Macro Strategy - The report indicates that the US non-farm payrolls for June exceeded expectations, leading to a delay in interest rate cut expectations to September. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 6.89 basis points to 4.346% during the week [1][15][17] - The ISM services PMI returned above the expansion line, reflecting strong economic data, while the unemployment rate decreased, contributing to a positive market sentiment [1][15][17] - The signing of Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill" (OBBB) increased the debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41 trillion, which may lead to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" trading pattern [1][15][17] Fixed Income - In the week of June 30 to July 4, 12 green bonds were issued in the interbank and exchange markets, totaling approximately 34.961 billion yuan, an increase of 3.531 billion yuan from the previous week [4] - The secondary market saw a total trading volume of green bonds amounting to 56.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.3 billion yuan from the previous week [4] Industry Analysis Robotics and Automation - The report highlights that the human-like robot sector is entering a year of mass production, with supply chain adjustments and component innovations being crucial. Tesla's Musk has set a production target of 5,000 to 10,000 units for the year [7][8] - The report emphasizes the importance of component innovations such as dexterous hands and lightweight materials in enhancing robot capabilities [7][8] Insurance Industry - The insurance sector is expected to see improvements on both the liability and asset sides, with low valuations and low holdings providing a balanced risk-reward profile. The estimated valuation for the insurance sector is between 0.61-0.96 times PEV and 0.98-2.21 times PB, indicating historical lows [9] REITs - The report discusses the potential of REITs in a low-interest-rate environment, highlighting the importance of policy support and structural optimization to enhance investment value. The diversification of asset types is expected to accelerate, with new assets like data centers and wind power emerging [10] Engineering Machinery - The domestic engineering machinery market is at the beginning of an upward cycle, with a projected demand growth of 0-3% for the year. The report notes that the export market remains strong, contributing to high industry sentiment [11] Unmanned Forklift Industry - The report suggests that the unmanned forklift sector is poised for rapid growth driven by AI technology and smart logistics. It recommends investing in leading companies in the smart forklift space [12] Consumer Services - The analysis of consumer spending in China indicates that the overall consumption rate is low, with both service and goods consumption needing improvement. The service consumption rate in China was 21.1% in 2019, compared to an average of 28.4% across 43 countries [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The document emphasizes the need for proactive planning and upgrading of the power grid to accommodate large-capacity charging facilities, integrating renewable energy sources like solar power and energy storage systems [1] Group 1: Policy Recommendations - The National Development and Reform Commission and three other departments have issued guidelines to promote the scientific planning and construction of large-capacity charging facilities [1] - Electric grid companies are encouraged to conduct research on the impact of large-capacity charging loads on regional distribution systems and to assess the grid's capacity for integrating these facilities [1] - There is a push for the integration of large-capacity charging facility layout planning with distribution network planning, advocating for timely upgrades and construction of the power grid [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Development - The guidelines support the creation of intelligent and orderly large-capacity charging stations, establishing efficient interaction mechanisms between these stations and the distribution network [1] - It is recommended to build solar power generation and energy storage facilities in a manner that is tailored to local conditions [1] - The document suggests exploring methods to optimize the power access capacity for intelligent large-capacity charging stations, utilizing the distribution network's off-peak capacity effectively [1] Group 3: Market Participation - Charging operation companies are encouraged to engage in electricity market trading and demand response through the adoption of new load management systems [1] - The guidelines highlight the importance of using price signals to promote the high-level consumption of clean energy by electric vehicles [1]

