Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electronic industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The electronic industry allocation ratio reached 18.3%, maintaining the top position in the market, with an overweight ratio of 7.0% [10][16] - The semiconductor sector is experiencing accelerated domestic substitution, with a positive outlook for the second half of the year [20] - The consumer electronics sector is benefiting from AI empowerment, with a focus on valuation recovery opportunities [29] - The components sector is seeing significant growth due to global AI infrastructure development [33] Summary by Sections Semiconductor Sector - Institutional holdings in the semiconductor sector accounted for 9.94%, a decrease of 1.06 percentage points from the previous quarter [20] - The second quarter saw a gradual recovery in downstream demand and orders returning to normal levels [20] - Key companies with increased institutional holdings include Huahong Semiconductor, Zhaoyi Innovation, and OmniVision [20] Consumer Electronics Sector - Institutional holdings in the consumer electronics sector were 3.16%, down 0.87 percentage points [29] - Companies like Industrial Fulian, Lens Technology, and Huakin Technology saw increased institutional holdings [29] - AI applications in both cloud and edge computing are expected to drive sales growth in consumer electronics [29] Components Sector - The components sector's institutional holdings increased to 3.73%, up 1.44 percentage points [33] - Benefiting from the global AI infrastructure boom, companies like Shenghong Technology and Huitian Technology received significant institutional support [33] - The sector is expected to experience a "Davis Double" effect due to strong demand from cloud vendors and sovereign AI investments [33] Optical and Optoelectronic Sector - Institutional holdings in the optical and optoelectronic sector were 0.74%, a slight decrease of 0.08 percentage points [3] - Companies like BOE Technology and TCL Technology saw increased institutional support [3] Electronic Chemicals Sector - The electronic chemicals sector maintained an institutional holding ratio of 0.49% [3] - Companies such as Anji Technology and Dinglong Co. received increased institutional investments [3]

分组1 - Watson Bio signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Yuxi State-owned Capital Operation Company to establish a long-term partnership in the vaccine and bioproducts industry [1] - The cooperation aims to promote innovation in vaccines and synthetic biological manufacturing through various methods such as establishing equity investment funds and strategic investments [1] - Watson Bio was founded in January 2001 and focuses on the research, production, and sales of human vaccines and biotechnological drugs [2] 分组2 - Yuan Dong Bio announced a preliminary transfer price of 42.06 yuan per share for its stock, attracting 12 institutional investors with a total subscription of 540,000 shares, resulting in a subscription multiple of 1.60 times [3] - Yuan Dong Bio was established in June 2009 and specializes in the research, production, and sales of chemical raw materials, high-end chemical drugs, and biological drugs [3] 分组3 - Weiming Environmental reported a total power generation of 2.262 billion kWh in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.54% [4] - The company also achieved a total online power generation of 1.863 billion kWh, with an average online electricity price of 0.569 yuan per kWh [4] - Weiming Environmental was founded in December 2001 and focuses on low-carbon environmental technology, products, and services [5] 分组4 - Qidi Design won a bid for the Henan Airport Intelligent Computing Center project with a total bid amount of 860 million yuan [6] - The project includes construction, maintenance, and operation of a computing cluster, with a construction period of 150 calendar days [6] - Qidi Design was established in March 1988 and specializes in design consulting, construction engineering, and new energy projects [7] 分组5 - Tiantan Bio's subsidiary received approval for a production site change for its product "Recombinant Human Coagulation Factor VIII" used in treating hemophilia A [8] - The new production site is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province [8] - Tiantan Bio was founded in June 1998 and focuses on blood products using human plasma and recombinant technology [9] 分组6 - East China Pharmaceutical's HDM1002 tablet clinical trial application was approved by the FDA, aimed at weight management for overweight or obese individuals [10] - The company also received approval for a new drug abbreviated application for injectable cabozantinib, enhancing its product pipeline in the anti-infection field [10] - East China Pharmaceutical was established in March 1993 and specializes in drug research, production, and sales [10] 分组7 - Jinlong Co. plans to acquire a 29.32% stake in Shenzhen Benmao Technology Co., Ltd. [11] - Jinlong Co. was founded in April 1997 and focuses on securities company operations [11] 分组8 - Hasi Lian's injectable diltiazem hydrochloride passed the consistency evaluation by the National Medical Products Administration [12] - The drug is primarily used for treating cardiovascular diseases [12] - Hasi Lian was established in June 1996 and specializes in the research, production, and sales of chemical drug formulations [13] 分组9 - Matrix Co. reported new signed orders of 272 million yuan in the second quarter, with a total of 677 million yuan in signed but uncompleted orders [14] - Matrix Co. was founded in March 2010 and focuses on space design and soft decoration [15] 分组10 - Nanshan Aluminum plans to use up to 1 billion yuan of idle funds for low-risk financial investments [16] - Nanshan Aluminum was established in March 1993 and specializes in the development, production, processing, and sales of aluminum and aluminum alloy products [17] 分组11 - Danhua Technology received a warning letter for failing to timely disclose related party transactions [18][19] - Danhua Technology was founded in February 1994 and focuses on the production and sales of coal chemical products [20] 分组12 - Jinkong Coal Industry announced a cash dividend of 0.755 yuan per share based on a total share capital of 1.674 billion shares [21] - Jinkong Coal Industry was established in July 2001 and specializes in coal production and sales [21] 分组13 - Blue Sky Gas announced that shareholders and the secretary of the board plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 2.61 million shares [22] - Blue Sky Gas was founded in December 2002 and focuses on pipeline natural gas and urban gas services [23] 分组14 - Huagong Technology received approval for the issuance of 2 billion yuan in short-term financing bonds and medium-term notes [24] - Huagong Technology was established in July 1999 and specializes in intelligent manufacturing equipment and related technologies [25] 分组15 - Chengjian Development completed the issuance of 500 million yuan in medium-term notes with a coupon rate of 2.05% [26] - Chengjian Development was founded in December 1998 and focuses on real estate development and investment [27] 分组16 - Feilong Co. reported a net profit of 210 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 14.49% [28] - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.67% [28] - Feilong Co. was established in January 2011 and specializes in manufacturing thermal management components for automotive and civil applications [29] 分组17 - Guanghe Technology plans to invest 30 million yuan to establish a new venture capital fund focusing on emerging industries [30] - Guanghe Technology was founded in June 2002 and specializes in the research, production, and sales of multi-layer printed circuit boards [31] 分组18 - Dongnan Network won a bid for the EPC project of Qianjiang Century City Intelligent Comprehensive Science and Technology Park with a total bid amount of 1.183 billion yuan [32] - The project has a total construction area of 273,600 square meters and a planned total investment of 3.956 billion yuan [32] - Dongnan Network was established in December 2001 and focuses on steel structures and new energy [33] 分组19 - Guangdian Measurement plans to raise no more than 1.3 billion yuan through a private placement [34] - The funds will be used for various projects including testing platforms and upgrading laboratories [34] - Guangdian Measurement was founded in May 2002 and specializes in measurement services and technical services [35] 分组20 - Wanma Co. plans to invest in a project to produce 350,000 tons of environmentally friendly polymer materials [36] - The total investment for the project is approximately 1.245 billion yuan, with a construction period from 2025 to 2030 [36] - Wanma Co. was established in December 1996 and focuses on the research, production, and sales of wires, cables, and charging equipment [37] 分组21 - Dingxin Communications plans to sell its subsidiary Haina Smart for 240 million yuan [38] - Dingxin Communications was founded in March 2008 and specializes in low-voltage power line carrier communication products [39] 分组22 - Jiayun Technology plans to transfer its wholly-owned subsidiary Jinyuan Interactive for 10 million yuan [40] - Jiayun Technology was established in May 2002 and focuses on internet marketing services [41] 分组23 - Guangsheng Nonferrous plans to publicly transfer a 3% stake in Guangdong Pearl River Rare Earth Co., Ltd. [42] - The transfer price is not less than 5.9764 million yuan, aimed at clearing unrelated assets [42] - Guangsheng Nonferrous was founded in June 1993 and specializes in rare earth mining and processing [43] 分组24 - Zhongwei Semiconductor plans to issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [44] - Zhongwei Semiconductor was established in June 2001 and focuses on the research, design, and sales of digital and analog chips [45] 分组25 - Zhongrong Co. announced that its chairman and general manager has been released from custody and is resuming normal duties [46] - Zhongrong Co. was founded in April 1990 and specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of paper packaging products [47] 分组26 - Jiangling Motors reported a net profit of 733 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 18.17% [48] - The company achieved total revenue of 18.092 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.96% [48] - Jiangling Motors was established in January 1997 and focuses on the production and sales of commercial vehicles and related parts [49] 分组27 - Glodon plans to reduce its holdings by up to 2.08% of the company's shares [50] - Glodon was founded in August 1998 and specializes in digital construction platform services [51] 分组28 - Olin Bio's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its holdings by up to 3% of the company's shares [52] - Olin Bio was established in December 2009 and focuses on the research, production, and sales of human vaccines [53] 分组29 - Tianrun Industrial plans to acquire 100% of Shandong Altai's shares for 135 million yuan [54] - The acquisition aims to enhance the company's capabilities in lightweight