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里昂:微升长江基建集团(01038)目标价至63港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 08:21
智通财经APP获悉,里昂发布研报称,长江基建集团(01038)上半年纯利为43.48亿港元,分别达到机构 及里昂对其全年预测的50%和46%,符合预期。该行相信,公司下半年受到英镑和澳元走强、高通胀以 及来自英国铁路部门的3亿英镑处置收益所支持,应将录得更强盈利。该行表示,长江基建的现金流具 有高收益能见度、投资级信用评级及经营往绩坚韧,应该能够支持公司股息持续增长。该行将公司目标 价由62港元略为上调至63港元,并重申跑赢大市评级。 ...
大行评级|里昂:上调长江基建目标价至63港元 重申“跑赢大市”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-14 06:17
里昂发表研究报告指,长江基建上半年纯利为43.48亿港元,分别达到彭博及里昂对其全年预测的50% 和46%,符合预期。该行相信,公司下半年受到英镑和澳元走强、高通胀以及来自英国铁路部门的3亿 英镑处置收益所支持,应将录得更强盈利。 该行表示,长江基建的现金流具有高收益能见度、投资级信用评级及经营往绩坚韧,应该能够支持公司 股息持续增长。该行将公司目标价由62港元上调至63港元,并重申"跑赢大市"评级。 ...
数据太反常了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 14:40
Group 1: Monetary Data - As of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%, while M1 stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, growing by 5.6% [1] - The difference in growth rates between M2 and M1 has narrowed to 3.2%, down from 8.7% at the beginning of the year [3] Group 2: Stock Market Dynamics - The stock market has seen a significant increase in activity, with a surge in new accounts by 71% in July, indicating a strong influx of capital into the market [3] - Margin trading has surpassed 2 trillion yuan, and the Shanghai Composite Index has achieved an eight-day winning streak, reflecting heightened market enthusiasm [5] Group 3: Fiscal Policy and Economic Impact - The current bull market is characterized as a "water buffalo market," driven by central bank liquidity and fiscal spending, with government bond issuance reaching 8.9 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the previous year [6] - The government has heavily invested in infrastructure, which has bolstered market confidence and contributed to rising prices in upstream commodities [6] Group 4: Loan Data and Economic Concerns - In July, new RMB loans recorded a negative growth of 500 billion yuan, marking the first negative monthly figure since July 2005 [8] - Household loans decreased by approximately 4.9 trillion yuan, indicating a decline in consumer spending and housing purchases [11] - Corporate loans also saw a reduction, with short-term loans decreasing by 5.5 trillion yuan, suggesting that businesses are not borrowing for expansion but rather for financial arbitrage [12] Group 5: Leverage and Debt Levels - The macro leverage ratio in China has surpassed 300%, indicating that total debt has reached three times the GDP, with non-financial corporate leverage being the highest at 174% [14] - Both corporate and household leverage levels have stagnated, limiting future investment opportunities and indicating a shift towards government-led economic stimulation [19]
长江基建集团(01038.HK)中期归属股东溢利增至43.48亿港元 中期息0.73港元
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-13 10:08
本文源自:财华网 【财华社讯】长江基建集团(01038.HK)公布,截至2025年6月30日止六个月,营业额203.59亿港元,同 比增长6.6%;归属股东溢利43.48亿港元,同比增长0.9%;每股溢利1.73港元。拟派中期息0.73港元。 ...
建筑高股息投资机会有哪些?
