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还有哪些行业兼具高景气和性价比?
HTSC· 2025-07-06 08:40
Group 1 - The report highlights sectors with high growth potential and cost-effectiveness, including financials, consumer staples, and technology hardware, with a focus on service consumption and software services in the medium term [1] - The report indicates that the EPS of Chinese listed companies is expected to rise for the third consecutive year in 2025, with a significant rebound in market performance anticipated following improvements in EPS expectations [2][3] - The report emphasizes that the correlation between EPS growth and nominal economic growth is strong, suggesting that structural changes in the stock market and improvements in corporate profitability are crucial for capturing market opportunities [3] Group 2 - The report identifies consumer services, durable goods, and technology hardware as sectors with high ROE levels that are likely to improve further, indicating strong investment potential [7][18] - It notes that sectors such as software services, consumer staples, and household products maintain high levels of cost-effectiveness, while technology hardware and durable goods are not significantly overvalued [7][20] - The report provides a comparative analysis of PEG ratios, indicating that sectors like diversified finance, materials, and durable goods have PEG levels below 1, suggesting attractive valuations [20][23] Group 3 - The report discusses the importance of earnings performance in the context of upcoming earnings disclosures, highlighting that sectors with improved economic conditions provide a solid foundation for market performance [4] - It mentions that the Hong Kong market's liquidity is primarily driven by capital inflows, which are influenced by the market's comparative advantages [3] - The report outlines that the valuation levels of Hong Kong stocks remain attractive compared to global markets, with a current forward PE of around 10x [53][47]