Group 1: Core Perspectives - The article highlights the commitment of enterprises in the Yangpu Economic Development Zone towards green and low-carbon development, supported by precise tax guidance from the Danzhou Tax Bureau [1][2][3] Group 2: Green Tax System and Environmental Initiatives - The Danzhou Tax Bureau is enhancing green tax collection and management, utilizing environmental taxes and corporate income taxes to encourage companies to reduce emissions and improve efficiency [2][3] - Hainan Yisheng Petrochemical Co., as a leading enterprise in the Yangpu petrochemical industry, has increased its environmental investments and achieved a 100% compliance rate in pollution discharge and environmental facility operation [3] - The company has implemented measures such as rooftop solar panels and waste heat recovery, saving over 100,000 tons of standard coal annually [3] Group 3: Traditional Industry Transformation - The Danzhou Tax Bureau is promoting the transformation of traditional industries, such as energy and water supply, towards low-carbon development through targeted policies and green tax systems [4] - Yangpu New Energy Development Co. is utilizing agricultural waste for biomass heating, producing 90,000 tons of steam annually and generating over 200 million yuan in revenue [4] Group 4: Industrial Park Development - The Danzhou Tax Bureau is focusing on transforming industrial parks into zero-carbon demonstration zones, promoting the use of renewable energy sources like solar and wind power [5] - The Yangpu International Smart Supply Chain Center has achieved carbon neutrality and annually saves approximately 1,328 tons of standard coal while reducing carbon emissions by 1,473 tons [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the production statistics of petroleum coke in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region for August 2025, indicating a decrease in production compared to the previous year [1] - In August 2025, the petroleum coke production reached 42,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, but with an increase in growth rate by 1.4 percentage points compared to the same month last year [1] - The production in Guangxi accounted for 1.6% of the national petroleum coke production of 2,549,000 tons during the same period [1] Group 2 - From January to August 2025, the total petroleum coke production in Guangxi was 216,000 tons, showing a significant year-on-year decrease of 36.7% [1] - The growth rate for the first eight months of 2025 was 39.7 percentage points lower than the same period last year, and 32.1 percentage points lower than the national average [1] - Guangxi's production during this period represented 1.0% of the national total petroleum coke production of 2,083,100 tons [1]

Core Viewpoint - The petroleum coke market in China is expected to experience strong fluctuations in 2026, with a structural differentiation in supply and demand, particularly in the low-sulfur coke market, which is likely to remain tight [1] Market Performance - In 2025, the petroleum coke market exhibited a significant upward trend, with prices rising from 1615 RMB/ton on January 1 to 2598.25 RMB/ton by December 31, marking an annual increase of 60.88% [2] - The market followed an "M" shaped trajectory, with a notable price surge before the Spring Festival due to reduced supply and increased downstream stocking demand [2] - In the first half of 2025, prices fluctuated downwards as imported petroleum coke arrived at ports, leading to increased inventory and a cautious demand outlook from downstream buyers [2][3] Supply Dynamics - The growth rate of new petroleum coke production capacity is expected to slow down in 2026, resulting in limited supply increases [5] - Analysts indicate that the rapid expansion phase for delayed coking units ended in 2022, with new capacity growth from 2026 to 2030 expected to be significantly lower than the previous cycle [6] - The total new capacity for delayed coking units from 2026 to 2030 is projected to be 9.5 million tons, primarily concentrated in East China, with most projects likely to be completed between 2027 and 2028 [7] Demand Trends - The demand for petroleum coke is anticipated to grow strongly, driven by stable demand in the aluminum carbon industry and increasing orders for negative electrode materials in energy storage and power applications [8] - The calcination process remains the most critical intermediary step for petroleum coke, with significant demand from downstream industries such as prebaked anodes and graphite electrodes [8] - The negative electrode materials market