Group 1: Conflict Trigger - The conflict was triggered by Canada's unilateral imposition of tariffs on Chinese goods, particularly a 100% tariff on electric vehicles and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum, effective October 1, 2024 [2][4] - Canada's actions were framed as a response to similar measures by the US and EU, but lacked substantial evidence and appeared hasty compared to the thorough investigations conducted by the US and EU [4][6] Group 2: China's Response - In response to Canada's tariffs, China initiated an anti-discrimination investigation against Canada on September 26, 2024, marking a significant move in international trade disputes [8][10] - China also launched an anti-dumping investigation on Canadian canola on September 9, 2024, targeting a key export commodity worth over 3 billion Canadian dollars in 2023 [10][12] Group 3: Historical Context - Diplomatic relations between China and Canada began in 1970, with a mutually beneficial trade relationship that peaked in the 2010s, where bilateral trade reached hundreds of billions of Canadian dollars [14][16] - The relationship soured significantly after the 2018 Meng Wanzhou incident, leading to a series of retaliatory measures and a decline in trust between the two nations [16] Group 4: International Implications - The dispute has broader international implications, with China's anti-discrimination investigation potentially setting a precedent for future trade conflicts, while Canada faces criticism for its unfounded tariff measures [17][19] - Canada has expressed strong condemnation of China's actions and plans to support affected industries, but the scale of assistance is limited, and there are calls for government compromise from the agricultural community [20] Group 5: Conclusion - The trade war illustrates the complexities of global trade dynamics and the lack of true winners, as both countries face economic repercussions and strained relations [21]

Group 1 - Italy is facing dual pressures from the US-EU trade tensions, including a proposed 30% tariff on EU goods and a weakening dollar impacting export competitiveness [1][2] - Italy's exports to the US account for 10% of its total exports, with a trade surplus of €39 billion expected in 2024, indicating a higher dependency on the US market compared to the EU average [2][3] - The sectors most affected by the tariffs include beverages, automobiles, and other transportation equipment, with the average tariff impact on Italy being higher than the overall EU level [2][3] Group 2 - If the 30% tariff is implemented, Italy's exports to the US could decrease by nearly 20%, resulting in an economic loss of €12.4 billion [3] - The weakening dollar is creating an "invisible tax" on Italian exports, making US goods cheaper and foreign goods more expensive, which could further exacerbate the impact of any additional tariffs [4][5] - In May, Italy's imports from the US grew by 18.5%, while exports only increased by 2.5%, highlighting the adverse effects of the currency exchange rate [5] Group 3 - Over 6,000 Italian companies are directly exposed to the risks posed by increased US tariffs, with small and medium-sized enterprises being the most affected [6] - The export sector is crucial for Italy's economy, and the combination of tariffs and currency issues could lead to significant economic repercussions [7] - There is a risk that companies may relocate production to the US due to the declining attractiveness of investment in Europe [7]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The long - term bullish trend of precious metals is expected to continue, and it is advisable to consider going long on gold futures [10]. - China's equity assets are still promising in the long - term, and it is advisable to consider going long on stock index futures [8]. - For most commodities, the market situation is complex, and different trading strategies should be adopted according to the specific fundamentals of each commodity, such as waiting for opportunities to short, going long at low positions, or temporarily observing. 3. Summary by Commodity 3.1 Fixed - Income Products - **Treasury Bonds**: The previous trading day saw most treasury bond futures close higher. The current macro - economic recovery momentum needs strengthening, and the monetary policy is expected to remain loose. It is expected that there will be no trending market, and caution should be maintained [5][6]. 3.2 Equity - Related Products - **Stock Index Futures**: The previous trading day saw mixed performance in stock index futures. The domestic economic situation is stable, but the recovery momentum is weak. However, due to the low valuation of domestic assets and the resilience of the Chinese economy, the long - term performance of Chinese equity assets is optimistic, and it is advisable to consider going long on stock index futures [7][8][9]. 3.3 Precious Metals - **Precious Metals**: The previous trading day saw a slight decline in the closing price of the gold main contract and a slight increase in the silver main contract. The current global trade and financial environment is complex, and factors such as "de - globalization" and "de - dollarization" are beneficial to the allocation and hedging value of gold. The long - term bullish trend of precious metals is expected to continue, and it is advisable to consider going long on gold futures [10][11]. 