东山精密（002384）公告，公司子公司DSG拟收购法国GMD集团100%股权并对其进行债务重组，金额 合计约1亿欧元(折合人民币约8.14亿元)。交易完成后，GMD集团将成为公司全资子公司。GMD集团成 立于1986年，主营金属切割与冲压、塑料加工等业务，2023年营业收入9.83亿欧元，净利润-600万欧 元。交易尚需履行境外反垄断审查、境外投资审查等审批程序，存在审批及实施风险、债务重组失败风 险、跨境整合风险及经营及市场风险。 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided in the content regarding industry investment ratings. Core Views - The plastics market is affected by factors such as increased supply from new capacity and reduced downstream demand, but the sentiment is boosted by Sino - US trade negotiations, suggesting that short positions should gradually stop profit and exit [3] - For lithium carbonate, the supply - demand surplus pattern continues, with futures prices hitting new lows and limited room for spot price decline, suggesting a wait - and - see approach [5] - The short - term copper price is expected to be mainly oscillating upwards, affected by Sino - US negotiations and supply - demand fundamentals, and attention should be paid to the US CPI data [10] - Crude oil supply is under pressure, demand growth is expected to slow down, and it is recommended to stop profit on previous short positions [11][13] - For asphalt, under the situation of weak supply and demand, a wait - and - see approach is recommended [14] - PP is expected to oscillate, with downstream demand recovery slow and new orders limited, but market sentiment is boosted by trade negotiations [15][16] - PVC is still under pressure, but it is recommended to gradually stop profit on short positions due to improved macro - sentiment [17] - Urea prices are expected to oscillate upwards, but the upward space is restricted by policies [18][19] Summary by Variety Plastics - Supply: Yulong Petrochemical's overhauled devices restarted, and new capacity was put into production, but some devices were also under maintenance [3] - Demand: PE downstream开工率 decreased, with agricultural film entering the off - season and other demand being average [3] - Inventory: Petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in recent years [3] - Recommendation: Gradually stop profit on short positions [3] Carbonate Lithium - Price: The futures price hit a new low, and the spot price is close to the bottom [4][5] - Supply: Production in Jiangxi is stable, while the northern region's开工率 has decreased significantly [5] - Demand: Positive electrode production is expected to increase in May and then enter the off - season, and the impact of US tariffs on global demand may be limited [5] - Inventory: There is a slight reduction in inventory [5] - Recommendation: Wait and see [5] Copper - Price: Affected by Sino - US negotiations and the US dollar, it is expected to oscillate upwards in the short term [9][10] - Supply: The supply of copper ore is tight, and there are many smelter maintenance plans in May and July - September [10] - Demand: Downstream demand shows resilience, with cable enterprise开工率 and orders increasing [10] - Recommendation: Pay attention to the US CPI data [10] Crude Oil - Supply: OPEC + is gradually increasing production, and US production is at a high level, with large supply pressure [11] - Demand: The growth rate of global demand is expected to slow down [11] - Recommendation: Stop profit on previous short positions [13] Asphalt - Supply:开工率 has rebounded, and production is expected to increase in May [14] - Demand: Downstream开工率 is uneven, and actual demand needs to be restored [14] - Inventory: The inventory - to - sales ratio has slightly increased, still at a low level in recent years [14] - Recommendation: Wait and see [14] PP - Supply: New production capacity is put into production, and there are more maintenance devices, with enterprise开工率 at a relatively low level [15] - Demand: Downstream开工率 continues to decline, and new orders are limited [15][16] - Inventory: Petrochemical inventory is at a relatively low level in recent years [15] - Recommendation: Expected to oscillate [16] PVC - Supply:开工率 has increased, and spring maintenance scale is less than last year [17] - Demand: Downstream开工率 is still low, and exports are affected by policies [17] - Inventory: Social inventory is still high [17] - Recommendation: Gradually stop profit on short positions [17] Urea - Supply:开工率 is stable, and some enterprises are resuming production [18] - Demand: Agricultural fertilization is cautious, and compound fertilizer factory开工率 may decline [18][19] - Inventory: Inventory is being reduced [18] - Recommendation: Prices are expected to oscillate upwards, but be cautious of risks [19]

