东兴证券指出，在指数维持区间震荡的前提下，建议维持中等仓位，可参与市场结构性投资的机会。在 7月之前市场有望维持大的区间震荡走势，由于市场成交量维持在较低水平，市场成交难以支撑大市值 板块持续上涨，因此，市场热点轮动态势将会十分明显，即使人工智能、机器人等产业向好的主线，目 前量能情况下也难有整体性上涨基础，因此，积极参与主线轮动将是较为合理的策略。在二季度存在业 绩压力的预期下，对于低估值板块可逢低布局，随着利率持续下行，机构资金尤其是中长线资金配置的 方向仍在低估值高分红板块。一旦进入6月之后，市场开始重新回归业绩预期，低估值板块有望迎来恢 复性反弹。 中原证券认为，周三A股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在3378点 附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震荡，盘中消费电子、互联网服务、证券以及有色金属等行业表现较好； 航空机场、物流、航天航空以及化学制药等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特 征。当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为13.78倍、36.16倍，处于近三年中位数平均水平， 适合中长期布局。两市周三成交金额11776亿元，处于近三年日均成交量中位数区域上 ...

Group 1 - The proportion and influence of insurance funds in the asset management industry are increasing, with total asset management net value in China expected to reach approximately 161.1 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, a year-on-year growth of 11.8%, while insurance funds are projected to be around 33.3 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.1%, significantly higher than the industry average [1] - As of May 31, there are 1,388 combination-type insurance asset management products that disclosed nearly one year of annualized returns, with 1,222 products achieving positive returns, the highest annualized return being 62.9398% and the lowest at -45.833%. Over 75% of fixed income, equity, and mixed products have shown positive returns, indicating the strong asset allocation capabilities and stable operational levels of insurance asset management institutions [1] Group 2 - In the fixed income product category, out of 960 products that disclosed data, 900 achieved positive returns, with an average annualized return of 2.76% and a median of 2.34%. In the equity product category, among 240 disclosed products, 180 achieved positive returns, with an average return of 7.42% and a median of 5.57%. The performance of equity products is closely related to market trends, with the A-share market showing active rotation in technology and consumer sectors this year, providing structural opportunities for insurance fund investments [2] - Mixed products demonstrated a balanced advantage, with 143 out of 188 products achieving positive returns, an average return of 5.21% and a median of 3.38% [2] Group 3 - According to a recent survey by the China Insurance Asset Management Association, 50% of insurance asset management institutions and 53.57% of insurance companies hold an optimistic view of the A-share market for 2025, an increase from the second half of last year. Additionally, 52.78% of institutions and 51.19% of companies believe the A-share market will show a fluctuating upward trend this year [3] - The survey indicates that insurance institutions are optimistic about sectors such as electronics, banking, computers, public utilities, home appliances, food and beverages, communications, and national defense, focusing on new technologies, dividend assets, and high-dividend investments. Ongoing favorable policies to facilitate the entry of insurance funds and other long-term capital into the market have strengthened insurance institutions' interest and confidence in stock allocation [3]

FICC日报 | 2025-06-04 股指低开高走，金融板块表现强势 市场分析 特朗普提高关税。国内方面，美方称中方违反日内瓦会谈共识，对此，外交部发言人林剑表示，商务部发言人此 前已就此阐明中方严正立场。日内瓦共识是中美双方在相互尊重、平等协商的原则下达成的。美方在毫无事实根 据的情况下，对中方抹黑指责，出台对华芯片出口管制、暂停对华芯片设计软件销售、宣布撤销中国留学生签证 等极端打压措施，严重破坏日内瓦共识，也损害了中方正当权益。中方对此坚决反对，已提出严正交涉。林剑强 调，施压和胁迫不是同中方打交道的正确方式。我们督促美方尊重事实，停止散布虚假信息，纠正有关错误做法， 以实际行动维护双方达成的共识。海外方面，特朗普宣布将进口钢铁和铝及其衍生制品的关税从25%提高至50%， 该关税政策自美国东部时间2025年6月4日凌晨00时01分起生效。美国从英国进口的钢铝关税仍将维持在25%。 股指上涨。现货市场，A股三大指数低开高走，上证指数涨0.43%收于33631.98点，创业板指涨0.48%。行业方面， 板块指数涨多跌少，美容护理、纺织服饰、银行行业领涨，家用电器、钢铁、煤炭行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两市 成交 ...

