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戴德梁行:2025年大中华区写字楼供应需求前沿趋势报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 02:06
Core Insights - The report by Cushman & Wakefield highlights the differentiated development trends in the office market across various cities in Greater China, focusing on supply, demand, vacancy rates, and rental changes as of Q2 2025 [1][2][34]. Supply Overview - The total stock of Grade A office space in 20 major cities in Greater China reached approximately 72.13 million square meters by Q2 2025, with significant disparities in stock levels among cities [11][32]. - Future supply projections indicate that Suzhou will have a high future supply of 4,622,455 square meters, followed closely by Shenzhen at 5,412,263 square meters, while Shenyang has a notably low future supply of only 120,582 square meters [1][2]. Demand Dynamics - Net absorption rates show clear differentiation, with cities like Nanjing, Wuhan, and Changsha demonstrating positive net absorption figures, while some unnamed cities face negative net absorption, indicating weak demand [2][32]. - The overall vacancy rate across major cities in Greater China was reported at 24.9% in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7 percentage points, with cities like Nanning experiencing the highest vacancy rate at 41.3% [2][32]. Rental Trends - Rental prices have generally declined across most cities, with some cities experiencing declines exceeding 10%. Notably, Guangzhou saw a rental increase of 13.3%, showcasing its resilience in the market [2][32]. - The average rental price for Grade A office space in major core areas was recorded at 164.2 yuan per square meter per month, representing a year-on-year decrease of 13.8% [32]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a peak in supply over the next 2-3 years, which may exert additional pressure on the market, particularly in terms of rental rates and vacancy levels [34]. - The ongoing trend of "cost control" among tenants is leading to a shift in the structure of leased areas, with smaller tenants becoming more prevalent, indicating potential challenges for landlords [39].
戴德梁行:料香港2025年整体写字楼租金将跌约7-9%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 10:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the reports indicates that the Grade A office market in Greater China remains full of opportunities for tenants, with vacancy rates and rents expected to stay at favorable levels as the economy gradually recovers [1] - By the second quarter of 2025, the total stock of Grade A office space in 20 major cities in Greater China is projected to reach approximately 72.13 million square meters, with a net absorption of about 764,000 square meters in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.5% [1] - In major cities, Taipei's core area is expected to have a low vacancy rate of around 7.9% by the second quarter of 2025, while in second-tier cities, Qingdao is projected to have the lowest vacancy rate at 24.7% [1] Group 2 - The anticipated new supply of office space in Hong Kong for the first half of 2024-2025 is over 194,000 square meters, with the core and non-core areas each accounting for half [2] - The average new leasing area recorded in the first half of 2024-2025 is approximately 84,900 square meters per quarter, which is 19% higher than the average from 2020-2023 [2] - Despite signs of recovery in Hong Kong's IPO market, the substantial future supply and high vacancy rates may exert pressure on rental performance, with an expected overall decline in office rents of about 7-9% for the entire year of 2025 [2]
内罗毕主要写字楼占用率不断攀升
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-08-28 02:50
Core Insights - The occupancy rate of prime office buildings in Nairobi has increased from 72.7% at the beginning of the year to 77.7% as of June 30 [1] - The demand from co-working space providers and business process outsourcing companies is driving this growth in occupancy rates [1] - Rental prices have remained stable at $1.20 per square meter over the past six months [1]
北京空置率降至16.9%,新质生产力成办公市场新增量
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 11:18
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market, particularly the office space sector, is currently undergoing a "price-for-volume" adjustment, but core business districts are showing resilience through rental adaptation and industrial upgrades, with new productivity-related office demands expected to be a key factor in overcoming challenges [1][7]. Office Market Overview - According to data from DTZ, the vacancy rates for Grade A office buildings in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen by Q2 2025 are 16.9%, 23.6%, 19.8%, and 27.8% respectively [3]. - Beijing has the lowest vacancy rate at 16.9%, which has improved from 18.3% at the end of 2024, attributed to no new supply in the second half of the year and ongoing inventory reduction [3]. - In contrast, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen have seen rising vacancy rates, with Shenzhen facing the most significant pressure at 27.8%, exacerbated by an additional 1.22 million square meters of new supply expected to enter the market [4]. Tenant Composition and Trends - Financial services remain the dominant sector in office leasing, accounting for 20% of rental transactions in the first half of 2025, with notable companies including Huaxia Fund and Aijian Securities [4][5]. - The technology and professional services sectors are tied for second place, each representing 13% of leasing activity, with tech firms focusing on hard technology fields such as semiconductors and AI [5][6]. - The Shanghai Zhonghai Center recorded a net absorption of 70,000 square meters in 2024, becoming a leading project in Shanghai's office market, emphasizing the creation of a legal service ecosystem [6]. Emerging Sectors and Future Outlook - New productivity sectors such as healthcare and retail are becoming significant growth drivers in the office leasing market, with expectations for increased leasing activity in technology, healthcare, and media sectors [7]. - The office market is anticipated to evolve towards a "diversified ecosystem," supported by policy initiatives, asset upgrades, and the introduction of emerging industries [7]. - In first-tier cities, leasing companies are primarily focused on financial, multinational pharmaceutical, and hard technology headquarters, while new first-tier cities like Chengdu and Zhuhai are attracting regional headquarters and specialized R&D centers through competitive advantages [7].