is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with 2025 production reaching approximately 2.95 million tons and a utilization rate of 77.6% [9] Price Outlook - The supply tightness in low-sulfur coke is expected to lead to sustained high prices, while medium-sulfur coke will rely on traditional industrial demand, and high-sulfur coke prices are likely to remain low due to fuel substitution effects [10] - Overall, the petroleum coke prices in 2026 are projected to exhibit a strong fluctuating trend, with further structural differentiation anticipated [10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply side shows that in February 2026, the domestic refinery asphalt production plan was 1.023 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.30%. The sample capacity utilization rate was 26.1266%, a month - on - month decrease of 1.20 percentage points. The sample enterprise output was 436,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.38%. The refinery reduced production this week, alleviating supply pressure, and the supply pressure is expected to decrease next week [7]. - On the demand side, the overall demand is currently below the historical average. The cost side shows that the daily asphalt processing profit decreased by 1040.00% month - on - month, while the weekly Shandong refinery delayed coking profit increased by 5.51% month - on - month. The difference between asphalt and delayed coking profit increased. With the strengthening of crude oil, short - term cost support is expected to strengthen [8]. - The main logic is that the supply pressure remains high, and the demand recovery is weak. The main risk points are the change in crude oil price trends and the trend of the profit difference between asphalt and coking products [13][14]. - The market is expected to be in a narrow - range shock in the short term, with the asphalt 2604 contract oscillating between 3309 - 3377 [9]. 3. Summary According to the Catalog 3.1 Daily Views - **Supply**: In February 2026, the domestic refinery asphalt production plan was 1.023 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.30%. The sample capacity utilization rate was 26.1266%, a month - on - month decrease of 1.20 percentage points. The sample enterprise output was 436,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.38%. The refinery reduced production this week, alleviating supply pressure, and the supply pressure is expected to decrease next week [7]. - **Demand**: The overall demand is currently below the historical average. The heavy - traffic asphalt开工率 was 24.5%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.04 percentage points; the construction asphalt开工率 was 3.3%, unchanged month - on - month; the modified asphalt开工率 was 4.6163%, a month - on - month decrease of 1.10 percentage points; the road - modified asphalt开工率 was 9%, a month - on - month decrease of 5.00 percentage points; the waterproofing membrane开工率 was 15%, a month - on - month decrease of 3.00 percentage points [8]. - **Cost**: The daily asphalt processing profit was 88.21 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 1040.00%. The weekly Shandong refinery delayed coking profit was 81.8643 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 5.51%. The difference between asphalt and delayed coking profit increased. With the strengthening of crude oil, short - term cost support is expected to strengthen [8]. - **Market Outlook**: The market is expected to be in a narrow - range shock in the short term, with the asphalt 2604 contract oscillating between 3309 - 3377 [9]. 3.2 Fundamental/Position Data - **Price and Spread**: The report provides the closing prices, price changes, and basis of various asphalt futures contracts, as well as some inter - month spreads [15]. - **Inventory**: Social inventory was 938,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 5.16%; factory inventory was 583,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.15%; port diluted asphalt inventory was 1.01 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 20.24% [9][17]. - **Production and Sales**: The weekly output of sample enterprises was 436,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.38%. The weekly shipment volume was 211,600 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.32% [17]. - **Profit**: The daily asphalt processing profit decreased by 1040.00% month - on - month, while the weekly Shandong refinery delayed coking profit increased by 5.51% month - on - month [17]. - **Downstream Demand**: The overall downstream demand is currently below the historical average, with varying degrees of decline in the开工率 of different types of asphalt [8].