| 纺织服饰 | 65.29 | -0.31 | -0.47 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 轻工制造 | 122.71 | -0.32 | -0.26 | | 美容护理 | 56.30 | -0.67 | -1.17 | | 商贸零售 | 209.95 | -0.72 | -0.34 | | 农林牧渔 | 251.04 | -2.30 | -0.91 | | 电子 | 2086.68 | -2.58 | -0.12 | | 银行 | 528.12 | -2.62 | -0.49 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 截至6月3日，市场最新融资余额为17926.88亿元，较上个交易日环比增加34.52亿元，分行业统计，申万 所属一级行业有22个行业融资余额增加，计算机行业融资余额增加最多，较上一日增加6.74亿元；融资 余额增加居前的行业还有医药生物、家用电器、公用事业等，融资余额分别增加6.48亿元、5.85亿元、 5.03亿元；融资余额减少的行业有9个，银行、电子、农林牧渔等行业融资余额减少较多，分别减少2.62 亿元、2. ...

6月3日沪指上涨0.43%，市场两融余额为18044.88亿元，较前一交易日增加35.42亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至6月3日，沪市两融余额9147.66亿元，较前一交易日增加15.17亿元；深 市两融余额8843.29亿元，较前一交易日增加20.26亿元；北交所两融余额53.94亿元，较前一交易日减少 224.57万元；深沪北两融余额合计18044.88亿元，较前一交易日增加35.42亿元。 | | 份 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301096 | 百诚医 | 21061.04 | 24.85 | 7.06 | 医药生物 | | | 药 | | | | | | 600350 | 山东高 | 3323.58 | 24.74 | -2.10 | 交通运输 | | | 速 | | | | | | 001326 | 联域股 | 10054.93 | 24.59 | 0.89 | 家用电器 | | | 份 | | | | | | 833943 | 优机股 | 1306.50 | 24.30 | 8.14 | 机械设备 | | | 份 | ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight rebound with all three major indices closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3361.98, up 0.43% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.14 trillion, an increase of 22.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), and Banking (up 1.98%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), and Coal (down 0.84%) [1] Concept Indices - Notable concept indices that performed well included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (up 4.23%), Cell Immunotherapy (up 3.87%), and Football Concept (up 3.56%) [2] - Underperforming concept indices included Special Steel Concept (down 0.93%) and Medical Waste Treatment (down 0.51%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound and consolidating trend, with a focus on sectors such as Finance, Pharmaceutical Biology, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Non-ferrous Metals [4] - The upcoming mid-year performance expectations are anticipated to drive structural market trends, with fundamentals becoming a key factor [4]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.43% on June 3, with 20 out of the 28 sectors in the Shenwan classification experiencing gains. The leading sectors were Beauty Care and Textile & Apparel, with increases of 3.86% and 2.53% respectively [1] - The Household Appliances sector had the largest decline, falling by 2.10%, with a net outflow of 440 million yuan in capital [1] Household Appliances Sector Analysis - In the Household Appliances sector, there were 95 stocks, with 44 rising and 43 falling. Two stocks hit the daily limit up [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflow of capital included: - United Precision: 39.76 million yuan - Sichuan Changhong: 28.99 million yuan - *ST Tongzhou: 26.59 million yuan [1] - The stocks with the largest net outflow of capital included: - Midea Group: 108 million yuan - Haier Smart Home: 79.02 million yuan - Gree Electric: 65.44 million yuan [1] Key Stock Performance in Household Appliances - Midea Group: -3.98% with a turnover rate of 0.81% and a net outflow of 107.64 million yuan [1] - Haier Smart Home: -1.24% with a turnover rate of 0.68% and a net outflow of 79.02 million yuan [1] - Gree Electric: -3.10% with a turnover rate of 1.33% and a net outflow of 65.44 million yuan [1] ETF Performance - Food and Beverage ETF (Product Code: 515170): -0.34% over the last five days, with a PE ratio of 20.98 and a net outflow of 4.46 million yuan [4] - Gaming ETF (Product Code: 159869): +2.02% over the last five days, with a PE ratio of 53.42 and a net inflow of 32.94 million yuan [4] - Cloud Computing 50 ETF (Product Code: 516630): -0.84% over the last five days, with a PE ratio of 91.52 and a net inflow of 0.058 million yuan [5]