Group 1 - The Chinese government has prioritized ozone layer protection since joining the Vienna Convention in 1989 and the Montreal Protocol in 1991, implementing the first national plan for phasing out ozone-depleting substances (ODS) in 1993 [1] - The recently released National Plan (2025-2030) aims to phase out HCFCs and is the first six-year plan for reducing both ODS and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), aligning with Xi Jinping's ecological civilization thoughts and promoting green, low-carbon development in related industries [1][2] - The National Plan mandates a ban on HCFCs in the extruded polystyrene foam and polyurethane foam industries starting July 1, 2026, with varying challenges in compliance due to the complexity of alternatives in the polyurethane sector [2] Group 2 - The National Plan enhances management of ODS production, sales, and usage, requiring sales units to only sell to entities with production or usage quotas, thereby improving the regulatory framework and monitoring capabilities [3] - The implementation of mobile monitoring equipment has significantly increased the ability to detect illegal production and use of ODS, contributing to the enforcement of the National Plan [3] - Foam enterprises are encouraged to comply with the National Plan, utilize the information management system, and report illegal activities to achieve the complete phase-out of HCFC-141b, thereby supporting ozone layer protection and sustainable industry development [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has recently launched its "150,000 tons per year green multifunctional bottle chip project," which is part of its public offering of convertible bonds, indicating a strategic move towards sustainable production practices [1] Group 1 - The project is implemented by the company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Jiangsu Xingye Plastic Chemical Co., Ltd. [1] - The project utilizes advanced production technology and equipment, featuring two sets of the largest single-unit 750,000 tons/year PET polymerization facilities [1] - The new production capabilities are expected to enhance production efficiency, reduce energy consumption, and minimize emissions, aligning with green and environmentally friendly production principles [1]

Core Insights - The company reported significant revenue growth for 2024, with total revenue approximately 60.51 billion yuan (+26.2%), driven by strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 reached approximately 820 million yuan (+160.4%), indicating robust profitability improvements [1] - The company’s Q1 2025 revenue showed a remarkable increase of approximately 15.67 billion yuan (+49.1%), reflecting continued momentum in its business segments [1] Business Segment Performance - The modified plastics segment achieved revenue of approximately 32.07 billion yuan in 2024 (+18.95%), with a gross margin of 22.07% [2] - The green petrochemical segment reported revenue of approximately 11.44 billion yuan in 2024 (+22.30%), with a notable improvement in gross margin to -6.36% (+6.08 percentage points) due to process enhancements and increased capacity utilization [2] - The healthcare segment experienced revenue growth of approximately 560 million yuan in 2024 (+46.36%), with glove sales volume reaching 4.714 billion pieces (+205.11%) [2] Sales and Market Expansion - The sales volume of modified plastics reached 2.5515 million tons in 2024 (+20.78%), with automotive materials contributing significantly [3] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in emerging fields such as robotics and low-altitude economy while enhancing local supply and service capabilities in overseas markets [3] - In 2024, the overseas business achieved finished product sales of 233,500 tons (+29.51%), indicating successful international expansion efforts [3] Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the modified plastics market, with expectations for continued revenue growth and improvements in petrochemical and healthcare segments [4] - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 68.937 billion yuan, 77.934 billion yuan, and 86.563 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to grow correspondingly [4] - The company is assigned a "buy" rating based on its strong growth trajectory and favorable market conditions [4]

Core Points - China has eliminated approximately 628,000 tons of ozone-depleting substances (ODS), accounting for over half of the total elimination in developing countries [1][2] - The implementation of the "National Plan" aims to strengthen the management of ODS and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), promoting green and low-carbon development across various industries [1][2] Group 1: National Plan and Regulatory Framework - The "National Plan" outlines the control of nine substances, including chlorofluorocarbons, halons, and HFCs, with specific reduction targets set for 2025 and 2030 [2][3] - The plan mandates a 67.5% reduction in controlled uses of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) by 2025 and a 97.5% reduction by 2030 [3] - HFCs will see a 10% reduction in controlled uses by 2029 [3] Group 2: Industry Challenges and Opportunities - The fluorochemical industry is a significant part of China's emerging strategic industries, producing over 50% of global fluorochemical products [6] - The household appliance sector has adopted propane (R290) as an environmentally friendly alternative, with over 10 million R290 air conditioners produced by the end of 2024 [6] - The automotive industry is a major user of HFCs, with regulations set to ban high GWP refrigerants in new vehicle air conditioning systems starting July 1, 2029 [5][7] Group 3: Technological Development and Innovation - The refrigeration and air conditioning industry has seen substantial growth, with a total output value of 460 billion yuan in 2023, significantly larger than when the phase-out of CFCs began [10] - The foam industry faces challenges in finding suitable alternatives to HFCs, with various replacement technologies having