Group 1: Economic Overview - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated over 300 billion yuan to support the third batch of "two heavy" construction projects for 2025, completing the 800 billion yuan project list for this year [1] - Major engineering projects are accelerating in various regions, with a focus on power grid upgrades, rail transportation, and high-end energy equipment [1][5] - Infrastructure investment from January to May increased by 5.6% year-on-year, contributing 34.5% to overall investment growth [4] Group 2: Project Progress - The Beijing Urban Sub-center Station, Asia's largest underground comprehensive transportation hub, is nearing completion, with 95% of the main construction decoration finished [1] - In Lanzhou, Gansu Province, 493 projects have been planned with a total investment of 104.5 billion yuan, and 3 billion yuan in national funding has leveraged 6.6 billion yuan in investments [2] Group 3: Investment Trends - There is a notable increase in investments in new industries and models, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles, intelligent driving, and artificial intelligence [6][5] - Manufacturing investment from January to May grew by 8.5%, with high-tech manufacturing sectors like aerospace and computer equipment seeing significant increases [6] Group 4: Policy Support - The macroeconomic policies are effectively boosting confidence, with the completion of the 800 billion yuan "two heavy" project list expected to further drive investment in the second half of the year [7] - The central government's investment support in the water conservancy sector has been increased by an average of 20 percentage points, expanding the scope of support [7][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5] Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting with photovoltaic manufacturing enterprises to address issues such as chaotic competition and the exit of backward production capacity [2] - The approval of the ±800 kV DC transmission project from Inner Mongolia to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei has been granted, which will transport 36 billion kWh of green electricity annually to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [3] - Investment suggestions include focusing on TBEA and leading polysilicon companies [1] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need for comprehensive governance of low-price chaotic competition in the photovoltaic industry, aiming to enhance product quality and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity [2] Power Grid - The ±800 kV DC transmission project from Inner Mongolia to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is a key project under the national "14th Five-Year" power planning, with a total investment of 17.178 billion yuan and a length of 669 kilometers [3] Company Profit Forecasts - TBEA is projected to have a net profit of 4.13 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 6.20 billion yuan in 2025 and 7.80 billion yuan in 2026, with a PE ratio of 14.8x for 2024 [6]

转自：新华财经 6月30日，云南电网电费收款"省级集中"业务正式上线运行，中国工商银行云南省分行作为其核心合作 金融机构之一，依托其领先的数字金融能力，为云南电网量身打造了安全高效的开放银行金融服务方 案，成功助力"一省一行一户"直收模式落地，开启了云南省电费收缴的"直通车"时代。 模式创新：直收直达，工行开放银行筑基 针对长期以来电费收缴环节多、链条长、风险高等痛点，云南电网公司创新推出"一省一行一户"省级直 收模式。在指定合作银行之一工商银行设立省级电费收入专用账户，全省用电客户的电费资金将直接汇 入该省级账户，彻底改变了以往需经市、县多级账户层层归集的传统路径，实现省级资金的"一步直 达"。工商银行凭借其稳定可靠的账户管理体系和开放银行能力，为这一省级资金"大动脉"的畅通提供 了坚实的数字金融中台的支撑。 效能提升：数智赋能，效率安全大幅提质 在工商银行数字金融赋能下，省级直收新模式带来了全方位的效能提升。 编辑：赵鼎 资金流转极速化：依托工商银行先进的开放银行资金清算体系，电费资金在途时间预计可缩短80%以 上，流转效率实现飞跃，为电网安全运行和建设投资提供更及时充沛的现金流保障。 风险管控智能化：实 ...