北京写字楼市场结构转向:租金下行背后的企业空间预期
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-05 06:06
Core Insights - The Beijing office market is experiencing a downturn characterized by declining rents and high vacancy rates, with overall vacancy at 17.7% and rents down 17.0% year-on-year and 5.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][6][10] - Despite these challenges, net absorption has doubled to 92,000 square meters, indicating a selective optimization of space by companies, suggesting a strategic shift rather than a complete market freeze [2][6][10] - The value logic of office spaces is transitioning from rental income to operational efficiency and structural alignment, with a focus on tenant experience and organizational needs [5][6][22] Market Trends - The average effective rent in Beijing is 232 yuan per square meter per month, with significant variations across districts, highlighting a growing disparity in asset performance [10][11] - Traditional sectors like finance and energy are adopting a more cautious approach, focusing on space optimization rather than expansion, leading to a re-evaluation of their space assets [7][22] - The demand from tech and emerging industries is driving leasing activity, particularly in areas like Zhongguancun and Wangjing, where companies prioritize flexibility and service-oriented spaces [6][11][22] Investment Considerations - The operational capability of office assets is becoming a critical factor in investment decisions, moving away from traditional metrics like location and vacancy rates [15][22][26] - Investors are encouraged to assess the long-term cash flow generation potential of properties, focusing on tenant structure and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions [23][24][26] - The market is entering a phase where the sustainability of asset value is determined by its operational efficiency and tenant retention capabilities, rather than just current rental prices [22][26][27]
金一文化(002721.SZ):签署终止协议
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-04 11:39
Group 1 - The company signed a lease termination agreement with Wukesong Cultural and Sports Center, effective from July 31, 2025, due to policy requirements and overall business arrangements [1] - The company will not receive a refund of the security deposit of 345,448.48 yuan and must pay a total of 1,026,260.42 yuan to Wukesong Cultural and Sports Center after offsetting the security deposit [1] - The company is required to pay six months' rent totaling 1,371,708.90 yuan as a penalty for the lease termination [1] Group 2 - The company anticipates a loss of 2.1092 million yuan due to the early termination of the lease, which will impact the annual profit for 2025 [2] - The monthly rental cost for the leased office space is 228,600 yuan, which is considered high [2] - The decision to terminate the lease is aligned with the company's commitment to cost-saving measures and is expected to reduce rental expenses in the long term, positively impacting the company's development [2]
香港资本市场火热,中介机构“干半年顶一年” !创业升温、写字楼也回暖……
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-18 02:24
Group 1: Hong Kong Capital Market Performance - Hong Kong's capital market has rapidly recovered in 2025, with significant capital inflow and the highest IPO fundraising globally [1][3] - The total equity financing in Hong Kong reached 2897.40 billion HKD, with IPOs contributing 1240.06 billion HKD, reflecting year-on-year increases of 286.52% and 584.22% respectively [4] - The number of IPOs in Hong Kong has increased to 304, with 51 companies listed, indicating a 14.29% rise in quantity [4] Group 2: Intermediary Institutions' Business Surge - Intermediary institutions in Hong Kong, including brokers, law firms, and accounting firms, are experiencing a surge in business due to the active IPO market [3][5] - The issuance fees for 51 listed companies in 2025 reached 53.40 billion HKD, nearly matching the total for the entire year of 2024 [3] - Major accounting firms have seen significant increases in their audit and advisory services due to the heightened demand from IPO activities [5][6] Group 3: Future Outlook for IPOs and Intermediaries - The second half of 2025 is expected to maintain or even increase the IPO activity in Hong Kong, with over 200 companies having submitted listing applications [9] - The demand for legal services has surged, with law firms completing 15 IPO projects in the first half of 2025, reflecting a growth rate exceeding the industry average [5][6] - Intermediary institutions are optimistic about the future, anticipating continued growth driven by favorable policies and international capital inflow [8][9] Group 4: Real Estate Market Recovery - The demand for office space in Hong Kong's core business districts is showing signs of recovery, driven by the active IPO market [10][12] - The rental prices for Grade A office buildings in Central have dropped nearly 45% from their peak in 2019, making them attractive to financial institutions [11] - The resurgence in the IPO market is expected to positively impact the leasing demand for office spaces, particularly in Central [13] Group 5: Growth in Hong Kong's Tech Sector - The strong performance of the capital market has revitalized Hong Kong's tech sector, with a notable increase in the number of startups [14][15] - The number of startups in Hong Kong reached 4694 in 2024, a 10% increase from 2023, with significant growth in health, medical, and green technology sectors [14] - Investment in Hong Kong's tech sector is projected to rise, with venture capital funding expected to grow from under 500 million USD in 2015 to 5 billion USD by 2025 [17]