3.4 Base Metals - **Copper**: The previous trading day saw Shanghai copper fluctuate slightly. The US imposing additional tariffs on copper has been confirmed, which has put downward pressure on Shanghai copper prices. After the decline, the price has gradually stabilized. It is advisable to temporarily observe the main contract of Shanghai copper [57][58]. - **Tin**: The previous trading day saw Shanghai tin fluctuate. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the consumption situation is good. The inventory at home and abroad is showing a downward trend. Overall, the supply is still in short supply [59]. - **Nickel**: The previous trading day saw Shanghai nickel rise. The price of the ore end has weakened, and the actual consumption is still not optimistic. The refined nickel is still in an oversupply situation, and the nickel price is expected to fluctuate [60]. 3.5 Ferrous Metals - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The previous trading day saw a slight rebound in rebar and hot - rolled coil futures. Although the important meeting at the beginning of the month has triggered expectations of supply contraction, the downward trend of the real estate industry and over - capacity are still suppressing the price. The price rebound space may be limited. It is advisable for investors to wait patiently for shorting opportunities after the rebound and set appropriate stop - profits [12][13]. - **Iron Ore**: The previous trading day saw a slight increase in iron ore futures. Policy expectations have boosted the price, but the supply - demand pattern has weakened marginally. The price valuation is relatively high. Technically, it may continue to be strong in the short - term. It is advisable for investors to pay attention to buying opportunities at low positions and set stop - profits in time [15]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The previous trading day saw a late - session rally in coking coal and coke futures. The important meeting at the beginning of the month has triggered expectations of supply contraction, but in reality, the coal mine start - up rate is rising, and the steel mill's procurement willingness is not strong. Technically, it may break through the previous high and continue to rise. It is advisable for investors to wait patiently for appropriate mid - term shorting entry points and set stop - profits in time [17][18]. - **Ferroalloys**: The previous trading day saw the manganese - silicon and silicon - iron main contracts close higher. The supply of ferroalloys is still high, and the demand is weak. After entering the off - season, the short - term demand has peaked, and the overall price is under pressure. If the spot losses continue to expand recently, it is advisable to consider low - value out - of - the - money call options [20]. 3.6 Energy Products - **Crude Oil**: The previous trading day saw INE crude oil open low and close high, supported by the 10 - day moving average. The decline in US active rig counts and summer oil demand support oil prices, but tariff frictions and sanctions against Russia still restrict oil prices. It is advisable to temporarily observe the main contract of crude oil [21][22][23]. - **Fuel Oil**: The previous trading day saw fuel oil rise and then fall, showing a weak trend. The supply of fuel oil in Asia is abundant, and trade frictions are intensifying, which is negative for fuel oil prices. It is advisable to pay attention to shorting opportunities in the main contract of fuel oil [24][25][27]. 3.7 Chemical Products - **Synthetic Rubber**: The previous trading day saw the synthetic rubber main contract close higher. The raw material price has fallen, and the operating profit has turned positive. The supply - demand situation is short - term loose. It is advisable to wait for the market to stabilize and then participate in the rebound [28][29]. - **Natural Rubber**: The previous trading day saw the natural rubber main contract and 20 - rubber main contract close higher. It is expected that the natural rubber market will maintain a relatively strong oscillation next week. It is advisable to pay attention to mid - term long - position opportunities [30][31]. - **PVC**: The previous trading day saw the PVC main contract close slightly higher. The current PVC market still has an oversupply situation, but the room for further decline is limited, and it may enter a bottom - oscillation stage [32][33][36]. - **Urea**: The previous trading day saw the urea main contract close higher. The short - term domestic urea market will fluctuate narrowly, waiting for the implementation of policies and demand. It is advisable to treat it as oscillating in the short - term and bullish in the medium - term [37][38]. - **Para - Xylene (PX)**: The previous trading day saw the PX2509 main contract rise. The short - term supply - demand balance of PX remains tight, but the support from crude oil costs is slightly insufficient. It is advisable to participate cautiously, pay attention to the changes in crude oil costs, and control risks [39][40]. - **PTA**: The previous trading day saw the PTA2509 main contract rise. The short - term supply of PTA increases, the demand weakens, and the cost support from crude oil is slightly insufficient. However, the processing fee of PTA has dropped to a low level, and subsequent production cuts may increase. It is advisable to participate within a range and pay attention to the opportunity to expand the processing fee when it is low [41]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The previous trading day saw the ethylene glycol main contract rise. The supply pressure has been relieved recently, and the inventory has decreased and is at a low level. It is advisable to be cautious about the downward space and participate within