 在其带动下，电解液 VC 添加剂、产成品纷纷从底部快速反弹。 伴随 该 材料价格飙升，电解液板块上市公司股价同步 "起飞"：天赐材料、多氟多 、 华盛锂电、天际股份、海科新源 等企业 年内股价 均实 现了一倍以上的涨幅 。 一场由供需逆转引发的产业链价值重估正在上演。 01 跌九成到突然翻倍，周期凭何反转？ 六氟磷酸锂的价格走势，堪称近五年锂电产业链最具戏剧性的 "剧本"。 六氟磷酸锂价格的突然飙涨，是否意味着影响周期的供需调整已经彻底结束？ 首先在供给端， 经过 过去几年 的行业洗牌，缺乏成本优势和技术实力的中小厂商大量退出，头部企业产能投放也更趋谨慎，有效供给持续收 缩。 百川盈孚数据显示，截至 10 月 10 日，六氟磷酸锂库存仅 1500 吨，处于 2019 年以来 35% 的分位数，属于"低位库存"状态，部分企业甚 至"零库存"运营。隆众资讯数据显示， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry [4] Core Insights - The global resonance in energy storage demand is expected to lead to explosive growth in storage needs by 2025, driven by domestic pricing reforms and international policies [2][15] - The supply chain for energy storage is heavily concentrated in China, which is projected to benefit significantly from the accelerating global storage cycle [2][28] - The current lithium battery materials cycle is characterized by structural shortages, leading to a new round of price increases [3][52] Summary by Sections 1. Energy Storage: Global Resonance and Demand Surge - Energy storage is a crucial tool for energy regulation, enhancing the predictability and controllability of renewable energy sources [8] - Strong policy support is anticipated to drive an 80% year-over-year increase in global energy storage demand by 2025 [15] - China is expected to dominate the global energy storage market, with over 93% market share in battery cells and 76% in storage systems by 2025 [28][31] 2. AIDC Energy Storage: NVIDIA's Leadership and Future Demand - NVIDIA's white paper emphasizes the necessity of integrating energy storage into power architectures, projecting a significant increase in demand for energy storage in data centers by 2030 [2][32] - The global demand for AIDC energy storage is expected to rise from 16.5 GWh in 2024 to 209.4 GWh by 2030, indicating explosive growth [47][50] 3. Energy Storage Materials: Structural Shortages and Price Increases - The current lithium battery cycle is driven by upstream demand, particularly for energy storage, leading to saturation in orders and accelerated production at battery manufacturers [3][52] - Lithium hexafluorophosphate is experiencing a new price surge, with prices rising significantly from previous lows, indicating strong price elasticity [52][53] - Phosphate iron lithium is facing structural shortages due to high demand, with production increasing by 70.2% year-over-year [3][52]

1、 商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体问题答记者问 ：中方注意到荷兰经济大臣卡雷曼斯于11月6日发表的声明，但截至目前尚未见到荷方在停止侵 害中国企业合法权益和恢复全球半导体供应链稳定方面的实际行动 。 中方希望，荷方表态不能只停留在口头上，应尽快实质性提出建设性方案并采 取实际行动，从源头上迅速且有效恢复全球半导体供应链稳定，以及停止用行政手段介入并干涉企业内部事务，推动安世半导体问题早日解决 。 中 方同意荷经济部派员来华磋商的请求 。 2、 美国参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默向共和党提出一项新方案，试图结束10月1日开始的美国政府停摆僵局 。根据舒默的提案，民主党人将同意通过 一项为政府运营提供短期资金的决议。作为交换，共和党需同意将《平价医疗法案》的税收抵免单独延长一年。美国参议院共和党人回绝了该项提议，并 称"没有讨论的余地"。不过双方开始交换提案的举动，被市场解读为谈判僵局可能松动的迹象。 1、 国务院新闻办公室发布《碳达峰碳中和的中国行动》白皮书 。白皮书除前言、结束语外分为六个部分，分别是坚定不移推进碳达峰碳中和、能 源绿色低碳转型取得显著成效、重点领域低碳发展深入推进、重点降碳路径全面落地见效、支撑 ...

Core Viewpoint - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has experienced a strong rebound, rising from 61,000 yuan/ton to 121,500 yuan/ton between October 1 and November 7, marking a 99% increase within a month, driven by surging demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage industries [1][2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate is a key indicator of the lithium battery industry's health. After reaching a historical high of 590,000 yuan/ton in February 2022, prices fell to below 50,000 yuan/ton by July 2023, before rapidly increasing in October [2]. - Demand has surged due to the growth in the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, leading to a significant increase in procurement by electrolyte manufacturers. On the supply side, many small and medium-sized enterprises are struggling to resume production due to previous overcapacity and equipment aging, resulting in a tight overall supply [2][3]. Market Outlook - Analysts expect the lithium hexafluorophosphate market to remain strong in November, with price movements dependent on supply-demand dynamics and potential shifts in downstream demand [3]. - In 2024, domestic effective production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate is projected to be around 370,000 tons per year, with major companies like Tianqi Materials, Dufluor, and Tianji holding over 66% market share [3]. Stock Market Response - The strong rebound in lithium hexafluorophosphate prices has positively impacted the stock market, with companies like Dufluor seeing a 10.01% increase in stock price on November 7, reaching 32.10 yuan/share, and a total market capitalization of 38.213 billion yuan [4]. - Despite a risk warning issued by Dufluor regarding stock price fluctuations, market sentiment remains bullish due to expectations of product price increases and improved performance [4]. - Research reports from brokerage firms have been optimistic, with Everbright Securities maintaining a "buy" rating for Dufluor, while Huatai Securities has given a "buy" rating to Tianqi Materials, anticipating a net profit of 1.061 billion yuan by 2025 [4].

