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瑞达期货沪锡产业日报-20260127
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 09:49
Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report predicts that Shanghai Tin will experience short - term wide - range adjustments, with attention on the MA10 support and a price range of 420,000 - 460,000 yuan/ton [3]. - On the supply side, the resumption of production in Myanmar and the end of the rainy season have led to an increase in domestic tin ore imports, which are expected to continue rising in Q1. The tin ore supply shortage has shown signs of easing. However, smelting production is currently limited due to low raw material inventories, year - end maintenance, and losses for most enterprises, but there is pressure for production to rebound after the Chinese New Year. The increase in Indonesian tin exports has opened the import window and increased import pressure [3]. - On the demand side, the strong development prospects of the AI field will drive a significant increase in solder demand. Recently, tin prices have risen again, and downstream buyers purchase on price dips. Inventories are stable, with a spot premium of 500 yuan/ton. LME inventories have increased significantly, and the spot premium has declined [3]. - Technically, the price has risen while the position has decreased, and attention should be paid to the battle at the 440,000 - yuan mark [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for Shanghai Tin is 451,160 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 25,820 yuan/ton. The closing price of the February - March contract for Shanghai Tin is - 940 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 560 yuan/ton [3]. - The price of LME 3 - month tin is 54,232 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 2,373 US dollars/ton. The position of the main Shanghai Tin contract is 55,071 lots, with a month - on - month decrease of 162 lots [3]. - The net position of the top 20 futures for Shanghai Tin is - 4,150 lots, with a month - on - month increase of 823 lots. The total LME tin inventory is 7,065 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 130 tons [3]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange inventory of tin is 9,720 tons (weekly), with a month - on - month increase of 171 tons. The LME tin cancelled warrants are 230 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 115 tons [3]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange tin warrants are 8,553 tons (daily), with a month - on - month decrease of 71 tons [3]. Spot Market - The SMM 1 tin spot price is 428,400 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 6,450 yuan/ton. The Yangtze River Non - ferrous Market 1 tin spot price is 426,170 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 11,030 yuan/ton [3]. - The basis of the main Shanghai Tin contract is - 22,760 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 32,270 yuan/ton. The LME tin premium (0 - 3) is - 243 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 2 US dollars/ton [3]. Upstream Situation - The import volume of tin ore and concentrates is 1.76 million tons (monthly), with a month - on - month increase of 0.25 million tons. The average processing fee for 40% tin concentrate (Antaike) is 14,500 yuan/ton, with no month - on - month change [3]. - The average price of 40% tin concentrate is 414,400 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 6,450 yuan/ton. The average price of 60% tin concentrate is 418,400 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 6,450 yuan/ton [3]. - The average processing fee for 60% tin concentrate (Antaike) is 10,500 yuan/ton, with no month - on - month change [3]. Industry Situation - The monthly output of refined tin is 14,000 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 1,600 tons. The monthly import volume of refined tin is 2,239.1 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 323.25 tons [3]. Downstream Situation - The price of 60A solder bars in Gejiu is 270,070 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 4,260 yuan/ton. The cumulative output of tin - plated sheets (strips) is 1.5287 million tons (monthly), with a month - on - month increase of 0.1387 million tons [3]. - The monthly export volume of tin - plated sheets is 142,900 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 45,000 tons [3]. Industry News - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that China is willing to manage differences and promote cooperation with the US and will introduce policies and measures to expand inbound consumption [3]. - Zou Lan, the deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, announced support for increasing the scale of RMB business fund arrangements in Hong Kong from 100 billion yuan to 200 billion yuan [3]. - Reports indicate that the probability of a new US government shutdown is nearly 80% according to prediction markets [3].
银河期货:消息面扰动叠加技术性调整 金银现“过山车”行情
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-27 09:49
摘要1月27日,沪金主力暂报1148.38元/克,涨幅1.52%,今日沪金主力开盘价1145.94元/克,截至目前 最高1154.46元/克,最低1112.78元/克。 【黄金期货行情表现】 坦桑尼亚总统府规划与投资部的国务部长基蒂拉.姆库莫周一表示,坦桑尼亚预计将在6月前签署价值 420亿美元的大型液化天然气项目,并预计在八年内实现首次投产。姆库莫还表示,总统已指示央行从 其储备中出售部分黄金。"我们需要资金。我们有很多基础设施建设项目正在进行中,这些项目都需要 资金支持,所以已指示相关人员出售一部分资产,以便我们能为这些基础设施项目筹集资金。" 【机构观点】 昨晚,金银市场上演了典型的过山车行情,白银波动尤为剧烈。日内的上涨主要由地缘局势升级带来的 避险情绪驱动。然而,凌晨两点左右,坦桑尼亚央行宣布计划出售部分黄金储备以筹集基建资金,这一 消息对金价形成短期压力,白银随即因与黄金的强联动性而跟随下跌。并且由于白银在前期及日内早盘 已积累了巨大的涨幅和大量的短期投机盘,其回调力度显著强于黄金。展望后市,预计黄金在"去信任 化"与全球秩序重构的长期宏观趋势下,表现仍将相对稳健,但白银已再度进入"高位高波"的敏 ...
