金十数据6月25日讯，摩根士丹利发报告指，上调紫金矿业(02899.HK)目标价7.3%，从23.4港元升至25.1 港元，维持增持评级。基于2025年第一季度该公司的数据，大摩调整2025—2026年对Kamoa铜矿厂产量 预测为40万吨，上调对平均销售单价/金价的比率。大摩上调对该公司2025—2027年每股盈利预测1%， 4%和5%，至1.56元人民币、1.7元人民币和1.65元人民币。 摩根士丹利上调紫金矿业目标价7% 维持增持评级 ...

期货日报网讯（记者 姚宜兵）2025年6月19日，海南证监局、海南省委金融办和海南省气象局联合指 导，大连商品交易所、郑州商品交易所主办，金元期货股份有限公司、中国上市公司协会、海南上市公 司协会、海南基金业协会支持，海南证券期货业协会承办的"期货赋能海南自贸港企业发展，助力实体 经济高质量前行" 会议在海口成功举办，本次会议汇集嘉宾及客户近三百人，共商期货市场服务自贸港 建设的创新路径。 政企联动，强化期货市场功能定位 会议聚焦海南自贸港封关运作背景下的产业机遇与挑战，海南证监局副局长董茹意指出，截至目前，国 内上市期货及期权品种达 146 个，覆盖农产品、能源、金融等领域，2024 年海南辖区期货公司客户数 同比增长 30%，成交额增长超 200%，期货市场在服务天然橡胶、原油等产业中成效显著。海南省气象 局副局长蔡亲波强调，海南已建成陆海空综合气象观测体系，需推动金融与气象数据融合，如大商所与 中央气象台联合发布的温度指数已应用于农业、能源等领域，为台风、高温等气象风险提供对冲工具。 交易所政策助力产业发展，创新服务自贸港特色产业 大连商品交易所相关负责人表示，大商所构建了22个期货品种+17个期权的产 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Western Mining Industry and Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Western Mining, specifically focusing on the copper and lithium mining sectors, including the Yulong Mine and its upcoming projects [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Yulong Mine Phase III Project**: - Expected to commence construction in the second half of this year and reach production by the end of next year [2][3]. - Projected ore processing capacity will reach 30 million tons, with copper-gold output estimated at 180,000 to 200,000 tons by 2027 [2][3]. - Total investment for the project is approximately 5 billion yuan, with 2 billion yuan allocated for tailings pond construction [3]. - **Copper Production Forecast**: - Copper production is expected to remain stable at around 170,000 tons for this year and next [2][4]. - After the completion of the Phase III project, total copper metal capacity is anticipated to approach 370,000 tons by 2028 [2][5]. - **Cost Structure**: - The cost for the Phase III project is expected to stabilize at approximately 31,000 yuan per ton [2][6]. - **Smelting Business Performance**: - The main smelting products include copper, lead, and zinc, with no long-term procurement agreements in place [2][8]. - Currently facing losses at a price of -43 USD, indicating a struggle to break even [2][8]. - **By-products and Sales**: - The company plans to produce 6 tons of gold and 430 tons of silver this year, with a clearer profit outlook expected after the second quarter sales [2][9]. - **Wild Horse Battery Processing Fees**: - Processing fees for copper, zinc, and lead are reported at 4,800 yuan/ton, 3,800-4,000 yuan/ton, and 1,000-1,100 yuan/ton respectively [2][10]. - Improvement in processing fees is expected to help reduce losses in the smelting segment, with more noticeable effects in the second quarter [2][10]. - **Lithium Mining Operations**: - The company holds a stake in Dongtai Lithium Mine, which has a production capacity of 12,000 to 15,000 tons of lithium carbonate annually, contributing approximately 160 million yuan in profit [2][13]. - The cost of production at Dongtai Lithium Mine is stable at 34,000 to 35,000 yuan per ton, with a profit margin of over 10,000 yuan per ton based on current market prices [2][13]. - **Expansion Plans for Dongtai Lithium Mine**: - The company is urging Dongtai Lithium Mine to accelerate its expansion plans, which are expected to progress quickly due to resolved infrastructure issues [2][14]. - **Shareholder Returns and Dividend Policy**: - The company has established a shareholder return plan with a minimum average dividend payout ratio of 30% over the next three years [2][15]. Additional Important Information - The smelting business is currently not utilizing scrap copper, with a total capacity of 350,000 tons split between two production units [2][12]. - The overall copper processing industry has seen some shutdowns this year, which has contributed to a recovery in processing fees [2][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resilience of mineral products despite potential disruptions from geopolitical tensions and trade policies, highlighting key factors that will influence the market through 2026. Group 1: Geopolitical and Trade Dynamics - The Iran/Israel conflict could significantly impact energy prices and the broader commodity complex, with the Strait of Hormuz being crucial for global oil and gas supply [1][6][7] - The U.S.