a range, paying attention to port inventory and import changes [42][43]. - **Short - Fiber**: The previous trading day saw the short - fiber 2509 main contract fluctuate and adjust. The short - term fundamentals of short - fiber lack driving forces, and some factories have cut production. The processing fee is gradually recovering. It is advisable to be cautious about the space for the repair of the processing spread and pay attention to cost changes and the intensity of plant production cuts [44]. - **Bottle Chips**: The previous trading day saw the bottle chips 2509 main contract rise. Recently, the raw material price has fluctuated, and the support is slightly insufficient. The number of bottle chip plant overhauls has increased, and the inventory has decreased. It is expected that the market will follow the cost - end oscillation. It is advisable to participate cautiously and pay attention to cost price changes [45][46]. - **Soda Ash**: The previous trading day saw the main 2509 contract of soda ash close higher. The short - term soda ash market is expected to oscillate and adjust. In the long - term, the oversupply situation is difficult to alleviate. It is advisable to be rational and not over - pursue high prices or short [47]. - **Glass**: The previous trading day saw the main 2509 contract of glass close higher. The actual supply - demand fundamentals have no obvious driving forces. The price increase yesterday was mainly due to the pull of the energy sector such as coking coal, and it is expected to rebound in the short - term [48][49]. - **Caustic Soda**: The previous trading day saw the main 2509 contract of caustic soda close lower. The short - term price may have some support, but the overall positive support is still relatively limited [50][51]. - **Pulp**: The previous trading day saw the main 2509 contract of pulp close higher. The supply of pulp still tends to expand, and the demand in the market is weak. The overall pulp price is expected to fluctuate and adjust [53]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The previous trading day saw the lithium carbonate main contract close higher. Although there are expectations of supply - side reforms and production cuts by enterprises, the supply - demand pattern has not changed, and the inventory remains high. It is not advisable for investors to chase high prices [55][56]. 3.8 Agricultural Products - **Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal**: The previous trading day saw soybean oil and soybean meal futures close higher. The domestic soybean supply is relatively loose, and the import cost has increased. It is advisable to consider long - position opportunities in the low - support range for soybean meal after adjustment, and for soybean oil, consider call option opportunities in the support range after the price decline [61][62]. - **Palm Oil**: The previous trading day saw the Malaysian palm oil futures close lower. The export data of Malaysian palm oil in July 1 - 15 was weak, and the domestic palm oil inventory has increased. It is advisable to consider the opportunity to widen the spread between rapeseed oil and palm oil [63][64]. - **Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil**: The previous trading day saw the Canadian rapeseed futures close higher. The domestic rapeseed, rapeseed meal, and rapeseed oil are all in the process of destocking. It is advisable to consider long - position opportunities in rapeseed products [65][66]. - **Cotton**: The previous trading day saw domestic Zheng cotton rebound to a new high. The US Department of Agriculture's July report raised the estimates of US cotton production and global inventory. The global supply - demand is expected to remain loose, and it is advisable to observe [67][68][70]. - **Sugar**: The previous trading day saw domestic Zheng sugar fluctuate. The production forecast in Brazil has been lowered. The domestic inventory is low, and the supply - demand contradiction is not sharp. It is advisable to observe [71][72]. - **Apples**: The previous trading day saw domestic apple futures rise slightly. The expected production reduction has been falsified, and the national apple production is expected to increase slightly. It is advisable to pay attention to short - selling opportunities when the price is high [73][75][76]. - **Hogs**: The previous trading day saw the main contract of hogs close lower. The short - term price is expected to be stable with narrow adjustments. In the middle of the month, the group - farm slaughter volume has recovered, and the demand in the summer off - season is still weak. It is advisable to hold previous short positions [77][78]. - **Eggs**: The previous trading day saw the main contract of eggs close lower. The supply of eggs in July is expected to continue to increase year - on - year. It is advisable to consider a 9 - 10 reverse spread [79][80]. - **Corn and Starch**: The previous trading day saw the corn main contract and the corn starch main contract close higher. The domestic corn supply - demand is approaching balance, and the consumption is warming up. The inventory pressure has decreased. It is advisable to observe. The production and demand of corn starch are both weak, and it mainly follows the corn market [81][82]. 3.9 Logs - **Logs**: The previous trading day saw the main 2509 contract of logs close higher. It is expected to oscillate and adjust before the first delivery. The main 09 and far - month contracts are mainly influenced by positive sentiment, but the actual quoted price of standard products has not increased significantly [83][86].