different cost and safety implications [10][11] - The fire protection industry is also seeking new alternatives to HFC-based extinguishing agents, emphasizing the need for innovation and collaboration between academia and industry [11]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting focused on "Boosting Consumption and Serving People's Good Life," aiming to transform work styles, conduct in-depth research, and promote high-quality development in the light industry sector. Group 1: Light Industry Development - The China Light Industry Federation emphasizes the need for in-depth industry research to understand new market demands and trends, aiming to innovate and cultivate consumption growth points [1][2] - The China Sewing Machinery Association plans to implement seven major initiatives in 2024 to promote high-quality development, including policy advocacy, skill training, and international market expansion [1] - The China Household Electrical Appliances Association is actively promoting the "old for new" appliance replacement program, leveraging the AWE exhibition to stimulate consumer demand [3] Group 2: Challenges and Solutions - The China Toy and Juvenile Products Association is addressing industry challenges such as tariffs and standards, advocating for the inclusion of certain products in the "old for new" policy [5][6] - The China Sugar Association is focusing on technological empowerment and sustainable practices, with a projected sugar production increase to 11 million tons in the 2024/25 period [7][8] - The China Food Additives and Ingredients Association reported a stable growth in the food additives sector, with a production increase of 3.5% and sales growth of 2.0% in 2024 [9][10] Group 3: Consumer Trends and Innovations - The China Beverage Association reported a record beverage production of 188 million tons in 2024, with a focus on enhancing consumer experience and expanding market reach [15][16] - The China Biochemical Fermentation Industry Association is implementing six practical measures to support industry growth, emphasizing technology and safety [17][18] - The China Industrial Design Association is promoting design innovation to enhance product value and stimulate consumer demand [22][23] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - The China Musical Instruments Association identified trends such as the rise of electronic instruments and a growing interest in music among middle-class consumers [28][29] - The China Bicycle Association noted a stable production environment with a significant increase in electric bicycle sales due to the "old for new" policy [30][31]

Report Investment Rating - No specific investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The prices of polyolefins are oscillating strongly due to the boost from upstream crude oil. The future supply of PE is expected to remain high, while the supply pressure of PP is alleviated due to many device overhauls. The downstream operating rates of polyolefins continue to decline, and the overall inventory is slightly reduced. The strategy suggests being cautiously bearish on plastics unilaterally, and there is no cross - period strategy [1][2][3]. Summary by Directory 1. Polyolefin Basis Structure - The closing price of the L main contract is 7164 yuan/ton (+14), and the closing price of the PP main contract is 7112 yuan/ton (+15). The LL North China spot price is 7400 yuan/ton (+0), the LL East China spot price is 7380 yuan/ton (+30), and the PP East China spot price is 7300 yuan/ton (+0). The LL North China basis is 236 yuan/ton (-24), the LL East China basis is 216 yuan/ton (+16), and the PP East China basis is 188 yuan/ton (+5) [1]. 2. Production Profit and Operating Rate - The PE operating rate is 83.8% (-0.1%), and the PP operating rate is 75.5% (-2.6%). The PE oil - based production profit is 342.0 yuan/ton (-25.0), the PP oil - based production profit is 32.0 yuan/ton (-25.0), and the PDH - based PP production profit is - 496.6 yuan/ton (-0.7) [1]. 3. Polyolefin Non - standard Price Difference - No specific data is provided in the given content. 4. Polyolefin Import and Export Profits - The LL import profit is - 174.1 yuan/ton (+0.0), the PP import profit is - 331.8 yuan/ton (-20.0), and the PP export profit is 19.2 US dollars/ton (+2.4) [1]. 5. Polyolefin Downstream Operating Rates and Downstream Profits - The PE downstream agricultural film operating rate is 26.1% (-4.0%), the PE downstream packaging film operating rate is 48.8% (+1.3%), the PP downstream plastic weaving operating rate is 45.3% (-1.4%), and the PP downstream BOPP film operating rate is 61.7% (-0.1%) [1]. 