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《“数智时代”的“服务革命”》——网经社独家专访国务院特殊津贴专家郑吉昌教授
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 10:00
Core Viewpoint - China has entered an era where the service economy and digital intelligence economy overlap, fundamentally changing the role and position of services in the economy [1] Group 1: Historical Context and Theoretical Framework - In the 1990s, China's service output accounted for less than 30% of GDP, and academic research on the service sector was nearly non-existent [2] - Traditional economic theories struggled to explain the rapid development of the service sector, leading to a shift in focus towards service economy research [4] - The development of China's service sector must address three key questions: breaking the low-cost labor trap, reversing the service trade deficit, and empowering manufacturing upgrades through service innovation [4] Group 2: Current Trends and Economic Transformation - China is undergoing a historic transformation where the service economy and digital economy are merging, redefining the attributes of industries and consumer characteristics [5] - The integration of service and manufacturing sectors is accelerating, leading to the emergence of new industrial forms, with data becoming a core production factor [5] - Service consumption is now a significant driver of economic growth, with services being viewed as a binding industry within interconnected ecosystems [5] Group 3: Service Economy Research Framework - A three-dimensional framework for service economy research includes: 1. Value Dimension: Knowledge-intensive productive services contribute 3.2 times more to GDP than traditional services [6] 2. Structural Dimension: Transitioning from consumption-driven to production-driven service sectors can increase manufacturing profit margins by 0.6% for every 1% increase in productive services [6] 3. Institutional Dimension: Opening service markets requires overcoming barriers such as qualification recognition, data flow limitations, and regulatory standard discrepancies [6] Group 4: Future Outlook and Innovations - The impact of digital economy on service innovation is significant, with generative AI expected to enable 45% of knowledge work to be completed by AI agents by 2030 [8] - Blockchain technology is set to reshape trust mechanisms in fields like education and healthcare through verifiable services [8] - The metaverse is anticipated to create a multi-billion market for immersive services in remote work and virtual exhibitions [8] - The digital service deficit is a concern, with the share of digital services in China's service trade deficit rising from 18% in 2015 to an expected 39% in 2024 [8] Group 5: Role of Productive Services - Productive services are identified as a key component in global industrial chain competition, with their development being crucial for enhancing urban service functions [11] - The relationship between service industry growth and urban development is characterized by a positive interaction, with productive services acting as a "glue" that binds various sectors together [11] Group 6: Future Development and Humanization - The future of service innovation lies in the organic combination of humanized services and intelligent technologies, enhancing service efficiency and user experience [12] - The shift in consumer values towards quality of life and self-expression is driving changes in the service market [12]
洞见 | “十五五”时期地方经济增长从三方面找动力
申万宏源证券上海北京西路营业部· 2025-09-08 02:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, local economic growth can seek new momentum from three aspects: supply side, demand side, and enterprise development [2][3] Group 2 - From the supply side, the article highlights the need to focus on new growth points in industries. The contribution of agriculture to GDP has decreased from 9.5% at the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" to 7.2% at the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan," while the service sector's contribution has increased significantly, reaching 56.7% by the end of 2024, up 11.6 percentage points from the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" [4][5] Group 3 - On the demand side, the article points out that service consumption is becoming a more direct driver of local economic growth compared to goods consumption. In 2024, national service retail sales are expected to grow by 6.2%, outpacing goods retail sales by 3 percentage points, with per capita service consumption expenditure increasing by 7.4% [6][7] Group 4 - The article discusses the importance of high-quality enterprise development as a source of economic momentum. It emphasizes the need for innovation in enterprises, including original technology, model innovation, and concept innovation, to enhance market responsiveness and efficiency [8][9]
二看佛山:城市中心转型背后的改革逻辑
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-06 09:08
Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of Chancheng District in Foshan, which has shifted from a traditional development model to a high-quality growth strategy, becoming a leader in industrial investment with double-digit growth in 2023-2024 [1][2] Group 1: Urban Development Strategy - Chancheng has identified its position within the broader national context of transitioning from extensive growth to high-quality development, focusing on technological innovation and demand expansion [2][3] - The district aims to upgrade from a "central urban area" to a "city center," establishing four key centers: urban manufacturing, industrial services, commercial consumption, and Lingnan culture [2][3] Group 2: Resource Optimization - Chancheng faces challenges in optimizing land resources for new enterprises, which is crucial for developing urban manufacturing [5][6] - The "collective land to national land" reform aims to enhance land use efficiency and reduce transaction costs, facilitating better resource allocation [5][6] Group 3: Service Industry Development - The district is responding to the urgent need for traditional industry upgrades by integrating high-end production services, thus supporting the manufacturing sector [7][8] - Chancheng's strategy includes creating a production service center to meet the growing demand for high-end services, leveraging its strong industrial base [7][8] Group 4: Consumer Market Potential - Foshan's per capita disposable income is significantly higher than national averages, indicating strong consumer potential that Chancheng aims to tap into by enhancing commercial services [8][10] - The district is working to upgrade its commercial landscape and attract high-end consumption, creating a vibrant consumer ecosystem [8][10] Group 5: Reform and Innovation - Chancheng's development model emphasizes breaking down barriers to market resource allocation, attracting social capital, and fostering innovation [10][11] - The district's approach to reform is characterized by a focus on creating a "platform city," enhancing collaboration among various stakeholders to drive economic growth [11][12] Group 6: Government Role Transformation - The government is shifting from a top-down approach to a facilitator role, promoting a collaborative environment for market participants [12][13] - Chancheng's reforms align with national strategies for building a unified market, optimizing resource allocation, and ensuring fair competition [13]