瑞达期货螺纹钢产业链日报-20260127
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 09:44
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint On Tuesday, the RB2605 contract decreased with reduced positions. Macroeconomic factors, such as Trump's threat to impose tariffs on Canada and the US increasing tariffs on South Korea, have intensified trade tensions. In terms of supply and demand, the weekly output of rebar has stopped falling and rebounded, reaching around 2 million tons, while the apparent demand has declined, and inventory has shifted from decreasing to increasing. Overall, during the off - season, rebar demand continues to shrink, more long - position holders among the mainstream positions are closing their positions, putting pressure on futures prices. Technically, the 1 - hour MACD indicator of the RB2605 contract shows that DIFF and DEA are adjusting downward, with the red bars turning green. It is recommended to conduct short - term trading and pay attention to risk control [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - RB main contract closing price: 3,126 yuan/ton, down 17 yuan [2] - RB main contract open interest: 1,714,659 lots, down 16,197 lots [2] - RB contract top 20 net open interest: - 58,403 lots, up 7,245 lots [2] - RB5 - 10 contract spread: - 48 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan [2] - RB Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouse receipt: 38,283 tons, unchanged [2] - HC2605 - RB2605 contract spread: 163 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan [2] 3.2 Spot Market - Hangzhou HRB400E 20MM (theoretical weight): 3,290 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan [2] - Hangzhou HRB400E 20MM (actual weight): 3,374 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan [2] - Guangzhou HRB400E 20MM (theoretical weight): 3,440 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Tianjin HRB400E 20MM (theoretical weight): 3,160 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [2] - RB main contract basis: 164 yuan/ton, down 3 yuan [2] - Hangzhou hot - rolled coil - rebar spot spread: 20 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - Qingdao Port 61.5% PB iron ore fines: 798 yuan/wet ton, down 7 yuan [2] - Tianjin Port first - grade metallurgical coke (FOB price): 1,490 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Tangshan 6 - 8mm scrap steel (tax - excluded): 2,170 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - Hebei Q235 billet: 2,950 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] - 45 - port iron ore inventory: 167.6285 million tons, up 2.1204 million tons [2] - Sample coking plant coke inventory: 419,400 tons, up 14,600 tons [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - Sample steel mill coke inventory: 6.6199 million tons, up 117,900 tons [2] - Tangshan billet inventory: 1.562 million tons, up 68,900 tons [2] - 247 steel mill blast furnace operating rate: 78.66%, down 0.16 percentage points [2] - 247 steel mill blast furnace capacity utilization rate: 85.53%, up 0.07 percentage points [2] - Sample steel mill rebar output: 1.9955 million tons, up 92,500 tons [2] - Sample steel mill rebar capacity utilization rate: 43.75%, up 2.03 percentage points [2] - Sample steel mill rebar inventory: 1.4898 million tons, up 63,200 tons [2] - 35 - city rebar social inventory: 3.0312 million tons, up 77,100 tons [2] - Independent electric arc furnace steel mill operating rate: 70.83%, down 1.05 percentage points [2] - Domestic crude steel output (monthly): 68.18 million tons, down 1.69 million tons [2] - China rebar monthly output: 13.75 million tons, up 190,000 tons [2] - Steel net export volume (monthly): 10.78 million tons, up 1.3 million tons [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - National real estate prosperity index: 91.45, down 0.44 [2] - Cumulative year - on - year growth rate of fixed - asset investment: - 3.80%, down 1.20 percentage points [2] - Cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate development investment: - 17.20%, down 1.30 percentage points [2] - Cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure construction investment: - 2.20%, down 1.10 percentage points [2] - Cumulative value of housing construction area: 659.89 million square meters, down 38.24 million square meters [2] - Cumulative value of new housing construction area: 58.77 million square meters, down 53.13 million square meters [2] - Commercial housing unsold area: 40.236 million square meters, down 8.75 million square meters [2] 3.6 Industry News - Since late January, there has been a fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution process in central and eastern China, and the pollution level has recently increased. As of now, 87 prefecture - level and above cities in the Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei and surrounding areas, the Yangtze River Delta, and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River have launched emergency responses to heavy pollution weather warnings to jointly address this cross - regional heavy pollution process [2] - US President Trump recently stated that if Canada reaches a trade agreement with China, the US will impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports. In response, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun said at a regular press conference on the 26th that China advocates that countries should handle inter - country relations with the concept of win - win rather than zero - sum and in a cooperative rather than confrontational way [2]
瑞达期货尿素产业日报-20260127
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 09:44
尿素产业日报 2026-01-27 ,降库主要集中在内蒙古区域,主产销区尿素企业维持弱平衡,部分企业出现小幅累库,但因东北局域需 数据来源于第三方,观点仅供参考。市场有风险,投资需谨慎! 求推动周边企业出货,整体带动国内尿素企业库存下降,随着春节临近,尿素企业逐渐启动收单计划,清 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 库催发货为主,尿素企业库存或仍有继续小幅去库。UR2605合约短线预计在1770-1830区间波动。 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料,瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠,但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证,据此投资,责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议,客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发,需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院,且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...
