Core Viewpoint - The current investment environment in China is characterized by a shift in asset pricing logic, focusing on "debt resolution, stable growth, and improved capital returns" as key policy themes [2][3] Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The leverage ratio in China's non-financial sectors has exceeded 300%, necessitating a focus on "debt reduction" [2] - China's policy response has been proactive, maintaining an M2 growth rate of 8%-9%, significantly higher than Japan's 3%-4% during its deleveraging phase [2] - The real estate market serves as a critical indicator of policy effectiveness, with first-tier city housing prices retracting about 20%, lower than the 30% and 50% declines seen in the U.S. and Japan, respectively [2][3] Group 2: Capital Market Dynamics - The A-share market has experienced a relatively mild adjustment compared to the severe market shocks seen in Japan and the U.S. during their deleveraging phases, with new highs reached post "9.24" [3] - Successful deleveraging is expected to anchor long-term housing price growth between 0%-3%, while stock performance may surpass that of real estate [3] Group 3: Economic Structural Transition - China's economic structure is undergoing a significant transformation, with investment's contribution to GDP dropping from approximately 70% a decade ago to around 30%, while consumption now accounts for nearly 50% [4] - This shift is expected to keep interest rates under pressure while maintaining ample liquidity in the market [4] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The stock market has seen substantial gains, driven by abundant liquidity and reduced macroeconomic tail risks, with external demand emerging as a key catalyst [6] - The structure of China's export market is shifting towards emerging markets, which are becoming the main contributors to export growth, surpassing traditional markets like Europe and the U.S. [6] Group 5: Investment Logic in New Paradigm - The new investment logic suggests that domestic profit elasticity is generally weak, but liquidity may remain abundant, leading to a continued shift of household assets towards financial assets [7] - Growth sectors such as technology and pharmaceuticals are expected to follow U.S. economic and technological cycles, while capital goods and commodities may align with emerging market cycles [7]

Group 1 - The precious metals market continued its adjustment trend from October 27 to October 31, with a temporary easing of tensions in the US-China relationship following a summit meeting [1][2] - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but expressed uncertainty regarding future actions in December, indicating a more hawkish tone [1][2] - The recent adjustment in domestic gold VAT policy may lead to increased costs for physical gold investments, potentially suppressing short-term demand [1][2] Group 2 - Following the easing of trade tensions and the results of the October Federal Reserve meeting, the gold market is expected to maintain a volatile adjustment pattern in November [2] - The next significant focus for the market will be the December Federal Reserve meeting, which will provide economic forecasts for 2026, potentially influencing future interest rate decisions [2] - The adjustment in VAT policy for gold distinguishes between investment and non-investment uses, leading to higher costs for investment gold products [2]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market has experienced a downward trend in yields, contrasting with the equity market's pullback, leading to a shift in investment strategies among funds towards shorter durations and a focus on risk management [2][6]. Market Performance - During the week of October 27 to November 3, bond yields declined, with the 10-year government bond yield falling approximately 5 basis points to 1.8% and the 1-year bond yield decreasing about 9 basis points to 1.38% [2]. - The average performance of medium to long-term pure bond funds recorded a return of 0.26%, while short-term bond funds achieved 0.11% [2]. Fund Duration Analysis - The median duration of pure bond funds decreased from 2.70 years in Q2 to 2.00 years in Q3, indicating a shift towards shorter duration investments [7]. - The divergence in duration among funds has increased, suggesting differing views among institutions regarding future market conditions [8]. Investment Strategy Shifts - Due to the declining investment attractiveness of the bond market, banks are transitioning from a passive allocation strategy to active management, focusing on trading capabilities and expanding non-interest income [6]. - Analysts predict that with the central bank's resumption of government bond purchases and increased liquidity, the previously pessimistic sentiment in the bond market is beginning to recover [6]. Future Outlook - The bond market is expected to face less pressure from the equity market due to a temporary easing of U.S.-China trade tensions, potentially creating a favorable environment for bond investments [8]. - The fourth quarter may present economic challenges, but a continued loose monetary environment could provide key opportunities for bond allocation as yields rise [8].