automotive components [54] - Tianrun Industrial was founded in December 1995 and specializes in the production of crankshafts and connecting rods [55] 分组30 - Goer Technology plans to acquire Mega Precision Technology and Channel Well Industrial for approximately 10.4 billion HKD [56] - The acquisition aims to enhance Goer Technology's capabilities in precision components and smart hardware [56] - Goer Technology was established in June 2001 and focuses on precision components and intelligent acoustic products [57]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index briefly surpassed 3600 points on July 23, with a current increase of 0.16%, driven by strong performance in financial stocks such as brokerages and insurance [1] - The A500 ETF (512050), which tracks the CSI A500 Index, is experiencing a five-day upward trend, with real-time trading volume exceeding 3.7 billion yuan, making it the top performer among similar products [1] - The CSI A500 Index employs a dual strategy of industry-balanced allocation and leading stock selection, covering all 35 sub-industries, and is overweight in new productivity sectors like AI, pharmaceuticals, and renewable energy [1] Group 2 - As of July 22, 329 A-share listed companies have announced plans for mid-term profit distribution for 2025, indicating a trend towards frequent dividends and high dividend yield companies gaining favor among investors [2] - Analysts expect that the overall performance of A-share listed companies will improve in the first half of 2025, particularly in high-concentration industries such as upstream resources, AI, and non-bank financial sectors [2] - Recent increases in A-share trading volume suggest that outside funds are entering the market, with the index reaching new highs, potentially leading to a continued upward trend in the index [2]

电子 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 7 月 21 日 002938.SZ 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 47.46 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 33.3 54.7 67.9 26.3 相对深圳成指 25.1 47.4 56.4 3.4 发行股数 (百万) 2,318.05 流通股 (百万) 2,306.78 总市值 (人民币 百万) 110,014.70 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 1,004.54 主要股东 美港实业有限公司 66.17% (30%) (18%) (6%) 7% 19% 31% Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 鹏鼎控股 深圳成指 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 7 月 18 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《鹏鼎控股》20250411 《鹏鼎控股》20241031 《鹏鼎控股》20240815 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨 ...

Group 1 - The current price recovery in China may reshape the global demand cycle, output cycle, profit distribution, and capital flow [2][12] - The global advantage of China's output system is reflected in asset pricing, leading to a systematic PB (Price-to-Book) adjustment, with Chinese assets expected to rise rapidly and the RMB (Renminbi) likely to appreciate [2][12] - Focus is on non-bank financials, low PB stocks, Hang Seng Technology, and military industry, while paying attention to long-term bonds and micro-market risks [3][12] Group 2 - In June, China's exports showed strong growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, improving from 4.7% previously, and exports to the US saw a significant month-on-month increase of 32.44% [11][12] - The report indicates a broad recovery in commodity prices in China, suggesting a potential restructuring of globalization, moving away from the previous US-dominated profit monopoly [12] - The Hong Kong stock market saw significant gains, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.84% and the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 5.53% [13][15] Group 3 - The A-share market experienced a broad rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.69% and the ChiNext Index leading the gains [19][31] - The healthcare sector outperformed, with significant gains in cancer treatment concepts and biopharmaceuticals [18][31] - High-end manufacturing sectors showed strong relative performance, while financial and real estate sectors faced declines [31][32] Group 4 - The report highlights a divergence in foreign capital index futures positions, with IC turning into a net short position and IF expanding its net short position, while IH remained stable [41][42] - The onshore and offshore RMB swap yields have declined, with the 10-year US Treasury yield surpassing the yields of Chinese bonds and swaps [45][46] Group 5 - Upcoming key focus includes the US M2 money supply and new home sales data [47][49]

Group 1 - The performance of A-shares is expected to benefit from overseas expansion, which is a strong indicator of exceeding expectations in earnings [1] - The market is transitioning to seek new scenarios as the mid-year earnings forecast season comes to an end [2] - A-shares are anticipated to show a slight upward trend in July, supported by stable export conditions and potential breakthroughs in technology sectors [3] Group 2 - The domestic economic recovery path is becoming clearer, with factors such as anti-involution policies and the relative advantage of A-shares compared to other markets [2] - The equity market is likely to maintain a strong oscillating trend due to positive signals from domestic policies and improving earnings in certain sectors [4] - Key investment areas include technology growth sectors, traditional cyclical industries benefiting from policy changes, and financial sectors with high dividend yields [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from sustained high demand in AI and HPC sectors, leading to a projected