Core Insights - Morgan Asset Management has released its "2026 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions" report, marking the 30th consecutive year of publication, maintaining a steady outlook for asset returns despite global market volatility [1] - The report forecasts a 7.7% annualized return for Chinese A-shares in USD over the next 10-15 years, driven by economic resilience, stronger shareholder return policies, and potential valuation upside [1] Group 1: Long-Term Return Projections - The long-term return outlook for Chinese A-shares is positive, with an expected annualized return of 7.7% in USD over the next 10-15 years [1] - Key drivers for this optimistic outlook include the resilience of economic growth, profit growth, and the gradual clarification of risk factors [1] - Enhanced shareholder return policies, such as encouraging share buybacks and strengthening cash dividends, are expected to support long-term returns for A-shares [1] Group 2: Asset Allocation Strategies - Incorporating alternative assets into investment portfolios has become an effective way to enhance returns, reduce volatility, and significantly improve the Sharpe Ratio [2] - The global public fund market remains optimistic about long-term return prospects, supported by corporate profit resilience and technological innovation [2] - Notable governance reforms in East Asian markets, including China and South Korea, are improving capital returns by aligning corporate strategies with shareholder interests [2]

Core Insights - The report by CITIC Financial Holdings indicates that China's asset management industry reached a cumulative scale of 179.33 trillion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting an 8.21% growth compared to the end of the previous year [1] Industry Overview - The wealth management sector grew by 7.28% year-on-year, while public fund scale increased by 11.91%, indicating steady growth across major sectors [1] - The performance of major public fund indices showed divergence, with equity fund indices and stock-type fund indices performing strongly, both exceeding an annualized return of 135% [1] Fund Performance - In the first three quarters of the year, the number of ordinary stock-type funds reached 584, achieving a return of 181.57% [1] - The number of passive index stock funds and enhanced index stock funds was 2,259 and 432, with returns of 175.05% and 144.35%, respectively [1] - Flexible allocation funds and convertible bond funds had 1,352 and 40 products, yielding returns of 151.68% and 70.54% respectively [1]

Group 1 - The local asset management company (AMC) in Henan has acquired non-performing assets from three rural commercial banks for a total transfer price exceeding 5.2 billion yuan [1][2] - In 2024, the regulatory policies are focused on guiding AMCs to participate in risk resolution for small and medium financial institutions, highlighting the growing importance and business potential of local AMCs [1][4] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the non-performing loan balance of commercial banks in China reached 35,224.78 billion yuan, an increase of 2,432.85 billion yuan from the beginning of the year, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.52%, up by 0.02 percentage points [1] Group 2 - Zhongyuan Asset Management Co., Ltd. has signed agreements to acquire non-performing assets from three banks, with transfer prices of 2.21 billion yuan, 1.56 billion yuan, and 1.50 billion yuan respectively [2] - In addition to recent acquisitions, Zhongyuan Asset has previously signed agreements for non-performing asset acquisitions totaling 1.947 billion yuan and 1.72 billion yuan [2] - The average discount rates for non-performing asset transfers are generally below 10% for batch personal business, below 45% for single corporate business, and below 25% for batch corporate business [3] Group 3 - Zhongyuan Asset is a provincial-level local AMC in Henan with a registered capital of 13 billion yuan, focusing on preventing and resolving financial risks while supporting the development of the real economy [3] - Henan Asset Management Co., Ltd. has also participated in risk resolution for local small and medium financial institutions, acquiring non-performing assets from two banks for 1.666 billion yuan and 1.456 billion yuan [3] - The AMC industry is capital-intensive, requiring significant funds for acquiring non-performing assets, with long repayment cycles for subsequent recovery and disposal [5] Group 4 - The banking industry in China has disposed of over 3 trillion yuan in non-performing assets in recent years, maintaining a stable overall non-performing loan ratio [5] - The financial regulatory authority has emphasized the need for banks to increase their efforts in disposing of non-performing assets, with a total disposal amount exceeding 3 trillion yuan in 2024 [4][5] - The bond market has become an important financing channel for local AMCs, with a noticeable increase in net financing due to declining interest rates in 2024 [5]