Core Viewpoint - The petroleum coke market in China is expected to experience strong fluctuations in 2026, with a structural differentiation in supply and demand, particularly in the low-sulfur coke segment, which is likely to remain tight [1] Group 1: Market Performance in 2025 - In 2025, the petroleum coke market exhibited a significant upward trend, with the price rising from 1615 RMB/ton on January 1 to 2598.25 RMB/ton by December 31, marking an annual increase of 60.88% [2] - The price surge was driven by supply constraints and increased downstream stocking demand, particularly before the Spring Festival, leading to a tight supply situation [2][3] - In the first half of 2025, prices fluctuated due to an influx of imported petroleum coke and a cautious demand outlook from downstream sectors [2] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - Analysts predict a slowdown in the growth of new petroleum coke production capacity in 2026, with limited supply increases expected [5] - The peak period for delayed coking capacity expansion ended in 2022, and the new cycle from 2026 to 2030 will see a significant reduction in the pace of capacity growth [5] - New capacity additions are primarily focused on refinery upgrades, with a projected total of 9.5 million tons of new delayed coking capacity expected from 2026 to 2030, mainly in East China [5] Group 3: Demand Trends - The demand for petroleum coke is expected to remain strong, driven by stable needs in the aluminum carbon industry and increasing orders for negative electrode materials in energy storage and power applications [6] - The calcination process remains the most critical intermediary for petroleum coke, with significant growth anticipated in the calcined coke sector from 2026 to 2027 [6] - The negative electrode materials market is projected to continue its growth trajectory, with a production volume of approximately 2.95 million tons in 2025 and a utilization rate of 77.6% [6][7] Group 4: Price Outlook - The price of low-sulfur coke is expected to remain high due to tight supply, while medium-sulfur coke will rely on traditional industrial demand, and high-sulfur coke prices are likely to stay low due to fuel substitution effects [7] - Overall, the petroleum coke prices in 2026 are anticipated to show a strong fluctuating trend, with further structural differentiation expected [7]

Core Viewpoint - Karamay Petrochemical Company (referred to as KPC) reported a year-on-year increase of 40,000 tons in crude oil processing for January, achieving the highest monthly processing volume for the same period in history [1] Group 1: Production Performance - KPC's main products, including lubricants, base oils, and white oils, exceeded production and sales plans [1] - Specialty product output increased by 8.64% year-on-year, while petroleum coke production rose by 17.8% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Operational Strategies - The company has optimized production by advancing "molecular refining," expanding crude oil resources, and optimizing the structure of incoming materials [1] - KPC strictly implements 24-hour control of production issues and three disciplinary management measures to ensure stable and optimal operation of its facilities [1] Group 3: Risk Management - The company has strengthened responsibility and system control, regularly conducting risk identification, early warning, management, and hidden danger investigation and remediation [1] - These measures provide a solid guarantee for a successful start to production and operations in the new year [1]

【冠通期货研究报告】 沥青日报：震荡运行 发布日期：2026年2月10日 【行情分析】 供应端，上周沥青开工率环比回落1.0个百分点至24.5%，较去年同期高了0.1个百分点，处于近 年同期偏低水平。据隆众资讯数据，2026年2月份国内沥青预计排产193.6万吨，环比减少6.4万吨， 减幅为3.2%，同比减少13.5万吨，减幅为6.5%。上周，临近春节，沥青下游各行业开工率多数下跌， 其中道路沥青开工环比下跌5个百分点至9%。上周，山东地区在价格上涨后终端需求疲软，其出货量 减少较多，全国出货量环比减少1.33%至21.16万吨，处于中性偏低水平。沥青炼厂库存率环比小幅下 降，处于近年来同期的最低位。委内瑞拉重质原油流向国内地炼严重受限，这将影响国内沥青的生 产和成本，有消息称大型贸易商维多中国报价委内瑞拉原油贴水5美元/桶，这比2025年12月份的贴 水13美元/桶大幅缩小，市场消息称Reliance采购约200万桶委油、4月到港，对布伦特折价约-6.50美 元/桶，国内炼厂获得委内瑞拉原油的可能性增加，但预计还是较美国介入前大幅下降，关注国内炼 厂原料短缺情况。