11月3日，泉果基金发布高级管理人员变更公告，王国斌病逝，由董事长任莉代任总经理职务，任职日期2025年11月3日。 | 基金管理人名称 | 泉果基金管理有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 公告依据 | 《公开募集证券投资基金信息披露管理 | | | 办法》《证券基金经营机构董事、监事、 | | | 高级管理人员及从业人员监督管理办法》 | | | 等相关法律法规 | | 高管变更类型 | 代任基金管理公司总经理 | | | 离任基金管理公司总经理 | | 代任高级管理人员职务 | 总经理 | | --- | --- | | 代任高级管理人员姓名 | 任莉 | | 是否经中国证监会核准取得高 | | | 管任职资格 | | | 中国证监会核准高管任职资格 | | | 的目期 | | | 任职目期 | 2025-11-03 | | 过往从业经历 | 现任泉果基金管理有限公司董事长。曾任东方证券 | | | 股份有限公司资产管理业务总部副总经理,上海东 | | | 方证券资产管理有限公司总经理助理、副总经理、 | | | 联席总经理、董事、董事会秘书、总经理、公开募 | | | 集基金管理业务负责人、财 ...

来源：市场资讯 11月3日，一则简短公告砸懵了基金圈——泉果基金创始人、总经理王国斌因病逝世，终年57岁。 来源：大财可富司机 司机打开泉果基金官网，首页已切换成黑白配色，往日鲜活的投研动态被肃穆氛围笼罩，这份行业默 契，藏着市场对这位投资老将的敬意。 泉果基金首页信息披露中，公告了关键人事安排：公司董事长任莉将代任总经理，扛起这家明星基金公 司的管理大旗。 | 代任高级管理人员职务 | 总经理 | | --- | --- | | 代任高级管理人员姓名 | 任莉 | | 是否经中国证监会核准取得高 | | | 管任职资格 | | | 中国证监会核准高管任职资格 | | | 的目期 | | | 任职目期 | 2025-11-03 | | 过往从业经历 | 现任泉果基金管理有限公司董事长。曾任东方证券 | | | 股份有限公司资产管理业务总部副总经理,上海东 | | | 方证券资产管理有限公司总经理助理、副总经理、 | | | 联席总经理、董事、董事会秘书、总经理、公开募 | | | 集基金管理业务负责人、财务负责人等职务。 | | 取得的相关从业资格 | 基金从业资格 | | 国籍 | 中国 | | 学历、学位 ...

每经编辑｜陈柯名 11月3日，泉果基金管理有限公司发布高级管理人员变更公告，总经理王国斌病逝，由董事长任莉代任总经理职务，任职日期为2025年11月3日。 官网资料显示，泉果基金成立于2022年2月8日，也是2022年唯一获批的一家"个人系"公募。这家自然人持股的全国性公募基金管理公司，发起股东包括王 国斌、任莉、姜荷泽、李云亮等，注册资本为人民币1亿元，总部位于上海。 公司官网已变黑白 从泉果基金的股权结构来看，王国斌和任莉出资比例均为35%；而姜荷泽、李云亮出资比例分别为7.04%、3%。4家员工持股平台出资比例均为4.99%。 Wind数据显示，截至2025年9月30日，泉果基金在管资产规模合计为237.87亿元，旗下基金数量共6只。其中混合型基金规模为237.25亿元，债券型基金规 模为0.63亿元。基金经理共五位，分别为赵诣、刚登峰、钱思佳、戴骏、孙伟。 公开信息显示，3月20日，泉果基金召开2025年春季策略会上，泉果基金创始人王国斌、泉果旭源基金经理赵诣等分享了最新观点。 王国斌认为，中国资产近期的强劲表现主要得益于人工智能等领域的创新优势，在多个高端制造和前沿领域，中国已经取得了全球性的竞争优 ...

《星岛》记者叶紫 上海报道 11月3日下午，资管行业突然传来噩耗，泉果基金创始人王国斌突发身体情况恶化离世，年仅57岁。 公开资料显示，王国斌，北京大学学士、硕士，中欧国际工商学院EMBA，曾任职于中经开证券总部交 易部，担任总经理助理，后历任东方证券证券投资业务总部总经理、东方证券副总裁。2005年，王国斌 创立东方红资产管理，并带领公司于2010年获得业内首张券商资管公募牌照，成为国内首家券商系资产 管理公司。这也是他职业生涯的一段高光时刻。2007年，王国斌被评为"上海十大杰出青年"。 2016年，王国斌离开东方资管，结束在东方证券18年的投资生涯。并于2022年2月，与老同事任莉等联 合创立泉果基金，并担任总经理。任莉任董事长，两人各持股35%。 泉果基金注册地位于上海，注册资本为1亿元人民币，现已成长为知名的"个人系"公募基金公司。"泉 果"二字体现了王国斌的投资理念。据悉，出自《易经》中的"山下出泉，君子以果行育德"。 王国斌推崇曾国藩一生遵循的"忠信笃敬"思想，他认为"泉"代表寻找最好的水源，是泉果的初 心；"果"则寓意通过努力和坚持，为投资者结出长期硕果。 2022年2月，他出版了个人首部著作 ...