第一太平戴维斯:深圳写字楼业主灵活调租以加速成交
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that Shenzhen's Grade A office market is experiencing increased vacancy rates and a shift towards aggressive pricing strategies by landlords to attract tenants amid market pressures [1][2] - In the first half of the year, Shenzhen's Grade A office market saw a supply of 352,000 square meters, bringing the total stock to 11.729 million square meters, with an average vacancy rate rising to 30.6% [1] - The leasing activities from sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and software services remain relatively positive, while financial and trade sectors show stable demand [1] Group 2 - The office market in key areas like Nanshan, Futian, and Luohu exhibits distinct characteristics, with a focus on intelligent, green, and flexible office space designs gaining traction [2] - The demand for quality office projects in the Houhai area has been driven by the technology, finance, and professional services industries, indicating a growth in leasing activity [2] - Alibaba's real estate management in the Houhai area aims to leverage Shenzhen's strengths in technology innovation and digital economy to foster a cluster of industries centered around digital technology and artificial intelligence [2]
仲量联行:香港写字楼及住宅市场略见回稳 优质商铺面临空置率上行压力
智通财经网· 2025-07-14 07:48
Core Insights - Despite significant challenges in the past six months, Hong Kong's office leasing and residential markets are showing signs of slight recovery [1] - The overall commercial prices and rents are expected to decline further in the second half of 2025, while low HIBOR will stimulate residential sales [1][2] - The demand for office leasing may benefit from the upcoming IPO wave, while retail leasing activity is expected to remain active despite increasing new supply [1][2] Office Market - The office market sentiment is improving, with increased leasing transactions and negotiations for prime office spaces in core areas, particularly Central [1] - The overall vacancy rate has risen to 13.6%, but specific areas like Wanchai/Causeway Bay and Tsim Sha Tsui have seen vacancy rates decrease to 9.5% and 7.9%, respectively [1] - A positive net absorption of 130,700 square feet was recorded in the first half of the year, driven by increased transactions in major districts [1][2] Residential Market - The residential market lacks clear direction, with factors such as falling HIBOR, rising stock prices, and stamp duty reductions benefiting the market [2] - However, geopolitical uncertainties and high negative equity levels pose significant challenges, with the second-hand market transaction volume expected to rise to about 20,000 units in the first half of 2025, still 22% lower than the average from 2018 to 2024 [2][3] - The supply of new units in the primary market is approximately 93,000, with a projected absorption period of 56.7 months, necessitating price reductions by developers [3] Retail Market - The vacancy rate for core street shops remains at 10.5%, while the vacancy rate for quality shopping malls has reached a new high of 10.5% due to increased supply [3] - Retail landlords are becoming more flexible in lease terms to attract tenants, including offering longer rent-free periods [3] - The upcoming completion of approximately 600,000 square feet of new retail space in the second half of 2025 is expected to exert upward pressure on vacancy rates, with rents projected to decline by 5% to 10% [4]
存量远大于净吸纳,北京写字楼租金继续下行,金融街跌破400元/平米/月
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-12 12:33
Core Insights - The Beijing office market is experiencing a price war, with expectations of continued rental declines as the market becomes increasingly competitive [2][3] - The overall rental rates for Beijing's office spaces have decreased, with a notable drop in the financial district's rental prices [4][5] Market Trends - The total stock of Grade A office space in Beijing remains at 13.68 million square meters, but the net absorption in major business districts has been negative, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [3][4] - In Q2, the average rental price for Beijing's office spaces fell by 1.6% to 233.2 yuan per square meter per month, while the core business districts saw a 2.6% decline to 257.58 yuan per square meter per month [3][4] Vacancy Rates - The vacancy rate for Beijing's office spaces is high, with estimates ranging from 16.9% to 18.4% for Q2 [4][5] - The financial district, which typically commands the highest rents, saw a significant rental drop to 389.2 yuan per square meter per month, with a vacancy rate increase to 9.7% [4][5] Future Supply and Demand - The supply of office spaces in Beijing is expected to peak in 2026, with an anticipated addition of 757,000 square meters, leading to potential challenges in absorption rates [5] - The demand for office spaces is expected to be influenced by government policies supporting emerging industries, such as humanoid robots and commercial aerospace, which may help stimulate demand [5][6] Market Outlook - The short-term outlook for the office market remains cautious, with expectations of continued high vacancy rates and downward pressure on rental prices [6] - As competition for tenants intensifies, landlords may adopt strategies such as lowering rents and enhancing service offerings to attract and retain tenants [6]