Group 1 - The wind power industry saw a significant increase in new installations, reaching 26.32 GW in May, a year-on-year growth of 801%. Cumulatively, from January to May, new installations totaled 46.28 GW, up 134% year-on-year. Large-scale equipment deliveries in Q2 are expected to support the performance of the industry chain [1] - The solar power sector added 197.85 GW of new installations from January to May, marking a nearly 150% year-on-year increase. In May alone, 92.92 GW was added, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 105.48%. However, component production in June is expected to decline by 18%-20%, with domestic component inventory nearing 50 GW [1] - The offshore wind sector is anticipated to see improved performance as the "Marine Power Nation" strategy is enhanced and projects are rapidly advanced, with related companies expected to realize quarterly earnings [1] Group 2 - The 136 document has been officially issued in regions like Mengxi, detailing the承接方案 for the power grid sector, which is gradually refining the mechanism for new energy participation in the electricity market. The ultra-high voltage sector is expected to enter a catalytic phase [1] - The Carbon Neutrality 50 ETF tracks the Environmental 50 Index, which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd. This index selects 50 listed companies from the A-share market involved in environmental equipment, environmental governance, and clean energy, reflecting the overall performance of the environmental industry [1] - The Environmental 50 Index is characterized by high industry concentration and strong growth potential, effectively representing the development trends of the environmental industry [1]

国金证券近日发布电力设备与新能源行业研究：广大特材发布中报业绩预告，Q2业绩同 环比增长230%/69%，拉开风电板块强势半年报大幕，关注量价齐升背景下零部件业绩弹性 释放；国内5月新增风电装机26.3GW，同比+801%，环比+393%，看好下半年风电需求继续 强势。 本周重要行业事件： 风光储：《三北沙漠戈壁荒漠地区光伏治沙规划（2025-2030年）》、《上海市海洋产 业发展规划（2025-2030）征求意见稿》印发；光伏/风电5月新增装机高增；国信大丰 850MW海风项目首批机组成功并网；大金重工公告筹划赴港上市。 以下为研究报告摘要： 子行业周度核心观点： 风电：广大特材发布中报业绩预告，Q2业绩同环比增长230%/69%，拉开风电板块强势 半年报大幕，关注量价齐升背景下零部件业绩弹性释放；国内5月新增风电装机26.3GW，同 比+801%，环比+393%，看好下半年风电需求继续强势。本周我们发布风电板块中期策略， 当前时点风电板块具备值得坚定看好的短、中、长期三重逻辑，持续重点推荐。 锂电：关注液相法锂金属、液相法硫化锂环节变化。锂金属工艺路线除了压延、蒸镀 外，还有液相熔融法，相较压延法，其能制 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant growth in the photovoltaic sector, with a 150% year-on-year increase in new installations, reaching 197.85 GW from January to May 2025 [4] - Wind power installations also saw substantial growth, with a 801% year-on-year increase in May, totaling 26.32 GW, supported by policy incentives [4] - The report emphasizes the ongoing advancements in the lithium battery supply chain, particularly in solid-state battery development, indicating a strong future outlook for the sector [7] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic Sector - New installations in the photovoltaic sector reached 197.85 GW from January to May 2025, marking a 150% increase year-on-year [4] - In May alone, 92.92 GW of new capacity was added, reflecting a 105.48% month-on-month increase and a 388.03% year-on-year increase [4] - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in material innovation and high-efficiency battery technologies [4] Wind Power Sector - The report notes that wind power installations reached 46.28 GW in the first five months of 2025, a 134% year-on-year increase [4] - The significant growth in installations is expected to support the performance of companies in the supply chain during Q2 [4] - The report recommends monitoring companies involved in offshore wind projects, as government policies are expected to catalyze further growth [4] Lithium Battery Sector - Companies in the lithium battery supply chain are advancing solid-state battery technologies, with several firms achieving significant milestones in energy density and production [7] - The report highlights that Ganfeng Lithium has established a comprehensive solid-state battery layout, achieving breakthroughs in energy density and cycle life [7] - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned in the solid-state battery ecosystem and those providing innovative solutions in the supply chain [7] Energy Storage Sector - The report indicates that energy storage markets in Europe are experiencing a surge in policy support, creating structural investment opportunities [7] - Various European countries are implementing significant subsidies and regulatory changes to enhance energy storage capabilities [7] - The report recommends focusing on companies that are positioned to benefit from these developments in the energy storage market [7] Overall Industry Outlook - The report concludes that the electric power equipment industry is experiencing positive fundamental changes and potential catalysts, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [4]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the offshore wind sector, particularly highlighting the potential for significant growth in European offshore wind projects and the expected increase in orders for related companies [7][6]. Core Insights - The offshore wind sector is experiencing a positive outlook with successful project milestones, such as the Jiangsu Guoxin Dafeng offshore wind project achieving its first power delivery and aiming for grid connection [7]. - The U.S. "Great American Outdoors Act" has introduced more lenient supply chain