证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·机械设备 机械设备行业跟踪周报 推荐高景气的 AI 设备（PCB 设备、液冷设 备、燃气轮机等）；看好存储扩产带来的半 导体设备国产化机会 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [1.Table_Summary] 推荐组合：北方华创、三一重工、中微公司、恒立液压、中集集团、拓荆科技、海天 国际、柏楚电子、晶盛机电、杰瑞股份、浙江鼎力、杭叉集团、先导智能、长川科技、 华测检测、安徽合力、精测电子、纽威股份、芯源微、绿的谐波、海天精工、杭可科 技、伊之密、新莱应材、高测股份、纽威数控、华中数控。 2.投资要点： 【AI 设备】英伟达 GTC 大会召开，看好算力开支带动设备需求提升 2025 年 10 月 29 日，英伟达 GTC 大会于美国华盛顿召开。会上英伟达展示了产品规 划与未来经营战略规划。 （1）芯片方面：宣布 Blackwell 芯片在美国亚利桑那州全面量产，预计未来 18 月出货 2000 万颗 GPU，另外展示新一代 Vera Rubin 超级芯片，集成 Vera CPU 与两颗 Rubin GPU，预计 2026 年下半年量产。（2）算力基础设施建设方面：宣布与美国能源 ...

2025 年三季报点评：Q3 收入增速略弱，归母 净利润高增 33.4% 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11,364 | 14,219 | 15,897 | 17,981 | 19,715 | | 同比（%） | 13.67 | 25.12 | 11.81 | 13.10 | 9.65 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 783.30 | 1,102.26 | 1,386.20 | 1,596.33 | 1,847.58 | | 同比（%） | 23.99 | 40.72 | 25.76 | 15.16 | 15.74 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.52 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 1.23 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.16 | 15.75 | 12.52 | 10.87 | 9.39 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.09 billion yuan, up 16.49% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 2.62 billion yuan, growing 24.53% year-on-year, with a net profit of 658 million yuan, an increase of 30.60% year-on-year [5][8] - The demand for excavators in both domestic and overseas markets is on the rise, with a total of 174,039 units sold from January to September, reflecting an 18.1% year-on-year growth. Domestic sales increased by 21.5% to 89,877 units [8] - The company is successfully advancing its linear actuator business, having launched over 50 new products in the first half of the year, which have all entered mass production [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company expects total revenue to reach 10.53 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.82 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.6% [7][9] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 41.96%, an increase of 0.50 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 26.85%, up 0.98 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The report forecasts net profits of 2.82 billion yuan, 3.28 billion yuan, and 3.86 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 46X, 39X, and 33X [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - Terex plans to exit the aerial work platform business and merge with REV Group, which specializes in manufacturing specialty vehicles such as fire trucks and ambulances [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Terex reported sales of $1.4 billion, up from $1.2 billion in the same period last year, driven by strong demand for refuse collection vehicles, multifunctional vehicles, parts, services, and digital solutions [4]. - The ESG segment saw a 13.6% increase in sales, reaching $435 million, while the aerial work platform segment experienced a 13.2% decline in sales to $537 million due to decreased sales volume, unfavorable customer mix, and tariff resistance [4]. - The material handling segment's sales fell by 6.1% year-over-year to $417 million, although growth in the aggregate business in North America, Europe, and India offset declines in concrete and crane businesses [4]. Strategic Moves - Terex is seeking strategic options to exit the aerial work platform segment, potentially selling its Genie business to reduce exposure to cyclical end markets [3][4]. - The company aims to become a diversified leader in emergency, sanitation, utility, environmental, and material handling equipment markets, which are characterized by low cyclicality, resilient demand, and strong long-term growth prospects [4]. Merger Details - The aerial work platform business is expected to generate approximately $2 billion in revenue for Terex in 2025, with total group sales projected at $5.4 billion [5]. - Following the merger, the combined sales of Terex and REV Group (excluding the aerial work platform) are expected to reach $5.8 billion in 2025 [5]. - Terex CEO Simon Meester will lead the merged company, which aims to create a large, diversified industrial leader by integrating complementary business portfolios [7]. - Post-merger, Terex shareholders will own 58% of the new entity, while REV Group shareholders will hold 42% [7].