2025-08-12 15:05
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The construction and infrastructure sector is experiencing a high dividend investment opportunity, with major state-owned enterprises like China Railway Construction and China Communications Construction having high shareholding ratios among top shareholders and significant dividend levels [1][11][30]. Company-Specific Insights Anhui Construction - Revenue has been stable with a slight increase, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased in 2024. In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 7.42% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 0.31%. The cash dividend ratio has consistently exceeded 28%, reaching 34.46% in 2024, making it the highest dividend yield in the infrastructure industry [1][5]. Sichuan Road and Bridge - The company faced a revenue decline of approximately 7% in 2024 and a net profit drop of 19.92%. However, in Q1 2025, revenue increased by 3.98% and net profit by 0.99%. The cash dividend ratio rose from 39% in 2020 to around 50% in 2024, with plans for at least a 60% cash dividend ratio in the next three years [1][6]. Tunnel Corporation - As a leading enterprise under the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, the company has a relatively stable but fluctuating performance. Revenue fell by 7% in 2024, and further decreased by about 25% in Q1 2025. The cash dividend ratio increased from 30% in 2020 to 35% in 2024 [1][7]. Pudong Construction - The company has shown steady growth in revenue and net profit in recent years, with a gradually increasing cash dividend ratio. However, in Q1 2025, revenue dropped by over 40% year-on-year, and net profit decreased by 18%. The cash dividend ratio reached 43.66% in 2024 [2][9][10]. China Construction Company - The company reported revenues exceeding 2 trillion yuan, with a dividend ratio of 24.29% in 2024, close to the banking average of 26.2%. New contracts signed in 2024 reached 4.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.13% [13]. Sector Performance and Trends - The overall performance of the infrastructure sector remains robust, supported by high levels of investment. The average dividend yield for 42 banks is 3.95%, with a dividend payout ratio of 26.2%. Many companies in the infrastructure sector exceed these averages [3][32]. Real Estate Sector Insights - The real estate investment in the first half of 2025 decreased by 11.2%, with sales area down by 3.5%. The sector is currently in a bottoming phase, with new construction projects down by 20% and completions down over 14% [12]. Dividend Trends Across Industries - The construction and engineering consulting sectors show a high overall dividend payout ratio, with 12 out of 37 companies in the engineering consulting sector having a dividend yield exceeding 3% [3][18]. The decoration and renovation industry exhibits a polarized dividend yield, with leading companies like Jianghe Group achieving a dividend payout ratio of 97.72% [16]. Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment in the infrastructure sector include Anhui Construction, Sichuan Road and Bridge, Tunnel Corporation, and Pudong Construction, among others [30][31].
稳增长信号强劲释放 机构把脉投资主线
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:30
多个高景气行业受关注 "展望后市,不必对市场的短期调整过度悲观。"国泰君安表示,一方面,两会释放积极信号,预示着稳 增长将加速发力;另一方面,2月PMI已小幅回暖,使得市场下行有底。基于当前市场环境与政策主 线,机构预计后续政策力度还将持续加大。对A股而言,建议坚守稳增长主线,并结合一季报优选景气 较高且有望超预期的细分领域。 5日提请十三届全国人大五次会议审议的政府工作报告对2022年经济社会发展作出部署,明确释放 出坚持"稳字当头、稳中求进"的信号。机构普遍预计后续相关政策力度将持续加大,建议坚守稳增长主 线。 稳增长信号再强化 多家机构表示,政府工作报告再度释放稳增长信号,相关措施值得期待。中信证券认为,从国内经济和 政策来看,预计前两个月经济数据整体平稳,稳增长效果初步显现。全年经济增长目标清晰明确,预计 后续政策力度还将持续加大。农银汇理基金也表示,政府工作报告释放诸多积极信号,反映政策稳增长 的诉求和决心持续提升。 华安证券认为,在稳增长抓手方面,基建有资金有项目,将扮演主角;微观政策持续激发市场主体活 力,减税降费和给实体企业降成本力度扩大,低碳升级、高端制造将带动制造业投资增长;此外,保障 房 ...