Core Insights - Lithium hexafluorophosphate (LiPF6) is the most commercially developed and widely used lithium salt, accounting for 12%-14% of electrolyte mass but contributing nearly half of the cost [1] - The electrolyte, while only comprising 10%-15% of the total battery cost, is essential for lithium ion flow, likened to "blood" in the battery [1] Company Summaries Chengxing Co., Ltd. - Chengxing Co., Ltd. is a fine phosphorus chemical enterprise with a high degree of refinement, diverse product types, and mature technology, listed on June 27, 1997 [1] - The company’s product line includes phosphorus ore, phosphoric acid, phosphates, and yellow phosphorus, widely used in daily chemicals and electronics [1] - In 2024, Chengxing achieved total revenue of 3.356 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.22%, with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.7% [3] Shida Shenghua - Shida Shenghua, listed on May 29, 2015, focuses on carbonate solvents, lithium salts, additives, and silicon-based anode materials for lithium batteries [5] - The company’s products are used in chemical products, new energy vehicles, fluorine chemicals, and lithium batteries [5] - In 2024, Shida Shenghua reported total revenue of 5.547 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.56%, with a five-year CAGR of 5.51% [9] Shenzhen New Star - Shenzhen New Star is the only manufacturer in the industry with a complete industrial chain for aluminum grain refiners and has produced 5,800 tons/year of lithium hexafluorophosphate [8] - The company, listed on August 7, 2017, has a product line that includes aluminum grain refiners and lithium battery materials [10] - In 2024, Shenzhen New Star achieved total revenue of 2.563 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62.32%, with a five-year CAGR of 26.98% [12] Lianhua Technology - Lianhua Technology, listed on June 19, 2008, produces pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates, primarily sold to the US, Europe, and Japan [13] - The company’s product line includes herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and pharmaceutical intermediates [15] - In 2024, Lianhua reported total revenue of 5.677 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.88%, with a five-year CAGR of 4.38% [17] Yongtai Technology - Yongtai Technology, listed on December 22, 2009, is a leader in fluorobenzene fine chemicals and a producer of lithium hexafluorophosphate [19] - The company’s products are used in industrial manufacturing, pharmaceutical research, and agriculture [19] - In 2024, Yongtai reported total revenue of 4.589 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.18%, with a five-year CAGR of 7.39% [21] Duofu Du - Duofu Du ranks among the top two globally in lithium hexafluorophosphate market share and is the first domestic company to commercialize sodium hexafluorophosphate [23] - The company, listed on May 18, 2010, focuses on high-performance inorganic fluorides and electronic chemicals [23] - In 2024, Duofu Du achieved total revenue of 8.207 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 31.25%, with a five-year CAGR of 17.92% [25] Tianci Materials - Tianci Materials is a global leader in electrolytes and ranks among the top two in lithium hexafluorophosphate market share [27] - The company, listed on January 23, 2014, specializes in fine chemical new materials [27] - In 2024, Tianci reported total revenue of 12.518 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 18.74%, with a five-year CAGR of 32.03% [29] Tianji Co., Ltd. - Tianji Co., Ltd. focuses on the research and production of lithium hexafluorophosphate and new lithium salts, listed on May 28, 2015 [31] - The company’s product line includes various lithium salts and fluorinated salts, widely used in new energy vehicles and consumer electronics [31] - In 2024, Tianji reported total revenue of 2.055 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.32%, with a five-year CAGR of 28.96% [35]

Core Viewpoint - The major shareholder of Jiangsu Huasheng Lithium Battery Materials Co., Ltd. has completed a share reduction plan, resulting in a decrease in their holdings by 1,585,000 shares, which is 0.99% of the total share capital [2][3][5]. Shareholder Holding Situation - Before the reduction plan, Dongjin Industrial Co., Ltd. held 3,567,000 shares, accounting for 2.24% of the total share capital of the company [2]. Implementation of Reduction Plan - The reduction plan was disclosed on July 18, 2025, with a timeframe for the reduction set from August 8, 2025, to November 7, 2025. The plan allowed for a maximum reduction of 3,567,000 shares [3]. - As of the close of trading on November 7, 2025, Dongjin Industrial had successfully reduced its holdings by 1,585,000 shares, meeting the disclosed reduction plan [3][5]. - The actual reduction was consistent with the previously disclosed plan, and the plan was not terminated early [5].