6. Polyolefin Inventory - The overall inventory is slightly reduced. However, no specific inventory data is provided [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a cautious and bearish outlook for the plastics industry [4][5] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The future outlook for plastics is weak, with a cautious and bearish stance. The plastics 2509 contract closed at 7,143 yuan/ton on April 18, down 109 yuan/ton from the previous week. Spot prices of plastics declined across the board. In the second quarter, the domestic PE market is expected to face significant supply pressure due to planned new capacity of 2.15 million tons. Downstream demand is generally weak, with a sharp decline in the agricultural film sector as the peak season ends, and mediocre demand in the packaging film and pipe sectors. Inventory remains neutral, with no obvious de - stocking trend and low willingness among downstream players to replenish inventory at low prices. However, tariffs may provide some support to market prices. It is expected that the plastics 2505 contract will fluctuate at a low level in the short term [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Plastic Weekly Market Review - On April 18, the plastics 2509 contract closed at 7,143 yuan/ton, down 109 yuan/ton from the previous week. The market fluctuated at the bottom this week, and the trade war brought great uncertainty, intensifying market fluctuations. LLDPE's South China basis reached 694.65 yuan/ton, a 15.71% increase from the previous week, and the May - September spread was 168 yuan/ton (up 69). Spot prices of plastics declined across the board, with the LDPE average price at 9,166.67 yuan/ton, a 1.08% decrease from the previous week, the HDPE average price at 8,140.00 yuan/ton, a 0.88% decrease, and the average price of LLDPE (7042) in South China at 7,837.65 yuan/ton, a 0.19% decrease [4][8] 3.2 Key Data Tracking - Month Spread | Month Spread | April 18, 2025 (yuan/ton) | Change | | --- | --- | --- | | 1 - 5 | -230 | -48 | | 5 - 9 | 168 | 69 | | 9 - 1 | 62 | -21 | [15] 3.3 Key Data Tracking - Spot Price - Spot prices of various plastics products showed different degrees of decline. For example, the LDPE average price decreased by 1.08%, the HDPE average price decreased by 0.88%, and the average price of LLDPE (7042) in South China decreased by 0.19%. Specific prices and changes in different regions and product categories are detailed in the report [4][8][16] 3.4 Key Data Tracking - Cost - This week, WTI crude oil closed at $63.75 per barrel, up $2.27 from the previous week, and Brent crude oil closed at $67.85 per barrel, up $3.26 from the previous week. The price of anthracite at the Yangtze River port was 1,020 yuan/ton (down 20). It is expected that the crude oil market will maintain a low - level fluctuating trend, and the coal market price has slightly increased [19] 3.5 Key Data Tracking - Profit - The profit of oil - based PE was - 33 yuan/ton, down 249 yuan/ton from the previous week, and the profit of coal - based PE was 1,237 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan/ton from the previous week. It is expected that the profit of oil - based PE and coal - based PE will run weakly [22] 3.6 Key Data Tracking - Supply - This week, the operating rate of China's polyethylene production was 83.81%, up 0.17 percentage points from the previous week, and the weekly polyethylene output was 633,500 tons, a 0.88% increase from the previous week. The maintenance loss this week was 91,900 tons, down 3,900 tons from the previous week. Some enterprises' devices are under maintenance, and there are many planned new capacity projects in 2025 [25][27] 3.7 Key Data Tracking - 2025 Production Plan - Many enterprises have new production capacity plans in 2025, with a total planned capacity of 5.43 million tons. Some projects have already started production, some are in the process of starting up, and others are scheduled to start at different times throughout the year [27] 3.8 Key Data Tracking - Maintenance Statistics - Several enterprises carried out device maintenance this week, such as Baolai LyondellBasell's HDPE device from April 14 to April 20, and Daqing Petrochemical's LLDPE device which stopped on April 16 with an undetermined restart time [28] 3.9 Key Data Tracking - Demand - This week, the overall operating rate of domestic agricultural film was 30.09%, down 7.45% from the previous week; the operating rate of PE packaging film was 47.56%, down 0.51% from the previous week; and the operating rate of PE pipes was 31.50%, down 0.17% from the previous week. The peak season of agricultural film is coming to an end, with an expected further decline, and the operating performance of packaging film and pipes is mediocre due to weak downstream demand [29] 3.10 Key Data Tracking - Downstream Production Ratio - Currently, the production ratio of linear film is the highest, accounting for 36.1%, which is 2% different from the annual average level. The ratio of low - pressure pipes shows a significant difference from the annual average data, currently accounting for 6%, a 4.2% difference from the annual average [34] 3.11 Key Data Tracking - Inventory - This week, the social inventory of plastics enterprises was 616,000 tons, an increase of 2,900 tons from the previous week [36] 3.12 Key Data Tracking - Warehouse Receipts - This week, the number of polyethylene warehouse receipts was 1,565 lots, an increase of 939 lots from the previous week [44]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - Polypropylene is in a phase of oscillating downward, and the price center is expected to decline in the future. In late 2024, multiple new units were put into operation intensively, and the production of units in 2025 continued throughout the year, resulting in huge production pressure. Meanwhile, the existing production load was also high, leading to a supply much higher than the historical average. Although the