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大摩:维持新东方(EDU.US,09901)“持有”评级 预计2025Q4核心收入同比增长13%
智通财经网· 2025-06-27 10:04
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley projects New Oriental (EDU.US, 09901) to achieve a 13% year-over-year growth in core revenue (in USD) for Q4 2025, with core operating profit margin (OPM) expected to increase by over 1 percentage point, aligning with management guidance [1] - The upcoming shareholder return plan may act as a short-term catalyst, with a target price set at $48, corresponding to a non-GAAP P/E ratio of 16 times for the fiscal year 2026, reflecting a reasonable valuation considering a 15% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings from 2026 to 2029 [1] Q4 2025 Outlook - Management maintains guidance for core revenue growth of 13% year-over-year in USD, or 15% in RMB, with overseas revenue up 8%, domestic preparatory training revenue up 9%, high school business revenue up 16-17%, and new business revenue up 32-35% [1] - Core operating profit margin is expected to increase by over 1 percentage point due to low base effects and cost control measures [1] FY 2026 Outlook - Management reiterates guidance for core revenue growth of 14-15% year-over-year in RMB, with overseas revenue projected to grow 0-5%, domestic preparatory training revenue up 10%, high school business revenue up 11-13%, new business revenue up 25-30%, and tourism business revenue up 15-20% [2] - Total revenue is forecasted to grow by 12%, with core operating profit margin expected to expand due to strict cost control [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit is projected at $581 million (operating margin of 10.7%) and non-GAAP net profit at $509 million (net margin of 9.3%) [2] Shareholder Return Expectations - It is anticipated that New Oriental will announce a regular shareholder return plan no later than the performance report for Q4 2025, with flexibility between cash dividends and stock buybacks [2] AI One-on-One Teaching Application - Revenue from the AI one-on-one teaching application will be included in the "Smart Books" category of K9 new business, set to launch on July 2 in New Oriental's live store, with pricing yet to be announced [2]
教育早餐荟 | 中克续签教育合作计划;北京市科委提示审慎选择科技类校外培训机构
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-27 02:06
6月26日,北京商报记者从北京市科委获悉,暑假将至,为全面落实国家和本市"双减"政策,保障家长 和孩子合法权益,现向广大家长发出温馨提示,请审慎选择科技类校外培训机构,确认该机构是否持有 教育行政部门颁发的《办学许可证》和市场监管部门颁发的《营业执照》。报名缴费前,请参照《北京 市科技类校外培训服务合同(示范文本)(试行)》与培训机构签订规范的培训合同。 【4】学大教育53.49万股解除限售 【1】中克续签教育合作计划 6月26日,据新华社消息,中国驻克罗地亚大使齐前进6月25日与克罗地亚科学、教育和青年部部长拉多 万·富奇斯签署《中华人民共和国教育部与克罗地亚共和国科学、教育和青年部2025—2029年教育合作 计划》。该计划是此前双方签署的2018—2022年教育合作计划的延续和拓展。根据新的教育合作计划, 双方将增加在高教科研、基础教育、职业教育等领域的双边合作,以及双方在国际组织等平台的多边合 作。 6月26日,学大教育发布公告,学大教育2023年限制性股票激励计划预留授予第一个解除限售期的解除 限售条件已成就,根据公司2022年度股东大会授权,学大教育按照本激励计划的相关规定办理了激励计 划预留授予 ...