Group 1 - The core idea of the articles revolves around the integration of community governance and the support for new employment groups, particularly delivery riders, in Yan'an City [1][3][6] - Yan'an City has established 13 industry party committees to enhance the political leadership and organizational advantages in the rapidly developing new economic and social organizations [2][3] - The city has achieved a 99.37% establishment rate for party organizations in non-public enterprises and a 72% establishment rate in social organizations, indicating strong organizational coverage [3] Group 2 - The "Rider-Friendly Community" initiative in the Taoyuan community includes thoughtful designs such as dedicated parking spaces and friendly maps to support delivery riders [5][6] - The community has integrated commercial resources to create "Baota·Red New Station" facilities, providing amenities and discounts for riders, thereby enhancing their community experience [5][6] - The Huanglong County Lifen Specialty Products Co., Ltd. has successfully implemented a "Party Building + Company + Beekeeper" model, leading to the growth of the beekeeping industry and benefiting local farmers [7][8] Group 3 - The articles highlight the dual focus on community service and the economic empowerment of new employment groups, showcasing a model of mutual benefit between enterprises and local communities [9][10] - The initiatives in Yan'an City reflect a broader trend of leveraging political and organizational strengths to foster high-quality development in emerging sectors [1][2][3]

Group 1 - The core focus of the recent Central Urban Work Conference is to promote urban-rural integration, transitioning from "basic connectivity" to "functional collaboration" as a key driver for high-quality development [1] - Significant achievements in urban-rural integration have been noted, with urban residents' per capita disposable income at 54,188 yuan and rural residents at 23,119 yuan, resulting in an urban-rural income ratio of 2.34:1, and an urbanization rate of 67% [1] - Various regions are implementing effective measures to connect urban development with rural revitalization, such as integrating "beautiful countryside" construction with digital economy initiatives in Zhejiang [1] Group 2 - Policy empowerment is identified as the core driving force for urban-rural integration, with a multi-level policy system established to break the urban-rural dual structure [2] - The 20th National Congress report emphasizes the need for urban-rural integration and smooth flow of urban-rural factors, while the Central No. 1 Document this year calls for improving the system and mechanisms for urban-rural integration [2] - Challenges remain in the integration process, including a shortage of professional technical talent in rural areas, uneven financial resource allocation, and disparities in service quality in education, healthcare, and elderly care [2] Group 3 - County-level economies are being leveraged to activate urban-rural integration, focusing on developing new industries such as agricultural product processing and rural e-commerce [3] - Employment is prioritized in county development, with an emphasis on integrating primary, secondary, and tertiary industries to enhance the value chain and promote agricultural quality [3] - Examples include the establishment of a citrus big data center in Sichuan to help farmers adjust planting structures based on market demand [3] Group 4 - The vitality of urban-rural integration stems from the participation of various stakeholders, encouraging a model of "leading enterprises + cooperatives + farmers" [4] - Initiatives like the "digital orchard" in Anhui provide comprehensive services to farmers, transitioning them from mere cultivation to management [4] - There is a call for better coordination of public resources and services between urban and rural areas, with a focus on infrastructure and public service development in counties [4]

Core Insights - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo (Chain Expo) is being held in Beijing, showcasing the integration of cross-border product matrices and the dual roles of overseas Chinese businesses as "chain leaders" and "social responsibility" contributors [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Chain Expo features a layout of "6 chains and 1 exhibition area," facilitating easier communication and precise matching of cooperation among upstream and downstream enterprises [4]. - Thailand is the guest country for this year's expo, with a significant increase in the number of participating enterprises across various sectors, including automotive manufacturing, electronic technology, and agricultural processing [4]. Group 2: Business Perspectives - Companies participating in the expo aim to strengthen cooperation with China and globally in supply chains, particularly in green agriculture and digital technology [4]. - The wine industry representative emphasizes the importance of the entire supply chain, from cultivation to end-user sales, and highlights the expo's role in fostering collaboration and innovation across different sectors [5]. Group 3: Innovation and Collaboration - The Chain Expo is not merely about showcasing products but focuses on collaborative synergy and deep integration across the supply chain, which is unique compared to other exhibitions [5]. - Initial cooperation intentions have been established between wine industry representatives and upstream/downstream enterprises in areas such as agricultural technology and smart logistics [5].