-China trade dispute has previously negatively affected most mineral products, but current raw material trends are independent due to China's stimulus policies [1][3] - European stimulus plans, particularly Germany's focus on large project spending, may accelerate by 2026 [1][2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - Supply constraints are supporting prices for copper, aluminum, silver, and platinum [2][11] - The U.S. budget resolution will be critical for U.S. interest rates, the dollar, and gold prices, with potential for gold to reach $4,000 per ounce if high deficits coincide with increased volatility [2][5][11] - A decline in London Metal Exchange inventories raises the risk of copper short squeezes in the short term [3][11] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Price Projections - Despite macroeconomic volatility, metals are showing resilience, supported by strong demand from China and potential European recovery [6][11] - The article suggests that gold needs a trigger, such as rising U.S. budget deficits and increased volatility, to attract buyers back to the market [4][5][11] - Platinum prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints and recovering demand from jewelry and automotive sectors [5][11]

Group 1 - The extension of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has led to significant price volatility, with cobalt prices experiencing a sharp drop of 6,000 yuan to 250,000 yuan per ton on June 24 [1][2] - The DRC's export ban, initially imposed for four months on February 24, has now been extended to seven months, causing a consensus in the industry that this will only result in temporary supply constraints [1][2] - The DRC accounts for 76% of global cobalt production, with a projected output of 220,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a 25% year-on-year increase [2][3] Group 2 - The market is currently experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with high inventory levels leading to price corrections, as cobalt prices fell to 230,000 yuan per ton due to domestic producers offloading stock [2][4] - The extension of the export ban is expected to create upward pressure on cobalt prices, potentially leading to a supply shortage in the cobalt industry, with predictions of a shift from a surplus of 50,000 tons to a shortage of 78,000 tons by 2025 [3][4] - The upstream sector is showing reluctance to sell, while the downstream sector remains cautious, with cobalt hydroxide imports from the DRC only slightly declining by 6.8% [4][5] Group 3 - The lithium cobalt oxide market is currently stable, with companies adopting a "just-in-time" purchasing strategy due to insufficient demand, despite rising costs [6] - The shift towards lithium iron phosphate batteries is accelerating, with projections indicating that they will account for 72% of installed capacity by 2024, which may limit cobalt demand growth [6] - Companies like Huanray Cobalt and Huayou Cobalt have shown mixed financial performance, with Huanray Cobalt's net profit declining significantly in recent years, while Huayou Cobalt reported a substantial increase in net profit in early 2025 [6]

（以上内容为金融界基于公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，不作为投资建议或交易依据。） 本文源自：金融界 作者：港股君 资金流向方面，当日主力流入3.245万港元，流出23.758万港元，净流出20.51万港元。 奥威控股有限公司('本公司'或'公司')最初依据英属处女群岛法律,于二零一一年一月十四日在英属处女 群岛注册成立,于二零一三年五月二十三日由英属处女群岛迁册至开曼群岛。本公司于二零一三年十一 月二十八日在香港联合交易所有限公司('香港联交所')主板挂牌上市(股份代码1370)。本公司及其附属公 司('本集团'或'公司'或'公司的')主要在中国从事铁矿勘探、开采、选矿及销售,以及建筑用砂石料生产销 售业务。本集团拥有并运营的三个铁矿场,全部位于中国钢产量及铁矿石消耗量最高的河北省。公司是 河北省政府指定的涞源县矿产资源整合主体之一。从2008年至2014年,公司已成功实施一系列收购,将若 干小型铁矿合并及整合,成为公司矿山的一部分。截至二零一四年十二月三十一日,本集团铁矿石合计共 有约394.8百万吨控制的资源量、约307.8百万吨预可采储量,以及约223.7百万吨推断资源量。凭借较低的 现金经营成本、有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium price fundamentals are weakening, and investors should pay attention to the support level of 58,000 yuan per ton, with potential short-selling opportunities if this level is breached without recovery [1] Industry Summary - Lithium carbonate average cost as of June 20 is 70,168.52 yuan per ton, with a production profit of 9,868.52 yuan per ton, remaining below the breakeven point [1] - May lithium carbonate monthly production reached 70,690 tons, a year-on-year increase of 31.4%, with a month-on-month increase of only 50 tons [1] - As of June 20, the capacity utilization rate for lithium carbonate production is 62.8%, down 0.07% year-on-year but up 0.1% month-on-month [1] - The capacity utilization rate for ternary materials as of June 20 is 48.49%, down 0.71% month-on-month but up 0.66% year-on-year [1] - The capacity utilization rate for lithium iron phosphate in May is 58.78%, with a year-on-year increase of 10.75% and a month-on-month increase of 0.39% [1] - Weekly inventory as of June 19 is 134,901 physical tons, with smelter inventory at 58,625 tons (up 972 tons), downstream inventory at 40,366 tons (down 320 tons), and other inventory at 35,910 tons (up 700 tons) [1] Company