教育早餐荟 | 2025年北京高招录取分数线公布;一企业违法宣传“高考志愿规划师”速成培训被查
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-26 02:07
Group 1 - Beijing's 2025 college admission minimum control scores have been announced, with the ordinary undergraduate score set at 430 points and special type admissions at 519 points [1] - The distribution of scores for the 2025 college entrance examination in Beijing shows that 113 students scored above 698 points, while 11,883 students scored above 600 points [2] - A technology company in Beijing is under investigation for illegal advertising related to "college volunteer planning teacher" fast-track training, misleading potential students about job prospects [3] Group 2 - BOSS Zhipin plans to raise approximately HKD 22.613 billion through an IPO in Hong Kong, offering up to 30 million new shares at a price range of HKD 78 per share [4] - Sheng Tong Co. announced the cancellation of repurchased shares, reducing its registered capital from 538 million yuan to 533 million yuan, following the expiration of unused repurchased shares [5] - Keda Xunfei has updated its AI learning machine with three core functions and introduced a new self-developed curriculum system, enhancing its educational offerings [6] - New Oriental has established a new intelligent technology company, focusing on AI application software development and educational consulting services [7]
新东方-S(09901.HK):教育业务利润率回升 常态化回购或将提振估值
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-25 18:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that New Oriental's revenue for Q4 FY25 is expected to be $1.186 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [1] - The education business, including cultural tourism, is projected to generate $1.034 billion in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [1] - Other businesses, primarily Oriental Selection, are expected to see revenue decline to $152 million, a decrease of 32.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The study anticipates that the overseas examination training and consulting business will generate $298 million in revenue for Q4 FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5%, but a slowdown compared to previous periods [1] - The company is adjusting its high-end one-on-one training model to a one-to-many format to lower class prices and is expanding its youth overseas examination training services to enhance growth resilience [1] Group 3 - New business revenue, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, is expected to grow by 34% year-on-year to $311 million in Q4 [2] - The number of teaching outlets is projected to increase to 1,251, a year-on-year growth of 22%, indicating sustained expansion [2] - The company is implementing cost control measures and operational efficiency improvements, leading to an expected Non-GAAP operating profit margin expansion to 3% in Q4 [2] Group 4 - The revenue forecast for FY25-FY27 has been slightly adjusted downwards to $4.84 billion, $5.8 billion, and $7.03 billion, respectively, due to slower growth in the overseas study business [3] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25-FY27 have been revised upwards to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million, respectively, reflecting improved cost control [3] - The DCF target price has been raised to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25 [3]
“金”举措精准滴灌 助力释放消费潜力
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-06-25 16:21
■择远 提振和扩大消费再迎重磅政策支持。近日,中国人民银行、国家发展改革委、财政部、商务部、金融监管总局、中国证监 会等六部门联合印发《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费的指导意见》(简称《意见》),从六个方面提出19项重点举措。 消费作为最终需求,带动了生产和投资,也连接着供给和需求,是经济增长的重要引擎。大力提振消费,既是当前扩内 需、稳增长的重要抓手,也是应对外部环境变化、畅通国内大循环、提升居民生活品质的关键。《意见》明确了当前金融支持 消费增长的方向和重点:聚焦商品消费、服务消费和新型消费三大重点领域,通过信贷、债券、股权融资等"组合拳",为释放 消费增长潜能、更好发挥消费对经济发展的基础性作用提供全方位的金融支持。 这体现了金融支持消费的"精准滴灌"。比如,在"支持发展服务消费"方面,《意见》提出,"围绕文化旅游、体育、娱乐、 教育培训、居住服务等领域创新融资模式,在依法合规、风险可控前提下结合产业发展周期适当延长贷款期限,积极开展应收 账款、知识产权等质押融资业务,促进激发改善型服务消费活力"。 在笔者看来,随着这些"金"举措持续、精准发力,将有效激发消费潜力的释放,有助于形成"金融赋能消费、消费拉动增 ...
北京一企业因发布“高考志愿规划师”速成培训广告被立案查处
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-06-25 11:10
新华社北京6月25日电(记者阳娜)2025年高考落下帷幕,高校招生工作即将开启,志愿填报成为 考生和家长关注的焦点。部分不法机构盯上这一"商机",打起"高考志愿规划师"速成培训的主意。北京 市市场监管局25日发布消息称,北京某科技发展有限公司因涉嫌发布"高考志愿规划师"速成培训违法广 告被立案调查。 以上负责人提醒广大考生及家长,教育部已上线"阳光志愿"信息服务系统,提供免费志愿填报公共 服务,不要迷信"天价"志愿填报咨询服务,只有结合自身实际,才能做出最科学的选择。同时提醒有就 业需求的群体,"高考志愿规划师"未被纳入人力资源和社会保障部公布的职业目录,没有相应的职业资 格证书,请勿轻信个别机构所谓的"证书权威""国家认可"等广告宣传内容。 据了解,高校报名招生期间,北京市市场监管部门将与教育、人力资源和社会保障、公安等部门密 切协作,依法从严从快查处相关违法行为,切实维护广大考生和家长的合法权益。 经调查,该机构在抖音、小红书等平台发布广告,以"轻松入行""0基础""无专业限制"等商业宣传 用语为噱头,通过渲染工作地点灵活、接单变现增收、就业前景广阔等优点,吸引学员购买相应课程培 训包,开展所谓"高考志愿 ...