二看佛山:城市中心转型背后的改革逻辑
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-06 09:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of Chancheng District in Foshan, which has shifted from a traditional development model to a high-quality growth strategy, becoming a leading example of urban transformation in China [1][3]. Group 1: Urban Development Strategy - Chancheng has identified its position within the broader national context of transitioning from extensive growth to high-quality development, focusing on technological innovation and demand expansion [3][4]. - The district aims to upgrade from a "central urban area" to a "city center," establishing four key centers: urban manufacturing, industrial services, commercial consumption, and Lingnan culture [3][4]. Group 2: Resource Optimization - Chancheng faces challenges in optimizing land resources for new enterprises, as many startups leave due to a lack of space [7][9]. - The "collective land to national land" reform aims to reduce transaction costs and improve land use efficiency, facilitating the integration of industrial development with urban renewal [7][9]. Group 3: Service Industry Development - The district recognizes the trend of "manufacturing returning to urban areas," emphasizing the need for high-end production services to support traditional industry upgrades [10][11]. - Chancheng has launched a three-year action plan for productive service industries, aiming to create a service center that empowers the manufacturing sector [10][11]. Group 4: Consumer Market Potential - Foshan's per capita disposable income is significantly higher than national and provincial averages, indicating strong consumer potential [12]. - The district is seizing the opportunity to develop a commercial consumption center, enhancing local shopping experiences and retaining consumer spending within the region [12][14]. Group 5: Reform and Innovation - Chancheng's reform experience highlights a shift from relying on large-scale government projects to fostering market-driven growth through innovative resource allocation [15][18]. - The district's approach emphasizes the role of government as a facilitator rather than a primary driver of economic growth, promoting a collaborative environment for various stakeholders [17][18].
城市24小时 | 冲刺“十万亿”,沿海经济大省瞄准“关键引擎”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-05 15:58
Group 1 - Shandong Province is implementing targeted policies to stabilize and improve the economy, focusing on key industries such as wholesale and retail, transportation, finance, and real estate [1] - The service sector is crucial for Shandong's economic growth, contributing 53.1% to the GDP in 2024, with a growth target of over 5% for 2025 [2] - The province aims to enhance the competitiveness of high-end productive services by focusing on sectors like artificial intelligence, technology research, big data services, and modern logistics [1][2] Group 2 - Shandong plans to support the development of productive services with a budget of 2 billion yuan, targeting high-quality projects and new enterprises [4] - The province will cultivate around 30 leading productive service enterprises and 20 innovation centers by the end of the year to drive industry growth [4] - The service industry in Shandong has shown improvement, with a 5.8% year-on-year increase in service value added in the first half of the year, indicating a shift from previous trends [2][3]
中国城市观|万亿佛山:制造业回城背后的动力之变
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-05 00:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of urban development in China, particularly focusing on the shift from extensive growth to quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in cities, with a specific case study on the manufacturing city of Foshan and its district, Chancheng [1][2][5]. Group 1: Urban Development and Policy - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes a new path for urban modernization with systematic deployment for transforming urban development methods [1]. - Chancheng aims to become a metropolitan manufacturing center, service center, commercial consumption center, and Lingnan cultural center by 2023 [5][6]. Group 2: Manufacturing and Investment Dynamics - The establishment of a new intelligent technology park by Guangdong Kuangpu Technology is part of its expansion plan in Chancheng, which is crucial for the district's economic growth [4][5]. - Chancheng's GDP is projected to reach 242.1 billion yuan in 2024, ranking third in the province and eighth nationally among district-level cities [5]. - The district is experiencing a manufacturing resurgence, with significant investments in advanced manufacturing and high-tech industries, evidenced by a 58.8% increase in advanced manufacturing investment in the first half of 2023 [18][21]. Group 3: Land Use and Spatial Optimization - Chancheng faces land space limitations with a high development intensity of 82%, necessitating innovative land use strategies to enhance industrial capacity [8][10]. - The "collective to state" land optimization model is being implemented to improve land value and facilitate industrial growth, allowing for better resource allocation [12][13]. - The district has initiated a three-year plan to construct over 10 million square meters of high-quality urban industrial space, with over 800,000 square meters completed in 2023 [16][19]. Group 4: Transportation and Connectivity - The opening of the Guangfo South Ring and the construction of the Guangzhan high-speed railway station will significantly reduce commuting times, enhancing Chancheng's connectivity with Guangzhou [6][24]. - Improved transportation infrastructure is expected to attract more technology companies to invest in Chancheng, further boosting its economic profile [6][17]. Group 5: Cultural and Economic Integration - Chancheng is integrating cultural elements into urban renewal and consumption innovation, aiming to revitalize its historical areas and enhance local consumer experiences [30][31]. - The district is fostering a collaborative environment for cultural and commercial development, exemplified by the establishment of the "Trillion City Center" commercial alliance [32].
