[Table_Main] 行业研究|能源|新能源 证券研究报告 新能源行业周报、月报 2025 年 06 月 11 日 [Table_Title] 供给侧有望反转，技术迭代加速破局 ——电力设备新能源行业周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 周度行情回顾 2025 年 06 月 01 日至 06 月 06 日，上证综指上涨 1.13%，深证成指 上涨 1.42%，创业板指上涨 2.32%。其中申万电力备上涨 1.38%，较 沪深 300 跑赢 0.5pct。细分子行业来看，申万光伏设备/风电设备/电 池/电网设备分别上涨 1.10%/1.50%/1.05%/1.80%。 重点板块跟踪 特斯拉：6 月 4 日，特斯拉宣布在美国构建覆盖"锂矿提炼-材料制造 -电芯生产-整车组装"的全链条电池生产体系，旨在彻底摆脱对中国供 应链的依赖。马斯克明确表示："供应链本地化对降低地缘政治风险 至关重要"。 投资建议 光伏：在经历"430 抢装"驱动的分布式项目采购潮后，光伏产业链 价格如期进入回调周期，硅料、硅片及组件等环节价格中枢较抢装期 下移，但较 Q1 低点仍保有一定的缓冲空间。当前价格波动实为产能 调节 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [3][22]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the successful listing of Circle, marking it as the first public stablecoin company, with its stock price increasing nearly 2.5 times since its IPO, leading to a market capitalization of approximately $23.8 billion [6][7]. - The stablecoin market has seen explosive growth, with its total size increasing from $20 billion in 2020 to $246 billion by May 2025, alongside a 598% increase in trading volume [6][7]. - The report emphasizes three main growth themes: Blockchain + Fintech, New Energy + RWA (Real World Assets), and Cross-Border Payments [6][7]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - Key recommendations include companies such as Xinjie Electric, Beite Technology, Hanwei Technology, Zhaowei Electromechanical, Hengli Hydraulic, and Nuwei Co., Ltd. [4]. Industry Focus: Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see a cumulative demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030, currently in a critical breakthrough phase [5][6]. - The report suggests focusing on Tier 1 and core component suppliers within this sector [6]. Industry Focus: Photovoltaic Equipment - The penetration rate of N-type photovoltaic technology is accelerating, enhancing the competitiveness of leading companies [17]. - The report recommends companies like Maiwei Co. and Jiejia Weichuang for their technological innovations and customer bases [17]. Industry Focus: Energy Storage - Energy storage is essential for building a new type of power grid, with favorable policies boosting industry growth [17]. - Leading companies in battery, inverter, and integration segments are highlighted as key investment opportunities [17]. Industry Focus: Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach $140 billion by 2030, with a growing share from mainland China [17]. - The report suggests focusing on platform companies and domestic replacements that are expected to break through quickly [17]. Industry Focus: Automation - The market for industrial consumables is around $40 billion, expected to reach $55.7 billion by 2026, with leading companies benefiting from increased concentration and import substitution [17][18]. Industry Focus: Hydrogen Energy - Green hydrogen aligns with carbon neutrality goals, with rapid development in photovoltaic and wind energy laying the foundation for hydrogen production [17]. Industry Focus: Engineering Machinery - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with product, scale, and cost advantages in the engineering machinery sector [17][18].

A股光伏设备盘初走强，爱旭股份涨超8%，聚合材料涨超6%，帝科股份、宇邦新材、钧达股份、双良 节能等均涨超3%。 订阅A股市场资讯 +订阅 ...