恒指涨幅扩大至1%,新东方(09901.HK)、中芯国际(00981.HK)领涨成分股,恒生科技指数现涨1.5%。
news flash· 2025-06-25 01:54
恒指涨幅扩大至1%,新东方(09901.HK)、中芯国际(00981.HK)领涨成分股,恒生科技指数现涨1.5%。 ...
六部门联合发布指导意见明确方向重点—— 加大金融支持提振消费力度
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-24 22:07
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and five other departments have issued guidelines to enhance financial support for consumption growth, aiming to build a multi-level financial service system to stimulate high-quality consumption and unleash consumer potential [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Support for Consumption - The guidelines emphasize the importance of boosting consumption as a key driver for domestic demand and economic stability, aligning with the central government's focus on expanding domestic demand [1][2]. - The document outlines 19 key measures across six areas, including enhancing consumer capacity, expanding financial supply, and tapping into consumer potential [1][2]. Group 2: Focus Areas for Consumption - The guidelines identify key areas for financial support, including goods consumption, service consumption, and new types of consumption, consistent with previous action plans [2][3]. - Goods consumption is currently robust, with durable goods spending reaching levels comparable to the U.S., while service consumption remains underdeveloped, accounting for only 18% of GDP compared to over 40% in developed countries [2][3]. Group 3: Service Consumption Development - Increased financing support will be directed towards sectors such as wholesale and retail, catering, and elder care to unlock basic service consumption potential [3]. - The People's Bank of China has allocated 500 billion yuan for service consumption and elderly care loans, encouraging financial institutions to enhance support for sectors like hospitality, entertainment, and education [3][4]. Group 4: New Consumption Models - The guidelines promote financial support for digital, green, and health-related consumption, encouraging innovation in financial products tailored to new consumption trends [3][4]. - Financial institutions are urged to collaborate with merchants to develop suitable financial products and services that cater to the characteristics of new consumption [3][4]. Group 5: Market Opportunities - The evolving market environment presents structural opportunities for consumer finance, with potential market expansion and optimization of market dynamics [4]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to adapt to market changes and leverage their strengths to pursue differentiated development strategies [4].
全面构建金融服务体系支持提振和扩大消费
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-24 18:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of enhancing consumer capacity and supporting service consumption through financial measures [1][2][3] - The People's Bank of China has established a 500 billion yuan service consumption and elderly re-loan to encourage financial institutions to increase support for service consumption sectors [1] - The articles highlight the need for financial innovation to support new consumption models such as digital, green, and health consumption [1][2] Group 2 - The articles outline three important directions for financial support to boost and expand consumption: enhancing consumer capacity, improving supply efficiency, and strengthening basic financial services [2][3] - The focus on increasing household disposable income is seen as crucial for stimulating consumer potential and confidence [3] - The articles discuss the necessity of improving consumption infrastructure, including logistics and supply chain efficiency, to facilitate market expansion and quality [3]
学大教育: 关于2023年限制性股票激励计划首次授予第二个解除限售期解除限售条件成就的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-24 17:50
Core Viewpoint - The company has announced the achievement of conditions for the second unlock period of its 2023 restricted stock incentive plan, allowing 378 eligible participants to unlock a total of 1,207,200 shares, representing 0.99% of the company's total share capital [1][7]. Group 1: Incentive Plan Details - The incentive plan allows for the unlocking of restricted stocks after meeting specific conditions, which have now been fulfilled [6][11]. - The second unlock period is defined as the period from the first grant registration completion date plus 24 months to the last trading day within 36 months from that date [5][6]. - The total number of participants in the incentive plan was adjusted to 412, with 378 remaining eligible after accounting for those who left the company [8][9]. Group 2: Performance Conditions - The performance conditions for unlocking the restricted stocks include achieving a net profit of no less than 130 million yuan over the specified period [6]. - The actual net profit achieved by the company during the relevant period was reported as 392,835,689.49 yuan, thus meeting the performance criteria [6][7]. Group 3: Compliance and Approval - The board of directors and the supervisory board have approved the necessary resolutions for the unlocking of the restricted stocks, confirming compliance with relevant regulations [10][11]. - Legal and independent financial advisors have concluded that all necessary procedures and disclosures have been fulfilled for the unlocking of the restricted stocks [11][12].