increase in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [3][8] - The company aims to optimize its product structure and enhance high-end production capacity, maintaining a "Buy" rating [5][8] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at RMB 177.07 billion, RMB 223.07 billion, and RMB 278.44 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 36.29 billion, RMB 50.66 billion, and RMB 64.92 billion [5][7] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 32.7% in 2025, 26.0% in 2026, and 24.8% in 2027 [7][11] - The company anticipates a net profit of RMB 16.50-17.50 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.63%-53.40% [8] Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is Bijiing (British Virgin Islands) Holdings Limited, holding 19.33% of the shares [2] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown strong performance with a 26.5% increase year-to-date and an 85.0% increase over the past 12 months [2]

Market Overview - The three major stock indices in China collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3516.83 points, up 0.37% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10873.62 points, up 1.43% [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2269.33 points, up 1.76% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 97.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The electronic components sector led the gains, with companies like Mankun Technology hitting the daily limit of 20% increase, and Shengyi Electronics rising over 13% [4] - The CPO concept showed strong performance throughout the day, while the military equipment sector was also active, with companies like Zongheng Co. and Chenxi Aviation seeing significant increases [5][6] - Conversely, the precious metals sector experienced declines, with Shandong Gold dropping over 2% [7] Capital Flow - Main capital flows showed a net inflow into sectors such as electronics, computers, and communications, while there was a net outflow from public utilities, real estate, and coal sectors [8] - Specific stocks like Changshan Beiming and Runhe Software saw net inflows of 2 billion yuan and 925 million yuan, respectively [9] - On the outflow side, companies like China Electric Power and Sunshine Power faced sell-offs of 444 million yuan and 397 million yuan, respectively [10] Institutional Insights - Dongfang Securities noted that overseas liquidity remains volatile, with a short-term rebound in the US dollar, leading to limited domestic opportunities in July [12] - CITIC Securities highlighted that mid-year performance reports could drive market sentiment towards technology sectors [13] - Galaxy Securities mentioned that the large financial sector is entering a phase of rotation and adjustment [14]

盘面上，CPO概念全天强势，军工装备板块活跃，医药、消费电子、钢铁板块涨幅居前；贵金属板块低 迷，地产、银行、燃气、电力股跌幅居前。 7月17日，三大股指集体收涨，沪指报收3516.83点，涨0.37%；深成指报收10873.62点，涨1.43%；创业 板指报收2269.33点，涨1.76%。沪深两市全天成交额1.54万亿，较上个交易日放量973亿。全市场超 3500只个股上涨，超1600只个股下跌。 盘面上，CPO概念全天强势，军工装备板块活跃，医药、消费电子、钢铁板块涨幅居前；贵金属板块低 迷，地产、银行、燃气、电力股跌幅居前。 | 板块名称 | | 涨幅♣ 主力净量 主力金额 | | 板块名称 | 涨幅合 | 主力净量 | 王力金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 元件 | +4.64% | 1.95 | +26.95 Z | 贵金属 | -1.01% | -1.67 | -5.51 乙 | | 兵装重组概念 | +4.22% | 2.04 | +7.747 | 保险 | -0.71% | -0.02 | +8580万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The "anti-involution" theme has gained significant attention in the A-share market, with various sectors such as steel, photovoltaic, and building materials experiencing substantial growth due to policy-driven changes aimed at reducing disorderly competition [3][5][10]. Market Performance - As of July 17, A-shares opened lower but quickly turned positive, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1%, led by sectors like innovative drugs, PCB, consumer goods, and photovoltaics [1]. - In the past month, the photovoltaic equipment index increased by 15.55%, while the overall market saw nearly 3,000 stocks rise [7][9]. Sector Analysis - The "anti-involution" theme has led to significant gains in various sectors, with the steel, building materials, and electric equipment industries seeing increases of over 8% in the last 18 trading days [2]. - Key indices reflecting this trend include the circuit board index up by 3.74%, and the glass fiber index up by 20.21% [2][9]. Policy Impact - The Central Financial Committee's meeting on July 1 emphasized the need to build a unified national market and regulate low-price competition, which is expected to guide the "anti-involution" policy across key industries [5][10]. - The current phase of the "anti-involution" market is characterized as a policy-driven expectation stage, with potential for further development depending on the implementation of policies and capacity clearance [3][18]. Investment Opportunities - Investment firms are increasingly focusing on sectors involved in the "anti-involution" theme, particularly those with historically low valuations and significant potential for recovery [12][13]. - Key sectors identified for investment include traditional industries like steel and cement, as well as emerging sectors such as photovoltaics and new energy vehicles [10][16]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the "anti-involution" market could evolve through three stages: initial policy-driven expectations, followed by resource price increases, and finally, sustained high prices [3][18]. - The current market is still in the expectation phase, and future developments will depend on the effectiveness of policy implementation and the recovery of corporate profits [18].