行业报告：光进制造行业周报 中航证券有限公司 AVIC AVIC SECURITIES CO., LTD. "稳定币第一股"Circle上市，稳定币加速入主流金融体系 行业评级：增持 分析师：卢正羽 证券热业证书号：S0610521060001 中航证券究所发布证券列究报告 请务必阅读正义的免试条款部分 股市有风险人中需谨慎 2025年6H8H 航先过制楚一一按资规点 ◼ 重点推荐：信捷电、北特料技、汉威科技、兆威机申、恒立波正压、纽威股份、软通动力 ◼ ■重点跟踪行业一一人机器人： ◼ 动力、即鼎科技、平股份、华集团、厅与料技、绿的谱波、埃期斯赖 ◼ 市场价值及商业模式已经得到全球主流资本市场认可。 ■本周专趣研统：北京时间2025年6月5日，美国金融科技企业Circle成登陆纽交所，正代成为全球"稳定币第股"。：公司设价相较发行价上涨 近2.5倍，总市约238亿美元：稳定币（Stablecoim），是-种由非官方企业或机构基于法定货币（如美元、港币）晚价价科对稳定的资产（如 造为美元需权地位新基石，其财政部区Sco比BesseHt预计微宁资产将为美国压债市场带来高达2方亿美元的新端需求。德意银行最新研报显 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the inflation trends in May, highlighting a slight decrease in CPI and a more significant drop in PPI, with implications for future economic conditions and policy responses [1][10]. Group 1: CPI Inflation - May CPI inflation was reported at -0.1% year-on-year, matching the previous value and exceeding market expectations of -0.2% [1][2]. - Energy prices have significantly dragged down CPI inflation, while core CPI showed slight upward support [2][6]. - Food prices experienced a mild decline, with a 0.2% drop month-on-month, which is less than the average decline of 1.4% over the past five years [5]. - Core CPI inflation rose slightly by 0.1 percentage points to 0.6% year-on-year, although month-on-month momentum has weakened [6][7]. - Service prices remained resilient, with travel prices increasing by 0.8% month-on-month, surpassing the five-year average of 0.2% [6]. Group 2: PPI Inflation - May PPI inflation was reported at -3.3% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, and -0.4% month-on-month, which is weaker than the historical average since 2017 [10][12]. - The decline in PPI is attributed to weak oil prices affecting the entire industrial chain and a slowdown in the construction sector due to adverse weather conditions [10][12]. - Despite the overall decline, there are signs of recovery in prices related to exports and new growth sectors, with textile prices narrowing their decline and some electronic prices turning positive [12][15]. Group 3: Forward Outlook - Looking ahead, energy prices are expected to remain weak, with Brent crude oil projected to fluctuate between $60 and $70 [9]. - The overall pace of CPI recovery is anticipated to be slow, influenced by policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and consumption [16]. - For the second quarter, CPI inflation is expected to stabilize around 0%, while PPI inflation may drop to approximately -3.0% [16].

固德威688390 时间: 2025年6月10日星期二 49.09分综合得分 偏弱 40.30 元 当日主力成本 40.34 元 5日主力成本 40.22 元 趋势方向 主力成本分析 20日主力成本 42.08 元 60日主力成本 周期内涨跌停 过去一年内该股 涨停 1次 跌停 0 次 北向资金数据 42.94 中期压力位 38.38 中期支撑位 目前短线趋势不慎明朗，静待主力资金选择方向； 目前中期趋势不慎明朗，静待主力资金选择方向 K线形态 | 持股量675.11万股 | 占流通比2.78% | | --- | --- | | 昨日净买入-4.88万股 | 昨日增仓比-0.02% | | 5日增仓比0.099% | 20日增仓比1.013% | 技术面分析 40.68 短期压力位 39.85 短期支撑位 暂无特殊形态 资金流数据 2025年06月10日的资金流向数据方面 | 主力资金净流入290.14万元 | | --- | | 占总成交额2% | | 超大单净流入257.91万元 | | 大单净流入32.23万元 | | 散户资金净流出254.43万 | 关联行业/概念板块 光伏设备 -1.36%、云计 ...