Industry Overview - The engineering machinery sector is a crucial pillar of national economic development, with applications in urban and rural roads, urban infrastructure, national defense, and water conservancy. It is characterized as capital, labor, and technology-intensive [2] - According to data from the China Business Industry Research Institute, the Chinese engineering machinery market is expected to reach $23.4 billion in 2024, accounting for approximately 11.0% of the global market. By 2030, it is projected to grow to $57 billion, with a CAGR of about 16%. Excavators, cranes, and loaders dominate the market, with excavator sales in the first nine months of 2025 reaching 174,039 units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% [2] - The industry chain includes upstream raw material suppliers, midstream manufacturers, and downstream applications across various sectors. The domestic market is highly concentrated, with a tiered competitive landscape. Globally, the market is characterized by a "tripartite" structure, with Chinese companies transitioning from followers to leaders [2] Development Trends - Recent years have seen the introduction of significant policies supporting the engineering machinery industry, focusing on equipment upgrades, green development, quality infrastructure, and smart manufacturing [4] - The 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes optimizing the position and competitiveness of the machinery industry in global industrial division. The industry is experiencing a wave of technological innovation centered on "intelligent, high-end, and green" advancements, with leading manufacturers driving industry upgrades through breakthrough product development [4] - Chinese companies are actively expanding into overseas markets through a strategy combining "deep localization" and "global networking," achieving notable success [4] Industry Catalysts - The number and scale of major engineering projects across the country remain high, leading to increased demand for engineering machinery. The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is expected to drive machinery procurement between 120 billion to 180 billion yuan [6]

Group 1 - Hunan Sheny Precision Components Co., Ltd. specializes in precision fasteners, supplying critical components for major engineering projects and national key equipment [1][8] - The company has achieved significant breakthroughs in domestic substitution of fasteners for key engineering machinery enterprises in Hunan, contributing to the development of advanced manufacturing [1][8] - The manufacturing industry in Hunan is seeing a rise in "small and beautiful" enterprises focusing on specialized and innovative production, aligning with the national strategy for a modern industrial system [3][6] Group 2 - The company has expanded its client base to include the automotive and road bridge industries, developing high-performance fasteners such as weather-resistant steel rivets for major projects like the Lion's Ocean Bridge [8] - Innovations in technology, such as the "automotive to aviation" conversion for low-altitude aircraft engines, are driving down costs and enhancing competitiveness in the aviation sector [3][6] - The emphasis on innovation, industrial chain integration, and high-quality production is evident across various enterprises in Hunan, with a focus on customized solutions and advanced manufacturing capabilities [6][8]

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry - **Company**: 鼎利 (Dingli) - **Industry**: Solar Energy and Equipment Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments 1. **Revenue and Profit Growth**: In the first three quarters of 2025, Dingli achieved revenue of 6.675 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.82%. Net profit reached 1.595 billion yuan, up 9.18% year-on-year. The net profit margin for Q3 was 23.19%, down 2.38 percentage points from Q2 [2][3][4] 2. **Impact of Tariffs**: The recent announcement of a 10% reduction in tariffs on solar products from China by the U.S. is expected to positively impact Dingli's future performance in the U.S. market. The company has been absorbing the increased tariffs without passing costs to customers [1][5][11] 3. **Quarterly Performance**: Q3 revenue was 2.339 billion yuan, a 2.83% year-on-year increase, but net profit decreased by 14.72% to 542 million yuan. The gross profit margin for Q3 was 36.12%, showing an 8% increase from Q2 but a decline of 1.48 percentage points year-on-year [2][3][4] 4. **Cost Management**: The company maintained stable operating expenses in Q3, with a total expense ratio of 8.74%. Sales expenses increased by nearly 30% due to tariff-related storage costs [3][4] 5. **Currency Fluctuations**: Currency exchange rate fluctuations, particularly with the U.S. dollar and Brazilian real, resulted in a loss of approximately 70 million yuan, impacting the net profit margin by 3 percentage points [3][4] 6. **Market Focus**: Dingli's revenue is expected to be predominantly from overseas markets, with an estimated 75%-80% of total revenue coming from international sales [4] 7. **Product Development**: The company is focusing on developing new products tailored for the U.S. and European markets to improve profitability and adapt to changing market conditions [8][17] 8. **Customer Engagement**: Dingli is actively engaging with customers regarding pricing adjustments for the upcoming year, influenced by tariff changes and market conditions [12][13] 9. **Market Outlook**: Despite challenges, Dingli remains optimistic about the U.S. market, especially with the recent tariff reduction news. The company anticipates a positive trend in orders and revenue growth in 2026 [14][27] 10. **European Market Strategy**: In Europe, Dingli is managing tariffs by adjusting product pricing and focusing on high-end products to mitigate the impact of tariffs on profitability [34][35] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Inventory Management**: Dingli's inventory levels are stable, with sufficient stock to meet demand in the U.S. market for the remainder of the year [45][46] 2. **Emerging Markets**: The company is seeing rapid growth in emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East and Africa, which are expected to contribute significantly to future revenue [50][51] 3. **Domestic Market Challenges**: The domestic market is facing challenges due to reduced purchases from large clients, but there is growth in sales to small and medium-sized customers [63][64] 4. **New Product Launches**: Dingli is introducing innovative products, such as robotic solutions for various applications, which are in the early stages of market introduction [67][68] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market strategies, and future outlook amidst changing tariff conditions and market dynamics.