本周齐鲁石化、岚桥石化等炼厂复产沥青，沥青开 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Geopolitical risks have expanded and volatility has intensified. The asphalt futures market has followed the fluctuations of crude oil. The demand in various regions has gradually weakened with the cooling of the weather and the approaching of the Spring Festival. However, supported by low inventory and low supply, the spot prices in various regions have remained basically stable, and the supply-demand imbalance in the off - season is becoming more apparent. There are still concerns about the long - term raw material shortage and cost increase in asphalt production [4]. - The trading strategies are as follows: for single - side trading, expect high - level fluctuations and consider going long on BU2606 at low prices; for arbitrage, pay attention to the spread between going long on BU and going short on LU; for options, adopt a wait - and - see approach [6]. Summary by Directory 1. Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies - **Comprehensive Analysis**: Geopolitical risks lead to increased volatility in the asphalt market, which follows crude oil prices. Demand weakens in the off - season, but low inventory and supply support stable spot prices. There are concerns about future raw material shortages and cost increases [4]. - **Trading Strategies**: Single - side trading: high - level fluctuations, go long on BU2606 at low prices; Arbitrage: focus on the spread of going long on BU and going short on LU; Options: wait - and - see [6]. 2. Core Logic Analysis - **Southern Demand and Refinery Price Support**: There is still demand in the South, leading some refineries to support prices. This week, the asphalt price in Shandong decreased by 10 yuan/ton, while prices in other regions increased by 5 - 115 yuan/ton. The cost of crude oil and the asphalt futures market are performing well, and there is some rush - work demand in the South. Low refinery operating rates are beneficial for social inventory sales [12]. - **Stable Spot Prices and Rising Futures Prices**: Geopolitical instability makes the crude oil cost fluctuate widely. Chinese refineries are seeking alternative raw materials, leading to an increase in feedstock costs. As of February 6, the theoretical processing profit of asphalt refineries was - 78.4 yuan/ton, a decrease of 41.6 yuan/ton from last week. This week, the asphalt futures price rose in a volatile manner, while the spot market price remained stable [15]. - **Slight Decline in Asphalt Operating Rate**: The overall asphalt operating rate decreased slightly. Different regions had different changes in operating rates due to factors such as production adjustments in individual refineries [17][18]. - **Low Refinery Inventory**: The refinery inventory remained at a low level. The inventory in different regions changed due to factors such as production, demand, and contract delivery [20][21]. - **Increased Social Inventory**: Social inventory increased steadily due to winter storage resource warehousing. However, there was still some rush - work demand in the South, which affected the local inventory level [23]. 3. Weekly Data Tracking - **Industrial Chain Data**: It includes data on spot and futures prices, spreads, and profits. For example, on February 6, 2026, the closing price of the asphalt main contract was 3386 yuan/ton, and the Brent 15:00 closing price was 68.36 US dollars/barrel. The operating rate of refineries was 31.62%, the refinery inventory rate was 23.95%, and the social inventory rate was 25.63% [26].

研究所 燃料油研发报告 第一部分 相关数据 F03108405 Z0021537 @chinastock.com.cn | 研究员： | | | 2026/2/9 | 2026/2/6 | 2026/2/2 | 2026/1/12 | Δ日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 吴晓蓉 | | FU主力 | 2794 | 2831 | 2679 | 2461 | -37 | | 期货从业证号： | | FU主力持仓(万手) | 28.1 | 28.3 | 12.2 | 23.4 | -0.1 | | | | FU仓单(吨) | 9930 | 9930 | 44540 | 79450 | 0 | | F03108405 | | LU主力 | 3248 | 3298 | 3128 | 3026 | -50 | | 投资咨询从业证号： | | LU主力持仓(万手） | 7.0 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 7.8 | -0.6 | | Z0021537 | | LU仓单 | 23140 | 23140 | 27860 | 22760 | 0 | | ...

冠通期货研究报告 --沥青周报 研究咨询部苏妙达 执业资格证号：F03104403/Z0018167 发布时间：2026年2月9日 投资有风险，入市需谨慎，本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明。 分析师苏妙达：F03104403/Z0018167 投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 行情分析 供应端，上周沥青开工率环比回落1.0个百分点至24.5%，较去年同期高了0.1个百分点，处于近年同期偏低水平。据隆众资讯 数据，2026年2月份国内沥青预计排产193.6万吨，环比减少6.4万吨，减幅为3.2%，同比减少13.5万吨，减幅为6.5%。上周，临近 春节，沥青下游各行业开工率多数下跌，其中道路沥青开工环比下跌5个百分点至9%。上周，山东地区在价格上涨后终端需求疲软， 其出货量减少较多，全国出货量环比减少1.33%至21.16万吨，处于中性偏低水平。沥青炼厂库存率环比小幅下降，处于近年来同期 的最低位。委内瑞拉重质原油流向国内地炼严重受限，这将影响国内沥青的生产和成本，有消息称大型贸易商维多中国报价委内瑞 拉原油贴水5美元/桶，这比2025年12月份的贴水13美元/桶大幅缩小，印度石油公司高管表示， ...