泉果基金成立于2022年2月，是经中国证监会批准的全国性公募基金管理公司，注册地位于上海，注册 资本1亿元人民币。作为著名的"个人系"公募，公司由王国斌、任莉、姜荷泽、李云亮、韦海菁等资深 从业人士共同创立。 （文章来源：中国经营报） 王国斌具有31年证券从业经验，是国内证券市场入行最早的资深专业人士之一，穿越A股市场多轮牛熊 周期，始终坚守在投资一线。曾任国家制造业转型升级基金投委会委员；君和资本联合创始人；东方红 资产管理创始人、首任董事长，打造了国内首家券商系资产管理公司，并带领公司获得业内首张券商资 管公募牌照；曾任东方证券副总裁兼受托资产管理业务总部总经理，多年深耕自营、资产管理及证券研 究所；曾任职于中经开证券交易部、万国证券投行部等。 相关资料显示，王国斌拥有北京大学硕士学位和中欧国际工商学院EMBA学位。他是东方红资产管理创 始人，打造了国内首家券商系资产管理公司，并带领公司获得业内首张券商资管公募牌照。2007年，王 国斌被评为"上海十大杰出青年"。2022年，他出版了个人首部著作《投资中国》。 11月3日，泉果基金发布高级管理人变更公告，总经理王国斌因病逝世，公司董事长任莉代任总经理。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scale of passive index funds remained stable in Q3 2025, with the proportion of ETFs increasing. The scale of non - monetary index funds reached 6.72 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.11 trillion yuan from the previous quarter [1]. - The gap between the top two index fund managers narrowed. The top ten managers accounted for 69.65% of the index fund scale, with a slight increase in concentration compared to the previous quarter [1]. - The institutional holding ratio of industry - themed products in ETFs increased, while that of Smart Beta decreased. The institutional holding ratio of all ETFs in China after penetrating the linked funds was 62.47% as of mid - 2025, an increase from the end of 2024 [1]. - The number and scale of newly - issued index funds increased in Q3 2025. A total of 292 index funds were newly established, raising 242.407 billion yuan, with an increase in both the number and scale compared to Q2 [1]. - The application for industry - themed products was stable. In Q3 2025, 222 index funds were approved, slightly more than the previous quarter, and industry - themed index funds were the most approved type [1]. - ETFs that performed well in Q3 were mainly concentrated in growth - related products, and Hong Kong - themed products had high trading activity [1]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 2025 Q3 Index Fund Market Scale Changes - The total asset scale of 2,823 non - monetary index funds reached 6.72 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.11 trillion yuan from the previous quarter. The scale of ETFs increased by about 1.24 trillion yuan, and the proportion of ETFs increased by more than 6 percentage points [1][4]. - The proportion of domestic stock broad - based in ETFs declined to 47%, while the proportion of industry - themed products rebounded to about 20% [7]. - The top ten target indexes with the largest index fund scale accounted for 41.34% of the total scale, slightly lower than the previous quarter. The top three target indexes were the CSI 300 Index, CSI A500, and SSE 50 Index [14]. - The top ten index fund managers accounted for 69.65% of the index fund scale, with a slight increase in concentration. The top three were Huaxia Fund, E Fund, and Huatai - Peregrine Fund, and the gap between E Fund and Huaxia Fund narrowed to less than 20 billion yuan [15]. - The top ten index funds in scale were all ETFs, mostly broad - based. Among industry - themed products, Cathay Securities ETF ranked first, and the scale of Fuling CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet ETF nearly doubled [17][19]. 3.2 ETF Holder Changes - As of mid - 2025, the institutional holding ratio of all ETFs in China after penetrating the linked funds was 62.47%, an increase from the end of 2024. The institutional holding ratio of industry - themed and cross - border products increased significantly, while that of Smart Beta decreased [24]. - By index, the institutional holding ratio of broad - based indexes increased, the institutional holding ratio of the Sci - tech Innovation 50 Index increased to 34%, and the institutional holding ratio of the securities company index increased significantly, while that of dividend - related products decreased significantly [28]. - According to the top ten holders of ETFs in the 2025 semi - annual report, Central Huijin's holding amount continued to rise, and insurance funds maintained a high position. China Life's holding ratio of industry - themed products in stock ETFs continued to increase, while that of Smart Beta decreased [30][33]. 3.3 Q3 Index Fund Raising and Application Situation - In Q3 2025, 292 index funds were newly established, raising 242.407 billion yuan, an increase in both the number and scale compared to Q2. The main source was domestic stock index funds [36]. - Among stock index funds, the fund with the largest raising scale was Huaxia SSE Sci - tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF Linked A, with a combined raising scale of 3.957 billion yuan. The number of enhanced index funds increased, with 54 funds established, raising 36.996 billion yuan [39]. - For bond index funds, 31 funds raised 96.191 billion yuan, a significant increase from the previous quarter. The newly established bond index funds mainly tracked the AAA sci - tech innovation bond index [39]. - In terms of product form, ETFs raised 117 funds, with a total scale of 119.657 billion yuan; ordinary index funds had 103 funds, raising 89.175 billion yuan; and ETF linkages raised 72 funds, with a scale of 33.576 billion yuan [41]. - By target index type, industry - themed funds, bonds, and Smart Beta were the three product types with the fastest - growing issuance numbers this quarter, and the raising scales of industry - themed and bond products increased rapidly [41]. 3.4 Q3 ETF Market Performance - In domestic stock broad - based ETFs, the top five products in terms of Q3 yield all tracked the Sci - tech Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 Index. In cross - border broad - based ETFs, the best - performing product was E Fund Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy ETF, with a quarterly yield of 22.39%. In industry - themed ETFs, the product with the highest quarterly yield was Cathay CSI All - Share Communication Equipment ETF, with an interval yield of 84.04%. In Smart Beta ETFs, the products with top - ranked quarterly yields were mainly related to ChiNext growth and Sci - tech Innovation Board growth [46]. - In terms of daily average trading volume in Q3, among domestic broad - based index funds, the top five were Huaxia SSE Sci - tech Innovation 50 ETF, Huaxia CSI A500 ETF, E Fund ChiNext ETF, Huatai - Peregrine CSI 300 ETF, and Southern CSI A500 ETF, with daily average trading volumes all above 3 billion yuan. Among cross - border broad - based ETFs, the ones with high daily average trading volumes were mainly NASDAQ ETFs. Among industry - themed ETFs, the top five in daily average trading volume were all Hong Kong - themed products, and the product with the largest daily average trading volume was E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF, with a trading volume of over 17 billion yuan. Among Smart Beta ETFs, 3 of the top 5 products in daily average trading volume were dividend - strategy ETFs, and 2 were free - cash - flow ETFs [48][49].