2025 年 06 月 02 日 耐用消费产业行业研究 买入（维持评级） 行业周报 证券研究报告 国金证券研究所 分析师：赵中平（执业 S1130524050003） zhaozhongping＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：杨欣（执业 S1130522080010） yangxin1＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：王刚（执业 S1130524080001） wang_g＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：张杨桓（执业 S1130522090001） zhangyanghuan＠gjzq.com.cn 消费中观策略&投资建议 ①基本面有向好变化的低位传统核心资产，资本市场逻辑是高低切，新消费已经将表观 30-60XPE 的高标估值体 系确立，传统核心资产的估值水位也有望在流动性宽松叠加公募基准欠配背景下向上修复，尤其是在地产高频数 据企稳经济有自发筑底倾向&传统消费 25Q2 开始财报基数下降景气度增速有自发回升趋势背景下，建议关注安踏 体育，雅迪控股，裕同科技等；②坚定持有兑现度较高的新消费龙头，建议关注泡泡玛特，康耐特光学等。预计 消费类资金有望向两个方向切换；③积极拥抱新消费赛道或具备新消费思维的传统 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: "Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: The model leverages the superior performance of newly introduced gold stocks and incorporates the "Surprise Earnings Factor" (SUE factor) to select stocks with outstanding earnings surprises [26] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Use newly introduced gold stocks as the sample pool 2. Select the top 30 stocks with the highest earnings surprises based on the SUE factor 3. Weight the portfolio based on the number of recommendations from brokers **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates better performance compared to the overall gold stock portfolio, with higher annualized returns and lower maximum drawdowns [26][28] Model Backtesting Results - **Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio**: - May Return: -1.1% - 2025 YTD Return: 6.5% - Annualized Return: 19.7% - Annualized Volatility: 25.4% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.78 - Maximum Drawdown: 24.6% [28][29] - **Overall Gold Stock Portfolio**: - May Return: 0.9% - 2025 YTD Return: 5.9% - Annualized Return: 11.0% - Annualized Volatility: 23.5% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.47 - Maximum Drawdown: 42.6% [24][28] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Surprise Earnings Factor (SUE Factor) **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor identifies stocks with earnings significantly exceeding market expectations, which are likely to outperform [26] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between actual earnings and consensus estimates 2. Rank stocks based on the magnitude of earnings surprises 3. Select the top-performing stocks with the highest earnings surprises [26] **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor shows strong stock selection capabilities, particularly within newly introduced gold stocks [26] Factor Backtesting Results - **SUE Factor**: Integrated into the "Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio," contributing to its superior performance metrics compared to other portfolios [26][28]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.14% as of 10:28 AM, with a trading volume of 470.90 billion shares and a turnover of 564.58 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.56% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing industries included: - Beauty Care: Increased by 3.21% with a transaction amount of 60.32 billion yuan, up 14.82% from the previous day, led by Beitaini with a rise of 12.83% [1] - Comprehensive: Increased by 1.90% with a transaction amount of 13.55 billion yuan, up 3.98%, led by Zhangzhou Development with a rise of 4.98% [1] - Non-ferrous Metals: Increased by 1.68% with a transaction amount of 203.46 billion yuan, up 42.48%, led by Western Gold with a rise of 10.03% [1] - The worst-performing industries included: - Household Appliances: Decreased by 1.57% with a transaction amount of 86.91 billion yuan, up 13.63%, led by Gree Electric with a decline of 3.02% [2] - Steel: Decreased by 1.55% with a transaction amount of 28.09 billion yuan, up 41.91%, led by Benxi Steel with a decline of 7.23% [2] - Coal: Decreased by 1.17% with a transaction amount of 30.97 billion yuan, up 49.83%, led by China Coal Energy with a decline of 3.27% [2] Stock Performance - A total of 3,065 stocks rose, with 55 hitting the daily limit up, while 2,094 stocks fell, with 5 hitting the daily limit down [1]