Summary - Datong Mining announced plans to build a "3000 tons/year lithium battery new material project" in Linwu County, with a total investment of 1 billion yuan, divided into three phases [1] - Phase one is expected to complete R&D and pilot testing by 2025, phase two will start construction in April 2026 and be operational by the end of 2027, and phase three will begin construction in June 2027 and be operational by the end of 2028 [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the strategic industrial layout of "one park, three areas, and two centers" in TunCheng, aiming to enhance the business environment and support high-quality development for enterprises [1][7]. Group 1: Project Development and Investment - The newly built Shizhou Comprehensive High School in TunCheng can accommodate 1,600 students and was completed in just over a year, showcasing efficient project execution [1]. - The Dayaoling Quarry project, with a planned investment of 34.66 billion yuan, aims to achieve dual production in mining and processing by the end of this year, highlighting the collaboration of four central and local enterprises [1][7]. - The TunCheng Datong Industrial Park, covering over 6,000 acres, has seen the establishment of an environmental equipment manufacturing plant that holds over ten patents, indicating a focus on innovation and sustainable development [2]. Group 2: Business Environment and Services - TunCheng has implemented a simplified approval process, reducing the time for obtaining construction permits by nearly five months, which facilitates quicker project initiation [2][5]. - The county has introduced a "Tunchang Help" initiative, appointing 136 policy specialists to provide tailored consulting services to enterprises, enhancing support for business operations [5]. - The government has adopted a "no disturbance" policy to minimize unnecessary interference with businesses, aiming to create a conducive environment for investment and growth [6]. Group 3: Economic Development and Future Plans - TunCheng is focusing on enhancing product variety, quality, and branding, with several local enterprises like Tianzhihong Food and Tianyue Municipal making significant progress [3]. - The Dayaoling Quarry project is expected to produce 9.9 million tons of aggregates annually upon completion, contributing to the local economy and establishing a benchmark for green mining practices [7]. - In April, TunCheng signed 12 projects at the 2025 Hainan Free Trade Port Global Industry Investment Conference, with a total planned investment of 3.75 billion yuan, indicating strong momentum in attracting investment [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Rio Tinto (RIO.N), plans to invest over $13 billion in new mines, plants, and equipment over the next three years [1] Investment Plans - The investment will focus on expanding operations through new mining projects and enhancing existing facilities [1] - This significant capital allocation indicates the company's commitment to growth and development in the mining sector [1]

Group 1: Infrastructure Projects - The Bolivia Ruri Highway, constructed by China Railway Construction International Group, spans 508.07 kilometers and supports agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and tourism in Bolivia [1] - The highway project integrates green and low-carbon environmental concepts, protecting the natural and ecological environment along the route [1] - The Pakistan Sahiwal Power Plant, built by China Huaneng Group, has been awarded the "Environmental Excellence Award" six times and alleviates Pakistan's electricity shortage while reducing carbon emissions [1][2] Group 2: Environmental Initiatives - The Ruri Highway project includes measures such as animal passages and rare plant information signs to protect local biodiversity [1] - The Sahiwal Power Plant has transformed the surrounding environment into a large garden, playing a key role in restoring local biodiversity [2] - The Rossing Uranium Mine in Namibia emphasizes sustainable development and strict adherence to principles of protecting rare plants and animals [3] Group 3: Renewable Energy Projects - The Cox's Bazar Wind Power Project in Bangladesh, with a capacity of 66 MW, will provide approximately 145 million kWh of clean electricity annually, reducing coal consumption by 44,600 tons and CO2 emissions by 109,200 tons [4] - The Uzbekistan 1 GW photovoltaic project, the largest solar project in Central Asia, will generate about 2.4 billion kWh of electricity annually, contributing to the country's energy structure transformation [6]