文 | 赵伟、屠强 联系人 | 屠强、 耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 6月9日，国家统计局公布5月通胀数据，CPI同比-0.1%、前值-0.1%、预期-0.2%、环比-0.2%；PPI 同比-3.3%、前值-2.7%、预期-3.2%、环比-0.4%。 核心观点：消费需求改善令核心CPI企稳，但供给侧对通胀读数有较大压制。 特征一：核心商品PPI明显回弹，主因需求改善，且关税对价格的冲击尚未进一步加剧。 5月核心商品 PPI同比回升0.3pct至-1.4%，一是提振消费政策效果持续显现，部分消费品需求释放带动相关行业价格回 升；二是关税对价格的冲击趋于缓和，部分出口行业价格的回落幅度并未加大。具体行业看，制鞋业价 格上涨0.8%，计算机整机制造价格上涨0.2%，家用洗衣机、电视机制造、汽车整车制造价格降幅比上月 分别收窄1.6、1.4、0.6pct。 而5月PPI跌破-3%，更多反映大宗商品价格的拖累。 5月PPI同比较前月回落0.6pct至-3.3%。其中国际油 价下行拖累国内油价，测算油价拖累PPI环比-0.1%。同时地产、基建投资走弱，煤炭供应充足，钢、煤 价格也有回落，测算钢、煤价拖累PPI环比-0.3%。而铜 ...

广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 guolei@gf.com.cn 摘要 第一， 2025年5月CPI同比-0.1%，持平前值；PPI同比-3.3%，低于前值的-2.7%。按CPI和PPI权重分别 60%和40%模拟的平减指数为-1.38%，低于前值的-1.14%，为过去16个月以来最低。 第二， CPI为什么弱势徘徊？如果我们把CPI价格简单分为三部分：能源、食品、核心，5月前两部分形成双 下拉。一是能源价格环比下降1.7%，拖累CPI环比约0.13个百分点，主要与关税影响下大宗价格的向内传递 有关，4月IPE布油价格环比下行达18.3%，带来5月成品油价格的下降。二是食品价格环比下降0.2%，拖累 CPI环比约0.04个百分点。食品价格偏弱背后可能主要还是餐饮部门需求偏弱，而国内肉类、蔬菜等的传统供 给能力又一直较强。 第三， 再看能源食品之外的价格。因为经历"五一"假期，主要耐用消费品价格环比仍普遍降价，但幅度并未 超过季节性，从而同比降幅并未进一步加深。不过汽车、家电、租赁房、酒类同比仍在负增长区间，除汽车降 幅小幅收窄外，其余降幅持平前值。涨幅扩大的门类主要是服装、家纺、金饰品、文娱耐用品。综合影响下， ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, with energy prices dropping by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline [1][2] - Core CPI increased by 0.6% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating resilience in domestic consumption [2][3] - Prices of gold jewelry, household textiles, and durable entertainment goods rose by 40.1%, 1.9%, and 1.8% respectively, while fuel and new energy vehicle prices fell by 4.2% and 2.8%, showing a narrowing decline [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points [1][3] - The decline in PPI is primarily attributed to weak commodity prices and significant input price pressures, particularly in the coal, steel, and cement sectors due to seasonal demand fluctuations [3][4] - Some sectors, such as high-end equipment manufacturing, saw price increases, with integrated circuit packaging and testing prices rising by 3.6% [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The outlook for domestic prices suggests a likely moderate recovery in CPI, with food prices expected to remain stable and energy prices potentially rebounding [4] - PPI is anticipated to show marginal improvement, but it may take time to exit negative territory, influenced by external trade dynamics and domestic demand recovery [4] - Key areas to monitor include ongoing input price pressures, recovery in domestic demand, particularly in real estate, and trends in core consumption [4]

Group 1 - The overall consumer price index (CPI) showed a slight decline in May, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.1%, influenced by seasonal factors and falling oil prices [1][2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a strengthening demand in certain sectors, supported by holiday consumption and a recovery in travel services [2][3] - Energy prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month, contributing significantly to the overall CPI decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.1% [1][2] Group 2 - Food prices decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, with fresh vegetable prices dropping by 5.9%, while some fresh fruits and fish saw price increases due to supply constraints [2][3] - The producer price index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, but some sectors showed positive price trends, particularly in consumer goods [3][4] - Prices in high-tech industries, such as integrated circuits and wearable devices, increased year-on-year, reflecting a shift towards high-end, intelligent, and green production [4][5] Group 3 - The demand for high-tech products is growing, leading to price increases in related industries, while the prices in the solar and lithium battery sectors showed a narrowing decline [5] - The positive impact of macroeconomic policies is expected to further stimulate domestic demand and promote reasonable price recovery in the future [5]