Group 1 - The legal opinion letter was issued by Hunan Qiyuan Law Firm regarding the second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders of Jinjian Rice Industry Co., Ltd. in 2025 [1][2] - The meeting was convened in accordance with the relevant laws and regulations, including the Company Law and the rules for shareholder meetings [1][2] - The total number of shares represented at the meeting was 143,269,315, accounting for 22.3236% of the total shares [1] Group 2 - The voting results showed that 140,246,101 shares were in favor of the proposals, representing 97.8898% of the votes cast [2] - The meeting's procedures and voting results were deemed to comply with the Company Law and the company's articles of association [2] - The legal opinion letter is intended solely for the purpose of witnessing the meeting and cannot be used for any other purpose without written consent from the law firm [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The overall market shows a complex and volatile trend, with different industries affected by various factors such as supply - demand relationships, geopolitical situations, weather conditions, and trade policies. Short - term market risk preference is slightly bullish, and the market style suggests increasing the allocation of technology growth assets on the basis of dividend assets [2][49]. Summary by Industry Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Overnight international oil prices declined. In July, the negative impact of trade wars may outweigh the positive impact of geopolitical factors, causing oil prices to be under pressure. In August, there is a possibility of a price increase if the European diesel contradiction persists [2]. - **Fuel Oil & Low - sulfur Fuel Oil**: Under the OPEC+ production increase plan, the supply of high - sulfur heavy resources is expected to rise. FU cracking is expected to continue its downward trend, while LU's single - side trend follows crude oil, and its cracking may enter an oscillatory pattern [22]. - **Asphalt**: The supply increase of asphalt needs further observation, demand remains weak but has recovery potential, and inventory at a low level supports prices. The single - side trend follows crude oil, and the upward driving force is limited before demand improves [23]. - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: Middle East production pressure persists, overseas prices are oscillating weakly, and the domestic market is experiencing weak supply and demand. The futures market is oscillating weakly [24]. - **Urea**: The supply is abundant, agricultural demand is approaching the end of the peak season, and the market is expected to be in a state of balanced supply and demand. The market is likely to oscillate within a certain range [25]. - **Methanol**: The import volume has increased significantly, and ports are accumulating inventory. Some domestic enterprises may postpone maintenance. The domestic supply supports the market, and attention should be paid to macro and downstream device changes [26]. - **Pure Benzene**: The cost support weakens as oil prices decline, and there is supply pressure in the short term. There is an expectation of seasonal improvement in the third - quarter, and it is recommended to use a monthly spread band - trading strategy [27]. - **Benzene Ethylene**: The cost end is oscillating, the supply is sufficient, and the downstream demand is weak, resulting in poor spot trading [28]. - **Polypropylene & Plastic**: The polyethylene supply pressure increases as maintenance devices restart, and the demand is weak. Polypropylene has bottom support from maintenance devices, but the demand is still weak [29]. - **PVC & Caustic Soda**: PVC supply increases, demand is weak, and inventories are accumulating. Caustic soda is under pressure at a high level, and the futures price is expected to be weak [30]. - **PX & PTA**: PX supply - demand improves, but PTA demand weakens, dragging down PX. PTA has a driving force for upward repair of processing margins [31]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: There is a possibility of supply contraction, and it is recommended to have a short - term long position, with the main risk being a decline in oil prices [32]. - **Short Fiber & Bottle Chip**: Short fiber demand shows resilience, and it can be treated bullishly. Bottle chip production is cut, orders are weak, and the spot profit is recovering [33]. Metals - **Precious Metals**: The performance of precious metals is sensitive to event - driven factors, and they are expected to oscillate. Attention should be paid to the US retail sales data [3]. - **Copper**: The copper price oscillated and closed lower. It is recommended that short - position holders consider option strategies [4]. - **Aluminum**: The Shanghai aluminum market is fluctuating narrowly, and there is short - term callback pressure due to inventory accumulation in the off - season [5]. - **Alumina**: The upward trend of the alumina