年内首单公募REITs发售 预计规模近94亿元
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:28
Core Insights - The announcement reveals that the Huaxia China Communications Construction Highway Closed-End Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund (Huaxia China Communications REIT) will be officially launched for sale from April 7 to April 8, 2022, with a share price of 9.399 yuan per share and a total issuance of 1 billion shares, aiming to raise a total of 9.399 billion yuan [1] - This REIT is notable as the first approved public REIT in 2022 and the first central enterprise highway REIT project, developed in collaboration with leading fund company Huaxia Fund, top brokerage CITIC Securities, and infrastructure giant China Communications Group [1] - The underlying asset of the Huaxia China Communications REIT is the section of the Wuhan to Shenzhen Highway from Jiayu to Tongcheng in Hubei Province, which connects major economic zones in central and southern China [1] Subscription and Trading Details - During the offline inquiry period, the Huaxia China Communications REIT received inquiries from 68 institutional investors managing 160 allocation objects, with a total proposed subscription quantity of 678.69 million shares, which is 38.78 times the initial offline issuance amount [2] - After filtering, the number of effective bidders with proposed subscription prices not lower than the fund share price (9.399 yuan/share) was 64, managing 149 allocation objects, with an effective subscription quantity totaling 664.97 million shares, which is 38 times the initial offline issuance amount [2] - The Huaxia China Communications REIT will operate as a closed-end fund during its contract duration and will be listed on the stock exchange, with no subscription or redemption allowed. However, it will be tradable in the secondary market, with a price fluctuation limit of 30% on the first trading day and 10% thereafter [2]
市场情绪现回暖迹象 资金借道ETF加速布局
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:27
Group 1 - The A-share market has shown weak overall performance this year, but there is still strong enthusiasm for ETF subscriptions, indicating a warming market sentiment and recovering investor confidence [1][5] - As of April 13, the total net inflow of funds into the ETF market reached 32.439 billion yuan, with stock-type ETFs seeing a net inflow of 17.610 billion yuan, significantly higher than previous months [2][7] - Major wide-based ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech 50 ETF have seen substantial net inflows, ranking among the top in the stock and bond ETF categories [2][3] Group 2 - The number of shares for several wide-based ETFs has increased significantly, with the Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech 50 ETF's shares rising by 1.938 billion, reaching a historical high of over 21.9 billion shares [3] - Industry-specific ETFs have attracted funds into sectors with low valuations and recent rebounds, such as steel, real estate, and information technology, with the top three industry ETFs seeing net inflows of 988 million yuan, 619 million yuan, and 268 million yuan respectively [3][4] - Cross-border ETFs have also experienced significant growth, with a total net inflow of 42.566 billion yuan into 66 cross-border ETFs, including over 10 billion yuan into nine of them [4] Group 3 - Analysts remain optimistic about the long-term investment value of A-shares, suggesting that despite the current market being in a bottoming phase, quality leading companies still hold allocation value [5][6] - The market is expected to see a gradual resolution of unfavorable factors, with improvements in domestic economic conditions and a reduction in overseas liquidity concerns [6] - The second quarter is anticipated to maintain a favorable liquidity environment, with a focus on undervalued sectors such as energy and emerging industries like renewable energy [6]
政策密集发力提振市场情绪 机构筹谋下半年
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:26
Group 1 - The A-share market has shown signs of stabilization and rebound in May, with significant recovery in sectors such as automotive, power equipment, and defense [1][2] - As of May 31, major indices including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index recorded monthly increases of 4.57%, 4.59%, and 3.71% respectively, indicating a positive market trend [2] - Northbound capital saw a substantial inflow in May, with a net purchase amount reaching 168.67 billion yuan, marking it as the highest monthly net inflow of the year [2] Group 2 - Multiple institutions believe that the A-share market is currently in a bottoming phase, with ongoing challenges in the internal and external environment, but the macroeconomic environment is gradually improving [3][4] - The recovery in logistics and industrial production is evident, with increased freight volumes and operational rates in various sectors, suggesting a steady economic recovery [3] - Institutions are focusing on investment strategies that include growth sectors and manufacturing recovery, particularly in new energy and consumer goods [5][6] Group 3 - The focus for the second half of the year may shift towards growth-oriented sectors, with an emphasis on infrastructure and consumer recovery driven by policy support [5][6] - Analysts suggest that the market may experience a phase of consolidation in June, with a greater likelihood of sideways movement as the economy stabilizes [4] - The construction of infrastructure is seen as a key method for stabilizing growth and expanding domestic demand, with expectations of significant increases in investment in related sectors [6]
华西证券:基建板块的中长期逻辑,难以支撑短期快涨行情
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-12 00:13
Group 1 - The long-term logic of the infrastructure sector is insufficient to support a short-term rapid increase in market performance [1] - If the current round of infrastructure accelerates too quickly, there is a need to be cautious of a significant pullback [1] - After fluctuations in the infrastructure market, funds tend to shift to the technology sector, indicating a potential market direction reference after the current infrastructure volatility [1] Group 2 - The technology sector is currently experiencing a decline in enthusiasm, which contrasts with the strengthening of industrial narratives [1]