中国城市观|城市转型中的禅城样本
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-05 00:12
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of Chancheng District in Foshan, which has become a leader in high-quality economic development amidst the city's transition from extensive growth to quality enhancement [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Transformation - Chancheng has recognized the need for economic transformation and has developed a strategy to upgrade from a "central urban area" to an "urban center," focusing on building four centers: urban manufacturing, industrial services, commercial consumption, and Lingnan culture [3][4]. - The district's GDP reached 1.3 trillion yuan, and it has a population of nearly 10 million, necessitating the upgrade of traditional industries and the cultivation of new growth drivers [3][4]. Group 2: Resource Optimization - Chancheng faces challenges in optimizing land resources for new enterprises, as many startups leave after their initial phase due to a lack of land [6][7]. - The "collective land transfer to national land" system innovation aims to reduce institutional costs and enhance land use efficiency, allowing for better resource allocation [6][7]. Group 3: Service Industry Development - The district has introduced a strategy of "Foshan manufacturing, Chancheng services," focusing on developing a production service center to support the upgrade of the manufacturing sector [9][10]. - Chancheng is enhancing its commercial service offerings to meet the growing demand for high-end services, which has been historically underserved [10]. Group 4: Cultural and Urban Development - The district is integrating culture with urban renewal and consumption innovation, aiming to create a "modern urban culture" and attract high-end talent [10][12]. - Chancheng's development practices emphasize the importance of innovation and a supportive environment for education, research, and public services as key to urban competitiveness [13][14]. Group 5: Governance and Market Dynamics - The article discusses the shift in government roles from being a project leader to a facilitator of market dynamics, promoting a "platform city" concept that encourages collaboration among various stakeholders [14][15]. - Chancheng's approach aligns with national strategies for building a unified market, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing government functions to support market efficiency [15].
万亿佛山:制造业回城背后的动力之变
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-04 23:18
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformation of urban development in China, particularly focusing on the shift from large-scale expansion to improving existing urban quality and efficiency [1] - It highlights the case of Foshan, specifically the changes occurring in the manufacturing sector and the strategic initiatives being implemented to enhance urban and industrial development [2][3] Group 1: Urban Development and Policy - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes a new path for urban modernization with a focus on high-quality development [1] - Foshan's Chancheng District aims to transition from a central urban area to a city center by enhancing its manufacturing, service, and cultural sectors [3][4] Group 2: Manufacturing Sector Dynamics - Guangdong Kuanpu Technology is expanding its production capacity in Chancheng, which is part of a broader trend of manufacturing returning to urban centers [3][12] - The district has seen significant industrial investment growth, with advanced manufacturing investment increasing by 58.8% and high-tech industry investment rising by 1.8 times in the first half of the year [12][14] Group 3: Land Use and Space Optimization - Chancheng faces land use challenges with a high development intensity of 82%, limiting its capacity for industrial growth [5][6] - The "collective to state" land optimization model is being implemented to enhance land value and facilitate industrial development [8][9] Group 4: Infrastructure and Connectivity - The opening of the Guangfo South Ring and the construction of the Guangzhan High-speed Railway station will significantly reduce commuting times, enhancing connectivity with Guangzhou [4][17] - The integration of high-density transportation networks is attracting technology companies to invest in Chancheng [4][12] Group 5: Investment and Economic Growth - Chancheng has established a robust industrial land reserve, exceeding the total amount sold in the past 15 years, indicating a strong investment climate [11][12] - The district's industrial investment is projected to maintain double-digit growth, with a focus on high-tech and advanced manufacturing sectors [12][13] Group 6: Cultural and Consumer Engagement - Chancheng is revitalizing its urban landscape through cultural initiatives and enhancing consumer experiences, which is expected to drive local economic growth [23][24] - The district is fostering a collaborative environment for cultural and commercial activities, aiming to create a vibrant economic ecosystem [25][26]
新财观|“十五五”时期地方经济增长从三方面找动力
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 00:57