spot price eases, the production capacity is in a surplus state, and the futures price is unlikely to decline significantly [6]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It follows the trend of Shanghai aluminum, with weak demand but certain resilience due to tight scrap aluminum supply [7]. - **Zinc**: The supply is increasing, the demand is weak, and the price is running weakly. It is recommended to short on rebounds [8]. - **Lead**: The price is under pressure to decline, and it is advisable to wait for low - buying opportunities [9]. - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**: The Shanghai nickel market has room for rebound, and it is advisable to wait for a better short - selling position. The stainless steel market is in the off - season, and the spot trading is weak [10]. - **Tin**: The tin price declined, and it is recommended to short [11]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The price is oscillating and rebounding, but the supply is abundant, and it is advisable to start short - position layout [12]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The futures price is slightly correcting, the fundamentals are improving marginally, and it is expected to oscillate strongly. Attention should be paid to the change in warehouse receipts [13]. - **Polysilicon**: The futures price is rebounding, and it is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term, with policy expectations as the main trading logic [14]. - **Rebar & Hot Rolled Coil**: The steel price is strengthening again. The demand is weak, and the market is waiting for the implementation of substantial measures. The short - term trend may be volatile [15]. - **Iron Ore**: The price is rising. The supply is relatively stable, the demand is at a relatively high level, and the short - term trend follows that of steel products, with limited upward space [16]. - **Coke**: The price is oscillating downward. The price increase is expected to be implemented, and the price follows that of steel products [17]. - **Coking Coal**: The price is oscillating downward. The supply is increasing, and the price follows that of steel products [18]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The price is under pressure, and it follows the trend of rebar [19]. - **Silicon Iron**: The price is under pressure, and it follows the trend of rebar [20]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean & Soybean Meal**: There is news about a potential Sino - US trade agreement, which affects the prices of US soybeans and domestic soybean meal. Attention should be paid to trade news and weather in the US soybean - producing areas [37]. - **Soybean Oil & Palm Oil**: The price of US soybeans is rising, and attention should be paid to weather in the US soybean - producing areas. Palm oil is in an adjustment state. It is recommended to take a long - position strategy for vegetable oils in the long term [38]. - **Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil**: The price of Canadian rapeseed is likely to oscillate weakly in the short term. The domestic rapeseed market is expected to oscillate due to factors such as potential imports from Australia [39]. - **Soybean No. 1**: The domestic soybean price is rebounding. Attention should be paid to weather in the northeastern region and policy changes [40]. - **Corn**: The Dalian corn price is oscillating downward. The US corn is growing well, and the domestic corn market may continue to decline [41]. - **Live Pig**: The futures price of live pigs has dropped significantly, and the supply is abundant. The price is expected to decline in the medium term [42]. - **Egg**: The egg futures price is oscillating and correcting. The short - term downward space is limited, and the long - term cycle has not reached the bottom [43]. - **Cotton**: The US cotton is growing well, and the USDA report is bearish. The Zhengzhou cotton price is restricted by weak demand, but the inventory is expected to be tight, and it is advisable to wait and see [44]. - **Sugar**: The US sugar price is under pressure, and the domestic sugar price is expected to oscillate. Attention should be paid to production data and weather [45]. - **Apple**: The futures price is oscillating. The new - season apple production is estimated to be bearish, and a short - position strategy is recommended [46]. - **Timber**: The timber price is oscillating. The supply is limited, but the demand is in the off - season, and it is advisable to wait and see [47]. - **Pulp**: The pulp futures price is slightly declining. The supply is relatively loose, the demand is weak, and it is advisable to wait and see or conduct short - term operations [48]. Others - **Container Freight Index (European Line)**: The 08 contract will converge with the spot price, and the upward space of the far - month contract is limited. Attention should be paid to the spot price [21]. - **Stock Index**: The short - term market risk preference is slightly bullish. In terms of market style, it is recommended to increase the allocation of technology growth assets on the basis of dividend assets [49]. - **Treasury Bond**: The treasury bond futures price is oscillating. The global interest - rate cut trend is slowing down, and the domestic bond market may experience increased volatility [50].