Core Insights - The global asset management industry is projected to grow from $139 trillion in 2024 to $200 trillion by 2030, with private equity becoming a significant revenue contributor, expected to account for over half of the industry's income within five years [1][2]. Group 1: Private Equity Market Growth - The private equity market is anticipated to generate $432 billion in revenue by 2030, surpassing the combined revenue of traditional active and passive investment products [1]. - Factors driving the rapid expansion of the private equity market include investor demand for higher returns, increased accessibility for retail investors, and a decline in public market IPOs [2][3]. Group 2: Traditional Asset Management Challenges - Despite the growth in asset size, the profitability of the asset management industry is under pressure, with 89% of firms experiencing profit challenges over the past five years [4]. - Profit margins have decreased by 19% since 2018 and are expected to decline by an additional 9% by 2030, primarily due to rising costs and the growth of low-fee passive funds [4]. - The rapid growth of passive funds is projected to increase from approximately $40 trillion to $70 trillion by 2030, further compressing overall fee levels in the industry [4]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts in the Industry - Companies are encouraged to innovate and restructure their business models to remain competitive, as the winners will be those that adapt quickly rather than those that simply accumulate assets [5].

人民财讯11月24日电，摩根资产管理正式发布《2026长期资本市场假设》，报告指出，60/40美元股债 投资组合（60% MSCI综合世界指数+40%美国综合债券指数）在未来10至15年的预测年回报率为 6.4%，依然具吸引力。摩根资产管理环球多资产策略师盛楠表示，中国A股长期回报前景良好，根据此 次新发布的报告，在未来10-15年预计年化回报率为7.7%（以美元计价）。这一预期主要基于三大驱动 因素：一、经济增长的长期韧性，盈利增长的韧性与风险因素的逐步明朗化，为风险资产提供了上行空 间；二、更有力的增强股东回报政策，包括鼓励股份回购，强化现金分红。 ...

Core Insights - The private equity market is projected to generate over half of the wealth management industry's revenue by 2030, driven by increasing competition in private debt, equity, and infrastructure sectors [1][3] - PwC's report indicates that by 2030, the asset and wealth management industry will derive approximately $432 billion in revenue from private assets, surpassing the combined revenue of traditional active and passive investment products [1] - Traditional fund companies are increasingly acquiring or partnering with private market firms to strengthen their positions in the crowded private equity market [1] Industry Trends - The asset management industry is facing continuous pressure on fees from traditional stocks, bonds, money markets, and multi-asset funds, with nearly 60% of surveyed institutional investors indicating they might switch managers due to cost concerns [3] - Despite high costs, both active and passive management fees are expected to decline, as traditional cost-cutting measures have had limited effectiveness [3] - The integration of technology, particularly artificial intelligence and automation, is seen as a crucial step for asset management firms to transform their business models and enhance resilience by 2030 [3]

Core Insights - Franklin Templeton's XRP ETF has been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange Arca under the ticker symbol XRPZ [1] - The ETF will charge an annual net management fee of 0.19% and will waive fees for the first $5 billion in assets until May 31, 2026 [1] - Prior to this, Canary Capital and Bitwise Asset Management have launched their own spot XRP ETFs [1]

Group 1: Market Trends - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a significant increase in financing, with a total of HKD 250.5 billion raised as of November 19, 2025, representing a 172.44% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The "fixed income +" funds have performed exceptionally well this year, with returns reaching up to 45%, and the industry expects a return of 2%-5.5% for next year [4] - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market has rebounded significantly, with 69 new FOFs established this year, raising a total of CNY 69.236 billion, the highest in three years [7] Group 2: Pension and Financial Products - The personal pension system has achieved notable success in its three years of implementation, with 72.79 million accounts opened and over 1,245 products available, covering savings, insurance, funds, and wealth management [3] - Banks are increasingly focusing on the pension finance sector as a new growth area, especially in light of declining demand for traditional real estate and infrastructure loans [2] Group 3: Fund Management and Performance - The ETF market has reached a new high, with total market size at CNY 5.7 trillion and bond ETFs surpassing CNY 710 billion [5] - The public fund industry has seen significant changes in management, with 153 companies undergoing executive changes this year, indicating a dynamic shift in leadership [8]