Group 1: Economic Growth Drivers - The article emphasizes the need for local economies to identify new growth drivers during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on supply-side, demand-side, and enterprise development [1][5][6] - The contribution of the industrial sector to GDP is declining, with industrial value added expected to account for 30% of GDP by 2024, down 9.3 percentage points from the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] - The service sector has become the core driver of economic growth, projected to account for 56.7% of GDP by the end of 2024, increasing by 11.6 percentage points since the end of the "11th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] Group 2: Role of Service Industry - The service industry is crucial for economic resilience and sustainability, requiring local governments to enhance service systems and urban service capabilities [2][3] - Regions with rapid service industry revenue growth, such as Hainan, Fujian, and Shandong, should prioritize service sector development as a key component of modern industrial systems [2][4] - The article highlights the need for western regions to balance industrial growth with the development of local service industries, particularly in production-related and lifestyle services [2][4] Group 3: Consumer Demand and Trends - Consumer demand is shifting towards service consumption, with service retail expected to grow by 6.2% in 2024, outpacing goods retail growth by 3 percentage points [3][4] - The article notes a transformation in consumption patterns, driven by demographic changes and technological integration, leading to new consumption trends such as the "single economy" and "silver economy" [4][5] - Local governments are encouraged to innovate service offerings and consumption scenarios to stimulate economic growth [4][5] Group 4: Enterprise Development and Innovation - The vitality and development level of market entities are critical for local economic quality and efficiency, necessitating a focus on innovation across various sectors [5][6] - The article stresses the importance of both original technology and model innovation, with traditional industries also needing to embrace technological upgrades for efficiency gains [5][6] - Regional disparities in R&D investment are highlighted, with eastern regions leading in R&D spending, while western regions show strong growth in external R&D funding [6]
重磅!中共中央 国务院最新发布!
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-28 12:26
Core Viewpoint - The document outlines the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Urban Development" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council, emphasizing the transformation of urban development towards high quality by 2030 and the establishment of modern urban systems by 2035 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Overall Requirements - The document stresses the importance of adhering to Xi Jinping's thoughts on socialism with Chinese characteristics, focusing on human-centered urban development, and promoting urban renewal as a key strategy [4][3]. - Key goals include significant progress in modern urban construction by 2030, with improvements in living quality, green transformation, and governance levels [4][3]. Group 2: Urban System Optimization - The document advocates for the integration of urban clusters and metropolitan areas, enhancing the competitiveness of mega cities while controlling their scale [5][6]. - It emphasizes the need to improve the capacity of small and medium-sized cities and county towns, promoting urbanization and rural economic development [6]. Group 3: New Development Drivers - The document highlights the importance of fostering innovation ecosystems tailored to local resources, enhancing technological innovation, and developing advanced manufacturing clusters [7][8]. - It calls for activating the potential of existing urban resources and establishing a sustainable financing system for urban construction and operation [8]. Group 4: High-Quality Urban Living Spaces - The document promotes the construction of "good houses" and complete communities, aiming to meet diverse housing needs and improve service quality [10]. - It emphasizes the need for urban infrastructure optimization and the enhancement of public services to ensure equitable access [11][12]. Group 5: Green and Low-Carbon Transformation - The document outlines strategies for energy conservation and carbon reduction in production, promoting green buildings and sustainable urban living practices [12][13]. - It stresses the importance of ecological environment governance and the improvement of urban air quality [13]. Group 6: Urban Safety and Resilience - The document emphasizes the need for robust safety management of buildings and infrastructure, enhancing disaster prevention and response capabilities [14][15]. - It highlights the importance of public health emergency management and the establishment of a comprehensive disaster risk management system [15]. Group 7: Cultural Prosperity - The document encourages the protection and utilization of urban historical and cultural heritage, promoting a unique urban identity [16][17]. - It calls for the enhancement of public cultural services and the integration of culture with tourism and technology [17]. Group 8: Governance Improvement - The document advocates for a coordinated urban governance system, enhancing the role of community participation in urban management [18][19]. - It emphasizes the need for digital transformation in urban governance, improving efficiency and service delivery [18]. Group 9: Implementation and Organization - The document stresses the importance of centralized leadership from the Party and government in urban development, establishing a collaborative framework for implementation [20].