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The US soybean crush volume in June was higher than market expectations, while the soybean oil inventory dropped to a five - month low. The crush capacity reached a record level, but was not fully utilized due to the oversupply of soybean meal [1]. - Brazil's estimated soybean and soybean meal exports in July have increased compared to previous forecasts [1]. - Malaysia's palm oil exports from July 1 - 15 showed a decline according to two different inspection agencies [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - US soybean crush: In June, NOPA member units crushed 185.709 million bushels of soybeans, a 3.7% decrease from May and a 5.8% increase from June 2024. The average forecast of eight analysts was 185.195 million bushels. The daily crush volume in June was 6.19 million bushels, down from 6.22 million bushels in May [1]. - US soybean oil inventory: As of June 30, the soybean oil inventory of NOPA member units dropped to 1.366 billion pounds, a 0.5% decline from the end of May and a 15.8% decrease from the same period last year. Analysts expected it to rise slightly to 1.374 billion pounds [1]. - US soybean meal and soybean oil production in May: The soybean meal production was 4,417,754 short tons, and the soybean oil production was 2.25336 billion pounds [1]. - Brazil's export forecast: Brazil's soybean exports in July are expected to be 12.19 million tons (previously 11.93 million tons), and soybean meal exports are expected to be 2.25 million tons (previously 2.19 million tons) [1]. - Malaysia's palm oil exports: ITS data showed a 6.2% decline in palm oil exports from July 1 - 15 compared to the same period in June, while AmSpec data showed a 5.29% decrease [1]. Spot Prices - The report provides the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from July 9 - 15, 2025 [2]. Protein Meal Basis The report mentions protein meal basis but does not provide specific data [3]. Fat Basis The report mentions fat basis but does not provide specific data [6]. Fat and Oil Futures Spread The report mentions fat and oil futures spread but does not provide specific data [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Dongjia Yuanzhi Chenpi Cultural Museum is positioned as a new landmark for the Xinhui Chenpi industry, integrating traditional culture with modern industrial aesthetics, and serves as an innovation engine for the industry [2][3][22]. Group 1: Museum Overview - The museum covers a total area of 13,600 square meters and is designed to showcase the rich history and culture of Xinhui Chenpi [2][10]. - It serves as a multifunctional platform that includes historical exhibitions, cultural exchanges, product research and development, brand marketing, and trading services [10][22]. Group 2: Historical Significance - The Dongjia Yuanzhi brand is deeply rooted in the planting wisdom passed down through generations of the Liang family in Dongjia Village, which has been cultivating the Xinhui Dahonggan since the Qing Dynasty [6][8]. - The establishment of the "Cai Ji Chenpi Store" in Hong Kong in 1955 marked a significant milestone for the Liang family, whose products gained widespread popularity [6][7]. Group 3: Cultural and Artistic Integration - The museum features a "Public Art Exhibition Hall" that displays valuable historical images of planting, showcasing the evolution from Qing Dynasty orchards to the founding of the Chenpi store [11][12]. - The current exhibition, "Jiangmen Cultural City Visual Creative Design Exhibition," integrates local cultural elements with Chenpi culture through over 200 award-winning posters [12][13]. Group 4: Innovation and Technology - The museum includes a "Multimedia Immersion Space" that creates a sensory experience for visitors, and a "Creative Studio" that serves as a new source of vitality for the Chenpi industry [14][16]. - The "Demonstration Storage" area showcases a unique "three-and-a-half-year dry storage aging standard," which provides a replicable model for the standardized development of the Chenpi industry [17][18]. Group 5: Visitor Experience - Visitors can taste new tea drinks developed by the Dongjia Yuanzhi company, such as Chenpi Pu'er cold brew, and purchase various quality products from the Wuyi region [19][20]. - The museum also offers scenic views of the surrounding area, enhancing the overall visitor experience [20]. Group 6: Industry Impact - The Dongjia Yuanzhi Chenpi Cultural Museum is seen as a driving force for the innovative development of the Xinhui Chenpi industry, facilitating the transition from traditional agricultural products to high-end cultural brands [22][23].