requirements, which is expected to benefit energy storage projects significantly [8]. - The lithium battery sector is seeing a resurgence in traditional orders and advancements in solid-state battery technology, with major manufacturers receiving large-scale orders [14][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Offshore Wind - Jiangsu Guoxin Dafeng offshore wind project successfully completed its first power delivery, with expectations for initial grid connection within the month [7]. - The 2025 Offshore Wind Conference in Liaoning set a target of 13.1GW for offshore wind development, indicating strong future demand [7]. - European offshore wind demand is projected to double this year, with significant order growth anticipated [7]. Solar & Energy Storage - The U.S. Senate's version of the "Great American Outdoors Act" has relaxed certain supply chain restrictions, which is favorable for energy storage projects [8]. - After a peak in domestic installations, solar exports have rebounded, with May exports showing a month-on-month increase [8]. - The report highlights the potential for overseas markets to support solar demand in the second half of 2025 [8]. Lithium Batteries - The solid-state battery sector is moving towards industrialization, with major manufacturers receiving MWh scale orders [14]. - The report emphasizes the need for equipment upgrades in solid-state battery production, which is expected to yield higher value compared to traditional equipment [14]. - LG Energy Solution has secured an 8GWh order for cylindrical batteries from Chery, marking a significant contract in the lithium battery market [11]. New Energy Vehicles - The Chinese government has confirmed the continuation of the vehicle trade-in subsidy program, which is expected to stabilize market demand [15]. - The report notes a strong recovery in the overall vehicle market, particularly in the second half of the year, driven by new vehicle launches and subsidy support [15]. - The report anticipates a robust demand for new energy vehicles, with significant sales growth expected in the coming months [15]. Power Grid - The export of major electrical equipment has shown strong growth, with May exports reaching $6.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18% [18]. - The report highlights the ongoing demand for power grid equipment, particularly in overseas markets, which is expected to remain high [18]. - The report suggests that leading companies in the power grid sector are well-positioned to capture greater market share due to their comprehensive capabilities [20].

Macro Overview - The Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts in June, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50% while continuing quantitative tightening, which aligns with market expectations [2][3] - Economic forecasts indicate a downward adjustment in growth expectations for 2025 and 2026, with unemployment rates slightly increased, reflecting concerns over "stagflation" [3][4] - The dollar index is expected to decline further in 2025 due to tariffs, economic slowdown, and strengthening of alternative assets, stabilizing below 100 for the year [7] Home Appliances Industry - The home appliance sector is expected to benefit from long-term stability, with white goods focusing on performance consistency and increasing dividend rates, while black goods present opportunities due to enhanced global competitiveness [9][12] - The industry has seen a significant increase in the SW home appliance index, with respective gains of 3.8%, 25.4%, and 1.93% for 2023, 2024, and 2025 YTD [9][10] - The outlook for the home appliance market is cautious due to potential demand exhaustion and intensified competition, particularly in the air conditioning segment [10][11] Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is currently facing significant supply and demand pressures, with low profitability in the petrochemical sector, and a need for structural opportunities as the market stabilizes [15][16] - Brent crude oil prices are projected to range between $60-$70 per barrel in the second half of 2025, which may alleviate some cost pressures for the industry [15] - Key investment themes include domestic demand stimulation, supply-side constraints, and the domestic substitution of new materials [15][16] New Energy Sector - The new energy sector is experiencing structural differentiation, with a focus on new technologies and non-US exports, particularly in the wind and solar energy segments [18][19] - The demand for energy storage is expected to shift from policy-driven to market-driven profitability, with significant growth potential in domestic and overseas markets [20][21] - The wind energy sector is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability, driven by increased installations and demand from emerging markets [19][20] Investment Strategies - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term investment strategies, particularly in state-owned enterprises, technology, and consumer sectors, which are expected to yield stable excess returns [24][25] - The development of public funds is expected to favor long-term and passive investment strategies, with a focus on ETFs and sector-specific funds [25][26] - The report highlights the potential for significant returns through quantitative stock selection strategies based on fundamental factors [24][26]