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock has achieved a record high in assets under management (AUM) of $13.46 trillion, a 17% year-over-year increase, with its iShares ETF platform surpassing $5 trillion in assets, maintaining its leading position in the ETF market [2][3]. Group 1: BlackRock's Crypto Asset Strategy - BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT) has surpassed $100 billion, making it the fastest ETF to reach this milestone and the most profitable product for the company [3][18]. - The company holds approximately 800,000 Bitcoins, making it one of the largest institutional holders of Bitcoin, with a market value of around $100 billion [18]. - BlackRock is also expanding into Ethereum ETFs, which have reached $17 billion in assets [3]. Group 2: Tokenization Ambitions - BlackRock aims to tokenize all its financial assets using blockchain technology, having already tokenized a money market fund called the BUIDL Fund, which has reached $2.8 billion in size [5][6]. - CEO Larry Fink stated that tokenization could be a crucial factor in the evolution of the global financial system, allowing seamless conversion between cash, stocks, and bonds without intermediaries [6][19]. - The company is planning to accelerate the tokenization of its $5.3 trillion ETF assets, integrating them into digital wallets [6][38]. Group 3: Historical Context and Competitive Landscape - BlackRock's shift towards crypto assets began in 2020, influenced by a global trust crisis in the monetary system and increasing demand for Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation [24][25]. - The company has strategically positioned itself in the crypto space, contrasting with competitors like Vanguard, which has maintained a cautious stance towards crypto assets [22][34]. - BlackRock's proactive approach has allowed it to capture significant market share in the crypto asset space, particularly in Bitcoin ETFs, which have become a major revenue source for the firm [34][44]. Group 4: Future Implications of Tokenization - The potential for tokenization to reshape the financial landscape is significant, as it could lower investment barriers and enhance liquidity for traditionally illiquid assets [42][43]. - Tokenization may lead to a transformation in how financial transactions are conducted, reducing costs and increasing efficiency through smart contracts and blockchain technology [43][44]. - However, the transition to a fully tokenized financial system will be gradual, facing regulatory, technological, and market acceptance challenges [50].

Core Insights - BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, reported a record AUM of $13.46 trillion for Q3 2025, a 17% year-over-year increase, with its iShares ETF platform surpassing $5 trillion in assets [1][3] - The company's aggressive expansion into the cryptocurrency sector, particularly with its Bitcoin ETF (iShares Bitcoin Trust, IBIT) surpassing $100 billion in assets, positions BlackRock as a leading institutional player in the crypto market [3][17] - BlackRock aims to tokenize its financial assets using blockchain technology, with the BUIDL fund already reaching $2.8 billion, indicating a strategic shift towards digital asset integration [4][41] Group 1: BlackRock's Financial Performance - BlackRock's AUM reached $13.46 trillion, marking a historical high and a 17% increase year-over-year [1] - The iShares ETF platform's assets exceeded $5 trillion, maintaining its leadership in the ETF market [1][3] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Strategy - BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) became the fastest ETF to reach $100 billion in assets, making it the company's most profitable product [3][17] - The firm holds approximately 800,000 Bitcoins, making it one of the largest institutional holders of Bitcoin [3][17] - BlackRock's Ethereum ETF has also gained traction, reaching $17 billion in assets [3] Group 3: Tokenization Initiatives - BlackRock is actively pursuing the tokenization of its financial products, with the BUIDL fund being a significant step, currently valued at $2.8 billion [4][41] - CEO Larry Fink emphasized that tokenization could revolutionize the global financial system, allowing seamless asset conversion without intermediaries [4][41] - The company plans to digitize a significant portion of its $5.3 trillion ETF assets, enhancing liquidity and accessibility for investors [4][41] Group 4: Market Context and Competitors - BlackRock's shift towards cryptocurrency and tokenization comes amid increasing competition from firms like Vanguard, which has historically resisted crypto investments [23][38] - The firm’s proactive stance on crypto contrasts with competitors who remain skeptical or passive regarding digital assets [18][19] - BlackRock's strategic moves in the crypto space have catalyzed a broader institutional acceptance of cryptocurrencies, influencing market dynamics [16][17]