Market Overview - The market is underestimating the significance of emerging M&A deals [1] - A Goldman Sachs downgrade is considered misguided given the M&A activity [2] - The stock market rebounded, with the Dow closing up 88 points, advancing 0.14%, and the NASDAQ gaining 0.27% [3] Investor Behavior - Institutional investors have generally been selling, while individual investors have been actively buying stocks [4] - Individual investors seem unconcerned about tariffs [4] M&A Activity - The beginnings of an M&A boom are being observed [5]

Investment Rating - The report emphasizes a quantitative investment approach that focuses on predicting stock profit growth rankings rather than specific numerical values, aiming for investment returns [1]. Core Insights - The idealized testing indicates that accurately predicting changes in ROE and holding stocks ranked highly can yield excess returns, validating the feasibility of this method [5]. - The introduction of the acceleration concept, which refers to changes in growth rates, can optimize models, enhance prediction accuracy, and reduce risks [1][7]. - The secondary trend extrapolation model, which considers profit growth and acceleration, outperforms linear extrapolation and analyst consensus in terms of prediction success rate (72%) and false positive rate (13%) [8]. - The "Growth Trend Resonance Stock Selection Strategy," which combines the optimized profit prediction model, analyst expectations, valuation, and cash flow factors, has shown excellent performance since 2009, consistently achieving excess returns [9]. - Incorporating machine learning methods, particularly tree models like XGBoost and LightGBM, significantly improves prediction accuracy, achieving a success rate of 85% and reducing the false positive rate to 4.7% [10][18]. Summary by Sections Traditional Economic Investment Approach - Traditional economic investment relies heavily on fundamental research, focusing on deep analysis of individual stocks to understand their business models and future profitability trends [2]. Quantitative Perspective on Economic Investment - The quantitative approach emphasizes breadth over depth, predicting relative rankings of stocks rather than specific profit growth amounts [3]. Validating Quantitative Investment Strategies - Idealized testing can validate the effectiveness of quantitative investment strategies by demonstrating that accurately predicting future ROE changes leads to superior net value performance [5]. Optimizing Profit Prediction Models - The introduction of acceleration in profit prediction models enhances accuracy and reduces risks associated with performance changes [8]. Application of Machine Learning in Profit Prediction - Machine learning models, particularly tree models, are preferred for their ability to handle multiple dimensions of data and capture non-linear relationships, leading to improved prediction accuracy [12][18]. Stock Selection Strategy - The strategy based on the difference Boots prediction factor has shown superior performance across various indices, indicating its effectiveness in stock selection [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs is set to release its Q2 earnings on July 16, and investors should focus on key factors influencing the report [1] Group 1 - The earnings report will be released before the market opens, indicating the importance of the timing for investors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting between CICC Chairman Chen Liang and Qatari officials focused on the latest trends in capital markets and potential areas for collaboration, emphasizing the importance of bilateral investment between China and Qatar [1] Group 1: Meeting Outcomes - CICC and Qatari officials discussed the latest developments in capital markets and various business cooperation opportunities [1] - A consensus was reached to promote comprehensive cooperation across multiple fields and enhance financial market connectivity between China and Qatar [1] - The parties expressed a commitment to guide enterprises from both regions in engaging in mutual investments [1]