demand has entered the traditional peak season, the support is limited. Overall, due to over - capacity, the supply - demand relationship is weak, and the expectation of crude oil on the cost side is also weak, so the price center of polypropylene is expected to move down oscillatingly [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Basis and Spread - **Basis**: Affected by the tariff storm and the sharp decline in crude oil, the PP price dropped significantly at the beginning of the week but temporarily stopped falling and stabilized due to supply concerns. The East China basis remained at around - 20 yuan/ton, the North China basis ranged from 10 to - 100 yuan/ton, and the South China basis strengthened from 80 to - 70 yuan/ton. The non - standard basis showed a similar trend but was generally stronger than the standard product [19]. - **Regional Spread**: The North China - East China spread was relatively strong, while the South China - East China spread was at a low level. The spread between injection molding - drawing and low - melt copolymer - drawing in the non - standard basis changed little [30][31]. - **Related Product Spread**: The 5 - 9 monthly spread of the futures strengthened to 124 during the week and then fell back to 76, indicating a weaker far - month expectation. The L - PP06 spread weakened to a minimum of 50 this week, and the PP - Wh spread increased slightly. The significant decline in the L - P3 spread was due to the potential production loss of the BBI process on the PP supply side caused by the propane import tariff counter - measure and the weaker demand for PE after the peak season. With the large - scale restart of Iranian plants, the load recovered and the shipping volume exceeded expectations, MA dropped sharply, and the MTO profit was significantly repaired to the level of the same period last year [36]. 3.2 Domestic Production - End Profit and Supply - **Production Profit**: After the sharp decline last week, the crude oil price oscillated this week. The oil - making profit improved due to the weakening of the cost side. On April 4, the tariff on imported propane from the US increased, which would increase the import cost of liquefied petroleum gas in the short term and tighten the domestic supply. In the long term, the domestic pricing target may shift to ether - after carbon four. High production and weak demand led to a decline in coal prices, resulting in good CTO profits, and the decline in methanol prices in the production area slightly improved MTO profits [41][42]. - **Domestic Output and Load**: This week, the PP output was 73.16 tons (- 0.04 tons), and the operating rate was 76.38% (- 0.05%). The supply loss of PP was 19.28 tons, including 12.47 tons of maintenance loss and 6.81 tons of production reduction loss. The previously shut - down units restarted one after another, the maintenance volume decreased, and the supply increased. In the future, attention should be paid to the maintenance of PDR units. On the other hand, the significant repair of oil - making profit increased the willingness to start production [8][59]. - **Scheduling Ratio**: An increase in the drawing scheduling ratio may indicate that the standard product is stronger than the non - standard product in the short term, but the medium - term supply pressure may increase [78]. 3.3 US Dollar Price and Import - Export Profit - **US Dollar Price and Spread**: The prices in Europe and the US declined, especially in Northwest Europe. Asian prices mostly fell, and CFR Far East was greatly affected by the tariff policy. The demand in Southeast Asia was weak, and market transactions were cautious. The South Asian prices remained stable. The spread between CFR China and Northwest Europe was at a low level [87][88]. - **Import - Export Profit**: Although the RMB exchange rate weakened, the concern about tariffs led to a significant decline in overseas inquiries and export transactions, making it difficult to consume resources. On the import side, the overseas offers were few and expensive, and imports were blocked [104]. 3.4 Downstream Operating Rate - The downstream is still in the peak season. The comprehensive operating rate decreased slightly by 0.03% month - on - month. In the future, attention should be paid to the impact of tariff policies on the downstream. The operating rate of plastic weaving remained flat, the demand for fertilizer bags continued, and the demand for cement and food was also acceptable. In addition, the operating rate of injection molding increased by 1.2%, and the operating rate of pipes decreased by 0.8%. As the temperature rises, the demand for storage boxes, milk tea cups, and disposable transparent products continues to be released [9][107]. 3.5 Inventory - The inventory of production enterprises increased by 2.07 tons to 63.71 tons, including a 1.07 - ton increase in the inventory of two major oil companies and a 0.7 - ton increase in the inventory of coal - chemical enterprises. The market risk - aversion sentiment increased, and the downstream purchasing willingness weakened. The inventory of traders decreased by 0.54 tons, and the port inventory decreased by 0.02 tons. Due to the decrease in overseas inquiries and the decline in export transactions, the port inventory fluctuated slightly [10][123].