南华期货(603093.SH):境外孙公司获得美国Nodal Exchange 交易会员资格
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 09:35
格隆汇1月27日丨南华期货(603093.SH)公布,美国时间2026年1月26日,公司境外全资孙公司Nanhua USA LLC 收到NodalExchange ,LLC 交易所(简称"Nodal Exchange")通知,获批成为其交易会员。目 前,Nanhua USA LLC 已是 Nodal Exchange 指定清算机构NodalClear,LLC 的清算会员。本次获批后, Nanhua USA LLC 可交易及清算在NodalExchange 上市的相关产品。 ...
南华期货:境外孙公司获美国Nodal Exchange交易会员资格
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 09:30
格隆汇1月27日|南华期货(603093.SH)公告称,公司境外全资孙公司Nanhua USA LLC已获批成为Nodal Exchange交易会员,并已是Nodal Clear清算会员。获批后,Nanhua USA LLC可交易及清算在Nodal Exchange上市的相关产品。 ...
南华期货股份获批成为Nodal Exchange交易会员
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-27 09:28
南华期货(603093)股份(02691)发布公告,于2026年1月26日(美国时间),Nanhua USA LLC(Nanhua USA)(即本公司间接全资附属公司)收到Nodal Exchange, LLC(Nodal Exchange)通知,获批成为Nodal Exchange交易会员。Nodal Exchange是一家领先的衍生品交易所,专注于北美电力、天然气和环境市 场。目前,Nanhua USA已是Nodal Exchange 指定清算机构Nodal Clear, LLC的清算会员。本次获批后, Nanhua USA可交易及清算在Nodal Exchange 上市的相关产品。 ...
南华期货股份(02691)获批成为Nodal Exchange交易会员
智通财经网· 2026-01-27 09:24
智通财经APP讯,南华期货股份(02691)发布公告,于2026年1月26日(美国时间),Nanhua USA LLC(Nanhua USA)(即本公司间接全资附属公司)收到Nodal Exchange, LLC(Nodal Exchange)通知,获批成 为Nodal Exchange交易会员。Nodal Exchange是一家领先的衍生品交易所,专注于北美电力、天然气和 环境市场。目前,Nanhua USA已是Nodal Exchange 指定清算机构Nodal Clear, LLC的清算会员。本次获 批后,Nanhua USA可交易及清算在Nodal Exchange 上市的相关产品。 ...
银河期货股指期货数据日报-20260127
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 09:23
IM每日行情 | | | | | | IM行情概要 | | | | | | | IM成交持仓 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 单位:点、手、亿元 | | | | | | | | | | | | 单位:手 | | | 收盘价 | +/- | 成交量 | +/- | | 成交额 | +/- | 持仓量 | +/- | 持仓保证金 | | 600,000 | | 中证1000 | 8382.15 | 0.20% | 36,566 | | -9% | 6,302 | -10% | | | | | | | IM2602 | 8385.60 | 0.45% | 43,943 | | -9% | 729 | -10% | 61,133 | -2,746 | | 123 | 500,000 | | IM2603 | 8357.20 | 0.55% | 158,438 | | -1% | 2,617 | -2% | 191,923 | 244 | | 385 | 400,000 | | IM2 ...
南华期货股份(02691.HK):获批成为Nodal Exchange交易会员
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 09:22
格隆汇1月27日丨南华期货股份(02691.HK)宣布,于2026年1月26日(美国时间),Nanhua USA LLC("Nanhua USA")(即公司间接全资附属公司)收到Nodal Exchange, LLC("Nodal Exchange")通知,获批 成为Nodal Exchange交易会员。Nodal Exchange是一家领先的衍生品交易所,专注于北美电力、天然气 和环境市场。目前,Nanhua USA已是Nodal Exchange 指定清算机构Nodal Clear,LLC的清算会员。本次 获批后,Nanhua USA可交易及清算在Nodal Exchange 上市的相关产品。 ...