Core Viewpoint - Evercore (EVR) presents a strong investment opportunity due to its improving earnings outlook and analysts' increasing earnings estimates [1][2] Earnings Estimate Revisions - Analysts have shown growing optimism regarding Evercore's earnings prospects, reflected in the upward trend of estimate revisions, which typically correlates with stock price movements [2] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current quarter is $1.49 per share, a decrease of 17.68% from the previous year, but has increased by 6.07% over the last 30 days due to one upward revision [6] - For the full year, the expected earnings are $11.41 per share, representing a 21.13% increase from the prior year, with a 5.8% increase in consensus estimates over the past month [7][8] Zacks Rank and Performance - Evercore has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for outperformance based on earnings estimate revisions [9] - Historically, Zacks 1 Ranked stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 2008, suggesting a favorable investment environment for Evercore [3] Stock Performance - The stock has appreciated by 13.1% over the past four weeks, indicating positive market sentiment and potential for further upside [10]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1][2]. Company Overview: Evercore (EVR) - Evercore currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong momentum characteristics [3]. - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), which historically outperforms the market when combined with a Style Score of A or B [4]. Performance Metrics - Over the past week, Evercore's shares increased by 1.84%, outperforming the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, which rose by 1.49% [6]. - In a longer timeframe, Evercore's shares have risen by 32.28% over the past three months and 36.33% over the past year, while the S&P 500 only increased by 6.01% and 13.18%, respectively [7]. - The average 20-day trading volume for Evercore is 493,485 shares, indicating a bullish sign with rising stock prices [8]. Earnings Outlook - In the last two months, two earnings estimates for Evercore have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $9.67 to $11.41 [10]. - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have also moved upwards, with no downward revisions during the same period [10]. Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, Evercore is positioned as a 1 (Strong Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of A, making it a compelling investment option [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - UP Fintech Holding Limited (TIGR) is currently viewed as a more attractive investment option compared to Tradeweb Markets (TW) based on valuation metrics and earnings estimate revisions [3][7]. Valuation Metrics - TIGR has a forward P/E ratio of 14.40, significantly lower than TW's forward P/E of 40.80 [5]. - The PEG ratio for TIGR is 0.76, indicating better value relative to its expected earnings growth compared to TW's PEG ratio of 2.31 [5]. - TIGR's P/B ratio stands at 2.21, while TW's P/B ratio is higher at 5.01, suggesting that TIGR is undervalued compared to TW [6]. Analyst Outlook - TIGR holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive analyst outlook, while TW has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3]. - The stronger estimate revision activity for TIGR suggests a more favorable earnings outlook compared to TW [7]. Value Grades - TIGR has been assigned a Value grade of B, reflecting its attractive valuation metrics, whereas TW has received a Value grade of F, indicating it is considered overvalued [6].

Core Viewpoint - CICC Global Institute (CGI) serves as a new type of think tank under CICC, focusing on public policy research and decision-making in China, while also engaging in international policy discussions and providing recommendations for the development of China's financial and capital markets [1][7]. Group 1: Conference Agenda - The conference features a series of sessions including a welcome speech by Dr. Peng Wensheng, Chief Economist of CICC, and keynote speeches from various experts in rural economy and social sciences [2][3]. - The agenda includes thematic roundtables discussing urban-rural labor market changes and the equalization of basic public services in rural areas, featuring prominent scholars and practitioners [3]. Group 2: CICC Global Institute's Role - CGI aims to build capabilities and teams to research significant long-term issues in the Chinese and global economy, finance, and capital markets, addressing major topics that impact national and public welfare [7]. - The institute provides services through research consulting, thematic forums, international exchanges, and a series of lectures aimed at government, enterprises, and related institutions [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of rural areas in understanding contemporary Chinese economic and social development, highlighting the role of financialization and digitalization in transforming rural life and the evolving concept of nostalgia in the context of urbanization [2][5][7]. Group 1: Rural Financialization - Financialization has accelerated the migration of farmers to cities, allowing more families to enjoy urban life and public services, while also leading to a semi-urbanized state in rural households [5]. Group 2: Digitalization in Rural Life - Digital technology has significantly impacted rural areas, primarily through industrial digitalization and changes in sales channels, as well as digital governance via platforms like WeChat groups, leading to a blurred concept of villages [6]. - Digital platforms such as Douyin and Kuaishou have become important for rural residents, especially elderly farmers, serving as significant sources of cultural meaning and spiritual life [6]. Group 3: Nostalgia in the Context of Urbanization - Nostalgia has expanded to encompass the entire society, with 1.4 billion people experiencing a sense of longing for their hometowns, shifting from being an elite sentiment to a common experience among those who have left their hometowns [7]. - The role of nostalgia as a spiritual anchor is crucial for maintaining rural order and social stability, serving as a deep cultural foundation and value concept [7].

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