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a positive trend in the engineering machinery sector and the company's operational efficiency [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.087 billion yuan, up 16.49% [1]. - In Q3 alone, the company recorded revenue of 2.619 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.53%, and a net profit of 658 million yuan, which is a 30.6% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. Industry Trends - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a comprehensive recovery, with excavator domestic sales and exports increasing by 21.55% and 14.61% respectively from January to September 2025 [2]. - The company's revenue growth rates for Q1 to Q3 of 2025 were 2.56%, 11.24%, and 24.53%, indicating a clear acceleration in growth [2]. Profitability - The company maintained high profitability levels, with gross and net profit margins of 41.96% and 26.85% respectively for the first three quarters of 2025, showing improvements of 0.5 percentage points and 0.98 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - In Q3, the gross margin was 42.18% and the net margin was 25.17%, reflecting increases of 0.87 percentage points and 1.18 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the linear actuator market, with a complete product lineup including precision screws, linear guides, and electric cylinders, and has developed over 50 new products while adding nearly 300 new clients [4]. - The upcoming production of humanoid robots by Tesla is expected to benefit the company's screw business, aligning with the trend of electrification in engineering machinery and opening new market opportunities [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.478 billion, 12.158 billion, and 14.17 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.807 billion, 3.347 billion, and 3.928 billion yuan, indicating continued growth [5]. - The investment rating remains strong due to the anticipated improvement in the company's fundamentals and the potential benefits from the humanoid robot industry [5].

Core Points - The fifth "Entrepreneur Day" event in Changsha was held on November 1, 2025, with the theme "Salute to Entrepreneurs, New Future of Star City," aimed at promoting entrepreneurial spirit and optimizing the business environment [1] - The event showcased typical cases of collaboration between state-owned and private enterprises, digital innovation transformation, and talent attraction to promote employment [1] Group 1: Collaboration between State-owned and Private Enterprises - Ten typical cases of collaboration were presented, including projects like the electric vortex damper development by Hunan Xiaozhen Engineering Technology Co., Ltd. and Changsha Urban Development Group Co., Ltd. [2] - Other notable projects include the construction of the Changsha Ring Film and Television Cultural Industry Park and the integrated demonstration project of new energy "light-storage-charging-inspection" [2] Group 2: Digital Innovation Transformation - Ten typical cases of digital innovation transformation were highlighted, such as the intelligent factory for electric vehicle motors by Bosch Automotive Parts (Changsha) Co., Ltd. [3] - Other projects include the smart factory for aerial work platforms by Hunan Xingbang Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. and the digital transformation project by Changsha Baitong New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. [3] Group 3: Talent Attraction and Employment Promotion - Ten typical cases of talent attraction and employment promotion were introduced, including a new model for high-level talent introduction and industry-university-research collaboration by Weisheng Group Co., Ltd. [3] - Other initiatives focus on dual-driven talent services for employment and entrepreneurship by Tuo Wei Information System Co., Ltd. and the establishment of a precise employment service platform by Changsha Yunyan Network Technology Co., Ltd. [3] Group 4: Changsha Young Entrepreneurs Cultivation Program - The list of the "Changsha Young Entrepreneurs - Evergreen Tree Cultivation Program" for 2026-2030 was released, featuring individuals from various industries such as advanced manufacturing and modern services [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The transformation of China's economy is entering a new stage, with a shift from old to new economic drivers, which is positively impacting the capital market ecosystem [1][2][7]. Economic Transformation - The transition from old to new economic drivers is seen as a trend, with the old economy's clearance benefiting the bond market and the rise of the new economy favoring the stock market [2]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to provide a foundation for long-term development, with nominal GDP growth likely to improve, leading to slight profit growth expectations [2][6]. Liquidity and Investment Trends - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year and potentially three more times next year, contributing to a globally loose liquidity environment [2][6]. - There is increasing interest from foreign investors in Chinese assets, while domestic demand for reallocation of funds from maturing deposits and wealth management products is strong, favoring various equity assets [2][6]. Market Strategy and Asset Allocation - A diversified portfolio including technology stocks, resource stocks, gold, and short-term bonds is recommended for risk diversification [3]. - The "anti-involution" theme is prevalent in the market, promoting supply-demand balance and improving the business environment, although the complexity of current supply-demand imbalances is acknowledged [4]. Market Style and Sector Focus - The market is expected to shift from small-cap and dividend stocks in the first half of the year to large-cap growth stocks in the second half, with technology and resource stocks remaining focal points [5]. - The Hong Kong stock market is more sensitive to geopolitical issues, but long-term benefits from liquidity easing due to Fed rate cuts are anticipated [5]. Long-term Market Outlook - The long-term positive outlook for the Chinese capital market is supported by the transition to new economic drivers, increased long-term capital inflows, and the introduction of stabilizing funds to reduce irrational market volatility [6][7].