1. Report Summary - Report Date: November 3, 2025 [1] - Report Name: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report 2. Options Underlying Volatility Ranking - The report presents a ranking of options underlying based on three volatility metrics: implied volatility of at - the - money options, 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying, and the underlying's true range on the day. For example, ps2512 ranks first in implied volatility of at - the - money options with 3.1%, while rm601 ranks first in the underlying's true range on the day with 4.8% [3][4]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options reflects the market's expectation of future fluctuations of the variety, the 30 - day historical volatility reflects the past actual market size, and the true range on the day reflects the intraday market size [5]. 3. Exchange - Specific Options Analysis 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Shanghai 50ETF on the day is 632,460 lots, the open interest is 897,163 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.45, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.93% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Volatility trading suggestions include selling the month with the curve on top and buying the month with the curve below for different months, and selling the option with the point above the curve and buying the option with the point below the curve for the same month [26]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 4.67% when trading at the settlement price and 1.16% when trading at the counter - party price [28][30]. 3.1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF on the day is 670,871 lots, the open interest is 740,234 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.23, and the weighted average implied volatility is 16.61% [31][33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to Shanghai 50ETF, sell the month with the curve on top and buy the month with the curve below for different months, and sell the option with the point above the curve and buy the option with the point below the curve for the same month [37]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 4.45% when trading at the settlement price and 0.18% when trading at the counter - party price [40][42]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Southern CSI 500ETF on the day is 1,244,691 lots, the open interest is 790,230 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.9, and the weighted average implied volatility is 20.66% [43][45]. - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the same volatility trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 25.3% when trading at the settlement price and 5.60% when trading at the counter - party price [52][54]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF on the day is 995,460 lots, the open interest is 1,173,825 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.15, and the weighted average implied volatility is 37.4% [55][57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Adopt the same volatility trading strategies [62]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 12.3% when trading at the settlement price and 0.66% when trading at the counter - party price [64][66]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF on the day is 194,205 lots, the open interest is 286,584 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 1.34, and the weighted average implied volatility is 38.24% [67][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Use the same volatility trading methods [72]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 14.6% when trading at the settlement price and 2.75% when trading at the counter - party price [76][78]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - **Basic Information**: The trading volume of the main options of Harvest SSE 300ETF on the day is 126,768 lots, the open interest is 151,843 lots, the trading volume ratio of call options to put options is 0.96, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.72% [79][81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Apply the same volatility trading suggestions [87]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 19.4% when trading at the settlement price and 1.52% when trading at the counter - party price [89][91].